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Chapter 2.1 - Evidence-Role Maps

Marshalling the Evidence

from Part 2 - What’s Warrant for Singular Causal Processes and Why

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 April 2026

Nancy Cartwright
Affiliation:
University of Durham
Eileen Munro
Affiliation:
London School of Economics and Political Science
John Pemberton
Affiliation:
London School of Economics and Political Science
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Summary

Assembling and evaluating warrant for your claims involves giving reasons why these claims might be true or false. Such reasons may be understood as consisting of conjunctions of factual and relevance claims which may be adduced in favour of the claims in question. These claims themselves may in turn be warranted by further such conjunctions, and so on through indefinite higher ‘levels’ of evidence. We show how to structure relevant claims into an evidence role-map. We set out how to apply this to indirect local evidence, referencing a situation-specific causal equation model of each causal step. By reference to our pluralistic account of causation, we identify eight categories of evidence for each step. We introduce a notation for this approach and illustrate it using the Barbados sugar-sweetened beverage tax example, describing its use in post-hoc evaluation and ex ante prediction.

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  • Evidence-Role Maps
  • Nancy Cartwright, University of Durham, Eileen Munro, London School of Economics and Political Science, John Pemberton, London School of Economics and Political Science
  • Book: Causal Processes and their Warrant
  • Online publication: 30 April 2026
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009408332.013
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  • Evidence-Role Maps
  • Nancy Cartwright, University of Durham, Eileen Munro, London School of Economics and Political Science, John Pemberton, London School of Economics and Political Science
  • Book: Causal Processes and their Warrant
  • Online publication: 30 April 2026
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009408332.013
Available formats
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Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Evidence-Role Maps
  • Nancy Cartwright, University of Durham, Eileen Munro, London School of Economics and Political Science, John Pemberton, London School of Economics and Political Science
  • Book: Causal Processes and their Warrant
  • Online publication: 30 April 2026
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009408332.013
Available formats
×