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Published online by Cambridge University Press: 16 June 2005
Several months ago, the editors of Perspectives on Politics invited the 12 most recent presidents of the APSA, the current president, and the president-elect to answer the following questions:
What one or two things has the discipline of political science taught us of really lasting political import over roughly the past two decades? What do we now know that we didn't know before, say, 1980 that really matters, whether for scholarship, political action, or policy improvement? Alternatively, what one or two really important questions or issues has political science failed to address or failed to address well? What new knowledge from political science might make a material difference in how we understand the world or how we act in it?
Several months ago, the editors of Perspectives on Politics invited the 12 most recent presidents of the APSA, the current president, and the president-elect to answer the following questions:
What one or two things has the discipline of political science taught us of really lasting political import over roughly the past two decades? What do we now know that we didn't know before, say, 1980 that really matters, whether for scholarship, political action, or policy improvement? Alternatively, what one or two really important questions or issues has political science failed to address or failed to address well? What new knowledge from political science might make a material difference in how we understand the world or how we act in it?
All agreed to participate (albeit with some grumbling about being “too far along in my career to revisit prelim exam questions”), and almost all were able to do so. A few answered a question of their own rather than the ones posed to them; that is to be expected when one tries to herd a set of cats with the powerful intellects and personalities of these individuals. But all took time from their very busy schedules to provide intriguing and illuminating observations about our discipline and the world.
Some of the presidents did indeed point to what we now know. Examples include Robert Keohane's discussion of the move from international to world politics, Arend Lijphart's parsing of the new institutionalism, and Margaret Levi's observations about how to engage in building a democratic state. Others focused on what we need to learn more about. Matthew Holden (along with Charles Jones) points to the dearth of knowledge about the power exercised by chief executives and their administrators; Ira Katznelson focuses on the urgent need to figure out how to translate liberal theory into liberal governance. Robert Putnam, like Kent Jennings, points to the need to study the unsettling and exciting effects of sweeping demographic transformations in many nations.
Finally, a few of the presidents took the opportunity to address additional issues of deep importance, such as Lucius Barker's call for more racial and gendered diversity among political scientists in order to change what the discipline knows and how we teach and transmit our knowledge.
Most, though not all, of these presidents are “bullish on political science,” in Charles Jones' phrase, seeing genuine progress and maybe even cumulation of knowledge. Of course, one might say that they have a vested interest in discerning progress since they have shared the responsibility for stewardship of the profession. But they provide real grounds for their optimism. Jones defends his bullishness, for example, by showing just how “we are better at our craft” and “more sensitive to applying what we find.” Sidney Verba speaks for others in his optimism that apparently competing methodologies, such as rational choice theory and political psychology, can increasingly draw on one another for insights rather than squabble over turf.
Most also call for more attention to the large, messy political issues that will dominate the foreseeable future. Susanne Rudolph illuminates the need for political actors as well as political scientists to learn from the foreign “other;” Robert Jervis calls for a return to debates over American exceptionalism; Elinor Ostrom urges us to study how an array of institutions can encourage, or squelch, individuals' varied preferences and values. And Kent Jennings revealed a flare for drama that I, at least, had never seen; his next publication, rumor has it, will appear off-Broadway.
A note of clarification: these essays have not been reviewed in the usual way. Perhaps more importantly, readers should not take the collected list of “references” as an indication of the books or articles that this set of authors deem to be the most important writings over the past few decades. Some of the essayists identified particular works, which comprise the reference list. Many however, deliberately avoided any particular citations—so the reference list includes only some of the books and articles that are important in these scholars' eyes.
Ira Katznelson is Ruggles Professor of Political Science and History at Columbia University and the president-elect of APSA.
It is less what political science has taught us in the recent past that is most impressive, than how its multifaceted focus on the Western liberal tradition has reopened inquiry to the most vexing, difficult, and important question in political life: how is a decent politics possible in the face of violence, fear, discrimination, and recurring instances of barbarism? After the Second World War, some of our most esteemed colleagues—including Harold Lasswell, Hannah Arendt, and Robert Dahl—created an all too brief moment when political thought, comparative politics, American political studies, international relations, and policy analysis were cross-hatched by this large inquiry, all the while animated by anxiety for the fate of constitutional democracy. Theirs was a search to understand how the Western liberal tradition could become more durable, less credulous, and more realistic in the face of unprecedented violence, radical evil, and entrenched exclusions.
By the mid-1960s, it was clear that this moment had passed. The discipline had become complacent. Its scientific advances, as David Truman warned in his APSA presidential address of 1965, had substituted an increasingly arid rigor for this and other large normative and institutional questions. Truman's critique was echoed even more loudly by that generation of graduate student critics, of which I was one, and a small number of key role models, who rightly critiqued the discipline for its neglect of racism, class, and power in all of its dimensions—and who refused any model of American or Western triumphalism. The period that immediately followed produced many specialized advances and a deepened ability to mine data and build models, but despite the heroic work of such scholars as David Greenstone, Judith Shklar, Aristide Zolberg, and Juan Linz, who kept an anxious quest for decent politics at the front of their sophisticated and careful writing, all the while refusing to confine their scholarship to well-trod paths, overall there was a collective degradation of focus and purpose.
The greatest gain of the past quarter century has been a return to the big issues of how to organize and sustain decent regimes in the face of many varieties of human depredation and challenges to the best legacies of Enlightenment. These interests animate work on democratic transitions, forms of participation, nationalism, the politics of global and local inequalities, and many other rich subjects. But most important, more and more work in the discipline has been probing the characteristics and prospects of the liberal tradition with a renewed joining of positive and normative purpose. Like the best work of the postwar period, this scholarship has reconnected the big issues of political theory to systematic inquiry. There has been an appreciation of the historical and institutional features of the earliest years of political science, but without a return to the complacency that took Western and white superiority for granted while limiting inquiry mainly to issues of public law and the history of ideas.
Especially important has been a focus by students of such pressing concerns as violence, ethnicity, race, and civil war not only on what happens and why, but also on the points of intersection between liberalism's best features of consent, toleration, and rights and its inherent difficulty in grappling coherently with the scope of its membership, with intense rather than superficial pluralism, and with the definition of proper conduct in the pursuit of security at home and abroad. Recent disciplinary trends have put us in a position to revisit more effectively than ever before—on the basis of far more knowledge, a wider repertoire of tools, and a more realistic sense of human capacities—how the combination of states and deep human diversity both threatens and, under some institutional conditions (not all of one kind), can enhance the prospects for a decent politics.
But if this impetus is to be sustained, much more needs to be accomplished. The powerful insights of critical theorists who have reminded us that for all that consent, toleration, and rights have liberated human potential, Western liberalism has also abided racially grounded slavery and colonial rule, religious bigotry, the subjugation of women, military conquest, and alliances with very ugly regimes must be brought to bear in a far more subtle way on our empirical inquiries than various dichotomies that too contentedly distinguish “us” from “them.” Studies of such key liberal subjects as the character and practice of political representation must attend more closely to the underside of the liberal experience. The relative absence of studies that highlight the often decisive role played by the slave and Jim Crow South in shaping American political development, as compared, say, to work on bureaucracies and state building has produced a far too sanitized version of the liberal tradition.
But in the United States, as elsewhere, no decent future is on offer without a more capable, more grounded, more open version of this set of ideas and institutions. So we might take heart from the manifest gains our discipline has been making in holding this tradition up to multiple types of systematic inquiry, and in starting to lower the barriers that divide political theory from empirical scholarship. As a result, political science, finally, is approaching the chance to realize its best long-standing feature as an organized discipline under the umbrella of the American Political Science Association: the wish to critically probe, assess, and advance political liberalism.
Margaret Levi is Jere L. Bacharach Professor of International Studies in the Department of Political Science, University of Washington, Seattle, and the current president of APSA.
The recent elections in Iraq and Afghanistan and the on again–off again resolution of several major conflicts in Africa seem to confirm to the Bush administration that its approach to state-building is feasible. I wish I could share its optimism, but I cannot. All we know from social science and from history suggests that Iraq, Afghanistan, the Sudan, and many other countries in the world have a long and difficult process in front of them with no certainty that they can succeed.
Nor can policy makers turn to social scientists for recipes for success, despite the numerous theories of the state.1
For a review of the literature, see Levi 2002.
We now know that modernization theory and other grand evolutionary typologies may help us categorize countries and eras (and I even wonder about that),2
Barbara Geddes (2003) characterizes most efforts as having the quality of sand castles.
See Moore 1966; Anderson 1974a; Anderson 1974b; Wallerstein 1974; Skocpol 1979; Aston and Philpin 1987.
See Weber 1968.
From historians and area experts, we have the detailed knowledge of cases essential for in-depth understanding of key processes and comparisons across time and place. From economists, political economists, and formal theorists—most importantly Mancur Olson, Michael Taylor, Robert Axelrod, and Elinor Ostrom7
See, for example, Olson 1965; Taylor 1987; Axelrod 1984; Ostrom 1998.
See, for example, Tilly 1975; Tilly 1990; North 1981; North 1990.
