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Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 March 2026

Cristian Cabello Jiménez*
Affiliation:
Instituto de Salud Pública, Universidad Andrés Bello, Chile
Sergio Muñoz Navarro
Affiliation:
Departamento de Salud Pública, Universidad de La Frontera, Chile
Rodrigo Casanueva
Affiliation:
Instituto de Salud Pública, Universidad Andrés Bello, Chile
Cristina Mamani Cabrera
Affiliation:
Instituto de Salud Pública, Universidad Andrés Bello, Chile
Franco Mascayano
Affiliation:
Instituto de Salud Pública, Universidad Andrés Bello, Chile Department of Mental Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, USA
*
Corresponding author: Cristian Cabello Jiménez; Email: cristian.cabello123@gmail.com
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Abstract

Suicide mortality is rising in Latin America, yet evidence on repeat suicidal behavior remains scarce. Chile’s national surveillance system offers a unique opportunity to study high-risk populations. This study identifies sociodemographic, psychosocial, and clinical factors associated with suicide reattempts in Arica–Parinacota, a Chilean border region with high suicide rates and significant indigenous and migrant populations. We conducted a retrospective case–control study using regional surveillance data (2017–2021). We compared individuals with multiple attempts (cases) against those with a single attempt (controls). Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted odds ratios (AOR) for reattempt, controlling for seven covariates. Among 299 individuals, six factors independently predicted reattempt: female gender (AOR = 2.27, 95% CI: 1.26–4.22), unemployment (AOR = 2.96, 95% CI: 1.31–6.87), family history of suicide (AOR = 2.59, 95% CI: 1.31–5.28), psychiatric disorder (AOR = 3.92, 95% CI: 2.26–6.92), domestic violence (AOR = 2.71, 95% CI: 1.53–4.87), and psychoactive substance use (AOR = 2.07, 95% CI: 1.13–3.86). Findings delineate a risk profile characterized by inter-generational suicide, gendered vulnerability, psychiatric comorbidity, and social stressors. This study demonstrates the public-health value of disaggregated, surveillance-based analytics for improving triage and targeted screening in middle-income settings.

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Type
Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Table 1. Sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical characteristics of the suicide attempt sample (n = 299)a

Figure 1

Table 2. Bivariate analysis: risk factors associated with suicide reattempt (n = 299)

Figure 2

Table 3. Multiple logistic regression analysis: independent factors associated with increased risk of suicide reattempt (n = 299)

Author comment: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R0/PR1

Comments

Dear Editor-in-Chief,

We are pleased to submit our manuscript, titled “Suicide Reattempts in a Chilean Border Region: A Retrospective Case-Control Study of Sociodemographic, Psychosocial, and Clinical Risk Factors,” for consideration in the Special Issue “Self-harm and Suicide – A Global Priority” of Cambridge Prisms: Global Mental Health.

Our study identifies and characterizes risk factors associated with suicide reattempts in Arica and Parinacota, Chile’s northernmost region—a setting marked by high adolescent suicide rates and a large Indigenous and migrant population. Using five years of data from a regional suicide attempt surveillance system—part of Chile’s national public health monitoring strategy—we conducted a retrospective case-control study to determine risk profiles that can inform more effective, locally grounded prevention strategies. Our findings have direct implications for strengthening mental health services, suicide surveillance, and early intervention in middle-income countries.

We believe this research contributes to the aims of the special issue by offering context-specific evidence from the Global South on suicide patterns, informing both services and policy. Thank you for considering our work for publication.

Sincerely,

Cristian Cabello, MPH (corresponding author)

On behalf of all co-authors

Review: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R0/PR2

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

The study provides valuable insights into suicide reattempts in a scantly explored region.

- Table 1 provides detailed frequencies for various indigenous groups and nationalities. However, in subsequent analyses, these are collapsed into binary “Indigenous group: Yes/No” and “Nationality: Yes/No”. The initial detailed breakdown makes it clear that many specific indigenous groups (e.g., Alacalufe, Diaguita, Quechua, Rapa Nui) and nationalities (e.g., Colombian, USA) have extremely small counts (N=1 or N=4). While collapsing is statistically necessary for small numbers, explicitly pointing out the inherent impossibility of robust analysis for these specific, very small subgroups earlier in the methods or results (e.g., in a footnote to Table 1 or when discussing variable recoding) would enhance transparency.

