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Social Deprivation, Antibiotic Prescribing Quality, and Outcomes in an Elderly Emergency Department Cohort

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 June 2026

Mayar Al Mohajer
Affiliation:
Baylor College of Medicine
David Slusky
Affiliation:
University of Kansas
David Nix
Affiliation:
University of Arizona College of Pharmacy
Sabra Shay
Affiliation:
Johns Hospkins Hospital
Catia Nicodemo
Affiliation:
University ox Oxford

Abstract

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Background: Social deprivation may affect both infection severity and the quality of antibiotic prescribing, but its influence on downstream outcomes and the role of stewardship processes in this pathway remain uncertain. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 1,365,957 emergency department (ED) encounters among older adults across multiple U.S. hospitals, 2013–2022. We assessed the impact of community social deprivation on clinical outcomes and identified mediation through antibiotic prescribing (guideline-concordant empiric use). Social deprivation was quantified using a z-scored Social Deprivation Index (SDI). Outcomes were log-transformed length of stay (LOS), 30-day ED revisit, 30-day mortality, 30-day C. difficile infection, and DOOR (Desirability of Outcome Ranking; 1=alive with LOS at or below the median and no 30-day events, 2=alive with LOS above the median and no events, 3=30-day ED revisit, 4<=i>C. difficile infection, 5=death). We fitted multivariable ordinary least squares models with state- and month-fixed effects and clustered standard errors, controlling for demographics, comorbidities, clinical severity, travel time, hospital characteristics, and rurality. We applied regression-based mediation analysis to partition the SDI–outcome relationship into direct effects and indirect effects mediated by prescribing concordance. Secondary models substituted antibiotic overuse or underuse for concordance. Results: Concordant prescribing occurred in 83% of encounters; overuse and underuse occurred in 9.5% and 7.4%, respectively. Higher SDI was associated with slightly worse outcomes: each 1-SD increase corresponded to modestly longer LOS, higher risk of 30-day ED revisit and mortality, and worse DOOR scores, with minimal association with C. difficile infection (Figure 1). Concordance was strongly associated with better outcomes, including shorter LOS, fewer ED revisits, lower mortality, and lower DOOR scores. Mediation analyses (Figure 2) indicated that concordance explained about 11% of the SDI–LOS association and <5% of the associations with ED revisit, mortality, and DOOR. In secondary models (Figure 3), overuse was consistently associated with worse outcomes—longer LOS, higher mortality, and higher DOOR scores—independent of SDI. Underuse showed inverse associations with LOS and DOOR but only tiny, clinically negligible increases in ED revisit and mortality, patterns likely reflecting residual confounding and selection of lower-acuity patients. Conclusion: We found that social deprivation was associated with worse health outcomes, with antibiotic concordance serving as a partial pathway linking deprivation to harm. Stewardship efforts that improve concordance and curb overuse—particularly in socially deprived communities—may help reduce outcome disparities without encouraging under-treatment.

Scatter plot showing adjusted association of SDI and guideline concordance with outcomes.

Table showing mediation of SDI effect on outcomes through guideline concordance.

A scatter plot showing the adjusted associations of antibiotic overuse and underuse with various outcomes.

Information

Type
Health Equity
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America