The World Bank sponsors the project “The Economics of Civil War, Crime, and Violence” (http://econ.worldbank.org/programs/conflict/). One of its most interesting products is the report produced by Collier et al. 2003. The University of Maryland houses the State Failure Task Force (http://www.cidcm.umd.edu/inscr/stfail/). There are also projects associated with the Carnegie Foundation for International Peace and the International Research Institute Organization PRIO in Oslo.
We now have some confidence about necessary preconditions for state formation and democracy.11
Erik Wibbels captures this claim succinctly and eloquently in a recent Seattle Times op-ed piece (August 2, 2004).
The recent line of this argument begins with North 1981 and North 1990, but see Helmke and Levitsky 2004 for an elaboration of how the literature has developed.
We have understood since Adam Smith that the “wealth of nations” depends on well-functioning markets. We have much more recently acknowledged that well-functioning markets require stable government. But government does not just happen, even when there are well-designed constitutions and especially when there are not. We think of France as a highly centralized state, but it was not easy to make it so. Forging a national identity required the conquest of provinces and their lords. Gaining compliance with laws required the loss of lives, including those of tax collectors, census takers, and draft registrars. Britain and the United States might now have nearly zero levels of official corruption, but that took centuries to achieve. How France centralized, how Britain and the United States eradicated most government corruption, and how all three gained relatively high compliance with their laws offers lessons for countries tying to build states today. It is not a question of following a particular grand path, but of learning how to solve specific problems.
When we turn to the contemporary world, the same question that plagued historical states infects today's: how to ensure that government has sufficient power to tax and provide security while inhibiting government from predation on the population it is supposed to be serving. Mancur Olson framed the issue as transforming “roving bandits” into “stationary bandits,”13
but banditry is not the only possibility here. This is the lesson of research, including mine,14Levi 1988; Levi 1997. See also Barzel 2001; Kiser and Barzel 1991.
Another issue must be resolved if states are to be strengthened or rebuilt. We are ever more conscious that well-ordered institutions and the bases for cooperation require small steps that allow people to learn what institutions and which people are reliable and in what settings. Individuals can then take increasing risks and broaden the range of those with whom they can productively interact. However, there are also real dangers that tight local networks, effective bilateral exchanges, or even some of the more sophisticated and long-distance multilateral arrangements can become more constraint on than facilitator of widespread cooperation.16
See, for example, Cook, Hardin, and Levi 2005
See Cook, Hardin, and Levi 2005, chap. 9. See also Luong Jones 2002; Posner 2004; Rodden (forthcoming); Varshney 2002; Wilkinson 2004; and Wibbels's op-ed piece cited above (n. 11).
We know quite a lot about how to govern communities, and we are learning why states fail. The next step is to figure out how to prevent them from failing and how to rebuild them if they do. Yet, even this grand task is not enough. We should no longer be satisfied with the Hobbesian solution, a state that provides only security. Our goal is not social order alone but an equitable, just, and democratic government that elicits from its citizens willing compliance and, better yet, contingent consent.
Susanne Hoeber Rudolph (president 2003–4) is William Benton Distinguished Service Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago.
The first part of Jennifer Hochschild's question is easier to answer than the second. Most important questions in politics have previously attracted the attention of scholars. Knowledge about such questions is only marginally cumulative. But big questions, dressed in new vocabularies and subjected to new methodologies, are repositioned and reenergized in relation to historical forces in their time. The answers to such questions produce new insights and meanings for the generations affected—insights and meanings that allow humans to understand and perhaps shape their lives.
Over the last decade or so, political scientists have done a good job analyzing the causes and, to a lesser extent, the consequences of multiculturalism and ethnic conflict in developed and developing societies. On the theoretical side, there is the literature of identity politics; on the empirical side, there is a cornucopia of empirical analytical studies. Political scientists have addressed headscarves in France, racism in America, and religious conflict in India. Identity politics is one of the two fields—the study of civil society is the other—that have truly global purviews and comparative capabilities. The study of identity politics has not yielded definitive formulas for how to live more peacefully with difference—but it has proposed causes and interventions in ways that have promoted human rights.
Political scientists have transformed the fertile insights of Alexis de Toqueville into a transnational industry that explores the relationship of “civil society” to democracy. Civil society is one of the few concepts that has traveled widely between east and west, north and south, developed and developing. The collapse of states in Eastern Europe and the challenge that collapse has posed for transitions to democratic states and market economies helped inaugurate the study of civil society by highlighting its importance for both transitions. Forty years ago, David Truman's optimistic view of interest group pluralism, The Governmental Process, was challenged by Mancur Olson's darker view in The Logic of Collective Action.18
Rather than producing equilibria that reflected the public interest, interest group pluralism led to free riders and vested interests that blocked innovation and change. Similarly, darker views of uncivil society have followed on optimistic estimates of civil society. Decline in the capacity of states to monopolize the use of force and the increasing capacity of uncivil society to use violence have tempered but not quashed the early liberal optimism about the ability of individuals to create the conditions for the pursuit of life, liberty, and happiness.Turning to what political scientists should know but don't, I am chagrined by the parochialism of American political science at an historical moment when the ability to know and relate to the “other” hugely affects America's standing and security in the world. The lines that divide and isolate subfields foster such parochialism. Those who study American politics find refuge from the worlds of the other by invoking American exceptionalism or American universalism. Political scientists' parochialism also arises from comparativists' tendency to observe restrictive boundaries for their investigations. European countries and America are rarely compared to Asia, Africa, and Latin America countries; when they are, the initiator of the comparison is likely to be a student of the non-Western other. And why are the APSA-organized sections for comparative politics divided into the “Comparative Politics of Europe” and “Comparative Politics of Developing Countries”?
Scholars oriented toward Europe and the United States have resisted applying to Western polities the lessons taught by the history and political institutions and practices found in countries east of the Bosperous. Why, for example, in the study of federalism, are only the United States and the white commonwealth countries featured and not India or Malaysia? Federalism, after all, is a way of dividing and sharing sovereignty and of managing diversity that seems to transcend the Western–non-West divide.
Despite a decade of constructivism, too few political scientists seem to grasp that the other with whom international relations and comparative politics deal is not objectively constituted and unchanging. An ahistorical and apolitical sociology of knowledge that invokes “ancient hatreds” and “primordial” differences continues to drive theories about the clash of civilizations. Essentializing the other may be the residue of a lingering positivism committed to an unchanging objective truth. It seems to me that political science has been slower than other social sciences to grasp that the other is constructed, the product of an often asymmetric interactive process. Is he a “terrorist” or “a freedom fighter”? Is she a “fundamentalist” or a “person with values”? How the other is constructed or perceived affects how “we” relate to “them.”
I'll conclude with a thought about what political scientists may be coming to know or are perhaps relearning. One consequence of the increased use of formal and quantitative reasoning has been a decline of a historically informed political science. Today's pervasive presentism privileges the synchronic explanations of quantitative and formal reasoning over the diachronic explanations of historical narrative. There are, however, some signs of the return of history. History comes in more or less empiricist forms depending on the degree to which it relies on interpretation or causal explanation. Even some modelers use history, usually by converting its chronological form of causal reasoning into synchronic forms.
Recently, chronological forms of explanation have been reintroduced into political science by the new institutionalism's reliance on path dependence as a form of explanation. Path dependence has reminted an older Weberian metaphor—that history reloads the dice in the direction of the first throw. Clothed as a scientific trope, path dependency seems to have provided a way for history to return to the theory and practice of political science.
Robert D. Putnam (president, 2001–2) is the Malkin Professor of Public Policy at Harvard and is currently working on the effects of work, diversity, religion, and technology on community in America. The author thanks Jennifer Hochschild and Meg Elizabeth Rithmire for their special contributions to this essay.
Major advances in political science have often come from puzzling about the causes and consequences of major events in the real world and seeking answers to questions that our fellow citizens could readily understand.19
I often term these “mother-in-law” questions in honor of my late mother-in-law, Zelda Woloch Werner, who was very smart and very interested in politics, but had little patience with academic political science.
In the subfield of comparative politics, the lion's share of innovative scholarship from the 1930s until the mid-1960s was driven by a simple looming question: “Why Hitler?” Various answers triggered the development of new lines of research that led far beyond that original question. Explanations centering on German national character led to important work on the meaning and role of political culture.20
Explanations centering on the role of the political institutions of Weimar, Germany, especially its proportional representation (PR) electoral system, stimulated new work on how formal electoral rules affect politics.21 Answers looking at party polarization brought about path-breaking research on party systems and political sociology, more generally.22The subfield of international relations followed the same dynamic. Much of the best political science research from the 1920s to the 1960s was driven by the simple question: “Why World War I?” In 1959 Kenneth Waltz's Man, the State, and War synthesized three kinds of explanations that had been offered over those four decades: international systems, domestic politics, and psychological phenomena (“war begins in the mind of man”).23
The first explanation—international systemic patterns—led to endless but fruitful debates between neo-realists and neo-liberals. The second—domestic politics—gave birth to a still growing literature on the interpenetration of domestic and international politics. The development of prospect theory may be a partial delayed reaction to the third, psychological, explanation.24For prospect theory, see Kahneman and Tversky 2000.
