17.1 Introduction
The Court of Justice of the European Union (the CJEU or the Court) has been central to the development of the European project, and its role in fostering European integration is widely acknowledged. From early on, the Court was presented as the motor of EU integration, capable of issuing key legal decisions with a high transformative power and then relying on its authoritative force to have them implemented by national courts.Footnote 1 This role has, however, not gone unnoticed or uncriticised. The Court has frequently been accused of activism, favouring EU integration over Member State preferences and economic goals over social ones. Ultimately, the main complaint relates to the Court’s alleged capacity to set the direction of EU integration: legal integration impacts on political integration; domestic policies and political preferences are overturned by the Court and the supremacy of EU law.
Whereas judicial power is often said to mark EU integration, the actual impact of the CJEU and its ability to generate policy change remains disputed. What happens after a ruling is issued by the Court is, to an important extent, still a black box and occupies a space of stark disagreements in EU law and politics. In this chapter, we examine how the rulings of the CJEU might impact public policy at the EU (horizontal) and national (vertical) levels, that is, the extent to which the Court’s decisions shape the policy output of other processes.Footnote 2 Consequently, our understanding of public policy is broad and includes any choice by political, executive, and judicial actors.Footnote 3 We further consider different decision types (from contained compliance to over-compliance), including instances in which the decision of the political actors is to not act (negative or non-decisions).Footnote 4
While there is no agreed framework for directly assessing the impact of the Court in the design, modification, and implementation of policy, most accounts focus on the extent to which the Court is capable of driving integration. These theories explore the extent to which the CJEU can push integration against the political preferences of other actors, or by taking those preferences into account. The divide between intergovernmentalism and neofunctionalism remains the central point of debate. Most of the discussion revolves around how other actors influence and react to the rulings of the Court, and how the Court takes this input into account. Thus, both theories provide a good entry point to think about the Court’s impact on policy. However, we will argue in this chapter that we need to move beyond this divide to properly address impact as an autonomous area of study.
Intergovernmentalist approaches highlight the influence of Member States’ preferences on the decisions taken by the CJEU.Footnote 5 Intergovernmental logic argues that politics drives integration, and that national policy preferences define judicial outcomes.Footnote 6 The Court is likely to make a decision in the sense of preserving national interests if several Member States have argued for such an outcome in their interventions.Footnote 7 The reason for this is that the Court has a limited impact when its rulings contradict the preferences of the Member States, who could override that decision with new or amended legislation or lack of implementation. Overturning or defying a ruling means refusing its general impact and isolating the design of public policy at both the EU and domestic level from the influence of the Court.
For neofunctionalists, the Court is relatively insulated from the influence of the Member StatesFootnote 8 and can take decisions independently of the preferences of Member States or, more generally, of other political constraints. The possibility of override is remote and does not significantly influence the Court. Moreover, the Treaties are ‘incomplete contracts’ and require specification in legislation and judicial decisions.Footnote 9 In terms of impact, this implies that the Court can define policy at the EU level and in the national legal orders, as the possibility of overturning its decisions is, at best, slim.
While these theories remain central in understanding the political impact of the Court, they are less specific about the concrete impact of its rulings in designing, modifying, and implementing policy at the EU and national levels. Yet, a lot of research in the last two decades has tried to investigate precisely that, building on different theories, methodologies, and disciplines, and frequently focusing on concrete case studies in specific policy areas. While these different literatures shed light on several aspects, they do not speak to each other and, consequently, provide only a patchy or fragmented knowledge of the impact of the Court on policy. It is here where empirical legal studies (ELS) can provide a research agenda aiming to achieve a global view of this phenomenon and bridge the distance between the different disciplines and methodologies. Our premise is clear: without empirical research, any estimation of the real impact of the Court’s case law is necessarily incomplete, and the knowledge thus remains to a large extent disconnected from the reality on the ground.
The chapter is structured as follows: Section 17.2 presents the state of the art. As the literature cuts across the fields of both law and political science, our aim is to connect the different approaches. We first summarise the existing research on how the CJEU’s decisions impact on EU policies (horizontal impact) and then examine how the decisions of the Court impact on three policy dimensions at the domestic level (vertical impact): (1) national legislation, (2) administrative practices and enforcement, and (3) national judicial decisions. Section 17.3 reflects on where research gaps remain and how ELS can contribute to filling them.
