Investor-state dispute settlement is on a steady rise in South East Asia.Footnote 1 It is therefore timely that countries within the region are expanding their trade and investment programmes. The most recent example is the conclusion of the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP).Footnote 2 Signatories to the TPP include a number of countries from Southeast Asia, namely, Brunei, Singapore, Vietnam, and Malaysia. One of the substantive protections invariably offered in trade and investment treaties such as the TPP is the prohibition against direct or indirect expropriation.
Expropriation is one of those substantive obligations that has never lent itself well to a crisp definition. Determining when governmental action interfering with the property rights of private investors crosses the threshold from valid regulation to a compensable taking is a complex exercise, and it is fair to say that no one has come up with a fully satisfactory means of drawing this line.Footnote 3
Article 9.7, read with Annex 9-B and Annex 9-C of the TPP, is very specific and provides a non-exhaustive list of factors to be taken into account when indirect expropriation is alleged. Generally, except in “rare circumstances”, signatory states to the TPP will be able to avoid incurring financial liability in respect of expropriation claims, on the basis that regulatory actions were applied to protect “legitimate public welfare objectives”. In this respect, the expropriation provisions within the TPP closely resemble those in the model bilateral investment treaty adopted by the USFootnote 4 in 2004 and 2012. This begs the question: Prior to the conclusion of the TPP, how many countries within Southeast Asia entered into treaties that contained similarly detailed expropriation provisions? It appears that within Southeast Asia, Singapore was one of the first, if not the first, countries to make the switch from the lean-style OECD-model approach to investment protection to the more refined and rebalanced US Model BIT-style approach, when it signed the US-Singapore FTA in 2003.
The earlier treaties, which Singapore entered into in the 1970s with, inter alia, the UK and Germany, convey substantial discretion on tribunals to determine when an indirect expropriatory act has occurred. This stands in contrast with the later treaties that Singapore concluded with countries such as the US, Peru, and the Government of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan post-2000. At around the time Singapore entered into the US-Singapore FTA in 2003 (which marked the start of a new trend in Singapore’s treaty-making practice), other Southeast Asian countries were still adopting the lean OECD-approach to investment protection. Without being exhaustive, Article IV of the Cambodia-Vietnam BIT that was signed on 1 September 2001, Article VI of the Indonesia-Thailand BIT that was signed on 17 February 1998, and Article IV of the Cambodia-Philippines BIT that was signed on 16 August 2000, were drafted very much in the skeletal, “OECD-style”.Footnote 5 It is therefore fair to observe that, within the region, Singapore took the lead in making the shift away from the lean-style OECD-model approach. To date, Singapore has also entered into the most FTAs/Multilateral Agreements amongst its Southeast Asian counterparts.Footnote 6 In the light of these observations, this author submits that Singapore should be used as a focal point for the ensuing discussion.
