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Optimal proportional reinsurance with common shock dependence to minimise the probability of drawdown

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 July 2018

Xia Han
Affiliation:
School of Mathematical Sciences, Institute of Finance and Statistics, Nanjing Normal University, Jiangsu 210023, P.R.China
Zhibin Liang*
Affiliation:
School of Mathematical Sciences, Institute of Finance and Statistics, Nanjing Normal University, Jiangsu 210023, P.R.China
Caibin Zhang
Affiliation:
School of Mathematical Sciences, Institute of Finance and Statistics, Nanjing Normal University, Jiangsu 210023, P.R.China
*
*Correspondence to: Zhibin Liang, School of Mathematical Sciences, Institute of Finance and Statistics, Nanjing Normal University, Jiangsu 210023, P.R.China. Tel: +86 18951891256. E-mail: liangzhibin111@hotmail.com
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Abstract

In this paper, we study the optimal proportional reinsurance problem in a risk model with two dependent classes of insurance business, where the two claim number processes are correlated through a common shock component, and the criterion is to minimise the probability of drawdown, namely, the probability that the value of the surplus process reaches some fixed proportion of its maximum value to date. By the method of maximising the ratio of drift of a diffusion divided to its volatility squared, and the technique of stochastic control theory and the corresponding Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation, we investigate the optimisation problem in two different cases. Furthermore, we constrain the reinsurance proportion in the interval [0,1] for each case, and derive the explicit expressions of the optimal proportional reinsurance strategy and the minimum probability of drawdown. Finally, some numerical examples are presented to show the impact of model parameters on the optimal results.

Information

Type
Paper
Copyright
© Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2018 
Figure 0

Figure 1 The influence of u on the optimal reinsurance strategy.

Figure 1

Figure 2 The influence of m and λ on the minimum probability of drawdown.

Figure 2

Figure 3 The influence of λ on the optimal reinsurance strategy.

Figure 3

Figure 4 The influence of λ1 on the optimal reinsurance strategy.

Figure 4

Figure 5 The influence of η1 and η2 on the optimal reinsurance strategy.