In a recent article in this journal, Keohane, Macedo, and Moravcsik (KMM)Footnote 1 take issue with the conventional wisdom that multilateral organizations (MLOs) are antidemocratic. A number of observers voice reservations about the growing capacity of international institutions to affect domestic politics. Specifically, MLOs have been accused of interfering with majoritarian democratic preferences. While KMM acknowledge that intervention weakens democratic representation, they argue that constitutional democracy consists of other functions such as deliberation and protection of minority rights. Multilateralism can produce other “democracy-enhancing constitutional functions,” KMM argue, making democracy more democratic.Footnote 2
We welcome KMM's provocative insight and agree that multilateralism need not be “distant, elitist, and technocratic.”Footnote 3 However, KMM discount the prospect that MLO influence can be detrimental to democracies precisely because MLOs are highly political. Politicized MLOs present one of two key risks to the functioning of democracies, as they either: (1) weaken popular rule and empower special interests that consequently undermine majoritarian preferences, or (2) further empower the strong and disempower the weak, thus magnifying the politicization in domestic politics that KMM point to as a justification for MLO intervention. While MLOs are capable of protecting minorities and combating special interests as KMM emphasize, they are much more likely to do the opposite, weakening democracy or magnifying patterns of politicization already prevalent in domestic politics. Advancing MLOs as a blanket remedy for domestic tyranny without addressing these risks, as KMM do, is unbalanced.
The validity of KMM's argument hinges on three assumptions or value judgments about: (1) what makes democracy democratic, (2) the decision-making process of MLOs versus domestic governments, and (3) public goods versus distributional effects of MLOs. The first assumption concerns the relative importance of various components of democracy, such as representation, deliberation, and the protection of minority rights. The second assumption concerns an expectation that domestic politics is subject to capture by special interests, while international politics is substantially sheltered from the influence of special interests. The third assumption involves the view that MLOs largely affect the provision of public goods, but that they do not much affect the distribution of private benefits. We take issue with each point below.
What Makes Democracy Democratic?: Conflating Procedure and Outcome
KMM do not dispute that MLO intervention makes democracy less representative.Footnote 4 Instead, their argument hinges on discounting the importance of representation in favor of other social benefits that they argue can be generated by MLOs. This is problematic, however, since representation is the defining and necessary attribute of democracy.Footnote 5 Representation is not, as KMM argue, “only one among a number of political values to be balanced in a well-ordered constitutional democracy,” since without representation democracy ceases to be democratic.Footnote 6
Initiatives that erode representation should be held to a high standard in demonstrating that benefits outweigh the undisputed costs. Rather than simply providing examples where such welfare benefits may exist, KMM need to show first that limiting representation is necessary to improve citizens' welfare—that desired social benefits cannot be achieved through other means—and second, that these benefits outweigh the costs incurred by limiting representation.
As to our first point, KMM's claims rest heavily on the effects of MLOs in enhancing features that are common, but not unique or necessary components of procedural democracy, such as the rule of law, insulation and delegation, and protection of minority interests.Footnote 7 Their claims about “democracy-enhancing” multilateralism involve the effects of improvements in domestic political processes and policy outcomes writ large, not on democratic procedure per se.
KMM also conflate democratic procedures with general welfare outcomes.Footnote 8 While eventually acknowledging that “merely demonstrating multilateralism leads to more effective governance does not constitute evidence for our argument,”Footnote 9 KMM repeatedly make the inference that since: (1) democracy makes government and/or society better, and (2) multilateralism makes government and/or society better, that (3) multilateralism makes democracy better. The third point does not logically follow from the first two, however, as what makes democracy distinct from other forms of government is the procedural emphasis on responding to the popular will. This procedural emphasis itself, as comparative studies of younger democracies have shown, does not necessarily produce good governance or improvements in social welfare.Footnote 10
Nor is it clear that MLOs are necessary to achieve the social benefits KMM advocate (second point). National governments or nonstate actors, such as nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), can also assist or intervene in domestic national affairs to reduce the scope of special interest politics, improve public goods provisions, or protect minority rights. If there is nothing the authors identify that uniquely qualifies MLOs to provide these services, then we must question whether MLOs as institutions are best suited to address the tasks that KMM advocate.
Democracy promotion, for instance, is a pillar of U.S. foreign policy. Similarly, MNCs can be credited with curbing entrenched local interests, promoting minority rights (property rights), and the rule of law.Footnote 11 Government and nongovernmental actors also have various means to improve public goods provisions, even in the face of strong opposition by local special interests. A voluminous literature in comparative politics has shown that democratic governments can achieve improvements through internal political and economic reformsFootnote 12 and through increasing transparency.Footnote 13 Autocratic governments can also improve public goods provision by expanding representation, allowing protest, and through the use of grassroots organizations.Footnote 14 Thus, MLO activities are not necessary for improved public goods provision.