This paper examines the implications of the evolution of Singapore’s investment treaty-making practice, and proceeds in several sections. Sections I and II provide a brief overview of Singapore’s treaty-making practice over the decades, while Section III considers how Singapore’s evolving treaty-making practice compares with the default position that appears to have been widely accepted by investment treaty tribunals. Section IV discusses the potential consequences of this divergence and postulates a framework for analyzing and making sense of Singapore’s treaty-making practice. It is submitted that, although the earlier treaties arguably made it easier (as compared to the widely accepted position at international law) for investors to mount claims against Singapore, this situation is largely remedied in the later treaties. This author will conclude by examining how the lessons drawn from Singapore can be applied in the broader Southeast Asian context, particularly in the light of the fact that the ASEAN Comprehensive Investment Agreement [ACIA] has entered into force.Footnote 7
I. Singapore’s Bits/Igas: The Early Formulations Of Provisions Proscribing Expropriation
Throughout the 1970s, Singapore entered into a number of Investment Guarantee Agreements [IGAs] with, inter alia, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Switzerland, and the Belgo-Luxembourg Economic Union. As these IGAs are structured and worded very similarly, there is little utility in examining each of them in turn. Instead, this author submits that the preferred approach will be to examine just a couple of these IGAs. For example, Article 4 of the IGA concluded between the Republic of Singapore and the Federal Republic of Germany [Singapore-Germany IGA], which entered into force on 1 October 1975,Footnote 8 stipulates that the state is required to provide compensation for expropriatory actions taken for public benefit, but offers little guidance as to what such “expropriation” entails:
Investments by nationals or companies of either Contracting Party shall not be expropriated in the territory of the other Contracting Party except for public benefit and against just and equitable compensations which represents the fair market value of the investment expropriated. Such compensation shall be made without delay and shall be freely transferable. The legality of any such expropriation and the amount of compensation shall be subject to review by due process of law in the territory of the Contracting Party in which the investment has been expropriated.Footnote 9 (emphasis added)
The expropriation provision in the IGA concluded between Singapore and the UK [Singapore-UK IGA], which entered into force on 22 July 1975, is framed in a similarly skeletal manner. Article 5 of the Singapore-UK IGA provides that:
Investments of nationals or companies of either Contracting Party shall not be nationalized, expropriated or subjected to measures having effect equivalent to nationalization or expropriation in the territory of the other Contracting Party except for a public purpose related to the internal needs of the expropriating Party and against prompt, adequate and effective compensation.Footnote 10 (emphasis added)
What is noteworthy is that, under the framework set out in these expropriation provisions, the state is obliged to compensate even when it has acted for “public benefit” or for a “public purpose”. This gives rise to the question of how this framework reconciles with the default position that appears to have been widely accepted by international investment tribunals, which is essentially that a state is not liable for economic injury which is a consequence of bona fide “regulation” within the accepted “police power” of states.
The expropriation provisions cited above are very similarly worded to Article 3 of the Draft Convention on the Protection of Foreign Property, which was adopted by the Council of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development [OECD] on 12 October 1967.Footnote 11 The similarity in wording is unsurprising given that both the UK and Germany were supportive of the work done between 1959 and 1967 by the OECD.Footnote 12 Since these “OECD-style” BITs did not define what an expropriation actually was, they accorded much latitude to tribunals to determine what constitutes an expropriatory measure. This trend of tersely drafted expropriation provisions continued for decades—even as late as 2001, the Tribunal in Lauder v. Czech Republic observed that BITs generally did not define the term of expropriation and nationalization, or any of the other terms denoting similar measures of forced dispossession.Footnote 13
II. The Move Towards More Detailed Expropriation Provisions In Singapore’s Later Treaties
A. Setting the Context: Understanding the Lessons Learned from the Experience of the NAFTA Parties
The evolution of Singapore’s expropriation provisions appears to be closely tied to the lessons learned by the US administration pursuant to claims filed by foreign investors under Chapter 11 of the North American Free Trade Agreement [NAFTA].Footnote 14 The ambiguously worded Article 1110Footnote 15 gave rise to much controversyFootnote 16 and, more significantly, left the US exposed to claims, several of which were perceived as “frivolous” by the American government.Footnote 17 Cases such as these prompted the American government to incorporate safeguards within the treaty text,Footnote 18 with the aim of striking a better balance between providing strong investor protections and preserving the government’s ability to regulate. From 2003 to 2004, the US government pursued a revision of an earlier model BIT.Footnote 19 This rethinking by the American government culminated in the release of a revised version of the template it used to negotiate BITs, namely the 2004 US Model BIT,Footnote 20 which was released on 5 February 2004.