17.2 State of the Art in EU Law
This section maps out the literature on the policy impact of the CJEU’s decisions. In order to provide a complete picture of the impact of the decisions in policy,Footnote 10 when analysing the potential influence of the Court’s rulings we take into account the three components of public policy as defined by Hall:Footnote 11 (a) the abstract or general policy goals pursued, (b) the concrete policy instruments to implement them, and (c) the operational settings or calibrations used when the instruments are deployed.Footnote 12 Therefore, we look not only at the possible influence of the Court in setting a legislative agenda, but also on how it might affect the concrete formulation of the policy and/or its implementation at the street level.
This section does not study the policy process as such, but it does consider its different stages (agenda setting, policy formulation, decision-making, policy implementation, and policy evaluation).Footnote 13 It does so along two axes: horizontal and vertical. The former refers to the impact of the Court on policy at the EU level and thus focuses on how other EU actors are constrained, or not, by the case law of the Court. The latter explores the impact of the Court’s rulings at the domestic level. This distinction is useful to systematise the literature, but these two axes are not completely disconnected: for instance, Member States might be impacted by the judgments not only in the production of their national policies, but also as members of the Council.
17.2.1 Horizontal Impact
17.2.1.1 The Dynamic Court
The dynamic view perceives the CJEU as able to drive political and social change, and thus seriously limit the autonomy of the legislator. Yet, the extent of these limitations is difficult to grasp and the existing literature is only partially helpful: research is circumscribed to individual case studies or policy areas, making comparisons difficult. Furthermore, concepts are used differently by different authors (see below the example of codification), further muddling the picture.
The Court’s competences on constitutional review allow it to set the parameters of legislation and, to a certain extent, the agenda of integration. The idea is captured by Stone Sweet: the legislator passes an act, already taking into account possible challenges before the Court.Footnote 14 The act is eventually reviewed by the Court at the initiative of some actors. As it should, the Court’s ruling settles the matter, and in so doing specifies the parameters of any future amendment (or new piece of legislation), and removes policy options from the agenda.Footnote 15 In this way, the Court is also able to influence how an issue is perceived by potential decision-makers and stakeholders, further granting it discursive, agenda-setting power. For what is relevant here, this means that the Court can influence stakeholders’ views on the validity and viability of certain policy options and, importantly, the rulings of the Court ‘can durably shape the terms of a policy issue, creating a relatively systematic bias in favour of certain solutions or, on the contrary, invalidating others’.Footnote 16
The fragmented nature of politics enhances judicial power and translates to difficulties, or a downright impossibility, to overturn unwanted judicial responses.Footnote 17 Consequently, the dynamic court view expects codification to be the response to judicial lawmaking, that is, that legislation will incorporate the decisions of the Court, ‘as part of a self-sustaining dynamic’,Footnote 18 as it is easier to simply accept a policy proposal than it is to amend it, in this case via legislation.Footnote 19
Lawyers have remained particularly sceptical of the risks of override.Footnote 20 The main argument against the existence of a threat of override is the high degree of constitutionalisation or, indeed, over-constitutionalisationFootnote 21 of the EU: any decision of the Court concerning the interpretation of the Treaty determines the meaning of primary law and sets the scenario for what the legislator may or may not do in future legislative proceedings. Because the Treaties are incomplete contracts, the Court has many opportunities in its rulings to establish a connection with primary law, particularly the market freedoms, so that its interpretations become constitutionalised.Footnote 22 A Treaty amendment is necessary to override such rulings.Footnote 23 The difficulties to amend the Treaties are evident. Unsurprisingly then, some authors posit that there is not a single significant example of successful legislative override of a ruling of the Court.Footnote 24 Davies goes as far as saying that ‘the Commission, Council and Parliament display collective legislative subservience to the Court’.Footnote 25 In his view, the legislator in the EU acts as an ‘agent’ of the Court and has no capacity to force the law in a certain direction. At most, the legislator can try to nudge or persuade the Court.Footnote 26
17.2.1.2 The Constrained Court
The opposite view posits that the CJEU is not an independent agent of change, capable of prescribing policy choices, but rather depends on the Member States.Footnote 27 When in disagreement with a decision, Member States might decide to ignore, modify, or override the Court legislatively.
