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Social disparities and the COVID-19, influenza, and RSV ‘tripledemic’ in Ontario, Canada: A population-based study

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 September 2026

Evan Mitchell*
Affiliation:
Applied Mathematics, University of Waterloo, Canada
Haiyan Zhu
Affiliation:
Applied Mathematics, University of Waterloo, Canada
Tiffany Fitzpatrick
Affiliation:
University of Toronto Dalla Lana School of Public Health , Canada
Aditi Majoe
Affiliation:
School of Public Health Sciences, University of Waterloo, Canada
Naheemot Olaoluwa Sule
Affiliation:
Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Canada
Roberto Guglielmi
Affiliation:
Applied Mathematics, University of Waterloo, Canada
Zahid Ahmad Butt
Affiliation:
School of Public Health Sciences, University of Waterloo, Canada
*
Corresponding author: Evan Mitchell; Email: evan.mitchell@uwaterloo.ca
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Abstract

We examined inequalities in weekly hospitalization rates related to COVID-19, influenza, and respiratory syncytial virus based on neighbourhood-level material deprivation, neighbourhood-level ethno-racial diversity, rurality, and sex. Hospitalization rates were measured as the weekly number of hospitalizations per 10 000 people. Local regression models were used to fit observed weekly hospitalization rates within each study year and each population subgroup, and statistical significance of between-subgroup differences in peak hospitalization rate was assessed based on the overlap of 95% confidence intervals. We also provided comparisons of pre-pandemic (July 2017–June 2020) versus post-pandemic (July 2020–June 2023) trends. More materially deprived neighbourhoods showed up to a 2.5-times increase in peak weekly hospitalization rates compared to less materially deprived neighbourhoods. Peak hospitalization rates were up to 2.3-times higher among more versus less diverse neighbourhoods. Some age groups showed peak hospitalization rates up to 2.8-times higher among urban residents. Peak hospitalization rates were up to 1.3-times higher in younger males versus younger females and up to 1.6-times higher in older females versus older males. Variations due to neighbourhood-level material deprivation, neighbourhood-level ethno-racial diversity, rurality, and sex should be considered when designing and implementing public health policies aiming to reduce respiratory virus burden.

Information

Type
Original Paper
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. Weekly age-specific hospital admission rates due to influenza (orange), RSV (magenta), and COVID-19 (blue). Points represent observed data, while lines and shaded bands represent local regression curves and associated 95% confidence intervals. Note: Vertical axis scales differ between rows.Figure 1. long description.

Figure 1

Figure 2. Weekly age-specific hospital admission rates for high (orange) and low (blue) levels of neighbourhood-level material deprivation. Points represent observed data, while lines and shaded bands represent local regression curves and associated 95% confidence intervals. Note: Vertical axis scales differ between rows.Figure 2. long description.

Figure 2

Figure 3. Weekly age-specific hospital admission rates for least (orange) and most (blue) ethno-racially diverse neighbourhoods. Points represent observed data, while lines and shaded bands represent local regression curves and associated 95% confidence intervals. Note: Vertical axis scales differ between rows.Figure 3. long description.

Figure 3

Figure 4. Weekly age-specific hospital admission rates for rural (orange) and urban (blue) residents. Points represent observed data, while lines and shaded bands represent local regression curves and associated 95% confidence intervals. Note: Vertical axis scales differ between rows.Figure 4. long description.

Figure 4

Figure 5. Weekly age-specific hospital admission rates for female (orange) and male (blue) sex. Points represent observed data, while lines and shaded bands represent local regression curves and associated 95% confidence intervals. Note: Vertical axis scales differ between rows.Figure 5. long description.

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