B. The NAFTA Parties’ Rethinking of Indirect Expropriation is Reflected in Singapore’s Treaty-Making Practice
The 2004 US Model BIT incorporated language aimed at limiting the scope of the expropriation obligation.Footnote 21 From a reading of the 2004 US Model BIT, it appears that the approach taken therein is similar to that taken in the US-Singapore FTAFootnote 22 (even though the US-Singapore FTA was signed before the 2004 US Model BIT was officially released), which heralded the start of a new trend in Singapore’s treaty-making practice—it was the first of Singapore’s FTAs to contain detailed language specifying what tribunals should/must focus on when determining if the measures at issue constitute a valid exercise of the state’s regulatory powers.Footnote 23
In this regard, Article 15.6(1) of the US-Singapore FTA provides that:
1. Neither Party may expropriate or nationalize a covered investment either directly or indirectly through measures equivalent to expropriation or nationalization (“expropriation”), except:
(a) for a public purpose; (b) in a non-discriminatory manner; (c) on payment of prompt, adequate, and effective compensation in accordance with paragraphs 2, 3, and 4; and (d) in accordance with due process of law and Article 15.5.1, 15.5.2, and 15.5.3.
The scope of Article 15.6(1) is further clarified and reaffirmed by the letters exchanged between the then Singapore Minister for Trade and Industry and the then US Trade Representative on 6 May 2003 [the 6 May 2003 letters on expropriation]. Paragraph 4 of the 6 May 2003 letters on expropriation state that the determination of indirect expropriation requires a case-by-case, fact-based inquiry that considers, inter alia, the economic impact of the government action, the extent to which the government action interferes with distinct, reasonable, investment-backed expectations, and the character of the government action. Paragraph 4 goes on to provide that “[e]xcept in rare circumstances, nondiscriminatory regulatory actions by a Party that are designed and applied to protect legitimate public welfare objectives, such as public health, safety, and the environment, do not constitute indirect expropriations” (emphasis added).Footnote 24
Since the conclusion of the US-Singapore FTA, Singapore’s other treaties have continued in much the same vein. For example, Article 10.10 of the Singapore-Peru FTAFootnote 25 clarifies the scope of expropriation with the same level of particularity as Article 15.6(1) of the US-Singapore FTA.Footnote 26 Article 9.6, read with Annex 9-A, of the recently concluded Singapore-EU FTA is also worded in similar terms to paragraph 4 of the 6 May 2003 letters on expropriation. In other words, the reference to how a finding of indirect expropriation would only be justified in “rare circumstances” features also in the Singapore-EU FTA.Footnote 27 It therefore appears that Singapore had, through its experience of negotiating the US-Singapore FTA, come to appreciate the value of trying to inject a measure of predictability and consistency in tribunal decision-making.
Two points from the provisions set out above are noteworthy. First, these detailed clarifications appear to be focused on clarifying the concept of indirect expropriation, as opposed to direct forms of expropriation in which the state openly and deliberately seizes property and/or transfers title to private property to itself or a state-mandated third party. The focus on indirect expropriation is understandable, given that few international investment cases have involved claims of direct expropriation.Footnote 28 Second, the reference to how regulatory actions would amount to indirect expropriations only in “rare circumstances” is an express indication to tribunals established under those treaties that a claimant must satisfy a high threshold before nondiscriminatory regulatory actions are found to be expropriatory. This phrase is conspicuously missing from corresponding provisions in the IGAs Singapore concluded with Germany and the UK (to name just a few). The consequence of the omission of this terminology is discussed below.
III. Examining The Jurisprudence: How Does the Framework Contained in Singapore’s Earlier Bits Square With the Widely Accepted Position at International Law?