Nor do KMM make clear why multilateralism is necessarily superior to interventions by bilateral or unilateral organizations. Goldstein has shown that trade liberalization was achieved through unilateral and bilateral agreements under British hegemony, while it has been pursued multilaterally under U.S. hegemony.Footnote 15 KMM themselves accept that the use of both “bilateral and multilateral forums to negotiate trade liberalization” allowed governments to build broader coalitions for free trade.Footnote 16 Postwar occupations of Japan (bilateral) and Germany (multilateral) were equally successful at promoting democracy. In sum, MLOs do not appear to be necessary to accomplish the objectives set out by KMM.
As for our second point, the authors seem to believe that the will of the population is just one of several elements to be “weighted” in a cost-benefit analysis of MLO influence. However, external supervision also creates the possibility that democracy will be degraded rather than improved (see studies of multilateral peace-keeping and democratization). Broadening the role of MLOs in domestic politics necessarily involves the risk of making democracies less representative, something that KMM do not directly dispute. While KMM outline other objectives that have social value, they fail to clarify how these tradeoffs are to be evaluated.
Decision-Making Processes of MLOs Versus Domestic Governments
KMM argue that MLOs can help to counter special interest politics at the domestic level. The benefit envisioned by KMM again requires a particular sort of political world, one in which a domestic polity is captured by special interests, while MLOs remain largely apolitical. Yet, a growing international politics of special interests is already a discernible companion to expanding MLO influence. MLOs must do a better job of protecting minorities and resisting special interests than domestic institutions, given the loss of representation, greater physical and political distance, asymmetric information, bureaucratic hurdles, and problems of collective action. While KMM acknowledge the possibility that special interests influence MLO decision making, they quickly dismiss these influences.Footnote 17
Special interests that have co-opted domestic politicians or institutions will surely seek to do something similar at the international level.Footnote 18 Research on foreign aid, which KMM discuss, for instance, confirms this intuition.Footnote 19 Svensson demonstrates that the expectation of aid inflows can be sufficient to fuel rent-seeking and deter governments from investing in public goods.Footnote 20 Alesina and Weder show that foreign aid tends to flow to corrupt governments, and that multilateral allocation is not systematically different from bilateral allocation when it comes to favoring corrupt governments.Footnote 21 There is no evidence that multilateral allocation of aid is more beneficial or less politicized than bilateral allocation.Footnote 22
Research on International Monetary Fund (IMF) policies and conditionality also supports the view that increasing the power of MLOs tends to favor established interests. Broz has shown that U.S. legislators' votes on the IMF financial bailout were heavily influenced by political action committee (PAC) contributions from private financial institutions.Footnote 23 Gould has demonstrated that private financiers of IMF loans to developing countries influence the terms of conditionality agreements.Footnote 24 Stone reports that U.S. efforts to constrain IMF conditionality are prevalent especially among vulnerable developing countries.Footnote 25 These studies suggest that MLOs could expand, rather than reduce the power of special interests.
One area in which MLOs and domestic politics could differ is in the role of money. Domestic special interests typically make political donations to legislators and political parties in the expectation of some quid quo pro.Footnote 26 This is the very kind of influence peddling that many democracy advocates wish to control. In contrast, MLOs offer no formal channel through which special interests can legally influence decision making. Yet, the fact that officials of MLOs do not formally run for office does not prevent money from entering politics.
A number of scholars have examined foreign aid as a means of “buying” votes in the United NationsFootnote 27 and at the International Whaling Commission.Footnote 28 In addition to these overt channels in which member states use money to influence MLO decisions, bribery and corruption are endemic to bureaucracies. Scandal involving UN officials supervising the Iraqi Oil-for-Food Program illustrates the risks of giving MLOs control over lucrative issues or valuable resources.
If money also influences politics at MLOs, then how should this process be regulated to achieve improved citizen welfare and protection of minority rights? In democratic politics, governments can regulate political donations and elections can discipline dishonest politicians or officials. Regulation of MLOs is much harder as issue-linkages are prevalent across institutions with overlapping memberships and jurisdictions, such as foreign aid and UN voting. The majority of MLOs also lack competitive elections to punish corrupt officials. Regulation and discipline of MLOs thus falls back on the same national governments supervised by MLOs.
KMM's argument about preferences and the decision-making process of MLOs versus local governments also poses a logical conundrum. For interventions to be effective, MLOs must achieve policy goals that domestic governments would not have achieved autonomously.Footnote 29 The policy preferences of domestic governments and MLOs thus need to be in tension. Yet, the greater this tension, the more domestic interests benefit from resisting the efforts of the MLO. One should expect to see increased political activities by domestic interests to prevent, co-opt, or undermine MLO reforms as MLOs become more salient in domestic politics.
Efforts to undermine the welfare-improving policies of MLOs can take several forms. First, powerful states and well-resourced special interests can thwart or reshape MLO initiatives. This is possible either due to the formal structure of decision making at MLOs, which tends to protect status-quo powers (for example, the UN and IMF), or because powerful actors are able to stall initiatives informally. Second, MLOs with growing but finite enforcement powers are likely to impose their rules where they are able. For example, WTO treaty enforcement and IMF financial oversight effectively favor wealthy countries over the poor.Footnote 30
MLOs are born of politics. Powerful interests create international institutions to increase the welfare and stability of the founders.Footnote 31 When founder states allow MLOs to influence domestic politics, it is with the intent of disproportionately affecting less powerful countries. Selective intervention by MLOs creates an unlevel playing field by undermining majoritarian interests in weaker states, while leaving powerful special interests largely unaffected.