Recent empirical literature shows that the Court is indeed influenced by the threat of override: it takes into account the submissions of the Member States and exercises judicial restraint.Footnote 28 Naurin and Larsson demonstrate that the Court is particularly receptive to the observations against a given outcome in areas of qualified majority voting, where the risk of override is higher.Footnote 29 Yet, they find that only an exceptional unity among Member States can match the impact of the observations of the Commission and the Advocate General. The Court equally pays attention to the submissions of the Member States to decide on the degree of deference that it will allow national courts in a ruling.Footnote 30
This literature suggests that the influence of the Court is conditioned, and its role in policy-making, overstated.Footnote 31 The influence of the Court depends on ‘how a larger set of forces might align to overcome Member State resistance’,Footnote 32 which makes it necessary to investigate the conditions under which a ruling becomes influential and may result in policy impact.Footnote 33 These examples highlight the need to move beyond the antagonistic categories of override/codification to capture the nuances in the interactions between the legal and the political in EU policy-making.Footnote 34 Recent research has added to the conceptual and empirical toolboxes to fill this lacuna.
First, Martinsen has developed a taxonomy of four possible responses from the EU legislator to the case law of the Court. The first two, codification and override, are derived from the scholarly debate and represent the two extreme sides of judicial influence. Codification implies that the output of the Court is incorporated to EU legislation on the Court’s terms. If the Court is overridden, the judgment has no impact. Martinsen adds two intermediate categories to possible responses from politics to the rulings of the Court: non-adoption and modification. Non-adoption occurs when political actors are unable or unwilling to respond collectively to the Court’s jurisprudence and no further legislative actions are therefore taken. In this situation, case law does not result in policy change.
Modification, on the other hand, constitutes an active political response to judicial integration and represents an inter-category between codification and override. With modification, the Court’s interpretation is not overruled but ruled in, meaning the impact of its case law is confined by the legislature. The concrete instruments of modification come from the adoption of specific articles in EU legislation, which constitute a partial refusal of a principle, doctrine, or specific interpretation coined by the Court, by for example inserting conditions or exemptions to such principles or doctrines. Modification thus extends Member States’ discretion and control and hereby reduces the policy impact of the case law on the ground. For instance, Article 24 of the Citizens’ Rights Directive (CRD)Footnote 35 includes a modification of the ruling in Grzelczyk,Footnote 36 which states that Member States are not obliged to confer entitlement to study grants or student loans to students from other Member States before acquiring permanent residence.Footnote 37
Second, and similarly, Larsson distinguishes constitutional and political override. The former constitutes ‘constitutional revisions of or challenges to a court’s mandate and by extension its authority’,Footnote 38 while political overrides are ‘any change to a court decision which affects the court’s desired outcome’.Footnote 39 Larsson identifies three types of political override: politicians might nullify a decision of the Court, modify it or insulate an adjacent policy area from ‘the consequences of the decision, such that the same case would have been decided in the same way but subsequent cases would be decided differently’.Footnote 40 Larsson finds no example of constitutional override in the case law of the Court, but identifies seven instances of the political one. For instance, he also states that the CRD nullified the rulings in Bidar and Grzelczyk by establishing an exception to the principle of non-discrimination for students.