- A significant drawback is that the data relies on health records completed voluntarily by healthcare providers, as reporting suicide attempts is not mandatory. This introduces a strong potential for underreporting and especially selection bias, as less severe or unreported cases may be excluded from the sample, affecting its completeness and representativeness. The authors include this as a limitation of the study, but I suggest a more in depth analysis of how this shortcoming affects their results.

- A substantial number of records (227 out of 566 initial attempts, almost 40% of the initial data) were excluded due to “insufficient minimum data”. This indicates significant data quality issues within the regional surveillance system, which could introduce bias and further compromise the representativeness of the analyzed sample. The exclusion of potentially informative variables like “method of suicide attempt” due to a high proportion of missing data further limits the scope of the analysis.

- The categorization of age into “under 25 years and 25 years or older” is a broad division. While justifiable for certain analyses, the rationale for this specific cutoff could be more thoroughly explained, particularly given the strong emphasis on “adolescent suicide rates” in the introduction and “adolescents and young adults” in the conclusion. A finer age stratification might have captured more nuanced patterns within these critical age groups.

- The introduction effectively establishes the context and the significance of studying suicide reattempts in Arica and Parinacota, especially regarding its diverse indigenous and migrant populations and their exposure to socioeconomic disadvantage and barriers to care. However, this strong emphasis creates an expectation that the study will provide specific insights into these groups. The subsequent finding in the discussion that these groups were not significantly associated due to small sample size and limited power creates a discrepancy between the problem framing and the actual findings for these specific populations. To manage reader expectations, the introduction could be refined to acknowledge the challenges of studying these underrepresented groups with existing surveillance data, thereby setting the stage for the later discussion of limitations more coherently.

Review: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R0/PR3

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

September 09,2025

Dear authors of the manuscript: Suicide Reattempts in a Chilean Border Region: A Retrospective Case-Control Study of Sociodemographic, Psychosocial, and Clinical Risk Factors.

Feedback

1.- The term “Global South” refers to a very broad geopolitical area, so in the context of the manuscript it is ambiguous, considered that it should be eliminated throughout the document since it refers to a very specific area of Chile, in addition in the discussion of the document it is no longer mentioned.

2.- Please add the geographical location of Arica and Parinacota, first describe the social and economic characteristics.

3.- In the background section, highlight the need for study on the indigenous and migrant population in the context of a border region and not only because of the scarcity of previous studies.

4.- Lines 162-166 should be in the study sample section.

5.- Define the variables suicide attempt and suicide reattempt.

6.- On line 223 it says that substance use disorder was rare, but 32% had SUD, please check it.

7.- Please justify why you did not include in the regression analysis in depressive disorder, highly related to suicidal behavior, the same as personality disorders.

8.- In line 270 it says, the results contrast with what was reported in Europe, but they coincide, in their study unemployment is associated with suicide retry, it is suggested to modify the wording.

9.- In line 278 it mentions that the group under 25 years of age did not have a marked rate of substance use, domestic violence or psychiatric disorders, but that data is not in the results, please write it down.

10.- Some references are very old, for example, Núñez F 2006, Méndez-Bustos 2013, Tedstone 2010, please update them or reconsider including them.

11.- It is suggested to include the following references:

Escobedo-Aedo, P. J., Méndez, P., Álvarez, R., Baca-García, E., & Porras-Segovia, A. (2025). Predictors of Suicide Attempts and Reattempts in a Sample of Chilean Adolescents. Early intervention in psychiatry, 19(3), e70024. https://doi.org/10.1111/eip.70024

Romero-Pimentel AL, Mendoza-Morales RC, Fresan A, García-Dolores F, González-Sáenz EE, Morales-Marín ME, Nicolini H and Borges G (2018) Demographic and Clinical Characteristics of Completed Suicides in Mexico City 2014–2015. Front. Psychiatry 9:402. DOI: 10.3389/FPSYT.2018.00402

Recommendation: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R0/PR4

Comments

In addition to the recommendations by reviewers, please consider an explanation of the rationale for selecting covariates in multivariable models that does not rely on statistical significance, which is not a recommended method for variable selection. Instead, I would recommend that multivariable models are built based on prior causal knowledge via building a direct acyclic graph and selecting variables accordingly.

