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Factors driving change in the French horse industry to 2030

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 November 2013

C. Jez*
Affiliation:
INRA, Department of Scientific Expertise, Foresight and Advanced Studies, 147 Rue de l'Université, 75338 Paris, France
B. Coudurier
Affiliation:
INRA, CODIR, 147 Rue de l'Université, 75338 Paris, France
M. Cressent
Affiliation:
Research and Innovation Department, French Institute for Horse and Horse Riding, 61310 Exmes, France
F. Méa
Affiliation:
French Institute for Horse and Horse Riding, 83-85, Bd Vincent Auriol, 75013 Paris, France

Abstract

On the basis of a review of the industry, the dynamics of past trends and current questions about its future, the foresight panel identified around 40 drivers of change likely to impact the future of the horse industry. These were categorised, prioritised and organised into five components that formed the basis of the scenario-building exercise:

  • • the economic and societal context;

  • • public expectations of horses and of equestrian and horseracing activities;

  • • public policy and regulation;

  • • equestrianism and horseracing;

  • • the organisation and strategies of horse producers.

This chapter presents the main trends and future outlooks for the factors encompassed within these five major thematic areas synthesised in microscenarios.

Information

Type
Full Paper
Copyright
Copyright © The Animal Consortium 2013 
Figure 0

Figure 1 Trend in horsemeat consumption (FranceAgriMer data).

Figure 1

Figure 2 Memberships and other forms of participation, all sports considered (a) (Crosnier and Boisson, 2004) and for horseriding (b) (FFE data).

Figure 2

Figure 3 Allocation of horseracing stakes, 1999 to 2010, in billions of euro (IFCE).

Figure 3

Figure 4 Growth in equestrian centres, members and membership per centre (FFE).

Figure 4

Figure 5 Changes to FFE membership numbers by population density of French departments, only departments with significant change shown (FFE and SSP data – statistics and forecasting service of the ministry responsible for agriculture – numbers refer to French departmental code number – 92, 93, 94 and 75 being Ile-de-France departments).

Figure 5

Figure 6 Clubs, per discipline, involved in club-level competition 2001 to 2011(FFE). Note: Endurance underestimated in 2001.

Figure 6

Table 1 Available data on hourly riding rates, 1980s to 2000s

Figure 7

Figure 7 Share of individual disciplines in competitive events at all levels, 2001–2011 (Réseau REFErences, 2011b). Note: Endurance underestimated in 2001.

Figure 8

Table 2 Relative increase, by discipline, in competitions held, 2001 to 2011

Figure 9

Figure 8 Number of competitions, races and horse starts, 1999 to 2010 (FNCF).

Figure 10

Figure 9 Breeder revenue sources (Heydemann et al., 2011).

Figure 11

Figure 10 Diagram of horse breeder types (Couzy, 2007).

Figure 12

Figure 11 Horse breeding techniques (IFCE SIRE database).

Figure 13

Figure 12 Use of sport, recreational and draught horses (Heydemann et al., 2011).