17.2.2 Vertical Impact
17.2.2.1 Impact on National Legislation
Changes in national legislation, when they occur, are the most visible policy impact of the Court’s judgments. To what extent such impact actually takes place, however, largely depends on the conditions at the national level. In particular, Member States might be able to make their policies ‘CJEU-proof’ after a ruling by building alliances at the national level.Footnote 41 Moreover, the rulings of the Court might offer room for various policy responses at the domestic level.Footnote 42
Where rulings of the Court impact national policies, scholars have identified two main responses to judicial decisions by national authorities: ‘contained compliance’ and ‘far-reaching adjustments’. Contained compliance refers to instances in which a Member State implements or complies strictly with the concrete judgment without any further or more general changes to the affected policy.Footnote 43 In other words, the Member State limits changes in their domestic policies to the bare minimum required to comply with the individual Court judgment and keeps the rest of the policy untouched. Yet, it is also noted that mobilisation by organisational or institutional actors is capable of preventing such containment.Footnote 44
Far-reaching adjustments are particularly likely to follow a judgment when individual litigants rely on it to push for policy changes at the national level.Footnote 45 Yet, Member States might introduce policy adjustments in an attempt to preserve some regulatory control. This might be particularly relevant, as ‘contained compliance measures’ can trigger even more judicial challenges, which are more difficult to contain for governments as they do not control national courts.Footnote 46 Put differently, governments might opt for ‘anticipatory obedience’,Footnote 47 and ‘choose to define rather than to be defined’.Footnote 48 On occasion, national governments might opt for a combination of both strategies to shield their national policy preferences. For instance, to keep its state monopoly over gambling, Finland first adopted a contained compliance strategy, only responding to the rulings of the Court in a limited manner. When this strategy seemed to no longer bear fruit, and facing an infringement procedure, Finland opted for a systematic revision of its legislation on gambling, which allowed it to show sufficient alignment with EU legislation while preserving its key policy preferences.Footnote 49
Faced with the two options, contained compliance or far-reaching adjustments, some scholars argue that Member States will decide based on the distribution of costs connected to legal uncertainty. When the burden is higher for supporters of the status quo pre-judgment, governments will more likely opt for anticipatory obedience, to ‘avoid sustained conflicts’.Footnote 50 In the opposite case, contained compliance is a plausible option, and Member States will resist any policy change. Finally, it should be considered that EU legal constraints are not always clear, so a lot depends on whether national actors are prepared to make use of judicial rulings and how national courts follow suit. For instance, Seikel shows that the highly concentrated Swedish construction sector was more eager to liberalise working conditions via EU law than the Danish building sector, which is composed of smaller firms.Footnote 51
Sometimes, though, governments adopt an over-compliance strategy even where legislation would allow them to limit the extent of the ruling. The reaction of the UK Government following the Court’s judgment in Bidar is a good example:Footnote 52 Faced with Bidar in 2005, the UK government adopted the judgment in a ‘copy-paste fashion’ and granted maintenance support to all students with three years’ residence.Footnote 53 Interestingly, the CRD would have allowed the Government to maintain a stricter, five-year, ‘real link’ period, but it did not do so.Footnote 54 Nor did it change that period after Förster in 2008,Footnote 55 but waited until 2014 to contain the ruling.Footnote 56 Similarly, following the CJEU’s preliminary ruling in Metock,Footnote 57 which replied to a question posed by an Irish court, Italy decided to extend the new, more beneficial rules to its own citizens to avoid reverse discrimination.Footnote 58 At times, over-compliance does not even require a judgment: the Dutch administration went for a far less restrictive interpretation of its migration legislation and issued a residence permit to an Afghan national wishing to reunite with her family in the Netherlands after a national court sent the reference in Imran. The Court did not even have to reply to the question, as the matter had already been solved.Footnote 59
Yet, the Court’s rulings very frequently do not lead to any changes in national legislation. This can happen in two ways: The most obvious one is that a Member State, for whatever reason, decides not to comply with a judgment and consciously chooses not to introduce any changes in national legislation. Such lack of change might also follow from previous judgments of the Court, which in fact pre-empted one or more policy choices at the domestic level. We refer to this as ‘non-decisions’.
The extent to which Member States refuse or fail to implement rulings is hard to estimate, because non-compliance is difficult to detect and official reports are likely to misrepresent reality.Footnote 60 Based on a review of studies on compliance with infringement rulings, Hofmann concludes that compliance is not a given.Footnote 61 For preliminary rulings, compliance is even harder to measure because the national court will still need to deliver a judgment on the application of the preliminary ruling of the case, as the Court can only provide an interpretation of EU law, but not apply it to the facts before the national judge.