Scholarship in political science again grew out of a few mother-in-law questions in later decades. Much of the research in international politics from 1945 to 2000 was driven by the simple question: “How will nuclear weapons change world politics?” Like our fellow citizens, political scientists debated whether the existence of nuclear weapons might transform the rules of the game entirely. It was through this doorway that game theory, now a commonplace for most fields of political science, first entered the discipline. Thomas Schelling's work, for instance, introduced deterrence and game theory as new analytical frameworks for old political concerns.25
Scholars of comparative politics in the period from 1950 to 2000 fruitfully explored another simple question that emerged from real-world concerns: “How will decolonization affect the ‘new nations’?” This question generated first modernization theory, and then the reactions to that theory, ranging from Samuel Huntington's Political Order in Changing Societies to dependency theory.26
Huntington 1968. See Lipset 1960 on modernization.
To be sure, methodological innovations and borrowing from sister disciplines have also been very important goads to progress, particularly in American politics. Scientific public opinion surveys, which emerged from wartime surveying by the Department of Agriculture and from commercial polling, became the proverbial hammer that encouraged political science to see every theoretical hypothesis as a behavioral nail. Microeconomic modeling and the tools of economics encouraged rigorous formalization of research on politics.
But even in American politics, more influenced by methodological innovation and interdisciplinary borrowing than any other subfield, one can find examples of real-world events giving rise to torrents of scholarship and, eventually, scientific progress. The civil rights movement and, in counterpoint, the urban racial disturbances of the 1960s, as well as the antiwar movement, stimulated much scholarship on social movements and mobilization, identity politics, and race/ethnic relations. In this case, as in the others I have cited, the scientific implications of the work swelled far beyond an answer to the initial puzzle, but the puzzle provided a powerful focus for our scientific work.
The implication of these examples is that simple questions about major real-world events have driven great research. Worrying about the same “big” issues as our fellow citizens is not a distraction from our best professional work, but often a goad to it.
Looking forward, what major issues and lay questions might trigger similarly productive theoretical debates? I offer two brief illustrations of questions being asked in local cafés and at water coolers that political scientists could profitably explore.
First, “Why Osama and al-Qaeda?” Some pundits and government officials have framed this as a question about a particular personality or sect. However, just as our discipline productively reframed “Why Hitler?” as a systemic question bearing on political sociology and institutions, so too the issue here is why a remote, medieval theological sect has gained great influence in the politics of so many countries. Many alternative answers suggest themselves to a nonexpert: no Reformation challenged religious orthodoxy in the Islamic world; rentier monarchies with vast underclasses stall social mobility; Arab-Israeli ethnic strife has radicalized many; the Disneyfication of world culture breeds distaste and resentment; and many more. The trick for social scientists (if we are to be as creative as our predecessors were) will be to frame these ideas and explanations in broader theoretical terms and to then test them rigorously.
Second, “How will the new immigration and the rapid increase in ethnic diversity affect society?” The most certain prediction that can be made about any advanced country is that it will be more ethnically diverse a generation from now, because of both migration and differential fertility. The United States is in the midst of another one of the “great waves” of immigration that have periodically brought turbulence and change to our politics. Answering “so what?” about this transformation will be scientifically challenging, because of the ways in which endogeneity and simultaneity occlude causal arguments, because of the need for complicated, multifaceted methodologies to understand the many sides of immigration, and so forth. The task will be further complicated by political sensitivities. It will be hard to frame and test hypotheses about immigration and diversity without appearing to take morally complicated stances on exquisitely political issues. Nevertheless, issues of immigration and diversity are sufficiently rich that in exploring them, I suspect, we will find ourselves developing new conceptual and methodological tools of far-reaching importance.
Immigration, like Islamic fundamentalist terrorism, has generated heated policy debate and public attention, but so far (despite the best efforts of a few talented colleagues) too little serious scholarly debate that would confront alternative theories with evidence. Puzzling over big issues like these on the minds of our fellow citizens (and mothers-in-law) could move our discipline forward, as it has in the past.
Robert Jervis (president, 2000–2001) is Adlai E. Stevenson Professor of International Affairs at Columbia University.
When I walk home in the evening I pass a statue of J. Marion Sims, a leading nineteenth-century surgeon who pioneered many techniques believed to have been lifesaving. Today he is reviled as a racist, misogynist butcher. Whoever is right, it is a chastening reminder that accomplishments come and go.
Nevertheless, I do think political science has learned a very important thing over the past 25 years: lasting peace among nations is possible. More specifically, the leading powers of the world, which traditionally were the generators of conflict and mass slaughter throughout history, now appear to be irreversibly committed to settling their differences without resort to arms. Furthermore, unlike the case of the cold war, in which peace was preserved in large part through the threat of war, war among these states now is unthinkable, leading to the formation of what Karl Deutsch called a security community.27
I thought this was so important that I made it the subject of my APSA presidential address (2002), and I hope made it clear there that I was drawing on the work of a large number of scholars who have reached this conclusion from quite different perspectives. Of course there is room for debate. Some of the supporting arguments contradict one other, all are subject to rebuttals, and the empirical evidence heavily relies on only 15 years of post–cold war history. Indeed, perhaps the main credit for this idea goes not to any of us as scholars, but to the brute fact that the United States, Western Europe, and Japan seem clearly able to resolve their disputes peacefully, and it is hard to see any problems that war among them could conceivably solve.Although explanations for this phenomenon vary, and realist, liberal, Marxist, and constructivist accounts can be adduced, more important is the basic point that the leading powers do form a security community. This undermines theories that claim that war is inevitable due to unchanging factors like anarchy, unruly domestic politics, or human nature. Furthermore, there is at least some reason to believe that war is becoming much less common in the rest of the world.28
There may then be real progress in international politics.29 Professional hubris might lead us to claim that one reason for the decline of war is the progress in academic research on war and peace—a claim that might be sustained as long as we do not argue that it is more than a contributing factor.But the news is not all good. Let me mention two areas we should know much more about than we do. One is what I will call world politics as “Rashomon,” for the well-known Japanese short story and movie that shows the same incident through the eyes of the different participants. When primary sources allow us to look at a diplomatic interaction from the perspective of both sides, we almost always find that each sees the world very differently from the other and fails to understand this. Indeed, reading the memoranda of conversations written by two diplomats reporting their interview sometimes leads me to wonder if they were in the same room. In general, each side overestimates the extent of common knowledge, believes that the other understands a great deal about it, and is unable to imagine the other's actual perspective. This not only complicates the lives of national leaders, but makes theorizing very difficult. So it is perhaps not surprising that we have not made much progress in analyzing these interactions.
A second area in which we know much too little is more controversial. I think that for all the marvelous and detailed studies of many aspects of American politics, our understanding of the classic question of “American exceptionalism” is still limited. I believe that American politics and society is different from what we see in other advanced industrial countries (this is not to argue that they all closely resemble one another, merely that the United States is an outlier). The United States is more individualistic, religious, and conservative than its peers. We have lots of possible explanations for this, some fragmentary and others more global, but partly because the question is so large, the scholarly community has shied away from it. I personally believe that for all the criticisms, there is much to be said for Louis Hartz's claims for the lasting impact of the dominant role of a “liberal fragment” in founding the country.30
Hartz 1955; Hartz 1964. See also Huntington 2004. For a review of the literature, see Abbott 2005.
An intriguing complication is that our explanations here may of necessity be strongly influenced by our own policy preferences. The political science profession is dominated by liberal Democrats, which means that most of us feel that the country is harmed by the conservative tendencies that are so powerful now and have operated throughout most of American history. Our preferences may drive us toward explanations involving forms of false consciousness because it is otherwise hard to explain why so many of our compatriots act against what we believe to be their own interests.32
For a popular discussion, see Frank 2004.
Robert O. Keohane (president, 1999–2000) is professor of international affairs at the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University. I am grateful for comments on an earlier version to Michael Doyle, James Fearon, John Ikenberry, Peter Katzenstein, Nannerl Keohane, Helen Milner, Andrew Moravcsik, Joseph Nye Jr., John Ruggie, Beth Simmons, Anne-Marie Slaughter, and Ngaire Woods. I have deliberately avoided mentioning names of scholars for work done after 1980, since to name any individual would be to slight others who made significant contributions.
My marker for what we knew about international relations in 1980 is provided by Kenneth Waltz's masterful synthesis of structural realist theory, Theory of International Politics, published in 1979. The field is now more aware than it was 25 years ago of aspects of world politics that Waltz downplayed or ignored, including the roles played by nonstate actors and the ways that international regimes establish rules and practices that shape state behavior. I will emphasize, however, two more fundamental changes in our understanding: (1) the role of information and beliefs in world politics; and (2) the phenomenon of the “democratic peace.” The broad implication of these advances in knowledge is to transform the field from “international politics” to “world politics.”
