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Asymptotic variance for random walk Metropolis chains in high dimensions: logarithmic growth via the Poisson equation

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 November 2019

Aleksandar Mijatović*
Affiliation:
University of Warwick and The Alan Turing Institute
Jure Vogrinc*
Affiliation:
University of Warwick
*
* Postal address: Department of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK.
* Postal address: Department of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK.
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Abstract

There are two ways of speeding up Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms: (a) construct more complex samplers that use gradient and higher-order information about the target and (b) design a control variate to reduce the asymptotic variance. While the efficiency of (a) as a function of dimension has been studied extensively, this paper provides the first results linking the efficiency of (b) with dimension. Specifically, we construct a control variate for a d-dimensional random walk Metropolis chain with an independent, identically distributed target using the solution of the Poisson equation for the scaling limit in [30]. We prove that the asymptotic variance of the corresponding estimator is bounded above by a multiple of $\log(d)/d$ over the spectral gap of the chain. The proof hinges on large deviations theory, optimal Young’s inequality and Berry–Esseen-type bounds. Extensions of the result to non-product targets are discussed.

Information

Type
Original Article
Copyright
© Applied Probability Trust 2019 
Figure 0

Table 1: Variance reduction for different dimensions d and values of $n_{\mathrm{MC}}$.

Figure 1

Table 2: Variance reduction for different dimensions d and distances between modes h.

Figure 2

Table 3: Variance reduction for dimension $d=50$ and different distances between modes h using the true covariance of the target.