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Nephroprotective effects of GLP-1 receptor agonists in patients receiving lithium treatment: a multinational cohort study using the TriNetX network

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  09 June 2026

Roger S. McIntyre*
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, University of Toronto , Canada
Yanli Zhang-James
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, SUNY Upstate Medical University Norton College of Medicine , USA
Joseph F. Goldberg
Affiliation:
Department of Psychiatry, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, USA
Angela T.H. Kwan
Affiliation:
Brain and Cognition Discovery Foundation , Canada University of Toronto, Canada
*
Corresponding author: Roger S. McIntyre; Email: roger.mcintyre@bcdf.org
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Abstract

Background

Use of GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) is an established therapy that delays progression of chronic kidney disease in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), but their impact on lithium-associated nephrotoxicity is unclear. We evaluated whether GLP-1 RA use is associated with reduced renal risk in adults receiving long-term lithium therapy.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective, propensity score-matched cohort study using TriNetX electronic health records (>127 million patients across 109 healthcare organizations). Adults (≥18 years) with T2DM and lithium exposure within 2 years prior to index were included. The primary outcome was renal nephrotoxicity, defined as a composite of ICD-10 and CPT-coded renal disease. Incidence and time-to-event outcomes were assessed using Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models.

Results

In a 24-month analysis of 452 matched patient pairs, GLP-1 RA initiation during lithium therapy was associated with a marked reduction in renal events versus lithium alone (23.5% vs 44.7%), corresponding to a risk difference of −21.2% (95% CI -36.9 to −5.5) and a risk ratio of 0.53 (95% CI 0.30–0.91; p = 0.013). Event-free survival was higher (62.5% vs 43.4%; log-rank p = 0.0115), with a hazard ratio of 0.45 (95% CI 0.23–0.85; p = 0.0089). This represents a 47% relative risk reduction and a number needed to treat (NNT) of 5 over 24 months.

Conclusion

These findings support further mechanistic and prospective studies of GLP-1 RAs as a renoprotective strategy for patients receiving lithium treatment.

Information

Type
Original Research
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Cohort derivation and analytic design: flowchart illustrating patient selection and construction of matched comparator groups to disentangle the independent effects of GLP-1 receptor agonists and lithium.Figure 1. long description.

Figure 1

Table 1. Baseline Clinical and Demographic Profile of Adults with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Recent Lithium Exposure: Comparison of Patients Treated with GLP-1 Receptor Agonists versus Lithium, Controls Without GLP-1 Exposure, Before and After Propensity Score MatchingTable 1. long description.

Figure 2

Figure 2. Comparative risk of composite nephrotoxicity across primary and sensitivity analyses in matched cohorts of adults with type 2 diabetes. Forest plot of relative risks (95% confidence intervals) derived from independent 1:1 propensity score-matched cohorts. The primary analysis (blue) contrasts lithium-exposed adults initiating GLP-1 receptor agonists with matched lithium-treated individuals not exposed to GLP-1 receptor agonists. The sensitivity analysis (orange) contrasts combined GLP-1 receptor agonist plus lithium therapy with matched GLP-1 receptor agonist monotherapy to further isolate lithium-associated risk.

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