Variations in information and beliefs did not play a major role in structural realist theory, although in the 1970s Robert Jervis had already done pioneering work on the role of perceptions and uncertainty in world politics.33
In realist models, states formulate policies based on their interests and their understanding of the geopolitical environment, including, of course, the anticipated actions of other states. Outcomes reflect these interests, weighted by power and, in sophisticated theories, by the intensity of preferences. In some of the cruder theories, power was conceptualized in purely materialist terms, although this was not the case for classic realists such as Hans J. Morgenthau.34 Whatever the exact conceptualizations of power and interests (both contested terms), the process by which they led to outcomes was conceived of in a rather mechanical and frequently deterministic way.Game theory taught us—as only became clear in the international relations literature in the 1980s and early 1990s—that deterministic theories of interaction could not succeed. Outcomes depend not only on power and interests but on the information available to the players: what they know about others' types, what they know about what others know about their own types, and so on, ad infinitum. Just as there is no unique solution to children's games such as “scissors, rock, paper,” there is no unique solution even to relatively simple interactions among states. Furthermore, credibility and commitment are crucial to understanding political strategy and the role of institutions, which means that beliefs (and interpretation) are central to politics.
The second big thing that students of world politics know now that they did not know in 1980 is that whether a pair of states is democratic, rather than both autocratic or of different types, has an enormous impact on their propensity to fight. Stable democracies fight other states and unstable democracies may fight each other. However, stable democracies do not fight one another except when virtually forced (for example, Finland during World War II) to do so. This “democratic peace” proposition is stylized and is not fully explained, but it is highly robust. We are also learning more about how democracies, or states governed by the rule of law, behave differently on issues other than war and peace, and within multilateral institutions. Our growing knowledge of this “democratic difference” renders untenable the realist view—almost unchallenged in 1980—that only interests and power matter, not regime type.
These contributions require substantial refinement. Constructivists, psychologists, and cognitive scientists are enriching our concepts of information and information processing. The best students of democracy analyze it as a practice that varies contextually, not as a stylized fact. As refinement of these advances continues, we need to address a related question that is of crucial policy import. Under what conditions can democracy in a given society be successfully promoted by advocacy networks, nongovernmental organizations, and states outside the society itself?
During the last twenty-five years, enormous effort has been devoted to promoting democracy around the world. The means by which such external democratizing has proceeded can be divided into seven categories:
Controversy now rages about how ardently the United States should promote democracy, even when this objective comes into conflict with other interests. Behind these debates lie deep disagreements about both theoretical and empirical issues. Political science is already beginning to provide answers to some of these questions, but we need to do much more. In the process, the field of international politics will be transformed. It has already become more than interstate politics, since nonstate actors are so important today. Over the next decade, it will increasingly merge with the field of comparative politics, to become the field of world politics.
In this new world politics, zones of interstate conflict are likely to remain. Sovereignty will not disappear, and in Latin America and Asia it may even, for a time, be strengthened. Analysis of interdependence and interaction will require sensitivity to regional differences and complexity, as well as to nuances of information and institutional incentives. Yet the subject of our study will be less individual states and their policies than governance at various levels, from town meeting to institutions with a global scope. Sovereignty will be increasingly disaggregated by function; that is, the ability to make binding rules will be dispersed—devolved downward, spun off to transgovernmental networks or quasi-governmental entities, delegated to authoritative multilateral organizations that supersede traditional governments in failed states, or pooled and institutionalized to cover larger geographical areas. These arrangements will vary in their effectiveness in performing various tasks, in their legitimacy with different audiences, and in the degree to which they are accountable, democratically or in other acceptable ways. Understanding the impact of external agency on democracy within traditional national societies will be only a first step toward understanding democratic, quasi-democratic and nondemocratic governance in world politics.
Matthew Holden Jr. (president, 1998–99) is Henry L. and Grace M. Doherty Professor Emeritus of Politics at the University of Virginia.
“Where are there high-priority intellectual opportunities?” Norton Long's principle that power is the life blood of administration is my guide. Of power, he says, “Its attainment, cultivation, maintenance, increase, dissipation and loss are subjects the practitioner and the student can ill afford to neglect.”36
Long 1962, 50.
The controversy (in the first quarter of 2005) about the nomination and confirmation of Alberto Gonzales as attorney general of the United States is a case in point. The topical part of the controversy will pass. What will not pass is the need for the president, attorney general, and Department of Justice to attain, cultivate, and maintain power through the system of law. Nor will the dissipation and loss of power pass. Our high-priority intellectual opportunity lies in the fact that knowledge of the executive role in law is so ill-developed.
We now know much about courts, but there is a tremendous knowledge gap concerning the initiation of action under the color of law and also the withholding from initiation. Of course, only a small proportion of what is initiated ever gets into the courts.37
Friedrich 1950; Goodnow 1905, 411–17; Moley 1929; Wallace 1930, 347–58.
My colleague David M. O'Brien advised me informally (February 2005) that he and others at the Supreme Court, being familiar with the phrase, have discussed, but not resolved, who used it first.
New polities are subject to deadly battles among the elites. The fight between President Thomas Jefferson and Vice President Aaron Burr is best understood this way. When Burr, the number two, was barely two years out of office, he was tried on a charge of treason. The initiator was the president. The attorney general traveled all night to see that Burr was charged.39
Malone 1974, 296.
Lomask 1982, 234.
My second case involves the president's intervention in defense of the government's proslavery policy. In 1851 certain slaves escaped from a Maryland slaveholder. They relocated in Pennsylvania,41
Katz 1974, 102–3.
Katz 1974, 163.
Katz 1974, 163–234. See also Trefousse 1997, 85.
My third case involves the national tumult over the rise of organized crime during Prohibition. In the late 1920s the federal prosecution of Al Capone on income tax charges was motivated perhaps by many factors. One was the attitude of President Hoover, who told his treasury secretary, “I want that man in jail.”44
Bergreen 1994, 322.
The three cases illustrate that there is probably no more powerful vehicle of power than executive initiative in law. The presidency and his (or, sometime soon, her) attorney general, and those acting as his or her subordinates, can take severe actions. Persons (individual or corporate) may be deprived of reputation or of money. Human beings can be deprived of their freedom. Convicted persons may lose their lives. All this is at the end of some administrative sequence. When the chief executive is highly motivated, the attorney general and the department will act to initiate that sequence.
There is profound opportunity for obfuscation. Beyond, or beneath, the highest-level officials are subordinates, some of whom we call “the bureaucracy”—an institution that leads us to consider forms of action, one of which, significantly, is “the investigation.” Some kind of investigation precedes what comes into federal court. However, much that is investigated never sees the light of day. Many decisions not to investigate also never see the light of day. Because these matters have not been scrutinized by scholars, the world outside government itself has almost no idea who gets investigated—or when, how, and why they do. The public has no idea of the underlying pattern, the reasons for it, or the results from it. What investigations should never have been started? What should have been started earlier? What investigations are so crucial that they are secret and should remain so?
This takes us back to Norton Long, who, like his mentor Carl J. Friedrich, was persistently concerned with official responsibility. The question of executive initiation, notably of investigation, goes to the core of the idea of the rule of law and the inevitable tension with the necessity of executives' cultivation of power.
New knowledge of connections between administration as power cultivation and executive initiative in law is urgently needed. It must grow from a new combination of existing talents and a new state of mind. The presidency, public administration, public law, and public opinion, and sometimes politics-and-history all are relevant. Edward S. Corwin gave up diplomatic history and created the new field of study of the Supreme Court and the Constitution. There may be, waiting in the library or the computer lab, some young person who will be the new Corwin to meet the new challenge beyond the cult of the robe. The need for better knowledge is not confined to political scientists alone. This is a need shared by lawyers, other social scientists, and those in the world of journalism who serve as channels to the common culture.
M. Kent Jennings (president, 1997–98) is professor of political science at University of California, Santa Barbara, and professor emeritus, University of Michigan.
Overheard through thin office walls. An enterprising political science student (Student) interviews a political science professor (Professor).
Student: As I said on the phone, I'm doing a term paper on the state of political science, using interviews with a sample of professors as my main source. I'd like you to tell me some of the accomplishments and failures of the discipline over the last 15 to 20 years.
Professor: Do you mean in my field or in general?
Student: Just however you want to define it.
(Listener thinks: “This student must have taken our methods course.”)
Professor: Well, I'd better stick to a couple of areas, say, public opinion and political participation, mainly on the American side.
Student: Alright.
Professor: Let's start with the good news about political participation in the general public. Most importantly, we've gone way beyond a standard political resource model. We know a lot more about the avenues by which people come to participate, when and how participation skills and interests develop, the connections between political and nonpolitical activities, the rewards of participation, and the issue biases associated with different types and levels of participation. We also rediscovered political mobilization and how important it is in determining participation, what kinds of organizations are involved, the strategies they use, and …
Student: Excuse me for interrupting, Professor, but hasn't there been a decline in participation during this period?
Professor: Good question. There's healthy controversy about that and whether some new forms of participation—especially via the Internet—are replacing older modes. We've also looked at how changing life styles, demographics, and the seeming decline of social capital have affected participation.
