Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 January 2004
Recently, APSA has seen an increased demand for data on political science job market trends due to current economic downturns and related academic budget shortfalls. For example, many candidates contemplating entering the job market want to know the relationship between finishing the Ph.D. and obtaining a job, which specialty enables one to be more competitive in the marketplace, and the type of position one is likely to obtain given a general increase in the number of temporary faculty positions in universities nationwide. The following report captures job market trends in political science for the placement class of 2001–2002.1
Each year, APSA conducts a survey to collect data from Ph.D.-granting political science departments. The placement survey was distributed by mail to all U.S. Ph.D. political science granting institutions (N=128) beginning in October 2002. A three-tiered approach was utilized in order to ensure a high response rate: 1) mail distribution; 2) email survey for nonrespondents; 3) follow-up calls to nonresponding departments. For 2001–2002, 120 departments completed the survey for a total response rate of 96%. The placement class represents the number of students who have completed a Ph.D. or are near completion and are actively engaged in seeking a position in 2001. A total of 1,023 students were identified in the 2001–2002 placement class. The questionnaire used for this report is similar to last year's (2000–2001) allowing for longitudinal comparisons.
Additional tables appear on the online version of the report. To view a full list of tables visit http://www.apsanet.org/ps/oct03/lopez.cfm.
Candidate Pool. The number of job candidates totaled 1,023, which is higher than in 2001, 2000, and 1998. Sixty-three percent of the job candidates had their Ph.D. in hand; 37% were ABD.
Type of Position. Job candidates with Ph.D.s fared better in finding a position than ABD candidates. Ph.D. holders had an 87% placement success as opposed to 66% for ABDs.
Gender Differences. Women represented 37% of the placement class; men comprised 63%.3
The “Survey of Earned Doctorates” indicates that in 2001 females received 44% of all doctorates. Of those awarded within the social sciences women earned 54.4% of all doctorates, 64.6% of all education doctorates, 50.6% in the humanities, with lower percentages in the physical sciences and engineering (25.2% and 16.9%, respectively). The percentage of political science/international relations doctorates earned (32.6%) mirrors to some extent the percentage of women in the placement class.
Placement Success. In 2002, 79% of the placement class found employment, reflecting the highest success rate in over 10 years; however, temporary positions slightly increased from last year's class, from 25% to 31%.
Field or Specialty. Placement success in a particular field of specialization has changed in the past decade. For the first time, comparative politics led in the number of candidates placed in comparison to American politics/public law.
Repeat Candidates in the Market. The proportion of candidates in the market repeating their job search remains high, which is consistent with patterns in the last decade. Forty-two percent of candidates were repeating their search in 2001; this percentage is similar to last year's figures (40%).
Table 1 profiles the 2001–2002 placement class, or the number of candidates seeking employment in the beginning of the 2001 academic year, and compares both U.S. citizens and non-U.S. citizens in the job market. U.S. citizens account for 81% of the job seekers. The demographic data indicate considerable disparities in race, ethnicity, and gender among the pool of candidates entering the market. For example, 88% of the job candidates profiled are White, compared to 12% of which are minorities (4% African American, 4% Latino/a, 3% Asian American, 0.4% Native American). Women account for 37% of the candidate pool whereas men comprise 63%. The distribution in area of specialty or field indicates a higher percentage of comparativists (29%) who landed jobs in the market as compared to Americanists (25%); however, this difference is minimal at best.

Data from 1992–2002 (Table 3) illustrate that the overall placement class success (landing a position), is roughly 65% or more for job candidates who found positions in political science. This year, the job market success is greater (79%) than in previous years; nevertheless, the fact that more departments responded this year as compared to any other year may account for part of the increase over the last decade. Ph.D.s in political science secure positions at higher rates than ABDs. For example, 87% of Ph.D.s were likely to obtain a position as compared to 66% of ABDs. The type of position shows a slight increase in temporary positions (31%) in the 2002 placement class as opposed to 2001 (25%). Despite a higher success rate in placement among male candidates, the percentage differentials for this year are minimal when comparing female candidates. Overall, a summary of the results in Table 3 (1992–2002) further underscores this point with percentage differentials in placement success varying based on gender with no discernible differences in a woman's potential to secure a position.

The distribution of jobs by field or specialization indicates some changes from last year and from past trend data. Comparative politics, as a field, dominated over both American government/public law and international relations for the first time in the number of candidates placed. Almost half of the positions were in comparative politics or international relations (48%), a slight increase from 2001 (43%). In American politics/public law, a quarter of all candidates were placed in these subfields, a slight decline from 2001 figures (31%), followed by political theory which had the third largest share of all positions filled at 15%, up slightly from prior years.
Table 5 summarizes placement success by field of specialization. Candidate placement success varies depending on the field of specialization. A review of placement success by specialization illustrates a stronger potential to land a job in all fields relative to last year. In 2001–2002, graduates in public administration with a smaller share of positions had the strongest placement success, with over 83% of these candidates finding a position, followed by graduates in American government and comparative politics (79% in each specialty), political theory (78%), international relations and public policy (76%), and methodology (75%).