Up to this point, we have assumed that MLOs are well-intentioned. Yet, MLOs often overstep,Footnote 32 make errors common to large bureaucracies,Footnote 33 or even impose harm.Footnote 34 MLOs have inferior information about local conditions, compared with local governments. According to Keohane and Ostrom, “[g]overnment policies that have ignored the local knowledge of participants or underestimated their abilities to solve collective-action problems have done great damage.”Footnote 35 What mechanisms will protect citizens from MLO expropriations or errors? KMM devote almost no attention to the control or regulation of the powerful MLOs they advocate.Footnote 36
The Governments and MLOs: General Welfare Versus Distributional Effects
The normative rationale for international organizations is that they improve the welfare of member states and citizens through the provision of social benefits that are otherwise unobtainable due to various barriers to cooperation or collective action. MLOs protect the global commons, regulate pollution, and lower trade restrictions. While concerns persist, the appeal of MLOs as public goods providers is logically persuasive and normatively compelling.
The growing resources and power of MLOs mean that they have more opportunities to redistribute wealth at both the domestic and international level.Footnote 37 KMM focus on the public goods functions of MLOs, not on their distributional effects. This imbalance strikes us as strange, again, precisely because KMM's argument hinges on the ability of MLOs to assign domestic winners and losers. Although KMM accept that MLOs will develop a distributional capacity as part of their ability to influence domestic politics, they somehow assume this power as benign.Footnote 38
The distributional power of MLOs poses a double-edged sword for reformers. Once MLOs command the ability to redistribute within and between societies, interventions will create new winners and losers. This is so even when MLOs have no innate politicized incentives.Footnote 39 As long as MLOs generate distributional consequences, interested parties will seek to influence the decision making of MLOs. To achieve the social benefits outlined by KMM, MLOs will have to resist not only powerful vested interests that seek to block MLO reforms, but they must also avoid capture by the newly emerging beneficiaries created by their own reform efforts.Footnote 40
One way of assisting MLOs in resisting such influences is to limit the scope of their activities to areas where MLO regulations improve public goods provisions without generating much in the way of distributional consequences. However, this means that the ability of MLOs to alter the domestic distribution of power needs to remain fairly limited. This in turn undermines KMM's argument about the potential for MLOs to counter domestic special interests. The capacity of MLOs to redistribute wealth begs the question of how decision-making procedures at MLOs and domestic governments affect redistribution. In democracies, one of the major constraints on redistribution is the vote mechanism.Footnote 41 Redistribution by MLOs can also be regulated through representatives in the governing bodies of the organization. However, these MLO representatives are typically appointed by the same officials and governments that MLOs are supposed to regulate and reform. The mechanism of “sanction at the ballot box” thus works at cross-purposes to KMM's objectives. If instead MLOs are autonomous from domestic citizens and policymakers, then MLOs are not accountable, and MLOs themselves are undemocratic.
Misuse of Empirical Cases
KMM's use of empirical examples also poses concerns. KMM offer two cases intended to illustrate their claim that multilateralism can empower weak and diffused interests: the Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act (RTAA) of 1934, which aided consumers by lowering tariffs, and a WTO ruling requiring European countries to compensate exporters when they restrict imports of genetically modified agricultural products, which, KMM claim, gave consumers greater access to cheaper food. Use of the RTAA case is problematic for two reasons:
1. The RTAA was a domestic law that allowed U.S. presidents to sign bilateral trade agreements. Thus, it did not originate as a multilateral endeavor.
2. Scholarly convention is that the RTAA empowered exporters and organized interests who stood to benefit from free trade. Although the liberalization achieved under the RTAA subsequently benefited consumers, the evidence is clear that RTAA reform was intended to empower free-trade–oriented organized interests.Footnote 42
Similarly, the WTO ruling can be seen as a triumph of well-resourced U.S. agricultural producers who export commodities with potential health risks at the expense of consumer welfare. These examples suggest that MLOs may help diffused interests, but only as a by-product of intended assistance to powerful interests.
Rather than making democracy more “democratic,” MLOs provide resources and opportunities to fuel the kind of special interest politics KMM clearly oppose. At least in this instance, the conventional wisdom appears fairly wise; MLOs can accomplish many admirable objectives, but they are bound to weaken, rather than augment, domestic democracy.
In concluding, we suggest promising venues for future research. First, scholars should focus on how domestic politics and institutions “filter” the distributional effects of policies adopted by multilateral organizations. This “filtering” can occur in ways that mobilize organized interests or diffused interests via different electoral systems, or, by empowering economic winners or losers via partisanship in the government.Footnote 43 Identifying domestic conditions under which multilateral interventions mobilize some groups over others will help to clarify our debate. Second, scholars should go beyond testing the effect of multilateralism on general welfare outcomes and look at its effect on political processes and decision-making procedures more directly. This line of inquiry allows researchers to identify conditions under which multilateralism leads to more insulation or capture of domestic governments by special interests.