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Data privacy and protection are inextricably intertwined, whereas the former often slides into a national security concern. Amid geopolitical tensions, the U.S. aims to preserve TikTok’s independence and prevent its use in cognitive warfare. The landmark case presents potentially groundbreaking trade-offs for the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States and the balance between data privacy and national security. The TikTok ban can be seen as a Catch-22 situation, presenting a Hobson’s choice for both the U.S. and China in the ongoing data war. The U.S. faces national security concerns regarding Chinese influence over the app’s data and its potential use for surveillance and propaganda. Conversely, banning TikTok risks setting a precedent for censorship and digital platform manipulation, undermining the U.S.’s long-standing commitment to free speech and open markets. The dilemma lies in whether to prioritize national security over the principles of free expression and open trade or to accept the risks posed by adversary-owned platforms operating in the U.S. This decision underscores rising tensions as the two powers grapple with data governance, digital sovereignty and geopolitical rivalry – an outcome that will shape global data governance and the technological landscape for years to come. A paradox emerges as China’s ideological aims and the U.S.’s technical concerns converge on a cutting-edge global challenge, that is, cognitive warfare in shaping global discourse and public opinion. This study examines how these conflicting forces shape TikTok’s quest to become a global platform, delving into the root causes of these tensions and exploring strategies to address the associated challenges.
Edited by
Filipe Calvão, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, Geneva,Matthieu Bolay, University of Applied Sciences and Arts Western Switzerland,Elizabeth Ferry, Brandeis University, Massachusetts
This chapter approaches the concept of transparency by examining the work of secrecy and occlusion in trade. Exploring the role of secrets in the Indian Ocean sapphire trade, where exchange is based on arbitrage, it seeks to understand Sri Lankan and South Indian gem traders’ emic notions of what it means to conceal and reveal knowledge and to tease out their conceptions of ethical conduct in relation to secrecy. It asks: How do we conceptualize transparency in relation to a trade where practices of concealment and disclosure are folded into the gestural, embodied, and affective landscapes that make up everyday modalities of negotiation, brokerage, and arbitrage? How do such forms of withholding contribute to making gems move? What are the ethical landscapes within which certain forms of secrecy are permissible and expected? Reading trading secrets as a part of the craft of trade, the chapter seeks to reframe the assumption that a lack of transparency amounts to deception and examines instead how practices of occlusion facilitate trade.
Why are Multinational Corporations so powerful and elites so wealthy while still operating within nation-state rules? Profit and Power examines how firms engage in legal transgression, operating at the edges of legality to maximize profits. Offering a practical analysis of jurisdictional arbitrage, Ronen Palan exposes the hidden mechanisms behind corporate power in globalization and reveals how the rule-based transgressor elite emerged through strategic use of MNC structures. Tracing the origins to the late nineteenth century, Palan focuses on centrally-coordinated multi-corporate enterprises (CCMCEs) – networks of legally independent yet interconnected firms. He explores the gap between the legal entity and the corporate group, a loophole long exploited to arbitrage national regulations, including taxation. This is the first systematic study of jurisdictional arbitrage and its impact on states and society. By analysing corporate decision-making within fragmented regulatory environments, it unveils the systemic role of legal ambiguity in shaping modern capitalism and corporate dominance.
Canada has had a meaningful impact on international law through its participation in the development of the case law of the International Court of Justice (ICJ). Several arbitral awards involving Canada, even before the establishment of the ICJ’s predecessor, the Permanent Court of International Justice, were instrumental in shaping subsequent jurisprudence in different areas of international law. Canada’s participation in proceedings before the Court, as a party and intervener in contentious cases and as a participant in advisory proceedings, has been rich in legal arguments on fundamental issues, such as the functioning of the United Nations, the ICJ’s jurisdiction, the law of the sea, environmental law, and the law of state responsibility. Perhaps even more significantly, the activities and statements made by Canada’s courts, executive, and legislature are frequently relied-upon examples of state practice in pleadings before the Court. Finally, although Canada has had only one elected judge on the bench of the ICJ, Canadian jurists have frequently served as judges ad hoc and as counsel and advocates for states.
