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Association of caffeine, green tea and coffee consumption with mortality and disability among older adults

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  26 September 2025

Daiki Watanabe*
Affiliation:
National Institute of Biomedical Innovation, National Institutes of Biomedical Innovation, Health and Nutrition, 7-6-8 Saito-Asagi, Ibaraki-city, Osaka 567-0085, Japan Faculty of Sport Sciences, Waseda University, 2-579-15 Mikajima, Tokorozawa-city, Saitama 359-1192, Japan National Institute of Health and Nutrition, National Institutes of Biomedical Innovation, Health and Nutrition, 3-17 Senrioka Shinmachi, Settsu-city, Osaka 566-0002, Japan Institute for Active Health, Kyoto University of Advanced Science, 1-1 Nanjo Otani, Sogabe-cho, Kameoka-city, Kyoto 621-8555, Japan
Tsukasa Yoshida
Affiliation:
National Institute of Health and Nutrition, National Institutes of Biomedical Innovation, Health and Nutrition, 3-17 Senrioka Shinmachi, Settsu-city, Osaka 566-0002, Japan Institute for Active Health, Kyoto University of Advanced Science, 1-1 Nanjo Otani, Sogabe-cho, Kameoka-city, Kyoto 621-8555, Japan Sports and Health Sciences, Graduate School of Biomedical Engineering, Tohoku University, 2-1 Seiryo-machi, Aoba-ku, Sendai-city, Miyagi 980-8575, Japan Senior Citizen’s Welfare Section, Kameoka City Government, 8 Nonogami, Yasumachi, Kameoka-city, Kyoto 621-8501, Japan
Hinako Nanri
Affiliation:
National Institute of Biomedical Innovation, National Institutes of Biomedical Innovation, Health and Nutrition, 7-6-8 Saito-Asagi, Ibaraki-city, Osaka 567-0085, Japan National Institute of Health and Nutrition, National Institutes of Biomedical Innovation, Health and Nutrition, 3-17 Senrioka Shinmachi, Settsu-city, Osaka 566-0002, Japan
Yuya Watanabe
Affiliation:
National Institute of Health and Nutrition, National Institutes of Biomedical Innovation, Health and Nutrition, 3-17 Senrioka Shinmachi, Settsu-city, Osaka 566-0002, Japan Institute for Active Health, Kyoto University of Advanced Science, 1-1 Nanjo Otani, Sogabe-cho, Kameoka-city, Kyoto 621-8555, Japan Faculty of Sport Study, Biwako Seikei Sport College, 1204 Kitahira, Otsu-city, Shiga 520-0503, Japan
Yosuke Yamada
Affiliation:
National Institute of Health and Nutrition, National Institutes of Biomedical Innovation, Health and Nutrition, 3-17 Senrioka Shinmachi, Settsu-city, Osaka 566-0002, Japan Institute for Active Health, Kyoto University of Advanced Science, 1-1 Nanjo Otani, Sogabe-cho, Kameoka-city, Kyoto 621-8555, Japan Sports and Health Sciences, Graduate School of Biomedical Engineering, Tohoku University, 2-1 Seiryo-machi, Aoba-ku, Sendai-city, Miyagi 980-8575, Japan
Misaka Kimura
Affiliation:
Institute for Active Health, Kyoto University of Advanced Science, 1-1 Nanjo Otani, Sogabe-cho, Kameoka-city, Kyoto 621-8555, Japan Laboratory of Applied Health Sciences, Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine, 465 Kajii-cho, Kamigyo-ku, Kyoto-city, Kyoto 602-8566, Japan
*
Corresponding author: Daiki Watanabe; Email: daikiwatanabe0319@gmail.com
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Abstract

Several epidemiological studies have shown that consumption of coffee and green tea is inversely associated with risks of death and disability; however, the relationship between caffeine consumption and these outcomes remains unclear. We examined these associations in Japanese older adults. This was a prospective study of 7708 adults (aged ≥ 65 years) recruited from the Kyoto–Kameoka study. Dietary intake was estimated using a validated FFQ. Caffeine consumption was classified into four categories. Disability and mortality data were collected between 15 February 2012 and 30 November 2016. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % CI of outcomes were calculated using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. During the median 4·75-year follow-up period, a total of 593 deaths and 1379 disability incidents were recorded. After adjusting for confounders, caffeine consumption was inversely associated with the incidence of disability (< 100 mg/d: reference; 100–149 mg/d: HR, 0·91 (95 % CI 0·80, 1·04); 150–199 mg/d: HR, 0·84 (95 % CI 0·72, 0·99); ≥ 200 mg/d: HR, 0·75 (95 % CI 0·63, 0·89), Pfor trend = 0·001) but not all-cause mortality. High coffee consumption was inversely associated with mortality (≥ 3 cups/d: HR, 0·62 (95 % CI 0·43, 0·88)) and disability (≥ 3 cups/d: HR, 0·81 (95 % CI 0·65, 0·99)) compared with non-consumption. However, green tea consumption was not associated with mortality or disability. Caffeine and coffee consumption was inversely associated with disability and/or mortality. Further research is needed to clarify whether high caffeine intake is safe and effective for older adults.

Information

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Nutrition Society
Figure 0

Figure 1. Participant flow diagram for the analysis of the relationship between caffeine, green tea and coffee consumption and disability and mortality in the Kyoto–Kameoka study. LTC, long-term care.

Figure 1

Table 1. Baseline characteristics of the study participants according to group of caffeine consumption (Mean values and standard deviations)

Figure 2

Figure 2. Forest plot of hazard ratios for mortality and disability according to the caffeine consumption, calculated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis. Model 1 was adjusted for age, sex and population density; model 2 was additionally adjusted for BMI, family structure, economic status, educational attainment, smoking status, alcohol consumption status, energy intake, physical activity, sitting time, sleep time, denture use, medication use, number of chronic diseases and frailty status. The x-axis of the plot is on a log scale. PY, person-years.

Figure 3

Figure 3. Multivariable-adjusted restricted cubic spline model for caffeine consumption with mortality and disability among older adults. The histogram shows the distribution of caffeine consumption. The hazard ratio based on the 0 mg/d of caffeine consumption as reference was calculated. The adjustment factors are age, sex, population density, BMI, family structure, economic status, educational attainment, smoking status, alcohol consumption status, energy intake, physical activity, sitting time, sleep time, denture use, medication use, number of chronic diseases and frailty status. Solid lines represent hazard ratios, and dashed lines represent 95 % CI.

Figure 4

Table 2. Hazard ratios for all-cause mortality and disability according to the green tea and coffee consumption frequency, calculated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis

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