Non-decisions refer to instances in which Member States are unable to take a given policy choice because of the constraints imposed by the CJEU case law.Footnote 62 For instance, Shank and Schmidt showed that the case law of the Court on the right of nationals to receive student support when pursuing studies abroad have led many Member States to refrain from introducing any portability in the grants.Footnote 63 Similarly, writing on ‘benefit in kind-substitutes’, Martinsen concludes that the policy options of the Member States in the configuration and practical application of its social services of general interest are limited. As a result, when deciding on this matter Member States might opt for non-decisions in order to prevent, or at least mitigate, the impact of EU law. For example, Martinsen posits that domestic political authorities are likely to ‘think more than twice’ if a given long-term benefit should be designed as a benefit in cash, as the case law of the Court has established that those kinds of benefits can be exported abroad (for instance, Danish pensioners who have taken up residence in Spain).Footnote 64
17.2.2.2 Impact on National Administrative Practices and Enforcement
The Court’s rulings may also impact national administrative and enforcement practices. Admittedly, this type of influence is at times difficult to disentangle from general reactions or legislative changes, but we argue that it is distinct and, to a large extent, independent from changes in legislation. This scenario needs to be taken into account to properly understand the policy impact at the national level of the Court’s case law. After all, administrative bodies bring life to EU law.Footnote 65
Compared to the impact on national legislation and judicial decisions, the impact of the Court’s rulings on the day-to-day work of administrative bodies is less emphasised in the literature, where the focus is once again on national case studies.Footnote 66 Yet, administrative bodies present peculiarities that determine the extent to which they can be influenced in their decisions and policy choices by rulings of the Court. Contrary to national legislators and judges, as a rule administrative bodies have no way to directly engage or interact with the Court. At most, they might defend their position before the Court as any other party to the case. And yet, in the absence of an EU administration, national administrative bodies implement EU law, including judicial rulings, almost entirely on their own.
The impact on administrative bodies is largely dependent on the general legislative framework in which they operate and the incentives of those bodies to opt for one practice or another regarding compliance. Yet, national legislation designed to limit the influence of the Court’s rulings might lead to unintended consequences at the implementation stage. Heindlmaier and Blauberger have shown that the restrictive legislation of access to benefits for non-nationals in Germany and Austria can be interpreted broadly by administrative authorities. Instances of ‘generosity by accident’, where migrants are granted a benefit they are in principle not entitled to, are not uncommon, in particular due to the lack of administrative knowledge regarding how to apply rulings in practice.Footnote 67
National administrators may take the multi-level legal framework in which they operate into account, and may recur to EU law in their decisions, particularly when the national guidelines are unclear or superficial. Dörrenbächer conducted interviews with street-level bureaucrats in Foreign Registration Offices in Germany.Footnote 68 Her results show an awareness of the CJEU case law (interviewees mentioned Chakroun and Dogan), but a preference for the implementation of national legislation and national case law.
Responsiveness to the Court’s judgments when they are not transposed into national legislation or guidelines varies across administrators. For example, in Sahin,Footnote 69 the Court declared that application fees for Turkish citizens and their families had to be in line with the EU-Turkey Association Agreement. The German federal legislature considered for a while that the judgment did not alter the national situation, and a later decision of the Bundesverfassungsgericht declaring the judgment applicable was not immediately transposed. Faced with legal uncertainty, and in the absence of any instructions, some administrators turned to the judgment of the Court and lifted the fees. However, most felt that ‘CJEU rulings confront us sometimes with the situation that national law is no longer applicable, but for us legally binding are of course only the national laws’.Footnote 70
This suggests that administrative units take national law and politics as reference points, which implies that changes arising exclusively from the Court’s case law, without any changes in legislation or policy, are relatively exceptional. In other words, national civil servants usually need specific instructions or a legislative shift to make the CJEU’s rulings impact on their administrative practices.Footnote 71 Indeed, recent research on the application of the Court’s rulings by street-level administration suggests that the lower administration follows signals from their domestic legislative and administrative superiors.Footnote 72 According to this research, lower administrators look for guidance from their political and managerial superiors and as a result tend to contain the Court’s rulings, so the impact of the rulings at the administrative level becomes limited.Footnote 73 Martinsen et al. showed that street-level bureaucrats in Denmark, Austria, and Germany were receptive to the various types of signalling national authorities put into place. Strikingly, and notwithstanding the stark differences between the three legal systems, the domestic signalling led to fairly uniform restrictive practices across the countries.
