Published online by Cambridge University Press: 22 October 2026
This conclusion synthesizes the book’s investigation into the puzzle of insincere coercion: why states often adopt coercive strategies they expect and/or intend to fail. Reviewing the book’s multimethod approach, the chapter first revisits the militarized conflict model and the four distinct rationales for insincere coercion introduced in Chapter 1. It then highlights the quantitative findings from the Coercion in Interstate Militarized Conflict (CIMC) database introduced in Chapter 2, which demonstrate that insincere coercion is frequent, occurring in a quarter of cases where the target resisted coercive demands. Furthermore, the broader empirical record since 1945 reveals that coercers successfully achieved their foreign policy objectives 59 percent of the time through the threat or use of violence. It further demonstrates how intentional coercion failure often contributed to foreign policy success. By consolidating insights from five detailed case studies, the book shows how and why decision-makers, rather than stumbling into war, may calculate that insincere coercion can facilitate obtaining foreign policy objectives unattainable through threats alone. The book offers lessons along with a critical framework for future foreign policy analysis.
To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure no-reply@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.
Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.
Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.
To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.
To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.