In the late nineteenth century, increasing demand for sealskins by the fashion industry led to an expansion of the seal hunt in the open waters of the Bering Sea. This practice of pelagic sealing was blamed for a severe drop in the population of the north Pacific fur seal herd that bred on the Pribilof Islands off Alaska and was harvested on shore by US interests. US officials began seizing Canadian ships and crews in international waters in contravention of the accepted principle of freedom of the high seas. After years of diplomatic stalemate and jingoistic sabre rattling, the United States and Great Britain, which still controlled Canadian foreign affairs, agreed to put the legality of the seizures before an international tribunal. The so-called Bering Sea Arbitration, held in Paris in 1893, built on the legacy of the Alabama Claims Arbitration from twenty years earlier and was a major step in Canada’s emergence as a fully independent nation with Canadians playing significant roles as arbitrator, counsel, and agent. The tribunal found the seizures contrary to international law and also found that, while the seals bred on US soil, the United States had no property rights in them. However, to restrict the size and scope of the seal hunt as a means of preserving the species from extinction, the tribunal also set down regulations that are now seen as an early foundation of modern environmental law.
The telegraph is often seen as one of the most important technological innovations that helped usher in an age of global financial integration during the late 19th and early 20th centuries. For the first time, information and capital no longer moved at electronic speeds, enabling unprecedented growth securities arbitrage across different markets, which brought prices into equilibrium. But this framework typically adopts both a technologically determinist understanding of the telegraph and uses only long-run, macroeconomic approaches to measure the financial effects of the telegraph. This chapter instead focuses on the practicalities of operationalizing the telegraph within the financial system. How was the telegraphic infrastructure that linked financial markets built, implemented, and maintained? By focusing on the telegraph’s infrastructural operation, this chapter argues that the telegraph integrated global financial markets in profoundly unequal ways. Moreover, it was through the seemingly small technicalities of telegraphic infrastructure – like the management of electric current, the maintenance of wires, the adoption of new telegraph apparatuses, and message delivery systems – that states, financial institutions, and firms sought to exert their power over the telegraph. The results of these conflicts over telegraphic infrastructure resulted in an unequal distribution of the telegraph’s financial benefits.
This chapter studies when the price found using the risk-neutral expectation approach coincides with the no-arbitrage price of the derivative, interpreted as the cost of launching a strategy replicating the product’s payoff. To this end, we define rigorously the concepts of payoff, arbitrage, self-financing strategy, and market model featuring multiple risky assets. A market model is arbitrage-free if it is impossible to find an arbitrage opportunity by trading in the primary assets at the prevailing prices. It is complete if every payoff can be replicated. In general, sophisticated models need to be arbitrage-free but are incomplete. How can we avoid arbitrage if we are unable to replicate the payoff by trading in the primary assets? And how can we determine whether a model is arbitrage-free or complete, given that one cannot reasonably review all the possible strategies to check whether they generate an arbitrage opportunity or not? The answer is provided by the fundamental theorems of asset pricing based on whether the model admits no, one, or multiple risk-neutral measures. This amazing result emphasizes how powerful mathematical modeling can be in finance.
We introduce derivative securities and ask ourselves how to determine their price from a financial perspective. We discover that the cashflow of zero-coupon bonds and forward contracts can be artificially replicated by adopting a static trading strategy featuring primary assets. With almost no math, we obtain the central result that every product whose payoff is a linear function of the future price of tradeable products can be computed without relying on any model. The story is different for products whose payoff is a non-linear function of the future price of assets, such as European calls and puts. In such cases, pricing by replication may still be possible, but is more complex but it requires a model and features a dynamic replicating strategy, evolving through time. We use the law of one price to give a clear interpretation to the no-arbitrage price of derivatives. We conclude the chapter with the general expression of a derivative’s price, given by the risk-neutral expectation of its payoff discounted at the risk-free rate. The purpose of the book is to introduce all the concepts needed to understand why and when this result holds, and how it can be evaluated in practice.
This research supports the singularity of the Spanish case. The lessons we can learn are a product of the short transition in the mid 1880s from a city-based monetary system (supported by private actors) to a central banking system in the absence of a developed banking system with a nationwide scope, unlike what occurred in the rest of Western Europe. Introducing market arbitrage, we provide novel evidence – using new data – of how price formation in city-based money markets was driven by more than one price. Furthermore, factors such as market conditions, political circumstances and the asymmetrical development of market potential in the Spanish economic geography also played an important role. We also show new empirical support that transaction cost reduction was not associated with improving efficiency during the 1875–85 period when city-based money markets were still operating. The inland payment system was struggling even before its takeover by the Bank of Spain.