Student: Well, that sounds pretty impressive. Does that mean the discipline covered all the important participation bases?
Professor: Don't I wish. People usually participate because of how they feel about some issue, but issues as such don't figure very large in our explanatory models. If issues are motivators, we should be paying more attention to what kinds of issues stimulate what kinds of people.
Student: Hmmm. Does this also mean that political scientists haven't paid much attention to activists in particular issues?
Professor: Yep. These people are the cogwheels of issue activism. Yet there are very few studies of domain-specific issue activists, their composition, how they're recruited, their motives, what they actually do, and their movement from issue to issue.
Student: Sounds like you're getting pretty close to what my sociology professor called social movements? Weren't political scientists looking at these movements?
Professor: You would think so, wouldn't you? Strangely enough, we have largely left the study of social movements, big and small, to other disciplines. Most of these movements have evolved into, or originated from, political action. They have had enormous impact on the politics of this country as well as others. But most of the theories and findings in this area come from other disciplines.
Student: Well, I guess each discipline has its own agenda. I think you mentioned the public opinion area also.
Professor: Yes, if anything I think our innovations in public opinion were greater than in participation. I'll mention one in particular. As you probably know, much of our knowledge about public opinion comes from survey research. Theoretical and methodological breakthroughs regarding the psychology of survey responses helped resolve some longstanding issues about the meaning and use of survey responses, including the controversy about non-attitudes. A key aspect of these developments was the unparalleled use by political scientists of experiments out in the “real world” and in the laboratory.
Student: So were you able to communicate those findings to a general public that's always hearing about the latest polls?
Professor: That's a tough sell, unfortunately.
Student: What would you say was a big oversight during this period?
Professor: I have to go a little beyond public opinion as such on this one. Since the end of the Vietnam War millions of immigrants from all over the world have come to this country. This influx represented the best opportunity to study the reaction to and impact of newcomers since the great immigration waves around the turn of the twentieth century.
Student: I can see why some other disciplines might be interested in that, but why political science?
Professor: I think it would have revealed a lot about the basic political values and norms of the American public and the nature of our institutional responses. Resettling in a new country has inherent political components, including such diverse topics as regulations about who may enter, citizenship criteria, tolerance on the part of the hosts, and the acquisition of political norms on the part of the newcomers.
Student: As you said, though, there are all kinds of immigrants, so …
Professor: Exactly. We would have been interested in such matters as country of origin, reasons for immigrating, perceptions of treatment by others and by government agencies, knowledge attainment, the desire for citizenship, and how they organized themselves politically.
Student: And what about how the country responded?
Professor: Sure, we could have looked at such topics as the content of media coverage, opinions and behaviors by the general public, leadership cues, actions by the relevant government agencies, and what impact the newcomers had on the workings of the political system.
Student: I have to go to my next class now. Thanks for your time, Professor. Overall, you seemed to talk more about the downside than the upside. Does that mean you don't feel that the discipline did very well during this time?
Professor: No, not at all! It just means our really good work inspires more ideas about what could have been, and what might yet be … By the way, could I see your paper when you're finished?
(Listener thinks: “I bet you want to see how you compare with the other professors.”)
Elinor Ostrom (president, 1996–97) is Arthur F. Bentley Professor of Political Science at Indiana University–Bloomington.
The last half century of theoretical and empirical research in political science has witnessed immense intellectual turmoil over the appropriate foundations for our discipline and for policy advice based on our discipline. In the 1950s political scientists studied how executive, legislative, and judicial structures were organized at national, state, and local levels and the role that various positions in these structures held. Every student of political science in the United States would have studied “how a bill becomes a law” at least five times during their schooling. Graduate students studying public administration were taught core “principles of administration,” which stressed the importance of strong bureaucratic control in the governance of modern democracies. Those studying comparative government would have learned the names and political orientations of core parties and how to compare the structure of upper and lower houses in major European countries, some Latin American countries, and perhaps a few in Asia. Africa was still the dark continent for most American political scientists—at least until the Peace Corps had returned many future political scientists, and African Studies programs were initiated in several major universities. Political theorists would have studied the lives, loves, and miscellaneous thoughts of diverse political philosophers.
Many challenges have led us to develop substantially since the turn of the last century. The first challenge to the traditional study of political science came from “the behavioral revolution,” which stressed the importance of studying the real behavior of legislators, executives, judges, and citizens rather than their idealized roles. Immediately after World War II, survey research blossomed and substantially enriched our understanding of observed political behavior. This era was also one of turmoil resulting from the strong advocacy of different “ideal systems” struggling to convince others that there was “one best way” to design all systems. Some political scientists tended to view the world through the dichotomized lenses of Marxism versus capitalism.
The 1960s brought still further challenge to the discipline of political science. Economists interested in political phenomena challenged not only the implicit conceptual model that political scientists used and the results of the behavioral movement, but the notion that order stemmed only from central direction. The early research testing these theories in metropolitan areas, in legislatures around the world, and in analyzing the bargaining between executives and legislatures provided considerable empirical evidence for the new political economy or public choice approach. Considerable research on local public economies and federal systems demonstrated that social order could emerge from polycentric systems and did not need to be imposed by a centralized system.
One of the healthiest aspects of this challenge was a new commitment to the use of theory in the design of research and real cumulative growth in our work. Instead of studying diverse voting, legislative, bureaucratic rules so as to memorize the interesting structural differences and ponder a bit about them, political scientists began to study institutions from the perspective of rational actors, who made calculated choices of how they could maximize their own utility.
In the 1980s a new research method—experimental studies in the laboratory—came into use in both economics and political science to complement the use of voting records, survey research, and qualitative analysis. For economists, the evidence from the laboratory was highly consistent with predictions about outcomes in competitive market settings for private goods. As scholars began to design experiments to study the provision of public goods, the use of common-pool resources, bargaining, and the extension of trust, however, evidence in many settings challenged the assumptions that individuals behave in all settings as if they were short-run, own-utility maximizers. In many experimental designs, individuals do contribute to public goods, do restrict their use of a resource, do make fair offers, and do trust one another. Findings from experiments conducted on major U.S. campuses were repeatedly replicated by scholars in many countries. Experiments conducted in Asia, Latin America, and Africa offered payoffs that averaged several months of local wages rather than the several hours of work normally offered on U.S. and European college campuses. Increasing the size of the payoffs did not change the basic findings. This evidence has generated another period of turmoil, as scholars have tried to understand why predictions derived from the theory of individual rational behavior are supported in some settings and not in others.
When the Berlin Wall fell in Germany and the former Soviet Union disintegrated, Marxism was shown to be a failed design. Instead of achieving the liberation of mankind, it contributed to the tragic subjection of major populations. Unfortunately, this has led some policy analysts to presume that imposing a market order is “the” solution. They did not recognize the extensive institutional infrastructure needed to support a vibrant market economy and political system that facilitates solving public problems at multiple levels in diverse ways dependent on local ecologies, cultures, and institutions. Thus some of the efforts at simple reforms of the 1990s have also failed to achieve their ambitious goals, and some have even been counterproductive. Additionally, the oversimplified view of how one creates the conditions needed for the development of a vibrant political economic system haunts us today as we witness the tragedy in Iraq.
Currently, we are more open to exploring diverse theories and their policy implications than at earlier times. Exciting developments in multiple fields—including evolutionary theory—are opening up our discipline to an opportunity for more rapid theoretical and empirical advances and a new synthesis. The synthesis involves several assumptions:
Instead of presuming that effective political orders require a single type of governance structure, theory and empirical research is opening the possibility of thinking of complex designs that enhance innovation and learning as well as creating incentives better tailored to helping people solve public problems in different environments. While a new synthesis has not fully been achieved, this is an exciting time to be a social scientist engaged in a much broader search for a core theory that relates the structure of institutions to the assumptions made about individual preferences, information, and strategies. Thus in the first decade of this millennium we have a real opportunity to build a science that is more complex than either simple descriptions of political structures or simple assumptions of narrow rationality.
Arend Lijphart (president, 1995–96) is research professor emeritus at the University of California San Diego.
What has political science taught us of really lasting import since about 1980? I believe that there has been great progress across the board, but I do not feel qualified to comment on fields of specialization other than my own field of comparative politics.
With this proviso, let me propose a big reason for satisfaction and pride, but also disappointment. The former is the success of the “new institutionalism”; the latter is the limited practical use that has so far been made of this new scholarship. I include in the term “new institutionalism” the two strands of deductive rational-choice and inductive-empirical research and theory. What unites them, and divides them from the old institutionalism, is their commitment to systematic research methods. The old institutionalism was also clearly based on the assumption that “institutions matter”; scholars like Herman Finer and Carl Friedrich wrote about the importance of institutions with great knowledge and often acute insight. The change from old to new institutionalism took place in two steps: first, the behavioral revolution of the late 1950s introduced systematic research and testing, but also led to an emphasis on behavioral, noninstitutional, factors; then, in the late 1970s, the assumption that “institutions matter” reemerged and prompted new lines of now explicitly systematic research on political institutions.
