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Multimodal predictors of response to intravenous ketamine in treatment-resistant depression: toward personalized treatment in major depressive and bipolar disorders

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 September 2026

Magda Malewska-Kasprzak*
Affiliation:
Adult Psychiatry, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, Poland
Filip Rybakowski
Affiliation:
Adult Psychiatry, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, Poland
Monika Dmitrzak-Weglarz
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatric Genetics, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, Poznan, Poland
*
Corresponding author: Magda Malewska-Kasprzak; Email: m.malew@poczta.onet.pl
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Abstract

Intravenous ketamine is a rapid-acting intervention for treatment-resistant depression (TRD) in adults with major depressive disorder and bipolar disorder (BD). While efficacy is established, a comprehensive integration of clinical, neurophysiological, biomarker, metabolic, and cognitive predictors remains lacking, limiting precision CNS-targeted therapy. To synthesize recent evidence on multimodal predictors of intravenous ketamine response in TRD and propose a preliminary clinical framework to guide personalized treatment. Following PRISMA guidelines, Scopus, PubMed, EMBASE, and MEDLINE were searched for English-language, peer-reviewed studies published within the last 5 years. Eligible studies included adults receiving intravenous ketamine for depressive disorders. Data were descriptively synthesized to identify consistent predictors, evidence clusters, and research gaps. The review included 150 studies. Key predictors of ketamine response included baseline depressive severity, comorbid anxiety, atypical depression and sleep phenotypes, inflammatory and neuroplastic biomarkers (eg, monocyte count, BDNF), metabolic factors (BMI, vitamin B12), genetic/epigenetic variants, neurophysiological signatures (EEG, TMS, fMRI connectivity), cognitive performance, and early symptomatic improvement. Integrative analysis suggests that glutamatergic, circadian, and inflammatory mechanisms interact to shape interindividual variability. Limitations include methodological heterogeneity and scarce long-term outcome data. Intravenous ketamine response in TRD is multifactorial, reflecting clinical phenotype, CNS biomarkers, neurophysiology, metabolism, and genetics. This review proposes a preliminary research framework and pilot clinical questionnaire intended to facilitate future investigation of individualized treatment approaches. However, most proposed predictors remain exploratory and require prospective validation before clinical implementation.

Information

Type
Review
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Flow diagram of a systematic selection of intravenous ketamine publications according to PRISMA guidelines (See also section “Strategy for literature search”). *Record excluded using automated tools built-in database and bibliography manager. **Record excluded by a researcher.Figure 1. long description.

Figure 1

Table 1. Biomarkers to Intravenous Ketamine in TRDTable 1. long description.

Figure 2

Table 2. Clinical, Metabolic, Neurophysiological, and Psychological Predictors of IV Ketamine Response in TRD for MDD and BDTable 2. long description.

Figure 3

Figure 2. Predictors of IV ketamine response in TRD.Figure 2. long description.

Figure 4

Figure 3. Clinical algorithm for IV ketamine candidate selection.

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