This chapter reconstructs the ethical ambiguities and popular anxieties that emerged during a spectacular period of coffee smuggling in the 1970s, centered in Chepkube village near the border of Kenya and Uganda. The criminalized trade provided residents with newfound wealth and consumptive possibility; magendo, as it was known, also was a stark challenge to the Ugandan state’s ability to monopolize the valuation of its most important export. However, participants’ unease did not reflect the illegality of magendo. Rather, the excessive and rapid riches acquired through coffee smuggling challenged prevailing ideas of propriety, respectability, and morality. In other words, existing ideas about how proper value should be morally produced—through laborious effort and familial networks—were undermined by the sudden revaluation of coffee. Smuggling is a form of arbitrage, a style of economic action premised on the capitalization on disjunctures of jurisdiction, of measurement, and of appearance. Magendo participants actively worked to produce such differences in order to acquire wealth; yet arbitrage generated an ambiguous mix of desire and disdain. Based on oral histories and fieldwork on both sides of the border, this chapter reveals how the careful orchestration of social relations and material goods is at the heart of valuation, and it emphasizes how popular valuation practices change and conflict with state projects of governing value and defining citizenship.
This chapter discusses the difference between arbitrage and innovation, the unpredictability of innovation, and the four uncertainties: technological feasibility uncertainty, commercial value uncertainty, related technology uncertainty, and uncertainty brought about by politics, culture, and policies. The uncertainties of innovation means there cannot be a unified plan for innovation. Instead, innovation relies on the special skills and expertise of entrepreneurs. Innovation can only come from decentralized decisions, with each entrepreneur making his own judgment and the market determining the winner and loser. The market itself is an error correction mechanism. It can encourage the most creative and ambitious people to create wealth for society, but also guarantees that these people (entrepreneurs) do not bring about fatal disasters.
This chapter starts with the argument that the greatest benefit of the market is to make the best use of everyone’s enthusiasm and creativity, instead of making efficient allocation of given resources, as proposed by mainstream economics. The chapter analyzes the traditional theories (neoclassical growth theory and Keynesian economics) that economists use to explain economic growth. Their common shortcoming is ignoring the role of entrepreneurs. The chapter then outlines the entrepreneur-centric “Smith–Schumpeterian growth model” and the two functions of entrepreneurs (i.e. arbitrage and innovation). Arbitrage is the discovery of disequilibrium and exploitation of lucrative opportunities in markets under existing technological conditions and resources. Innovation creates or commercializes new things that did not exist, or breaks away from routines. With this perspective, it also gives a brief analysis of China’s economic growth over the last few decades.
This article argues that the temporality of the financial economy ought to be seen as radically synchronistic. ‘Synchronism’ refers to both an epistemological and practical approach that addresses finance neither with a view to the past nor to the future, but is instead focused on the moment that a financial transaction is settled (i.e., the horizon of trading). From this perspective, the article expands the scope of current social theorizing on financial markets, which is characterized by a preoccupation with the futurity of financial markets and products. It suggests that financial synchronism can be traced back to certain developments in economic theory since the so-called ‘marginalist revolution’, which enabled the transfer of a certain optics informing market theories into financial practices. On these terms, financial synchronism is interpreted as a powerful social imaginary that crucially mediates the way contemporary societies face the contingency of the future.
Chapter 15 defends the critical implications of chapter 13 against the arguments that arbitrage and experiencing the costs of irrational behavior justify dismissing anomalous experimental results, such as those concerning preference reversals. The chapter then draws out some of the implications for the practice of economics of its philosophical conclusions, drawing on the work of George Akerlof and others who have studied conditional altruism and defended its importance. Chapter 15 also defends the legitimacy of the methodological preaching in this book against criticisms such as those voiced most compellingly by Deirdre McCloskey.