Decision: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R0/PR5

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Author comment: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R1/PR6

Comments

Dear Editor-in-Chief,

We are pleased to resubmit our manuscript, titled “Suicide Reattempts in a Chilean Border Region: A Retrospective Case-Control Study of Sociodemographic, Psychosocial, and Clinical Risk Factors,” for consideration in the Special Issue “Self-harm and Suicide – A Global Priority” of Cambridge Prisms: Global Mental Health.

We are grateful for the opportunity to resubmit and have carefully addressed the reviewers’ and handling editor’s comments. Below, I summarize the main changes we have made to our manuscript, which are fully described and explained in the response letter.

In the revised manuscript, we clarified that covariate selection in multivariable models was guided by prior causal knowledge and theoretical considerations rather than statistical significance alone. A directed acyclic graph (DAG) was constructed to guide variable selection and is included in the supplementary material, which helped refine the rationale for including each variable.

Additionally, we revised the introduction, methods, results, and discussion to:

Clarify limitations due to small counts among specific indigenous and migrant populations and the resulting recoding of variables, while adjusting the introduction to temper expectations regarding these subgroups.

Expand on potential underreporting, missing data, and selection bias inherent to the surveillance system.

Justify the age categorization and provide consistent reporting for participants under 25 years.

Clarify the definitions of suicide attempt and reattempt, differentiate between psychoactive substance use and substance use disorder, and explain the classification of psychiatric disorders.

Update and refine references, incorporating reviewer suggestions.

We believe these revisions improve the clarity, rigor, and transparency of our study, and we hope the manuscript now meets the expectations of the reviewers and editorial team.

Thank you for considering our resubmission.

Sincerely,

Cristian Cabello, MPH (corresponding author)

On behalf of all co-authors

Review: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R1/PR7

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

The authors addressed correctly my suggestions.

Review: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R1/PR8

Conflict of interest statement

Ninguno

Comments

November 24, 2025

Authors: Suicide Reattempts in a Chilean Border Region: A Retrospective Case-Control Study of Sociodemographic, Psychosocial, and Clinical Risk Factors.

Dear authors,

Thank you for listening to the comments, new comment.

Line 352 says “... in our study 47.1% of individuals under...” It should say “... in our study 47.1% of individuals had a ...”, please verify.

Table 1. For yes/no variables, record only the value corresponding to yes.

Recommendation: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R1/PR9

Comments

Thank you. Please revise the suggestion by reviewers. Below see my own comments, please address them too:

1. Clarify the rationale and limitations of the surveillance system.

While the manuscript emphasizes the novelty of the regional reporting system, it would benefit from clearer articulation of its limitations. Specifically: voluntary reporting, incomplete coverage, and differential data quality may bias estimates of prevalence and risk factors. The sentence about “structural and social barriers… which may be one of the disadvantages of this surveillance system” should be revised for clarity—the link between social disadvantage and notification gaps needs clearer framing.

2. Improve consistency and avoid redundant text in Methods.

The Methods section repeats key definitions—particularly the definition of the primary outcome and case/control status—almost verbatim. These duplications should be removed to avoid confusion. In addition, the description of variable recoding (e.g., collapsing indigenous identity and nationality into binary forms) should explicitly clarify how missing data were handled.

3. Strengthen reporting on missing data and exclusion criteria.

The study excluded 227 cases for “insufficient minimum data.” The manuscript should briefly describe what minimally required data elements were missing and whether excluded cases differed systematically from included ones. This transparency is important given the potential for selection bias, especially in a voluntary notification system.

4. Clarify statistical methodology and model rationale.

While the multicollinearity issue between psychiatric disorder and mental health treatment is noted, the explanation of model selection is somewhat difficult to follow. Simplifying the description of Model 1 vs Model 2, and briefly explaining why treatment loss of significance indicates collinearity (rather than confounding or mediation), would improve interpretability. Additionally, the text references VIF thresholds; consider briefly noting the threshold used and why it was chosen.

5. Improve the Discussion by integrating findings with regional implications.

The Discussion is strong but could better connect the main findings—particularly the high reattempt rate among young people—to structural vulnerabilities described earlier in the Introduction. Expanding briefly on how socioeconomic disadvantage, migration, and indigenous identity intersect with the identified risk factors would enhance contextual depth.