A. The Hallmarks of Indirect Expropriation
The concept of indirect expropriation continues to evade precise definition, and tribunals have consistently confirmed that the determination of expropriation is very much a fact-driven analysis.Footnote 29 Notwithstanding the absence of a short-hand definition, jurisprudence and commentary have accepted that, in order to constitute expropriation, measures implemented by a host state must effect a substantial deprivation of control over an investment, or a substantial diminution of its value.Footnote 30 The claimant must establish that the consequential loss in the value of an investment (i.e. the economic effect of the measures on the investment) is complete, or nearly complete, to support the inference that he has effectively been deprived of the expected benefits of it.Footnote 31 In Metalclad v. Mexico [Metalclad], the Tribunal explained that expropriation includes:
[C]overt or incidental interference with the use of property which has the effect of depriving the owner, in whole or in significant part, of the use or reasonably-to-be expected economic benefit of property even if not necessarily to the obvious benefit of the host State.Footnote 32 (emphasis added)
Tribunals have recognized that a state could take a wide spectrum of measures in asserting control over property,Footnote 33 including requisition of land, exorbitant or arbitrary taxation, and annulment and cancellation of property rights, contractual rights, debts, or licences.Footnote 34 At the end of the day, the focus of the analysis appears to be on the effect of the state measure on the investment and the extent of the deprivation that the investor suffers.Footnote 35
B. Construing Broadly Worded Expropriation Provisions: To What Extent are Widely Accepted Principles of International Law Read In?
The question then arises as to what tribunals are likely to do when faced with treaty provisions that do not contain an express direction that the pursuit of “public welfare objectives” should only be construed as expropriatory in “rare circumstances”. The construction of such tersely worded provisions has important ramifications. Article 31 of the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties [VCLT] provides that the interpretation of any specific treaty provision must be guided by the specific treaty text, taking into account “any relevant rules of international law applicable in the relations between the parties” (amongst other factors). A general approach, which is easily reconcilable with Article 31 of the VCLT, can be identified from the jurisprudence dealing with such expropriation provisions. Broadly speaking, as a matter of practice, a number of tribunals have read in the customary international law notion that the deprivation would not trigger a state’s obligation to compensate if carried out pursuant to the valid exercise of the state’s police powers.
In this regard, International Investment Arbitration (IIA) awards have repeatedly confirmed that states may justify deprivations based on the exercise of what are called the state’s “police powers”, a term that has historically been used in the context of US takings law,Footnote 36 and references to this principle can be found throughout the literature in the field of indirect expropriation.Footnote 37 Similarly, in the Sedco case, the Iran-US Claims Tribunal stated that it is “an accepted principle of international law that a State is not liable for economic injury which is a consequence of bona fide ‘regulation’ within the accepted police power of states”.Footnote 38 While some tribunals have made it clear that they view this principle as an established part of customary international law,Footnote 39 given the difficulty of aggregating state practice and of locating opinio juris, it falls beyond the scope of this paper to embark on an independent study of state practice and opinio juris to verify the accuracy of such a view. Instead, the analysis in this section will proceed on the substantiated premise that it is, at the very least, a widely accepted principle in international investment law that a state will not be liable for any claim of expropriation if it adopts a measure as a result of the valid exercise of its police power.
Therefore, in Marvin Feldman v. Mexico,Footnote 40 the Tribunal was required to interpret Article 1110 of the NAFTA,Footnote 41 the generality of which rendered its practical application somewhat difficult.Footnote 42 Therefore, the Tribunal considered general principles of international law to justify its conclusion that governments must be free to act in the “broader public interest” through, inter alia, the granting or withdrawal of government subsidies, reductions or increases in tariff levels, and the imposition of zoning restrictions.Footnote 43 In arriving at its understanding of the content of this rule, the Tribunal expressly relied on Section 712 of the American Law Institute, Restatement of the Law Third (1987), the Foreign Relations of the United States [the Restatement].Footnote 44
Comment g. (to Section 712) of the Restatement makes reference to a line of US jurisprudence and international casesFootnote 45 which support the position that a state is not responsible for any economic disadvantage resulting from bona fide action that is commonly accepted as within the “police power” of states.Footnote 46 As to whether a particular conduct by a state crosses the line that separates valid regulatory activity from expropriation, this would turn on, inter alia, whether the measure is applied in a discriminatory fashion, the degree to which the government action deprives the investor of effective control over the enterprise,Footnote 47 and the circumstances of the case.Footnote 48
