Hostname: page-component-74656f9884-j7cmm Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2026-11-06T03:56:25.307Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Intensified Regulatory Scrutiny and Bank Distress in New York City During the Great Depression

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 June 2009

Gary Richardson*
Affiliation:
Associate Professor, Department of Economics, 3151 Social Science Plaza, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697-5100 and NBER. E-mail: garyr@uci.edu.
Patrick Van Horn*
Affiliation:
Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, 4901 Evergreen Road, University of Michigan, Dearborn, MI 48128. E-mail: patrickv@umd.umich.edu.
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Bank distress peaked in New York City, at the center of the United States money market, in July and August 1931, when the banking crisis peaked in Germany and before Britain abandoned the gold standard. This article tests competing theories about the causes of New York's banking crisis. The cause appears to have been intensified regulatory scrutiny, which was a delayed reaction to the failure of the Bank of United States, rather than the exposure of money center banks to events overseas.

Information

Type
ARTICLES
Copyright
Copyright © The Economic History Association 2009
Figure 0

Figure 1 WEEKLY HAZARD FOR LIQUIDATION AND CONSOLIDATION DUE TO DISTRESS NEW YORK CITY, JULY 1930 THROUGH MARCH 1933

Notes: The hazard function is a non-parametric estimate constructed by smoothing raw hazard rates (i.e., the number of bank liquidations divided by the number of banks at risk each week and the number of consolidations due to financial difficulties divided by the number of banks at risk in each week). The kernel is Epanechnikov. The bandwidth is two weeks, which is wide enough to reveal trends without obscuring short-term shifts in the probability of failure.Source: See the text.
Figure 1

Table 1 BANK DISTRESS IN NEW YORK CITY, 1929 TO 1933

Figure 2

Table 2 BANK SUPERVISION AND DISTRESS IN NEW YORK CITY JANUARY 1930 UNTIL THE NATIONAL BANKING HOLIDAY IN MARCH 1933

Figure 3

Table 3 PANEL LOGIT ESTIMATES OF PROBABILITY OF DISTRESS

Figure 4

Table 4 IMPACT OF INTENSIFIED INSPECTION REGIME PREDICTED PROBABILITY OF FAILURE ACROSS FOUR PERIODS AT RISK