Introduction

The stability of a marine ice sheet probably depends, at least in part, on the state of its bounding ice shelves (Reference ThomasThomas, 1973). If so, the present condition of the Ross Ice Shelf is important for the future of the West Antarctic ice sheet. Using values for the velocities, strain-rates, and ice thicknesses measured during the Ross Ice Shelf Geophysical and Glaciological Survey (RIGGS) carried out between 1973 and 1978, Reference Thomas and BentleyThomas and Bentley (1978) calculated the mass balance in three flow bands located in the grid north, central, and southern portions of the grid western half of the ice shelf (all subsequent directions in this paper refer to the grid system shown in Figure 1). Their calculations indicated that the ice in the northernmost flow band, which has come from Ice Streams “A” and “B”, is thickening at a rate of 0.34 ± 0.15 m of ice per year. Thomas and Bentley attributed the thickening rate in that sector of the ice shelf to the buttressing or blocking effect of Crary Ice Rise on the ice up-stream of it.

Fig. 1.

Flow bands used to compute mass balance. The thinner lines denote Reference Thomas and BentleyThomas and Bentley’s (1978) three bands; the heavier lines outline the new flow band chosen so as to not be affected by any nearby areas of grounded ice (blackened areas of irregular shape). Black dots are RIGGS stations (shown only in the grid northwest corner of the ice shelf); those referred to in the text are identified. Grounded ice area “A” is the one between RIGGS stations F6 and F7. Ice streams A and B are marked by the circled letters in the grid northwest corner of the map. Grid coordinates are shown around the margin of the map — in this Cartesian coordinate system 0° grid longitude lies along the Greenwich and 180° meridians with grid north towards Greenwich, and the grid equator passes through the geographic south pole.

Further analysis of the radar data collected on the ice shelf, particularly during the 1974‒75 NSF/SPRI/TUD radio-echo sounding flights (directed by D.J. Drewry of the Scott Polar Research Institute), has since revealed an unexpected level of complexity in ice-shelf dynamics. A likely explanation for some intricate ice thickness and ice-flow patterns is the presence of several, previously unrecognized regions of grounded ice, one of which lies within Thomas and Bentley’s northern flow band (Reference Jezek and BentleyJezek and Bentley, 1983). Since grounding of the ice will surely perturb the velocity field, we have re-interpreted the strain-rate, velocity, and ice thickness data and find that there is no longer statistically significant evidence for an imbalance in the flow band.

Observations and Interpretations

Reference Jezek and BentleyJezek and Bentley (1983) concluded that there are several areas of grounded ice in the western Ross Ice Shelf (Fig. 1); they reached these conclusions on the basis of observations of a locally thin water layer, the positions of ice thickness maxima and minima, and the presence of large bottom crevasses (believed to form down-stream of grounded ice. The existence of such an area of grounded ice in the north-western corner of the ice shelf (“A” in Fig. 2) is supported both by the pattern of flow lines in the area (U.S. Geological Survey, 1972; also U.S.G.S. file photographs used in making that map), and by the ice-thickness gradients (Fig. 3, re-interpreted from the data used by Reference Bentley, Bentley, Clough, Jezek and ShabtaieBentley and others (1979)). The strain-rates measured at F6 (Reference Thomas, Thomas, MacAyeal, Eilers, Gaylord, Hayes and BentleyThomas and others, in press) show that the velocity gradient has a pronounced south-westerly component, suggesting that the ice there is being deflected around the grounded ice. A less pronounced but still noticeable south-westerly component of velocity gradient at F7 suggests that there the ice is filling in behind the grounding zone. Both measurements are consistent with the presence of grounded ice between the two sites.

Fig. 2.

Enlarged view of the grid north-west corner of the ice shelf showing Reference Thomas and BentleyThomas and Bentley’s (1978) flow band (abcd) and the new flow band (efhg). Direct measurements of velocity are represented by solid vectors; velocities extrapolated using strain-rate data are shown by dashed vectors (velocities are from Reference Thomas, Thomas, MacAyeal, Eilers, Gaylord, Hayes and BentleyThomas and others, in press), Crary Ice Rise and grounded ice area “A” are in solid black. RIGGS stations referred to in the text are identified.

Fig. 3.

Ice thickness contours. Thin line segments represent flight lines along which data were collected. Measurements were also made at the surface stations, indicated by black dots. Dashed areas are grounded ice areas “A” and “B”, and Crary Ice Rise (“C”). The new flow band chosen for this analysis is outlined by the dotted lines.