Decision: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R1/PR10

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Author comment: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R2/PR11

Comments

Dear Editor-in-Chief,

We are pleased to resubmit our manuscript, titled “Suicide Reattempts in a Chilean Border Region: A Retrospective Case-Control Study of Sociodemographic, Psychosocial, and Clinical Risk Factors,” for reconsideration in Cambridge Prisms: Global Mental Health.

We thank the Handling Editor and Reviewer for their constructive feedback. In response, we have revised the manuscript to improve clarity, methodological transparency, and contextual interpretation. Most notably, we restructured the Study Limitations section to articulate a coherent conceptual framework explaining how the voluntary nature of the regional surveillance system, incomplete coverage, reliance on patient self-report, and differential access to emergency care shape data completeness and potential selection bias.

We also streamlined the Methods section by removing redundant definitions, clarifying exclusion criteria and missing data handling, and simplifying the presentation of the multivariable modeling strategy, including a clearer justification for addressing collinearity and the use of conservative VIF thresholds. In the Discussion, we strengthened the integration of our findings with the regional context by explicitly linking the high suicide reattempt rate among young people to structural vulnerabilities such as socioeconomic disadvantage, migration, and limited regional evidence on Indigenous populations.

We believe these revisions substantially strengthen the manuscript and address all editorial concerns. We appreciate your consideration of our revised submission.

Sincerely,

Cristian Cabello, MPH

On behalf of all co-authors

Review: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R2/PR12

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

Third review

08 January 2026

Dear Manuscript Authors: Suicide Reattempts in a Chilean Border Region: A Retrospective Case-Control Study of Sociodemographic, Psychosocial, and Clinical Risk Factors.

Thank you for addressing the previous comments.

Please. Add the following citations to the reference list:

Line Citation

887 CASEN, 2023

1036 Core Team

1103 Burón, 2016

1165 Qin, 2003

1169 Devries, 2013; Xiao, 2024

1175 OAS, 2019

References that are not in the text:

Line 1337: Encuesta de caracterización socioeconómica

Line 1457: Sjoberg....

Please correct the numbering of the tables.

Recommendation: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R2/PR13

Comments

Thanks for addressing reviewers' concerns. In addition, please see my own new comments below:

The manuscript would benefit from tighter alignment between the analytic design, model selection, and the scope of its recommendations. First, conclusions and policy implications should be reframed to reflect that the outcome is a cross-sectional, self-reported history of prior attempts, identifying higher-risk profiles at presentation rather than causal predictors of future reattempts. Second, the rationale for the final multivariable model should be strengthened by explicitly justifying the exclusion of mental health treatment beyond collinearity, acknowledging its potential role as a mediator or severity proxy and clarifying that the retained model primarily captures underlying psychiatric vulnerability. Finally, interpretations regarding migrants, Indigenous populations, and youth should more clearly reflect limited statistical power and variable collapsing, framing null findings as inconclusive if appropriate and subgroup-specific implications as hypothesis-generating rather than definitive.

Decision: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R2/PR14

Comments

No accompanying comment.

Author comment: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R3/PR15

Comments

Dear Editor,

We are pleased to resubmit our revised manuscript, titled “Suicide Reattempts in a Chilean Border Region: A Retrospective Case-Control Study of Sociodemographic, Psychosocial, and Clinical Risk Factors,” for consideration in Cambridge Prisms: Global Mental Health.

Following the latest round of feedback, we revised the manuscript to better align the analytical design, model specification, and interpretation of the findings. In particular, we clarified that the outcome reflects a cross-sectional, self-reported history of prior suicide attempts and reframed the conclusions and policy implications to emphasize clinical risk profiles at presentation rather than causal predictors of future reattempts.

We also strengthened the rationale for the final multivariable model, clarified the interpretation of findings related to migrants, Indigenous populations, and youth given the study’s limited statistical power, and corrected the reference list by adding citations that were present in the text but missing from the bibliography.

We believe these revisions improve the clarity and transparency of the manuscript and hope the revised version meets the expectations of the editorial team.

Sincerely,

Cristian Cabello, MPH (corresponding author)

On behalf of all co-authors

Review: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R3/PR16

Conflict of interest statement

Reviewer declares none.

Comments

The authors addressed the comments.

Recommendation: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R3/PR17

Comments

Thank you for addressing all reviewers' concerns and my comments within reason.

Decision: Suicide reattempts in a Chilean border region: A retrospective case–control study of sociodemographic, psychosocial and clinical risk factors — R3/PR18

Comments

No accompanying comment.