This paper considers the pricing of long-term options on assets such as housing, where either government intervention or the economic nature of the asset limits large falls in prices. The observed asset price is modelled by a geometric Brownian motion (“the notional price”) reflected at a lower barrier. The resulting observed price has standard dynamics but with localised intervention at the barrier, which allows arbitrage with interim losses; this is funded by the government’s unlimited powers of intervention, and its exploitation is subject to credit constraints. Despite the lack of an equivalent martingale measure for the observed price, options on this price can be expressed as compound options on the arbitrage-free notional price, to which standard risk-neutral arguments can be applied. Because option deltas tend to zero when the observed price approaches the barrier, hedging with the observed price gives the same results as hedging with the notional price and so exactly replicates option payoffs. Hedging schemes are not unique, with the cheapest scheme for any derivative being the one which best exploits the interventions at the barrier. The price of a put is clear: direct replication has a lower initial cost than synthetic replication, and the replication portfolio always has positive value. The price of a call is ambiguous: synthetic replication has a lower initial cost than direct replication, but the replication portfolio may give interim losses. So the preferred replication strategy (and hence price) of a call depends on what margin payments need to be made on these losses.
In recent years, there have been many accounts of extreme prescription drug prices that have raised issues of equity, price gouging, social conscience, and demands for relief. In part, these prices arise due to the inelastic demand for lifesaving drugs and the patents that create short-term legal monopolies. The economic rationale for patent protection flows from the fact that the investment made by inventors necessarily precedes any financial benefits received from the discovery of new products or more efficient production processes. Patent law prevents copiers from free riding so that innovators can reap the reward of monopoly profits for their innovation. Thus, there is a trade-off between innovation and affordability. Antitrust law cannot be used to disrupt legal monopolies, so the US government has turned to congressional proposals that would mitigate extreme drug pricing. We also review the policies of other countries that are aimed at reducing pharmaceutical drug prices and consider whether such policies would work in the US market.
Following a review of the etymology and modern usage of the term ‘arbitrage’, this article explores the relevance of historical context to possible instances of ancient arbitrage activity. Types of possible ‘arbitrage’ associated with the use of overvalued coinage in regions of Greek influence are considered. Comparison with Roman civilization reveals the relevance of social attitudes and legal institutions to the ability to execute arbitrage trades. Specific attention is given to the possibility of arbitrage across the Roman frontier to India and the impact of debasements during the imperial period. Recognizing that sources prior to early modern times are scant, numismatic, epigraphic and literary evidence that is available to make inferences about ancient arbitrage activity is assessed.
We introduce and study the notion of sure profits via flash strategies, consisting of a high-frequency limit of buy-and-hold trading strategies. In a fully general setting, without imposing any semimartingale restriction, we prove that there are no sure profits via flash strategies if and only if asset prices do not exhibit predictable jumps. This result relies on the general theory of processes and provides the most general formulation of the well-known fact that, in an arbitrage-free financial market, asset prices (including dividends) should not exhibit jumps of a predictable direction or magnitude at predictable times. We furthermore show that any price process is always right-continuous in the absence of sure profits. Our results are robust under small transaction costs and imply that, under minimal assumptions, price changes occurring at scheduled dates should only be due to unanticipated information releases.
Under proportional transaction costs, a price process is said to have a consistent price system, if there is a semimartingale with an equivalent martingale measure that evolves within the bid-ask spread. We show that a continuous, multi-asset price process has a consistent price system, under arbitrarily small proportional transaction costs, if it satisfies a natural multi-dimensional generalization of the stickiness condition introduced by Guasoni (2006).
Received internationalization theory argues that firms occupy domestic space before going abroad; in other words, large, oligopolistic firms are most likely to internationalize. The experience of China, whose economy is fragmented and whose firms are small by global standards, suggests otherwise. We construct a model of small firm internationalization driven by the relative transaction costs of crossing domestic (in the case of China, provincial) and international borders. When the costs of crossing domestic borders exceed the costs of crossing international borders, firms will internationalize at a relatively early stage of development. In the case of China, local protectionism and inefficient domestic logistics increase the costs of doing business domestically; moreover, protection of property rights in the West and the advantages afforded Chinese owned firms reconstituted as foreign entities operating in China decrease the costs of ‘going out’. We coin the term ‘institutional arbitrage’ to capture Chinese firms' pursuit of efficient institutions outside of China. We argue that strategic exit from the home country rather than strategic entry into foreign markets may explain the internationalization of many Chinese firms.