Furthermore, the design of national administrations might further enhance or limit the impact of the Court’s rulings at the level of implementation. In their study on the impact of negative integration in the meat sector, Blauberger and Schmidt described the enormous impact of the Court’s rulings on posting workers on the meat industry, which is heavily reliant on this type of workers.Footnote 74 They showed that the attempt by Germany to control the impact of the rulings at the legislative level was unsuccessful due to the complexities in Germany’s administration, which ‘allowed companies to remain one step ahead of administrations aiming to control working conditions’.Footnote 75 On the opposite side, Member States have managed not to treat employees on zero-hours contracts as workers by restricting the notion of work. The Court has not been able to push back on these restricted definitions in all cases.Footnote 76
17.2.2.3 Impact on National Judicial Decisions
National courts play a key role within the EU judicial system, not least because their interaction with the Court through the preliminary reference procedure in Article 267 TFEU serves as a bridge between EU citizens and EU law.Footnote 77
National courts might use the interaction with the CJEU through the preliminary reference procedure in different ways. First, they might decide not to interact with the Court. Given that the preliminary reference procedure only works if national judges send references, not interacting is as easy as withholding references.Footnote 78 Rejecting to refer can be due to personal preferences, external guidelines, or legal culture,Footnote 79 or the willingness to shield national legislation and policies. This approach might save national policies for a while, or delay changes, but given that a preliminary ruling is to be implemented across all Member States, regardless of their direct involvement, the strategy might prove short-lived. Most national courts do not have an obligation to refer, which is imposed only on courts of last instance against which there is no possibility of appeal.Footnote 80 The national courts have exclusive competence to decide on the need to refer, and parties cannot force national judges to refer, so a decision of the national court not to refer is unchallengeable.Footnote 81 It is difficult to calculate to what extent courts do not refer when EU law is at stake.Footnote 82 Hübner analysed over 1,000 national cases dealing with the interpretation of EU directives and found that national judges referred a question in 22 per cent of cases.Footnote 83 The fact that national courts do not refer in four out of five cases involving the interpretation of a directive might indicate that EU law is routinely applied by national judges, but it equally raises a question regarding Eurolegalism – that is, the legislator’s reliance on detailed, transparent, judicially enforceable ‘rights’ backed with public enforcement litigation and enhanced opportunities for private litigation by individuals, interest groups, and firmsFootnote 84 – as a mode of governance.Footnote 85
A second option is non-compliance: national judges might refer a question to the Court but then avoid the implementation of the ruling. Hofmann identifies three ways in which non-compliance by national courts occurs: the national court might decide to resend the question, state that the interpretation provided by the Court does not apply to the facts of the case, or simply ignore the interpretation of the Court without expressing overt disagreement.Footnote 86 After a review of the literature, Hofmann concludes that non-compliance among national courts is uneven, and oscillates between 4–10 per cent of cases in the studies he reviews.Footnote 87
Third, national courts might use their interaction with the Court precisely to foster policy changes at the national level. In this sense, national courts might rely on the judgments of the Court to gain advantage in conflicts with other courts within the national legal order.Footnote 88 For instance, German labour courts referred the question that led to Mangold as a way to shield their activist case law on anti-discrimination from a more restrictive reading by the Constitutional Court.Footnote 89 Spanish judges flooded the Court with questions on consumer protection, in a (successful) attempt to bypass the outdated Spanish legislation on mortgage contracts.Footnote 90 In this regard, national courts can send very specific questions to the Court,Footnote 91 and include ‘pre-emptive opinions’, in which they indicate their preference as to how the question should be answered.Footnote 92 Moreover, national courts might build on the Court’s rulings to go for activist or expansive interpretations than those requested by the Court, thus promoting broader policy changes at the national level.Footnote 93 This strategy might prove ephemeral, though, if the national legislator can constrain national courts. For instance, German social courts’ generous reading of the right to social benefits of EU citizens was quickly countered by a legislative modification in Germany, which ironically was made possible by rulings of the Court granting Member States more autonomy to restrict social benefits to foreigners.Footnote 94
17.3 Conclusion
In this chapter, we explored the policy impact of the judgments of the Court of Justice. We aimed at conceptualising this impact drawing on theories of integration and systematising the many examples in the literature. In so doing, we proposed to disentangle the study of policy impact from the more frequent, and broader, study of the political impact of the Court. We posit that a clearer, more exhaustive view can be gained from keeping the focus on the way in which the rulings of the CJEU shape public policy at the EU and national levels. To do so, we argued that a new methodological approach is needed, and the first step is to differentiate the impact of the Court’s rulings horizontally (on EU public policy) and vertically (on national public policy). We examined the literature on policy impact along these two lines.
