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Finite-time ruin probabilities under large-claim reinsurance treaties for heavy-tailed claim sizes

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  16 July 2020

Hansjörg Albrecher*
Affiliation:
University of Lausanne and Swiss Finance Institute
Bohan Chen*
Affiliation:
Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica (CWI)
Eleni Vatamidou*
Affiliation:
University of Lausanne
Bert Zwart*
Affiliation:
CWI and Eindhoven University of Technology
*
*Postal address: Department of Actuarial Science, Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland.
**Postal address: Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica (CWI), P.O. Box 94079, 1090 GB Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
*Postal address: Department of Actuarial Science, Faculty of Business and Economics, University of Lausanne, 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland.
**Postal address: Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica (CWI), P.O. Box 94079, 1090 GB Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
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Abstract

We investigate the probability that an insurance portfolio gets ruined within a finite time period under the assumption that the r largest claims are (partly) reinsured. We show that for regularly varying claim sizes the probability of ruin after reinsurance is also regularly varying in terms of the initial capital, and derive an explicit asymptotic expression for the latter. We establish this result by leveraging recent developments on sample-path large deviations for heavy tails. Our results allow, on the asymptotic level, for an explicit comparison between two well-known large-claim reinsurance contracts, namely LCR and ECOMOR. Finally, we assess the accuracy of the resulting approximations using state-of-the-art rare event simulation techniques.

Information

Type
Research Papers
Copyright
© Applied Probability Trust 2020
Figure 0

Table 1. Premiums for LCR and ECOMOR treaties for varying ${r}$ for $n = 20$, ${\lambda}=10$, ${\alpha} = 1.5$, ${\theta}=0.2$, and ${\eta}=0.3$.

Figure 1

Figure 1. Numerical results for both LCR and ECOMOR treaties, for ${a}=20$.

Figure 2

Figure 2. Numerical results for both LCR and ECOMOR treaties, for ${a}=80$.

Figure 3

Figure 3. Numerical results for both LCR and ECOMOR treaties, for ${a}=300$.