The new institutionalism has given us strong evidence that the assumption that institutions matter and that they matter in specific ways is correct. The differences between what we knew around 1980 and now are enormous. In particular, the progress that has been made in the study of party systems, corporatism and interest groups, cabinet coalitions, executive-legislative arrangements (parliamentary, presidential, and hybrid forms), and electoral systems is extremely impressive.45
Let me mention just a few of the many signal contributions: the work of Philippe Schmitter and Gerhard Lehmbruch (1979, also Lehmbruch and Schmitter [1982]) on corporatism; that of Rein Taagepera and Matthew Shugart (1989) on electoral systems; and that of Juan Linz and Arturo Valenzuela (1994) on presidentialism.
The book that I think can be regarded as the pioneering contribution to the new institutionalism—Douglas W. Rae's The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws—was published in 1967, well before the 1980s. It was the first study of electoral systems that systematically classified and analyzed a large number of characteristics of electoral laws and election results in a large number of countries: all national legislative elections in 20 democracies from 1945 to 1964.46
I wrote a critique of Rae's work in which I pointed out a number of weaknesses in his analysis, especially errors in classifying electoral formulas.47 What should be recognized, however, is that Rae had to work under circumstances that are hard to imagine now: the basic data on electoral laws and election outcomes had to be collected painstakingly from a large variety of sources that were not easily accessible—and often not very reliable. Thomas Mackie and Richard Rose's The International Almanac of Electoral History, which would have been an ideal source for Rae, was not published until 1974.48The availability of data for research on electoral systems and on political institutions more generally has improved by leaps and bounds since then. For instance, when I was working on Patterns of Democracy in the mid-1990s,49
I was often disappointed with what I was able to find on the Internet; the better strategy was to walk to the university library in order to consult printed volumes like the Political Handbook of the World,50 the latest edition of Mackie and Rose's Almanac,51 and publications of the Inter-Parliamentary Union and the International Labour Organization. However, for my current research—a collaborative project with Bernard Grofman and Matthew Shugart on American democracy in comparative perspective—almost all of the data that I need can be found in Internet sources.The empirical findings of the new institutionalism provide powerful tools for constitutional design. In particular, we now know how important two basic institutional choices are: combining a proportional (instead of plurality) election system with parliamentary (rather than presidential) government virtually guarantees what I have called a consensus form of democracy.52
See Lijphart 1999, esp. 301–5.
What is disappointing is that so little practical use has been made of this new knowledge. Today's constitution-makers are more aware of the different alternatives than their counterparts were in the past, but they often try to combine alternatives instead of making well-informed choices between alternatives. The result has been the proliferation of mixed electoral systems and semipresidential (partly presidential and partly parliamentary) forms of government—although true mixtures are very hard to fashion and the attempts to do so almost always lead to overly complicated rules and a serious lack of transparency.
Another disappointment is that the new knowledge has failed to ignite significant discussion about institutional reform in the United States. In fact, most politicians, political commentators, and even many political scientists are not aware of how deviant the American governmental system is. A prime example is our electoral college. That the United States is unique among democracies with politically powerful presidents53
Excluding mainly ceremonial presidents like Germany's.
Article V of the Constitution of the United States.
Dahl 2001, 145.
Sidney Verba (president, 1994–95) is Carl H. Pforzheimer University Professor at Harvard University.
Rather than selecting this or that “finding” or understanding, I'd rather speak of the general development of the discipline as a scholarly institution with ability to understand our subject area of politics and government, and then turn to an example.
One of the major features of political science is its openness to multiple approaches, methods, and theories. In the half century since the end of World War II, the discipline has drawn on such fields as psychology, ranging from social psychology to psychoanalysis; sociology in many of its manifestations; history, with particular concern with institutions; cultural studies; statistics; experimental design, and many more. Sometimes the borrowings are fruitful, other times less so. But given the complexity of politics and government, it has made sense to draw on disciplines that focus on individuals, on social settings, on historical contexts, and on ways of observing and measuring political phenomena.
The discipline's major encounter of the last few decades has been with economics—not the study of the interaction between politics and the economy, but the application of economic, largely rational choice, analysis to politics. I phrase it as an encounter because the possible results might have been rejection or capitulation. Something in between has happened. The powerful lessons and analytical perspective of the rational choice/economic paradigm have been brought into political science and in the process adapted (perhaps co-opted) to the needs of political analysis.
This has meant several things. In the first place, the subject focus of political science (which I think is the main glue that holds us together) has kept us from the trap of having research questions and answers defined by theory and method. It has also meant considering a wide range of phenomena in the framework of rational choice analysis. Political actors can not be understood as utility maximizers with any economic-benefit definition of utility. They do more than maximize material benefits. Values and culture have come to be taken seriously and have been given new understandings and meanings within the economic framework. Psychology—in such guises as attitude formation, framing, and decisional analysis—is in the mix. History and institutions—and the history of institutions—are all part of political analysis. The relationship across these various perspectives56
I noticed while writing this how apt is the name of this journal—Perspectives on Politics.
Naturally, most folks have their favorite angle on analysis, and some reject one form or another out of hand. The rational choice Bolsheviks sometimes object to soft Menshevik rational choice. But the heterogeneous mix has created a discipline at once more rigorous and more open.57
Kay Schlozman, Henry Brady, and I, in our work on political participation and equality, were interested in the process of recruitment to political activity. We studied mobilizers (the folks who call us to work for or support a candidate or party or cause) and the mobilizees (those who respond in one way or another). In analyzing why some folks became mobilizers, we found rational calculation inadequate. Some did so for straightforward economic reasons: phoning or visiting was a job. But many did it for a variety of other reasons: they believed in a cause, they were induced to do so by friends they did not want to disappoint, and so forth. However, we found economic/rational actor analysis quite useful in analyzing what they did as mobilizers. Whatever motivation led individuals to become recruiters—whether it was money or ideology or whatever—they behaved like rational prospectors in choosing whom to contact and in making their pitch. When we presented a conclusion that is consistent with the argument that rational actor analysis is sometimes very useful in analyzing political behavior, the two discussants of our paper (a rejectionist and a rational choice Bolshevik) both criticized us for the same thing: that we said that rational action was sometimes useful. The former wanted us to say never; the latter to say always. We believe we were true to the spirit of political science to say sometimes. See Brady, Schlozman, and Verba 1999.
The request from Perspectives for comments on “what we have learned” went out to senior members of the profession who, because of their seniority, have earned the right to reminisce and be autobiographical. (They've also earned the right to—and, given Perspectives' assignment, are obliged to—make sweeping generalizations.)
When I started practicing political science at the beginning of the 1960s, the developing world and, within that world, the role of ethnicity and religion as bases of political cleavage and contestation had just been discovered. These bases of political identity and action were believed to be “primordial,” acquired at birth and not easily changed, if at all. At the same time, there was a belief in modernization, the spread of education and rationality, and the end of ideology. Fifty years later, religious and ethnic cleavages dominate politics across the world. Ideology has not died, though many adherents of one ideology have killed adherents of other ideologies.
A failure of political science? In one sense yes, but in another way, no. Our ability to understand the role of ideology, religion, and ethnicity in politics is much greater now than it was then. This is not the result of a particular seminal work, but the aggregation of much work from many perspectives. It is the result of adding an understanding of strategic choice in relation to identity, but not subsuming identity completely within a strategic framework. We have learned that identities are not primordial. They may be created. Or, more likely, preexisting identities may be invoked by the action of strategic elites seeking support in democratic elections or nondemocratic struggles for control.
The seminal addition of rational calculation to the understanding of identity—in the guise of straightforward self-interested motives for adhering to one or another identity, or the social calculations associated with cementing relations with others, or the strategic calculations of elites building support—has given sharpness to a sometimes fuzzy subject. But identity and the role it plays in political cleavage is not fully explained by such calculations. Identities that are mobilized—whether ethnic or religious or ideological—may be formed through socialization and be long-term value commitments, without the understanding of which one only has part of the story. And the content of the belief system that may be connected with the identity is consequential as well. In addition, analysis of the way in which identities are reinforced or diminished by institutional development add to the mix. Rational actor analysis seems to be more fruitful in understanding some folks' identity choices and actions than others, or some identity-relevant situations than others. Elites are more likely to calculate strategically the use of ethnic or religious identity in mobilizing voters or other supporters than are the voters or supporters themselves. The former have more information and more instrumentally at stake than the latter. But elites may have deep religious or ethnic or ideological commitments that override their strategic electoral or support-building calculations. This does not mean that political scientists have a formula for predicting or analyzing ideological, ethnic, or religious cleavages. But we have a toolbox filled with ways of coming to grips with such phenomena.
Charles O. Jones (president, 1993–94) is Hawkins Professor of Political Science Emeritus at the University of Wisconsin.
I am bullish on political science as I reflect on the last two decades. We have worked our way through many methodological and theoretical issues with positive results relevant to governance and politics. We are better at our craft and, by the measure of what goes on in my corner of the profession, more sensitive to applying what we find. I am aware that many departments still struggle over what is “good” political science and who knows how to do it. Yet I also know productive scholars who plug away in those settings to the benefit of the discipline.
