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Geographic bias in the fossil record: tests using Chinese early Paleozoic echinoderms

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 September 2026

Christopher R. C. Paul*
Affiliation:
School of Earth Sciences, University of Bristol , United Kingdom
Yingyan Mao
Affiliation:
Key Laboratory of Economic Stratigraphy and Palaeogeography, Nanjing Institute of Geology and Paleontology, Chinese Academy of Sciences , China
*
Corresponding author: Christopher R. C. Paul; Email: glcrcp@bristol.ac.uk

Abstract

The greater diversity of fossils known from North America and Europe, plus the correlation between outcrop area and paleobiodiversity, introduce a potential bias in the fossil record. We develop tests to detect actual bias using recent discoveries of Chinese early Paleozoic fossil echinoderms and the idea that geographic bias can exist only if poorly known parts of the globe contain novel fossils yet unknown to science. Fossil echinoderms had complex skeletons requiring rapid burial, so proportionately more novel forms may be undiscovered. Echinoderm diversity was high in the early Paleozoic, and this time interval includes several Chinese fossil Lagerstätten that enhance the chances of discovering novelties. Chinese fossil echinoderms are categorized as “genuine novelties” or “more of the same.” We use taxonomic, phylogenetic, and morphological approaches because some novel echinoderms are undescribed and cannot be used in a taxonomic assessment alone. Results suggest that the known Chinese early Paleozoic echinoderm fauna is predominantly more of the same. Nevertheless, historic discovery curves show that knowledge of Chinese fossil echinoderms is increasing rapidly, so they are still poorly known. If significantly novel echinoderms are rare, as recent discoveries elsewhere suggest, then Chinese fossil echinoderms need further exploration to discover the rarities. Our preliminary results need confirmation. A potential explanation of our results is that modern continents include sedimentary rocks deposited in different provinces during the early Paleozoic, so each may well provide an adequate sample on which to build global diversity curves.

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Articles
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Paleontological Society
Figure 0

Figure 1. Map of modern China showing tectonic blocks and distribution of significant lower Paleozoic echinoderm fossil sites. Note the concentration in the South China Block.Figure 1. long description.

Figure 1

Table 1. Number of entries for lower Paleozoic pelmatozoan echinoderms in Bassler and Moodey (1943)Table 1. long description.

Figure 2

Table 2. Lower Paleozoic echinoderms known from China by 1943Table 2. long description.

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Table 3. Cambrian echinoderms known from ChinaTable 3. long description.

Figure 4

Table 4. Ordovician echinoderms known from ChinaTable 4. long description.

Figure 5

Table 5. Silurian echinoderms known from ChinaTable 5. long description.

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Figure 2. Generalized discovery curve. N = number of specimens; % = percentage of total biota known. In this case, even at 100 specimens, > 20% of the biota would be unknown but there would be no point in collecting beyond 600 as all the species would have been found. Redrawn from Paul (1982, fig. 2).

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Figure 3. Historic discovery curves for F = families (leftmost scale), G = genera (left scale), S = species (right scale) of Rhombifera and Diploporita from 1772 to 1975. Note that most of the families were known by 1900, but both genera and species were still increasing rapidly after 1950. Redrawn from Paul (1982, fig. 13, p. 103).Figure 3. long description.

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Figure 4. Cumulative number of publications (N) on Paleozoic crinoids from 1758 to 2018. Data from Webster (2014, appendix 1; Webster and Webster, 2019, supplement 1). Note the slow start followed by an exponential increase, especially since 1850.Figure 4. long description.

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Figure 5. Cumulative rate of discovery of Chinese lower Paleozoic echinoderm species. Note the curve starts at the very end of the nineteenth century and resembles an effort curve rather than a discovery curve. There are many more Chinese lower Paleozoic echinoderms still to be found. N = number of species; Date = time of first description.Figure 5. long description.

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Table 6. Currently known geographic occurrence of a random sample of 294 Paleozoic crinoid generaTable 6. long description.