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3 - Outvoted, Voting Out

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 May 2026

Justin Gest
Affiliation:
George Mason University, Virginia
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Summary

Chapter 3 takes a closer look at the mechanics of Democratic Drain. More specifically, it asks when demigrants are likely to depart. Focusing on 127 countries worldwide, it finds that people’s interest in emigrating spikes in the immediate aftermath of national elections when an authoritarian-leaning party or ruler is elected to public office. Importantly, this effect is limited only to people who hold expectations of democratic norms and institutional integrity. Those who question the honesty of the election, suspect corruption among public officials, or feel that freedom of speech is constrained are significantly more likely to say they would like to leave when faced with the future deconsolidation of their country’s democratic institutions. This shows the way that elections are precipitating events for individuals disappointed by the results and concerned about the future of their civil life. Previously unnoticed over the ebb and flow of electoral cycles, Democratic Drain removes the people who are most likely to voice their dissatisfaction and most likely to demand institutional integrity in less democratic spaces.

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  • Outvoted, Voting Out
  • Justin Gest, George Mason University, Virginia
  • Book: Democratic Drain
  • Online publication: 01 May 2026
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009726924.004
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  • Outvoted, Voting Out
  • Justin Gest, George Mason University, Virginia
  • Book: Democratic Drain
  • Online publication: 01 May 2026
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009726924.004
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Outvoted, Voting Out
  • Justin Gest, George Mason University, Virginia
  • Book: Democratic Drain
  • Online publication: 01 May 2026
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009726924.004
Available formats
×