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A POPULATION OF LYCHNOPHORA ERICOIDES MART. (ARNICA) (ASTERACEAE) IS PRONE TO EXTINCTION IN A SAVANNA OF CENTRAL BRAZIL

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 July 2017

S. Ribeiro-Silva*
Affiliation:
Centro Nacional de Avaliação da Biodiversidade e de Pesquisa e Conservação do Cerrado, Instituto Chico Mendes; Prédio do Centro de Excelência do Cerrado; Jardim Botânico de Brasília, SMDB Conjuncto 12, Lago Sul, Brasília DF, Brazil.
M. B. Medeiros
Affiliation:
Embrapa Recursos Genéticos e Biotecnologia, Parque Estação Biológica, Avenida W5 Norte, DF 70770-917, Brasília, Brazil.
V. V. F. Lima
Affiliation:
Embrapa Recursos Genéticos e Biotecnologia, Parque Estação Biológica, Avenida W5 Norte, DF 70770-917, Brasília, Brazil.
A. B. Giroldo
Affiliation:
Universidade de Brasília, Departamento de Ecologia, Campus Universitário Darcy Ribeiro, Brasília, DF 70910-900, Brazil.
S. E. de Noronha
Affiliation:
Embrapa Recursos Genéticos e Biotecnologia, Parque Estação Biológica, Avenida W5 Norte, DF 70770-917, Brasília, Brazil.
F. O. Resende
Affiliation:
Centro Nacional de Avaliação da Biodiversidade e de Pesquisa e Conservação do Cerrado, Instituto Chico Mendes; Prédio do Centro de Excelência do Cerrado; Jardim Botânico de Brasília, SMDB Conjuncto 12, Lago Sul, Brasília DF, Brazil.
*
E-mail for correspondence: suelma.ribeirosilva@gmail.com

Abstract

Lychnophora ericoides Mart. (Asteraceae), popularly known as arnica, is a plant species subjected to non-timber forest products extraction. Evidence is mounting that some local populations are on the brink of extinction. However, demographic studies of Lychnophora ericoides are rare. Therefore, as a step towards conservation, a remnant population of Lychnophora ericoides located in an area of the Cerrado (Brazilian Savanna) in Central Brazil was evaluated from 2010 through 2014. Disturbances such as wildfires and harvesting of Lychnophora ericoides were randomly distributed throughout the study period in this area. Four annual transition matrices (A1, A2, A3 and A4) were constructed, based on life stages. The main results of studies of population dynamics for this species are as follows: 1) population growth rates (λ) with 95% confidence intervals indicated a declining population in all periods from 2010 to 2014; 2) stochastic population growth rate considering the four matrices was < 1 with value λ = 0.358 and CI95% = (0.354–0.362); 3) survival with permanence at the same stage of reproductive adult individuals (46–80%) contributed most to population growth rate, based on elasticity analysis; 4) the population is much less likely to have increases in density, compared with reduction, for all intervals from 2010 to 2014, based on transient indices; 5) the low value of λ in the high-mortality year was caused by lower stasis of individuals in the seedling or sapling and juvenile life stages, as well as fecundity in the 2011–2012 and 2012–2013 intervals, as shown by a life table response experiment; and 6) 100% of the population will probably be extinct within 15 years. There is evidence that the main cause for local extinction of Lychnophora ericoides could be the effects of frequent wildfires. Based on these results, it is suggested that the time has come for significant conservation efforts to rescue this population, including monitoring, protection and education as the first steps towards protection of this vulnerable plant species.

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Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Trustees of the Royal Botanic Garden Edinburgh (2017) 
Figure 0

Fig. 1. Branches of Lychnophora ericoides tied for marketing (A and B), harvested branches (C) and individuals with evidence of damage caused by fire (D). (Photographs by Felipe Oliveira Resende.)

Figure 1

Fig. 2. Sampling grid in campo rupestre for individuals of Lychnophora ericoides at Sucupira Farm, Brasília, Federal District, Brazil.

Figure 2

Table 1. Transition matrices of the Lychnophora ericoides population at Sucupira Farm, Brasília, Federal District, Brazil, during the study periods 2010–2011, 2011–2012, 2012–2013 and 2013–2014

Figure 3

Table 2. Population structure, seedling recruitment and number of dead individuals of Lychnophora ericoides at Sucupira Farm, Brasília, Federal District, Brazil, from 2010 to 2014

Figure 4

Table 3. Population growth rates (λ), damping ratios (ρ) and transient dynamics: reactivity (ρ1), first-time step attenuation (ρ1), maximum amplification (ρmax), maximum attenuation (ρmax) and upper (ρ∞) and lower (ρ∞) inertia in a population of Lychnophora ericoides in Brasília, Federal District, Brazil*

Figure 5

Fig. 3. Standardised transient dynamics in a population of Lychnophora ericoides in Brasília, Federal District, Brazil, and demographic distribution scaled to an initial population density sum 1. Black bars in the demographic distribution represent the biased distribution [lower boundary in which seedling (S) = 1, juvenile (J) = 1 and adult (A) = 1; upper boundary in which S = 0, J = 0 and A = 1]. The green bars show the sampled distribution at each time interval, and red bars indicate stable distribution. Time intervals: A, 2010–2011; B, 2011–2012; C, 2012–2013; D, 2013–2014. For all intervals, the first-time attenuation (ρ1) was calculated using the over-representation of seedlings; however, in the interval 2013–2014, ρ1 should be calculated using the over-representation of juveniles (S = 0, J = 1 and A = 0), with the result equal to 0.696.

Figure 6

Table 4. Elasticity analysis for Lychnophora ericoides at Sucupira Farm, Brasília, Federal District, Brazil, during the study periods 2010–2011, 2011–2012, 2012–2013 and 2013–2014*

Figure 7

Fig. 4. Probability of local extinction for a population of Lychnophora ericoides in Brasília, Federal District, Brazil, based on transition matrices (2010–2011, 2011–2012, 2012–2013 and 2013–2014).

Figure 8

Fig. 5. Results of a life table response experiment, showing contributions of growth (A), fecundity (B), stasis (C) and retrogression (D) to the difference in annual population growth rate between the high-mortality year (2013–2014) and other years (2010–2011, 2011–2012 and 2012–2013) for Lychnophora ericoides at Sucupira Farm, Brasília, Federal District, Brazil. Note that the scale of the y-axes differs between panels.

Figure 9

Fig. 6. Locations of fire occurrences, obtained from LandSat images (TM 5, 7 ETM and 8 OLI) with false-color composition R4G5B3 (Landsat TM 5 and ETM 7) and R5G6B4 (Landsat 8 OLI), at Sucupira Farm, Brasília, Federal District, Brazil. Fire scars are represented by the dark areas.