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Modeling Repressive Policing: Computational Analysis of Protocols from the Israeli State Commission of Inquiry into the October 2000 Events

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 December 2021

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Abstract

This article addresses the gap between normative expectations of the right to protest in liberal democracies and the continued practice of repressive protest policing. The empirical literature has identified three types of factors explaining repressive policing: macro- or societal-level factors, meso-level factors relating to the police organization, and micro-level factors pertaining to specific events. Yet these factors provide only a fragmented understanding of the phenomenon. In this article, we put forward a novel three-tiered methodology of scaled reading, which is able to examine all these explanations together. We use scaled reading to analyze the protocols of the Or Commission of Inquiry, which investigated lethal clashes between the Israeli police and Israel’s Arab minority in October 2000. Through large-scale algorithmic topic modeling, we found that all types of empirical explanations of repressive policing co-exist within the October events. The mid-scale analysis revealed that no type of explanation exclusively belongs to a specific group of actors. The small-scale reading of the most representative documents for each topic demonstrated that this coexistence of mechanisms is also present within single testimonies. Together, our findings challenge existing empirical categories and illuminate repressive policing as a nonlinear, nonbinary, noncausal, and nonunitary phenomenon. These insights help make sense of the phenomenon’s persistence in deeply divided societies.

Information

Type
Articles
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the American Bar Foundation
Figure 0

Figure 1. Topic modeling of the Or corpus presented by clusters, topic names, and the twenty most prominent terms per topic.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Topic distribution based on speaker group identities. Each bar shows the prevalence (Y-axis value) of the topic within the documents associated with that speaker group.

Figure 2

Figure 3. Topical composition of each speaker group. The bars display the distribution and prevalence (Y-axis value) of topics for each of the five speaker groups.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Most-representative documents of Topic 13 as calculated using the nearest centroid model. Each document is represented as a dot in the plot where the y-axis is the probability and the x-axis is the distance from center; the nearest-centroid document is the one most to the left, where the distance is lowest (put in the caption of the figure for only one topic).