What encourages me? My evidence is mostly anecdotal and impressionistic; very real, yet, I confess, a bit soft. Nonetheless, I start with an example that is plenty hard: the successful launching of this journal by the skillful management of its first editor, staff, and board. Many asked for an APSA-sponsored outlet that would turn political scientists loose on the issues of our time and our discipline. Perspectives on Politics has done that with articles, symposia, “catchall” perspectives, and review essays. The topics suit the declared mission of the journal. It is worth noting too that these features require supervision, not simply editing. Symposia are not usually tossed in over the transom! They require the initiative, then nurturing, of the editor and staff.
It is noteworthy that our demands were being made coincident with a quantum increase in scholarly (and other) communication, thus providing more opportunities to distribute research findings. No longer bound by the hard covers of books or the soft covers of journals, scholars have been able to connect and communicate as never before. The online journal managed by Nelson W. Polsby is but one example.58
The Forum: A Journal of Applied Research in Contemporary Politics. http://www.bepress.com/forum/.
What are we learning? Obviously, I can only speak for those issues of greatest personal interest, central of which are the workings of the United States' separated system under conditions of split party control. The two parties sharing responsibility for governing has come to be a common feature in national and state capitals. We have even witnessed frequent changes in the configuration of the splits, five from 1993 to the present (all Democratic; all Republican; Democratic president, Republican Congress; Republican president and House, tie in the Senate; Republican president and House, Democratic Senate).
As he has in the past, David Mayhew questioned the conventional wisdom that divided government meant gridlock, providing evidence that split-party control did not apply a tourniquet to lawmaking.59
His Divided We Govern has stimulated an outpouring of work designed to satisfy our curiosity. Yes, legislators produce major laws, but what else is happening? What is different? Is it the legislation “we” want? And perhaps even more important: What is happening to give us these divided results? The literature is much too extensive to cite, but selected studies indicate the range of issues involved. Sarah A. Binder explored the effects of bicameralism, showing the effects of institutional as well as party differences in lawmaking.60 Oddly, bicameralism, a key constitutional construct, has received only limited treatment for its effects on legislation. And what if presidents don't get what they want from an opposition-party Congress? Kenneth Mayer and William Howell have contributed other pieces to the mosaic of understanding lawmaking in a separated system.61 Their studies of executive orders clarify the unilateral option in working within a bi- and trilateral system.Presidents increasingly exercise another option in split-party politics, that of constant campaigning. The vast literature on President Clinton reveals how he took advantage of his own skills and the growth in the means of communication during the 1990s. Going outside to have influence inside was the topic of Samuel Kernell's influential book, Going Public (1986). More recent works have concentrated on the so-called “permanent campaign.” A recent treatment by George C. Edwards III, casts doubt on the effectiveness of this use of the “bully pulpit.”62
Nonetheless, presidents are campaigning more than ever between elections.Then there is the whole matter of how it is that both parties come to win majorities in separated-system elections. We have all come to rely on the work of Gary Jacobson as he demonstrated why Democrats had such a hold on the House and more recently how that lock was broken.63
See Jacobson 1983; Jacobson 1990.
Shafer and Johnston (forthcoming).
A still broader dimension of split-party results is that described by some as “a polarized America.” Are there deep cultural schisms that explain putting one party in charge here, another there? Again, political scientists are attending to this important separated system issue. Morris P. Fiorina and his coauthors' Culture Wars? tackles this matter in a clear and concise manner.66
Contemporary issues surely are divisive but the “red states, blue states” simplification does not hold up. Americans are “closely … not deeply divided” and are inclined to “seek the center.” It may follow, therefore, that they expect parties and politicians to work it out, adding to Mayhew's list of major legislation however they can.I judge these to be very positive developments. This work not only is in the best traditions of political science scholarship, but it also demonstrates that quality is not adversely affected by relevance. Granted, there remains an overlay of doubt that the system should work this way, even arguments that split-party government is a condition to be corrected. Never mind. We are learning much about how governing works in a separated system, from how voters think and choose to how laws are enacted and implemented. Perhaps there is a second David Truman among us to write The Governmental Process in a New Century.
I am not without disappointments. My hopes for an American Political Science Reviewer, a journal devoted to reviewing scholarly communication (not just books), have not been realized. In fact, demands for more relevant articles and symposia in a third APSA journal may have come at the cost of having more book reviews. A check of my last year as editor of the American Political Science Review (1981) shows more books reviewed then than in the last four issues of Perspectives on Politics (by some 50 books, 80 if notes on reference books in 1981 are included). It was in my last year's report as editor that I suggested a separate journal for reviewing scholarly communication.
I also remain anxious for political scientists to do more cross-institutional research of lawmaking and execution, based on the notion that statutes are but the beginnings of law and the features of lawmaking and execution are the bases of cross-national comparison. It strikes me that we are very close to making such moves, given the contributions of historical work on policy and institutions as well as greater appreciation for comparison among Americanists. Yet my recent sorting of book reviews shows most works on institutions, including several cited above, focus on one branch only. The founders separated and, seemingly, so still do we.
Lucius J. Barker (president, 1992–93) is William Bennett Munro Professor Emeritus of Political Science at Stanford University.
In this essay I focus on what we can and should do to overcome racial, gender, and ethnic inequality in our own backyard—our individual departments. Consistent with the norms and expectations of our roles, I suggest that we as political scientists can do much to confront our past failures in this regard through determined efforts to recruit, retain, and promote women and minorities as faculty and graduate students.
What stirred my interest in writing this essay is the recent report by a task force of distinguished political scientists entitled “American Democracy in an Age of Rising Inequality.”67
Commissioned by the APSA Executive Council, the report represents a landmark development in the life of our discipline. “Arguably,” as one commentator suggests, it is “the most important and timely report ever produced by the APSA.”68DiIulio 2004, 667 (emphasis added).
But the report has shortcomings, particularly in that it fails to suggest what political scientists can or should do to help overcome such inequalities. Here, I'd like to suggest our next step. As I stated in my 1993 presidential address, I, like others, consider the problem primarily a moral issue—a matter to which I return later. Here I offer more practical arguments.
The report directs the collective force of our research and attention to inequality issues relating to race, ethnicity, gender, and poverty that have plagued our profession and nation from their beginnings—issues about which we knew but that we generally overlooked or marginalized in our research and teaching.69
As to the profession, see McClain and Garcia 1993; Walton and McCormick 1997. For how the nation has dealt with such issues, see generally Franklin and Moss 2000; Klinkner and Smith 1999.
Overall, I find the report exciting, challenging, and encouraging. It is of special personal and professional importance to me as an African American political scientist. It brings to the fore disparaging inequalities I have experienced firsthand and have observed throughout my entire life. My experience, and that of countless others, suggests the continuing significance of race and color regardless of class, gender, and sexual orientation. It might also prove instructive to those who overlook or tend to minimize, as the report and others seem to do, the fact that “the class divide tends to aggravate the racial divide because of the strong link[age] between the two.”70
Williams 2004, 684.
Though I remain excited by the overall thrust and promise of the task force report, I view it from a history of reasoned skepticism. Minorities and women have long experienced how the glowing rhetoric and promising expectations of similar reports and important actions sooner or later give way to the harsh realities and tempering effects of political-social factors in public and private arenas.
Political scientists define political science. As gatekeepers, we determine who and what comes in, stays in, and goes out. In short, we determine those who will become the future gatekeepers of our discipline and profession. Data are clear that we need to considerably increase efforts in these regards with respect to women and especially minorities. For example, Latinos and African Americans are the two largest and among the three most excluded groups—Native Americans are the most excluded—in the academy, and all three groups are perennially at the bottom rung of our socioeconomic system. And despite some progress, women continue to face similar hurdles. So do Asian Americans continue to face barriers of racism and exclusion that “not even their superior educational attainment has been able to overcome in a supposedly meritocratic society.”71
Williams 2003, 363.
These matters are brought into particular focus with regard to retention, promotion, and tenure considerations; certain factors come to the surface (or lie just beneath) that affect all candidates, but tend to hurt especially women and minorities. These include factors such as the relative effectiveness of mentoring structures, differences in research interests and choice of methods, the reputation and standing of journals and other venues (for example, university presses) in which research is published, and the relative dearth of minorities in intellectual and social networks in departments and universities. How junior faculty and graduate students, including women and minorities, are included and able to fare in these areas determines their relative access to and acceptance by more established senior faculty (mostly white males), whose support is clearly needed to achieve standing and success in our profession and the academy.
Being gatekeepers of our discipline is an awesome privilege and responsibility that must be exercised by a more diverse senior faculty. Relevant here is what Justice Sandra Day O'Connor noted with regard to the 2003 University of Michigan Law School affirmative action case: “‘Nowhere is the importance of such openness [the inclusion of women and minorities] more acute than in the context of higher education.’”72
What we do in political science departments is especially important to our nation's future, since “political science is often selected as the major area for those who go to law schools, become lawyers, and disproportionately hold leadership or influential positions in both the public and private sectors.”73Barker and Tate 2004, 278.