Our review highlighted that research in this area is rich. Research on the horizontal level is more prominent, and a lot of the discussion has centred on conceptual divergences and a strong focus on constitutionalisation. This literature is also not definitive as per the extent of the impact of the Court’s rulings in the legislative output of the Union. While some authors see the impact of the Court considerably limited by the EU legislator, others go as far as to consider the EU legislator as ‘an agent of the Court’. This disagreement seems largely a disciplinary divide: political scientists see more limitations to the influence of the Court than legal scholars, who focus on the effects and consequences of the over-constitutionalisation of EU law and legal integration.
At the vertical level, most scholars look at individual case studies, focusing on concrete policy areas (most frequently social law) in a given country or set of countries and within a temporal framework. The literature review carried out in this chapter suggested that the impact of the Court on national policies varies greatly across Member States and policy fields. Indeed, even with similar conditions, the degree to which Member States are able to shape their own policies differs greatly, and any study of the influence in national policies needs to take the domestic conditions into account.Footnote 95 As a result, we have only limited knowledge on how the Court’s judgments impact policy at the domestic level.
Research in the area might appear patchy, which in our view is due to the varied methodologies, disciplines, and theories on which it relies. Indeed, the studies reviewed are grounded on different traditions, from political science to sociology and economy or law, and are thus interested in different aspects and provide diverse findings. Even if much is gained from delving into this research, what is missing is a connection between the different strings, leaving knowledge in this domain, to a large extent, fragmented. Consequently, we lack a comprehensive understanding of the policy impact of the Court and our knowledge remains unavoidably limited.
We posit that for more exhaustive and generalisable knowledge we need a more comprehensive framework and better empirical strategies. This is where ELS can make a significant contribution, one which could expand our understanding of the Court. We propose to start from what seems the most obvious, peremptory need: a research agenda aimed at building bridges and connections between the different strands of the literature in order to provide a more comprehensive view of the policy impact of the Court. For instance, a new and comprehensive empirical strategy could overcome the seemingly strict division between the dynamic and constrained views on the Court, which would also provide more nuance on the extent and effect of negative integration.
ELS is ideally situated for connecting strands in the literature and developing new strategies for the study of the Court given its strong methodological grounds and its intrinsic interdisciplinary nature. In this sense, the chapter highlights many aspects in which more comprehensive research could greatly improve our understanding of the Court. For instance, we still know little on the implementation of judgments of the Court at the national level, particularly in fields outside of social policy. Similarly, little is known about the administrative application of Court’s judgments, even though ultimately national administrations are in charge of EU law on the ground. We believe that a growing awareness on the need of transparency will provide ample opportunities for gathering new data, hence allowing access to the material needed for developing a solid empirical strategy for the study of impact.
Notwithstanding the promise of ELS for the study of policy impact of the Court, this chapter has not concealed the myriad difficulties in measuring that impact. These difficulties are logical for several reasons: First, compared to legislation, judgments have a certain degree of ambiguity, which necessarily affects their influence.Footnote 96 Second, and perhaps more importantly, measuring the impact or influence of the Court’s judgments is complex, insofar as it involves a multiplicity of factors, not always apparent, and access to data, which is oftentimes not public. Thus, even if ELS open new and promising ways for studying impact by the Court, any empirical legal scholar should take the difficulties and limitations of this approach into consideration to be successful. Some of these difficulties are intrinsic to the project and common to any interdisciplinary research: how to define policy impact? How to measure it? Other problems are of a more pragmatic nature. Perhaps most pressingly, the poor availability of data hampers large quantitative studies data: decisions of national courts are not always published and administrative decisions are rarely public. Establishing what is realistic and implementable will simultaneously show the potential and the limitations of ELS. However, we have recent examples of how limitations in data access might be overcome by interdisciplinary approaches and coordinated work between different disciplines.Footnote 97 We suggest this as a new inroad for improving the study of the policy impact of the Court.
