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Quasi-stationary distributions in reducible state spaces

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 December 2025

Nicolas Champagnat*
Affiliation:
Inria, Université de Lorraine
Denis Villemonais*
Affiliation:
Université de Strasbourg, Institut Universitaire de France
*
*Postal address: Université de Lorraine, CNRS, Inria, IECL, F-54000 Nancy, France. Email: nicolas.champagnat@inria.fr
**Postal address: Université de Strasbourg, IRMA, Strasbourg, France. Email: denis.villemonais@unistra.fr
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Abstract

We study quasi-stationary distributions and quasi-limiting behaviour of Markov chains in general reducible state spaces with absorption. First, we consider state spaces that can be decomposed into two successive subsets (with communication possible in a single direction), differentiating between three situations, and characterize the exponential order of magnitude and the exact polynomial correction, called the polynomial convergence parameter, for the leading-order term of the semigroup for large time. Second, we consider general Markov chains with finitely or countably many communication classes by applying the first results iteratively over the communication classes of the chain. We conclude with an application of these results to the case of denumerable state spaces, where we prove existence for a quasi-stationary distribution without assuming irreducibility before absorption, but only aperiodicity, existence of a Lyapunov function, and existence of a point with almost surely finite return time.

Information

Type
Original Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Applied Probability Trust
Figure 0

Figure 1. Transition graph displaying the relations between the sets D1$D_1$, D2$D_2$, and ∂$\partial$. The dashed lines indicate the domains and co-domains of the sub-Markov kernels P, Q, R.