Table 4 records data on the type of hiring institution where candidates found employment. A retrospective examination of responses from graduate directors on the type of position students obtained shows an increase in placement in Ph.D. departments as compared to in 2000 and 2001, respectively (Davis 2002, 607). This year, graduate directors reported that 35% of those placed were hired in Ph.D. departments as compared to 27% in undergraduate political science departments and 13% in M.A. departments (see Table 4). Very few candidates take positions in two-year colleges (1%), with more candidates taking post-docs (9%) and non-academic positions (10%) as their career choice. The selection of a non-academic position still remains consistent with prior levels, ranging from 7–13% in the past decade.

Trends in the placement class (Table 2) indicate that women are better off in their job placement success in the last decade, although with some fluctuations in their representation in the placement class. An upward trend in their representation has occurred since 1998. In 1992, women (U.S. citizens) accounted for 30% of the placement class and in 2002, 37% of the placement class. Despite a higher proportion of men in the marketplace (64%) as compared to women (36%), gender does not have a notable effect in the likelihood of obtaining a position, the type of position, or type of hiring institution. Across the board, similar patterns exist between men and women in terms of their placement success and opportunity to secure employment.

The data on the placement experiences of women in the profession (Table 7), presents an optimistic picture. Overall, men and women placed in positions at similar rates: 81% of men and 79% of women were placed. Moreover, there are no substantial differences in the type of hiring institution. Both men and women found positions in Ph.D. departments (34%), in Master's departments (13%), and in undergraduate departments (28% for men and 27% for women) at the same rate.

National trends in total earned doctorates illustrate similar patterns in the percentage of minorities receiving a doctorate in political science. Racial and ethnic minorities received 16.1% of the total share of the doctorates earned in 2001 (National Opinion Research Center 2002, 16). According to data derived from the Survey of Earned Doctorates, African Americans received the most doctorates (6%), followed by Asians (5%), Hispanics (4%), and Native Americans (0.6%) (see Table 13). Comparing these overall figures to political science and international relations doctorates, African Americans received the most doctorates (8%), followed by Asians (3%), Hispanics (2%), and Native Americans (0.7%).

Trends over time show some gains for racial and ethnic minorities. However, these figures also point to the need to further study factors limiting their entry into and completion of doctoral study. While the number of Ph.D.'s awarded to racial and ethnic minorities has increased in the last decade, the percentage change is not substantial (see Table 13). Racial and ethnic minorities are not well represented in the social sciences and particularly in political science if one compares these figures to their White counterparts (over 82% of the political science/international relations Ph.D.'s were awarded to Whites).
Despite low minority representation in the percentage of doctorates earned, placement success among minority doctoral candidates entering the job market in political science is relatively high. Although racial and ethnic groups accounted for only 12% of the total pool of U.S. candidates in the placement class, in percentage terms, Latinos/as and Asian Americans had a 77% success rate in placement. This is in direct contrast to African Americans success rate (59%).4
Two departments which awarded the most doctorates to African Americans did not respond to the 2001–2002 placement survey. As a consequence, the percentages for African Americans may not reflect the actual placement success.
Each year, the placement survey gathers information concerning citizenship status, country of citizenship of new doctorates in the job market, and data on the placement experiences of non-U.S. citizens. In the 2001 placement class, non-U.S. citizens comprised 18% of the class with national origin ranging from Korea (highest number), Canada, China, India, Japan, Germany, and parts of Latin America. Of the non-U.S. citizens, 19% were permanent residents and 80% were non-permanent residents (see Table 1). Despite a similar rate of placement success between men and women who are non-U.S. citizens (75% men and 72% women), some gender differences exist in terms of prospects for finding a permanent position. Men in the non-U.S. category had a 50% greater chance of obtaining a permanent position than their female colleagues (see Table 7).
The APSA placement survey also includes a number of questions related to graduates' plans for work or further study. Among the international candidates who did not find positions, departments noted 39% will stay in school with financial aid, 12% will stay in school without financial aid, and 15% will seek a position outside the profession; 9% listed their status as uncertain. In contrast, about a quarter of the U.S. candidates not placed responded that they would stay in school with a parttime position. A lower margin than non-U.S. candidates, but a higher percentage was in the uncertain status category (21%).
Overall, departments appear to be providing professional development outreach in the form of advisement to their graduates. The placement survey asks departments to respond to the type of advice offered to individual job candidates entering the market. Interestingly, departments noted that faculty advisors (89%) provide the most employment advice for job candidates on the market (see Table 11). Informal channels (78%) and the use of the eJobs placement service (75%) are the second and third highest rated, followed by job searches in the Chronicle of Higher Education (58%) coupled with strategies used outside of these resources. Over 70% of the departments provide professional development opportunities in teaching and research for their graduates. Doctoral programs have an array of mechanisms and resources to encourage professional development activities in their departments. Some departments noted the following examples in their responses: a required oneunit course in professional socialization, seminars on how to get a job, mock job interviews, assistance in preparing a dossier, brown bag lunches on placement opportunities, emphasis on publishing, alumni contacts, and placement centers.

