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Comparing ancient inequalities: the challenges of comparability, bias and precision

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 August 2019

Mattia Fochesato
Affiliation:
Dondena Centre, Bocconi University, Via Röntgen 1, 20136 Milan, Italy
Amy Bogaard*
Affiliation:
Institute of Archaeology, University of Oxford, 36 Beaumont Street, Oxford OX1 2PG, UK Behavioral Sciences, Santa Fe Institute, 1399 Hyde Park Road, Santa Fe, NM 87501, USA
Samuel Bowles
Affiliation:
Behavioral Sciences, Santa Fe Institute, 1399 Hyde Park Road, Santa Fe, NM 87501, USA
*
*Author for correspondence (Email: amy.bogaard@arch.ox.ac.uk)
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Abstract

Archaeological evidence provides the only basis for comparative research charting wealth inequality over vast stretches of the human past. But researchers are confronted by a number of problems: small sample sizes; variable indicators of wealth (including individual grave goods, the area of household dwellings or storage spaces); overrepresentation of the wealthy, or invisibility of those without wealth; and vastly different population sizes. Here, the authors develop methods for estimating the Gini coefficient—a measure of wealth inequality—that address these challenges, allowing them to provide a set of 150 comparable estimates of ancient wealth inequality.

Information

Type
Research
Copyright
Copyright © Antiquity Publications Ltd, 2019 
Figure 0

Figure 1. Sample bias and standard error of the Gini coefficients in three large datasets. The (a) and (b) panels, respectively, show the estimated Gini coefficient as a fraction of the true Gini, and the standard errors of the estimated Gini coefficients as a fraction of the true Gini, for Columbia Plateau (red dots), Krummhörn (black dots) and Hohokam (green dots). The x-axis is ratio-scaled (figure by the authors).

Figure 1

Figure 2. Non-parametric regression for sample bias. The estimated Kernel regression (red line) of the ratio of the estimated Gini to the true population Gini (black dots) on the population level. The bandwidth is equal to 5. The confidence intervals (green lines) are also shown, derived as plus and minus twice the standard error (figure by the authors).

Figure 2

Figure 3. Examples of scale effect for Columbia Plateau and Hohokam Culture sites. Panel ‘a’ shows the Gini coefficients and population size for each site of Columbia Plateau in the late prehistoric phase (dots inside the red circle) and the Gini coefficient and population size at the regional level in the same phase. Panel ‘b’ shows the scale effects for each burial site at the Columbia Plateau excavation (black dots) and at the Hohokam excavation (grey dots). Here, the scale effects are the slopes of the line segments at each point, illustrated in ‘a’ by the slope of the line from the lower-level entity to Columbia (figure by the authors).

Figure 3

Figure 4. Scale effect estimated from Columbia Plateau, Hohokam and Finland datasets and kernel regression. The scale effects estimated from the Columbia Plateau (blue dots, n = 18), Hohokam (grey dots, n = 5) and Finland (red dots, n = 59) datasets and the non-parametric relationship between the scale effect and the population level (black line). The confidence intervals (dashed green lines) are also shown, derived as plus and minus twice the standard error (figure by the authors).

Figure 4

Figure 5. Scale adjustment to a common population level. An example of scale adjustment when the actual population is smaller than the benchmark population level (50 households). The example is the adjustment of the Gini coefficient for Neolithic Vaihingen (Germany, sixth millennium BC), where the original Gini was estimated on 11 households. The adjustment works in the same way when the raw Gini was estimated on a population larger than the baseline (figure by the authors).

Figure 5

Figure 6. Comparing the raw and adjusted Gini coefficients. The relationship, for each case, between the raw Gini coefficient (horizontal axis) and the Gini coefficient after all the adjustments (vertical axis). The black dots are the estimates adjusted by population and sample size only, while red, green and blue dots are the estimates that have also been adjusted by, respectively, the missing fraction of zeros, the grave goods or both adjustments (for sources, see the OSM) (figure by the authors).

Figure 6

Figure 7. Wealth inequality from archaeological data. The Gini coefficients in the 150 societies included in the dataset, after the adjustments described in the previous sections (CMV = central Mesa Verde; AB = American Bottom) (for sources, see the OSM) (figure by the authors).

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