Likewise, in Saluka v. Czech Republic,Footnote 49 the Tribunal held that although Article 5 of the Netherlands-Czech Republic BITFootnote 50 was framed in very broad terms and did not contain any express exception for the exercise of regulatory power, the Article “import[ed] into the treaty the customary international law notion” that states are not liable to pay compensation to a foreign investor when, “in the normal exercise of their regulatory powers, they adopt in a non-discriminatory manner bona fide regulations that are aimed at the general welfare”.Footnote 51 The Tribunal termed this the “so-called ‘police power exception’”,Footnote 52 and went on to observe that this principle had acquired the status of custom.Footnote 53 As evidence of this customary rule, the Tribunal pointed to a variety of sources encompassing case-law,Footnote 54 the 1967 OECD Draft Convention on the Protection of Foreign Property,Footnote 55 the US Restatement (Third) of the Law of Foreign Relations (1987),Footnote 56 as well as the Harvard Draft Convention on the International Responsibility of States for Injuries to Aliens [Harvard Draft Convention].Footnote 57 The Saluka approach has been endorsed in a number of decisions,Footnote 58 and is consonant with the reasoning undertaken by earlier tribunals. For example, in ADF Group Inc. v. United States of America [ADF Group], it was held that “any general requirement to accord ‘fair and equitable treatment’… must be disciplined by being based upon State practice and judicial or arbitral case law or other sources of customary or general international law”.Footnote 59
It should be noted, however, that there are some recent cases suggesting that this seemingly well-accepted statement of the “customary rule” may merit further scrutiny. For example, the award rendered by the Tribunal in Chemtura Corporation (formerly Crompton Corporation) v. Government of Canada [Chemtura] seems to suggest that the valid exercise of a state’s police powers must be linked to human health and the environment.Footnote 60 Similarly, in Saur International S.A. v. Republique Argentine [Saur],Footnote 61 the Tribunal was of the view that, in some cases, the legitimate exercise of police powers would not give rise to the obligation to compensate.Footnote 62 The approach taken by the Tribunal in Saur marks a departure from the generally accepted position (being that the valid exercise of police powers always immunizes a state from having to pay compensation) and, at the time of writing, this author is not aware of any tribunal which has endorsed these specific paragraphs of either the Chemtura Award or the Saur Decision on Jurisdiction and Liability.
What emerges from the jurisprudence is that, regardless of whether the expropriation provision contains an express carve-out for states to take bona fide regulatory actions, the principle that a state does not commit an expropriation and is thus not liable to pay compensation to a dispossessed alien investor when it adopts general regulations that are “commonly accepted as within the police power of States”Footnote 63 is a widely accepted principle of international law today. At first blush, this might invite the conclusion that the framework contained in the earlier BITs adequately preserves the state’s right to undertake regulatory activity aimed at preserving public welfare. However, as will be discussed in the subsequent section, the accuracy of this conclusion is somewhat questionable.
IV. Examining The Repercussions (Whether Intended Or Otherwise) Of Singapore’s Treaty-Making Practice
A. Triggering the State’s Obligation to Compensate: Examining the Interplay Between the Framework in Singapore’s Earlier BITs and the “Police Powers” Exception
A plain reading of Article 4 of the Singapore-Germany IGA and Article 5 of the Singapore-UK IGAFootnote 64 suggests that deprivatory measures taken for a “public purpose”/for “public benefit” may still trigger a state’s obligation to compensate. This may be contrasted with the widely accepted rule in international law that a state is generally not obliged to compensate when a substantial deprivation results from the exercise of its “police powers”.Footnote 65
This brings an important question to the fore: What is the relationship between “public purpose”/“public benefit”/“public interest” and “police powers”? Are the former categories simply a subset of “police powers”? Tribunals such as the one in Compania del Desarrollo de Santa Elena, S.A. v. Costa Rica Footnote 66 and Ioannis Kardassopoulos and Ron Fuchs v. The Republic of Georgia Footnote 67 appear to treat the doctrine of police powers and public purpose/public interest as conceptually distinct, but provide no guidance on where the differences lie. Indeed, the cases provide precious little guidance as to how the terms “public purpose” and “public benefit” differ from the exercise of “police powers”. While the Tribunal in ADC Affiliate Limited and ADC & ADMC Management Limited v. Hungary [ADC Affiliate v. Hungary]Footnote 68 noted that a “treaty requirement for ‘public interest’ requires some genuine interest of the public”,Footnote 69 there has yet to be an occasion where a tribunal has delineated the boundaries of these terms, much less explained the differences between them.