See PhD Attainment in sociology, economics, and political science, National Science Foundation WebCASPAR Database System, http://caspar.nsf.gov/webcaspar/. See also Karen W. Arenson, “Little Advance Is Seen in Ivies' Hiring of Minorities and Women,” New York Times, March 1, 2005, A12. See also Patrick D. Healy and Sara Rimer, “Furor Lingers as Harvard Chief Gives Details of Talk on Women,” New York Times, February 18, 2005, A1 ff.
To be sure, some progress has been made in these regards, as evidenced by various structures and initiatives of the APSA: for example, the creation of committees on the status of blacks and Latinos; a more diversified APSA administrative staff; the Minority Identification Project, the Ralph Bunche Institute, and the Fenno-Prestage Scholarship Fund. Similarly, in the recent past, the APSA has created additional sections (on, for example, race and ethnicity or qualitative methods), reflecting the increasingly diverse research and teaching interests of its members. But it must be noted that these changes, like other such progress in overall politics and society, were engendered by protests and demonstrations as well as by courageous and strong individual leaders in our profession.75
McClain and Garcia 1993, 248.
One might be concerned, however, with the thrust of the task force, which states that its report “continues a long distinguished tradition of combining rigorous scholarship with a commitment toward safeguarding and invigorating democratic life.” With few exceptions, however, neither “prominent scholars” nor the APSA has squarely faced the dehumanizing conditions suffered by blacks and minorities in American “democratic” life. In an article published in the National Political Science Review, two black political scientists undertook an empirically based analysis of articles related to these issues published in the Political Science Quarterly and the American Political Science Review from 1906 to 1990. Their findings suggest that the paucity of articles reflects a form of “social danger” that engenders “personal, political, and professional fear” in those who dare to undertake such research.76
Walton and McCormick 1997, esp. 230–31.
Only after certain initiatives and developments, such as the 1947 report of Truman's Commission on Civil Rights, the 1954 Brown decision, the civil rights movement, and urban disorders of the 1960s, were major efforts to overcome such problems placed (forced) on the nation's agenda as well as on the agendas of universities, mainline scholars, and other organizations—including the APSA. This new institutional focus on such issues makes the task force report a landmark development in the life of our discipline.
Still, we must remain alert to gnawing vestiges of “social danger.” There seems to be a continuing and noticeable lack of awareness, attention, and recognition of research on such issues done by minority and other like-minded scholars, particularly by scholars whose research seems to be more critical of how this country has dealt with the problems. Ironically and unfortunately, this continuing danger is strikingly reflected in the task force report itself by the relative lack of use and citation of relevant research by blacks and other minorities.
This lack of awareness is exemplified clearly in the incisive commentary on the task force report by Linda Fay Williams, an African American professor, whose highly acclaimed book77
(along with related research by others) might have addressed this and other shortcomings. For example, as Williams suggests, while the report “provides data demonstrating how stark racial inequality continues to be … it generally treats race and class as discrete categories, in a tone implying that the problems of racial inequality might well already be solved” if not for the seemingly new ‘more subtle threat—the growing concentration of the country's wealth and income in the hands of the few.’”78Williams 2004, 683 (emphasis added).
What might be done or done better? Perhaps more data collection from narrative case studies and field research would humanize and broaden the data and interpretation of statistics and surveys that characterize much current research. And clearly we need to give more attention to the development of new or revised approaches and methods consistent with “increasingly multi-ethnic, multi-racial, and [multicultural] nature of American politics [and society].” In addition, we should pay attention to how various theories, particularly social structural theories, frame and inform how we think about race in American politics.79
Sears, Sidanius, and Bobo 2000, chap. 1 (esp. 22–31), and chap. 5.
Further, lessons from the African American experience might also enrich our teaching and research. That experience suggests inadequacies of the basic pluralist paradigm that for a long time was—and continues to be—the dominant framework used by political scientists and others to explain the nature and operation of our politics. In her comments on the task force report, Margaret Weir puts it succinctly: “This portrait of interlocked inequalities presents a striking contrast to the optimistic account of countervailing powers and fungible resources in mid-century pluralist interpretations of American politics.”80
Weir 2004, 677.
Overall, I agree with Michael Dawson's penetrating insight that “racial structuring of the research communities … affects our research in ways we are much less willing to admit,” Historically, for example, there is “a tendency [among black scholars] to cite structural reasons to explain group conflict and racial difference, while whites have been more willing to adopt psychological theories for explaining the same phenomena.”81
Dawson 2000, 355–56, cited in Barker and Tate 2004, 269–70.
Despite sincere attempts at objectivity, scholarship on such highly controversial matters has been informed, as we all have been, by researchers' professional training and by their life backgrounds and experiences. Justice O'Connor makes this point explicitly in her opinion in Grutter v. Bollinger: “Just as growing up in a particular region or having particular professional experiences is likely to affect an individual's views,” writes O'Connor, “so too is one's own, unique experience of being a racial minority in a society, like our own, in which race unfortunately still matters.”82
Grutter v. Bollinger, at 2341 (emphasis added).
We as political scientists must do what we can. This might include, for example, increasing targeted funding from the National Science Foundation and other philanthropic foundations, and from universities and departments themselves, to increase postdoctoral fellowships; to make more creative use of distinguished minority faculty emeriti; and to facilitate lateral movement of talented minorities trained in one profession who seek career change, such as lawyers who now wish to enter the academy through PhD programs in political science.
Success in such efforts could lead to more representation and hence effective inclusion of minority faculty and graduate students in the intellectual life, governance/administrative structures, and social networks of the department and university. They would, one hopes, result in increased interactions and participation of women and minorities in the APSA at all levels, particularly in scholarly exchange and research leading to their more effective participation in the “war of ideas” so well described by Margaret Weir.83
Weir 2004, 679–80.
Let every member of the task force and every reader of the report that agrees with its basic conclusion make an effort to investigate where his or her own college or university is in terms of equal opportunity, to push for policies that promote greater opportunity in admissions—and walk the talk—to help university development and other officials raise funds to make it happen.84
DiIulio 2004, 668.
I concur in the overall sentiments expressed here, but let me reemphasize that it is now within the essential competence of ranking departments in major PhD granting institutions to recruit, retain, and promote qualified faculty and graduate students, including minorities, normally with little fear that such actions will be overturned by higher university authorities.
Of course changes in the overall political and social context can affect attempts to deal with such issues. Research suggests, for example, that Americans embrace the principles of democracy, but are not committed to the policies and programs needed to effectively implement them for racial and ethnic minorities.85
Kinder and Sanders 1996, 6; Williams 2004, 684.
For an excellent description and analysis of how the political social landscape and changes therein effect relevant interests, see Combs and Combs 2004. See also Barker 1994, 9.
Demographics suggest that today's minorities (for example, Latinos and blacks) will become tomorrow's majorities in the not-too-distant future. Thus our continued failure to overcome serious inequalities facing minorities and women does not bode well for the future of the academy and our nation. Particularly those of us in elite PhD granting universities are in unique positions to do something about this in our own backyard.
We should act with courage and without fear, for the objectives we seek are altogether consistent with the role and expectations of scholars and universities in a free and democratic society. Nancy Cantor, former provost at Michigan, and now chancellor of Syracuse University, questioned in a speech to college presidents why “higher education has not taken up the victory that … we won in the Supreme Court [in Grutter (2003)].” “I am worried,” Cantor continued, about “whether higher education will continue to be courageous.”87
Jeffrey Selingo, “Michigan: Who Really Won,” Chronicle of Higher Education 51 (19), January 14, A21.
This should concern us all, for this is essentially a moral issue, which, as President John F. Kennedy put it, “is as old as the Scriptures and as clear as the Constitution.”88
Quoted in Barker 1994, 10.
Relevant here are DiIulio's comments on the task force report: “Bible-believing Christians are supposed to heed the call to ‘be not afraid’ of any worldly challenge. Whether you are a person of whatever faith or of no faith, if you believe that inequality is a moral problem, and you are convinced that it is a real problem in America today, you should not be afraid to say so—and not be afraid to recommend whatever policies or programs you believe might make a real difference.”89
DiIulio 2004, 669 (emphasis added).
Hochschild 1995, 3. For such policy recommendations see Barker and Tate 2004, 277 ff.
Perhaps, as Weir puts it, “[A] little moral outrage among those concerned about inequality is in order.”91
Weir 2004, 680.
Consistent with the norms and expectations of their role, perhaps the avenue by which scholars can participate in this important battle is in the war of ideas—through research, teaching, and work in schools. We need more willing and committed “soldiers” to fight. But their effectiveness is very much related to their standing and reputation in their discipline. To marginalize the credibility and communication of research by minorities through our journals and other forums, such as the task force report, is to limit their effective participation in the war of ideas so crucial to their professional and personal interests and to democratic politics and society.
We political scientists can send important signals to others in the academy and in the nation generally, demonstrating concretely what each of us can do to overcome more effectively such inequalities and thereby safeguard and enhance American democracy.