Figure 2 shows the velocity field in the vicinity of the flow band as interpreted by Reference Thomas and BentleyThomas and Bentley (1978). We would expect the presence of grounded ice to reduce the ice velocity across part of the input gate of the flow band. since we have insufficient data to define the flow quantitatively, we have limited ourselves to some semi-quantitative estimates of the effect of grounded ice area “A” on flow band abcd. (The velocity at F6 was not measured ‒ the value presented by Reference Thomas, Thomas, MacAyeal, Eilers, Gaylord, Hayes and BentleyThomas and others (in press) and shown inFigure 2 was linearly extrapolated from station F7 on the assumption of undisturbed ice shelf between the stations.)Figure 4 shows the ice thickness and velocity across the input gate of the volume element. (Ice thickness and velocity across the output gate are the same as those used by Reference Thomas and BentleyThomas and Bentley, 1978). The three velocity curves are different interpretations of the velocity field: Model 1 (the upper curve) is the unperturbed velocity field used by Reference Thomas and BentleyThomas and Bentley (1978). Model 2 (the middle curve) reduces the velocity up-stream of the ice rise by about one half, whereas Model 3 (the lower curve) represents the situation in which the ice is almost stagnant.

Fig. 4.

Ice thickness (dashed line) and three models of the velocity (solid lines) along ab, the input gate to flow band abcd. The letters correspond to the end points of the input gate. The open circles show velocities calculated at the RIGGS stations that lie along ab.

To avoid the disturbing effect of grounded areas, we have also examined a second flow band (efhg in Fig. 2). Although the velocity field in band efhg should be simpler and more accurately represented by the velocity vectors than in band abcd, this determination suffers from fewer ice thickness data across the input gate and from some uncertainty in the magnitude of the velocity across the output gate. Several interpretations of the ice thickness and velocity data across the gates are possible; we have made calculations with three different curves of ice thickness across the input gate (Fig. 5a), and three different curves of velocity across the output gate (Fig. 5b), representing those uncertainties. The problem with the input gate is in knowing the shape of the ice thickness trough, which clearly exists between e and f but is poorly defined by the data (Fig. 3). For the output gate the principal uncertainty is in how rapidly the velocity diminishes south-westward toward station H9, where the effect of Crary Ice Rise is markedly apparent (Fig. 2).

Fig. 5.

Ice thicknesses (dashed lines) and velocities (solid lines) across the input ef and output gh gates of flow band efhg. “Maximum”, “best”, and “minimun” models are explained in the text. Solid circles indicate direct velocity measurements; open circles show velocities extrapolated from strain rate data. The “best” and “minimum” velocity curves across hg have been extended past the “g” end of the gate (vertical dotted line) to show how they are connected to the measured velocity at station H9 (see Fig. 2). Velocity curves are extended beyond the grid southern end of the flow band to a nearby station where absolute velocity was measured.

In Figure 5, the middle curve of ice thickness, marked “best”, corresponds to the contours in Fig. 3. The “minimum” and “maximum” curves depict the thinnest and thickest ice that we consider to be reasonably consistent with the data. In Figure 4b, the “minimum” curve assumes a linear decrease in velocity from the position on the output gate directly downstream of station G9 to station H9, the “maximum” curve assumes no velocity decrease at all within the output gate, and the “best” curve is a smoothly-varying intermediate variation.

Calculations

The parameters used and the results of the calculations for the two flow bands are presented in Table I. Comparison of the mass balance for flow band abcd from Reference Thomas and BentleyThomas and Bentley (1978) (0.34 ±0.15 m a⁻¹) with our corresponding result (0.35 ± 0.15 m a⁻¹) indicates that the calculation was changed insignificantly by re-contouring the ice thickness. Models 2 and 3 for flow band abcd, which include estimates of the effect of the grounded ice, show that a positive value of Ḣ can no longer be demonstrated. This conclusion is strengthened by the likelihood that the deflection of ice around the area of grounded ice would cause a more strongly-divergent flow band than band “abcd” as drawn in Figure 2, thus causing an increase in the width of output gate cd and a consequent increase in the outward mass flux.

Table I.Parameters Used in the Flow-Band Calculations and the Results Obtained

For band efhg, the “maximum” and “minimum” values have been calculated by combining the “maximum” input with the “minimum” output, and the “minimum” input with the “maximum” output, respectively. The “best” value of 0.07 m a⁻¹ for Ḣ is clearly not significantly different from zero.

Conclusions

A previous conclusion of Reference Thomas and BentleyThomas and Bentley (1978) that the ice shelf is thickening is negated if allowance is made for a grounded area in the north-west corner of the ice shelf. Instead, the mass balance evaluated using a reasonable selection of models for both Reference Thomas and BentleyThomas and Bentley’s (1978) original flow band and for a new flow band which excludes the grounded ice, is not significantly different from zero; this means that the ice shelf is not thinning or thickening by a measurable extent at present. Although one cannot infer that the ice shelf is necessarily in steady-state, the data do indicate that a growth or shrinkage of more than about 0.2 m a⁻¹ is unlikely. This is consistent with the findings of Reference Thomas and BentleyThomas and Bentley (1978) for the other two flow bands in the western portion of the ice shelf.