In the light of this uncertainty in the jurisprudence, it is unsurprising that tribunals have, on occasion, used these terms interchangeably. This appears to have been the case in Siemens A.G. v. Argentina Footnote 70 and Inmaris Perestroika v. Ukraine. Footnote 71 On other occasions, the doctrine of “police powers” has been equated/confined to actions that are taken either to protect the “public interest”,Footnote 72 “general welfare”,Footnote 73 or “public health and the environment”.Footnote 74 Indeed, some commentators have expressed the view that “police power” regulation may be broadly classified into the following three categories: (a) public order and morality; (b) protection of human health and the environment; and (c) state taxation.Footnote 75 Notwithstanding this loose classification, it has been recognized that the boundaries within each of these categories are by no means easy to determine.Footnote 76
While Singapore has taken the position in at least one of its FTAs that “public purpose” may have some parallels to the domestic law concept of “public necessity”,Footnote 77 the authorities reviewed (as set out above) suggest that the terms “public purpose”, “public benefit”, and “police powers” may well cover the exact same ground. Therefore, while the absence of express language preserving the state’s right to take regulatory action will not necessarily prejudice its right to do so, the framework set out in Singapore’s earlier BITsFootnote 78 may actually have displaced the widely accepted rule that a state will not have to compensate when it exercises its “police powers”. Given that “police powers” has been variously equated with public interest, public welfare, and public health, the earlier BIT framework (which obliges a state to compensate even when it has acted for “public interest”/“public benefit”) arguably renders it easier for an investor to invoke the State Party’s obligation to compensate, where the investor has been substantially deprived of the economic benefit of its investment.
One way to get around this reading may be to take the view that the above BIT framework must be read in tandem with the widely accepted position at international law. In other words, if a state succeeds in persuading a tribunal that certain measures constitute a valid exercise of its “police powers”, those same measures would not constitute an expropriation in the first place. In this regard, it is submitted that the conceptual distinction between “police powers” and “public purpose”/“public benefit”/“public interest” is as follows: “police powers” defines a type of measure that is in principle not an indirect expropriation. This proposition appears to have been (correctly) accepted by the Tribunals in Chemtura Footnote 79 and AWG,Footnote 80 as well as in the context of the Iran-US Claims Tribunal. The Iran-US Claims Tribunal observed that:
A State is not responsible for loss of property or for other economic disadvantage resulting from bona fide general taxation or any other action that is commonly accepted as within the police power of States, provided it is not discriminatory and is not designed to cause the alien to abandon the property to the State or to sell it at a distress price.Footnote 81 (emphasis added)
“Public purpose”, on the other hand, is a condition of legality of indirect expropriation. Without being exhaustive, this proposition appears to be reflected in, inter alia, the wording of Section IV(1) of the 1992 World Bank Guidelines,Footnote 82 Article 13 of the 1994 Energy Charter Treaty,Footnote 83 and Article 1110 of the NAFTA. Tribunals such as the one in Methanex Corp. v. US also appear to regard “public purpose” as a condition of legality of indirect expropriation; therefore, in reaching the conclusion that the ban on the use of a certain fuel additive was not expropriatory, the Tribunal noted that it had been made “for a public purpose, was non-discriminatory, and was accomplished by due process”, and that from the standpoint of international law, “it was a lawful regulation and not an expropriation”.Footnote 84