Comparisons with last year's class are consistent with a more positive outlook for job candidates than expected. Approximately 79% of those in the 2001–2002 class found positions as compared to 73% last year. Job listings posted in the APSA Personnel Newsletter/eJobs show an increase in the amount of positions listed for 2002–2003, although not at the levels of the late 1980s. As noted in Table 16, 987 jobs were listed in 2001-2002; in 2002–2003, there is an increase of 216 jobs listed. Table 17 provides a distribution of jobs listed by field. Candidate accessibility to jobs in specific fields remains relatively the same over the course of the last decades. From 1984–1993, a total of 82% of jobs listed were in academic positions, a trend similar to patterns in 2002–2003. It should be noted that the number of job listings may not be an accurate prediction of future job opportunities.

Speculations on future job market prospects for political science graduates are complicated by a variety of factors. Current economic conditions provide a snapshot of what is likely to unfold in the coming years. Nationwide universities are suffering economic shortages which may affect the short-term job status of recent Ph.D.s. Shrinking university budgets forces reassessment of how departments will hire future political science Ph.D.'s, and the type of job opportunities available for those completing graduate education. Enrollments also factor in how we assess the future for recently minted Ph.D.s entering the job market. Some predict sudden, large increases in graduate enrollments as the economy declines, while others predict a steady growth in the rate of graduate enrollments in the future. While opinions are mixed on the future of graduate enrollments,5
Economic downturns are often equated with an increase in the number of students entering graduate programs, a circumstance which occurred from 1999–2000. However, recent data from the Survey of Earned Doctorates (SED) showed a decline of 1.4% in 2001. Others predict a steady growth rate in graduate enrollments in the future.
Departments and university faculty are instrumental actors assisting graduate students in their professional development and, more specifically, in their job market search. Career preparation must be emphasized in Ph.D. programs, especially if the job market is constrained in the next few years, and departments must prepare students for a broad range of employment opportunities. The APSA Task Force on Graduate Education has actively examined the type of academic and career preparation necessary for political science graduate students and provides recommendations for departments to follow in their recent draft report (APSA Task Force 2003). APSA recommends that departments utilize the Preparing Future Faculty (PFF) model as the basis for fostering and promoting professional development opportunities for graduate students. In addition, more departmental involvement in assisting students in the practical aspects (e.g. how to prepare for the job talk, how to interview, and how to prepare a dossier) needed to secure a position is also recommended. The American Political Science Association also provides professional development opportunities in the form of short courses, specialized panels, and career publications.
While the professional culture in political science continues to emphasize faculty appointments over applied positions, the discipline needs to devise and share strategies to better equip students in the future. One area for further consideration consists in conducting longitudinal research on graduate cohorts to identify the important skills needed to be competitive in the marketplace, the type of advisement and mentoring offered by graduate departments, and professional development opportunities and resources unique to individual departments. The “Social Science Ph.D. Five Years Out Study,”6
The CIRGE study will examine Ph.D.s who earned their degree in 1996, 1997, or 1998 in anthropology, business, communication, geography, history, political science, or psychology and will focus on job search, work/life choices, and doctoral program evaluation. The survey will be disseminated in January 2004. For more information visit http://www.cirge.washington.edu.
In conclusion, the findings of the 2001–2002 survey indicate some difficulties for political science doctoral students entering the job market. First, a considerable amount of job candidates repeat their employment search. Second, there has been an increase in the number of temporary faculty positions. Despite these trends, the data confirm that most candidates succeed in obtaining employment and that faculty advisors are key actors in providing advice to graduate students in their career preparation.
Data entry and assistance in preparing tables was made by Michael Woodruff and Sarah Mi Ra Dougherty.

Profile of 2002 Placement Class (N=1023)

Placement Success, 1992–2002 (%)*

Placement Experience by Field of Specialization, 1992–2002 (%)

Placement in the United States by Type of Hiring Institution (%)*

Trends in Placement Classes, 1992–2002*

Placement Experience by Citizenship, Gender, and Race/Ethnicity (%)

Earned Doctorates, 2001

Job Search Strategies Ph.D. Departments Advise Graduates to Use* (%, N=114)

Jobs List in APSA Personnel Service Newsletter/eJobs by Field (%)