B. How Does the Inclusion of the “Rare Circumstances” Concept Change the Position Created by the BIT Framework?
The inclusion of the “rare circumstances” phraseology appears to bring the position back somewhat full circle to that which appears to have been widely accepted by international investment tribunals (i.e. that a state does not have to compensate an investor at all where it has legitimately exercised its “police powers”). The detailed annexes provide that where the state has acted in pursuit of “public welfare objectives”, such actions will rarely be considered expropriatory, and therefore will presumably rarely trigger the state’s obligation to compensate. In Singapore’s treaties, these legitimate “public welfare objectives” have been particularized to include “public health, safety, and the environment”,Footnote 85 which is strikingly similar to the broad categories (set out above) that have been created to embody the concept of “police powers”. Further, as explained above, “police powers” has been equated to acting in the “general” or “public welfare” in some cases.Footnote 86 The net effect of this is that under the “rare circumstances” concept, a state that acts in pursuit of “legitimate welfare objectives” will only have to compensate in “rare circumstances” if the investor is substantially deprived of the economic benefits of its investment.
While the US-Singapore FTA, Singapore-Peru FTA, and Singapore-Panama FTA were silent on what these “rare circumstances” entail,Footnote 87 the recently concluded Singapore-EU FTA has gone a step further in employing language to limit the scope of indirect expropriation. Therefore, Annex 9-A of the Singapore-EU FTA describes such “rare circumstances” as measures or a series of measures where the impact is “so severe in light of its purpose that it appears manifestly excessive”. The wording of the Singapore-EU FTA is similar to that at Annex 11-B of the US-Korea FTA (which entered into force on 15 March 2012), where examples of such “rare circumstances” are specified to include actions or a series of actions that are “extremely severe or disproportionate in light of its purpose or effect”.Footnote 88
From the wording of the Singapore-EU FTA, it is clear that, from Singapore’s perspective, under the “rare circumstances” treaty rule, an action is not expropriatory and a state does not have to compensate, except where the measure is so disproportionate and severe in the light of its purpose. This might not be all that different from the position that has been widely accepted by international investment tribunals;Footnote 89 a number of tribunals have found that although states customarily retain the “right to adopt measures having a social or general welfare purpose”Footnote 90 (i.e. the right to exercise police powers) without any imposition of liability, international law requires the exercise of such regulatory activity to be proportionate to the need being addressed. This means that whether or not a state is found to have validly exercised its police power depends significantly on the proportionality of the measure taken. The Tribunal in Tecnicas Medioambientales Tecmed S.A. v. The United Mexican States [Tecmed] stated the issue as follows: “[T]he Arbitral Tribunal will consider, in order to determine if they are to be characterized as expropriatory, whether such actions or measures are proportional to the public interest presumably protected thereby and to the protection legally granted to investments …”.Footnote 91
In that sense, the “rare circumstances concept” (as reflected in Singapore’s later FTAs) is entirely consistent with the “police powers” rule that has gained widespread acceptance. Given that not all of Singapore’s existing FTAs contain illustrations of what the “rare circumstances” concept entails, it remains open to tribunals to adopt any construction they deem appropriate. Having said that, it is probable that the illustrations provided in the Singapore-EU FTA will serve as useful guidance.Footnote 92
C. The “Rare Circumstances” Requirement Arguably Makes It More Difficult for an Investor to Persuade a Tribunal that an Expropriatory Act has Occurred
The wording of the Annex 9-A of the Singapore-EU FTAFootnote 93 suggests that proportionality is a key facet of the “rare circumstances” concept. In fact, looked at from another angle, a compelling case can be made that the inclusion of the “rare circumstances” requirement makes it more challenging to establish that an indirect expropriation has occurred.
In this regard, it is important to bear in mind that, before a state may be found to have acted in an expropriatory manner, much will turn on how ready the tribunal is to second-guess the state’s characterization of a particular measure as a valid exercise of its “police power”. It is submitted that the widely accepted rule provides scant guidance on the extent of scrutiny that should be paid to a state’s decision of what lies in its public interest and what measures are suitable in the circumstances. In contrast, the “rare circumstances” terminology is an express direction to tribunals that they should not sit in the shoes of the regulator, or attempt to substitute their own regulatory choices for those of the competent authorities. The “rare circumstances” concept, which was arguably born out of the US exposure to “frivolous claims”,Footnote 94 paves the way for a state to convince a tribunal that a particular measure is a proper exercise of its sovereign power to act in the public interest. The widely accepted position, which is superficially seductive, contains an element of chance in that it is always a gamble as to whether the tribunal will accept a state’s characterization of its own actions.
While tribunals have consistently accepted that states have a sovereign right to use their “police powers”, there is no corresponding uniformity in tribunals’ willingness to declare that their discretion to make a finding of expropriation should be employed sparingly and only in exceptional or “rare circumstances”. On the contrary, tribunals such as the one in Tecmed Footnote 95 have taken pains to make it clear that while “due deference” is owed to the state when defining the issues that affect its public policy or the interests of society as a whole, the tribunal retains the discretion to assess the reasonableness of the state’s action.Footnote 96 Similarly, in ADC Affiliate v. Hungary, the Tribunal affirmed that the state’s inherent power to regulate is not without its limitations, saying, “[i]t is the Tribunal’s understanding of the basic international law principles that while a sovereign State possesses the inherent right to regulate its domestic affairs, the exercise of such right is not unlimited and must have its boundaries”.Footnote 97
The jurisprudence makes it clear that the state’s right to regulate is not a blanket justification to contravene its international obligations towards investors. Where necessary, international tribunals have not been diffident in requiring the state to justify its measures once the claimant has established a deprivation.Footnote 98 For this reason, a strong case can be made that the specific inclusion of the “rare circumstance” exception effectively narrows the scope of the expropriation provision within the treaty, which in turn arguably reduces the investor’s chances of persuading a tribunal that an expropriatory act has occurred. From a practical standpoint, there is therefore utility in expressly indicating to a tribunal that it should be slow to label a deprivative but avowedly “regulatory” measure as an expropriation. This is especially so since tribunals are not bound by any rule of stare decisis and are therefore not obliged to follow any particular jurisprudential trend.
V. Conclusion
The ACIA entered into force on 29 March 2012.Footnote 99 Article 14 of the ACIA proscribes nationalization or expropriation unless such a measure is taken for a public purpose, in a non-discriminatory manner, in accordance with due process of law, and upon payment of prompt, adequate, and effective compensation. While Annex 2 of the ACIA contains language that is broadly similar to paragraph 4(a) of the 6 May 2003 letters on expropriation, there is one crucial distinction. Paragraph 4 of Annex 2 of the ACIA states that: “[n]on-discriminatory measures of a Member State that are designed and applied to protect legitimate public welfare objectives, such as public health, safety and the environment, do not constitute an expropriation of the type referred to in sub-paragraph 2(b).” From the wording of the paragraph, it appears that the Tribunal has absolutely no discretion to make a finding of expropriation as long as the state can establish that its non-discriminatory measure was applied to protect legitimate public welfare objectives. The omission of the “rare circumstances” phraseology at the start of the paragraph arguably renders it more challenging to establish that an indirect expropriation has occurred under the ACIA as compared to the US-Singapore FTA.
Given that a number of Southeast Asian countries were entering into “OECD-style” treaties even in the late 1990s and early 2000s, it is submitted that the repercussions from the evolution of Singapore’s BITs/FTAs apply with equal force in the broader Southeast Asian context. To ensure that the detailed expropriation provisions in later treaties maintain their full effect, care must be taken to ensure that the Most-Favoured-Nation [MFN] provisions in these later treaties (if any) are carefully crafted to exclude reference to expropriation provisions under prior treaties.
