Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-74656f9884-2dmjx Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2026-11-09T20:59:07.733Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

7 - The Second Lebanon War

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 October 2026

Phil Haun
Affiliation:
United States Naval War College, Newport, Rhode Island
Get access

Summary

This chapter introduces the final of four explanations for insincere coercion: restoring deterrence. Analyzing the 2006 Second Lebanon War between Israel and Hezbollah, the chapter explains why a coercer might deliberately continue to inflict punishment even after it becomes clear the target will not concede. Though Hezbollah is not a state actor, it has many of its attributes, and this chapter expands the scope conditions to test a theory of insincere coercion. In the conflict, after initial airstrikes failed to compel Hezbollah to release Israeli hostages or cease rocket fire, Israel instituted a punishment strategy by targeting the homes of Hezbollah members and supporters. Although this massive destruction did not resolve the immediate crisis through coercion, it served a broader strategic purpose: altering Hezbollah’s calculus for future conflicts. By imposing higher-than-anticipated costs, Israel successfully increased Hezbollah’s expected price for initiating subsequent crises. The chapter also utilizes a formal deterrence model to demonstrate how a punishment strategy impacts the probability of maintaining long-term peace. Ultimately, the case illustrates how intentional coercion failure and sustained punishment can restore deterrence, in the case of Hezbollah, leading to fifteen years of quiet along the Israel–Lebanon border.

Information

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Book purchase

Temporarily unavailable

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure no-reply@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

  • The Second Lebanon War
  • Phil Haun, United States Naval War College, Newport, Rhode Island
  • Book: Expecting to Fail
  • Online publication: 22 October 2026
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781047767057.008
Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

  • The Second Lebanon War
  • Phil Haun, United States Naval War College, Newport, Rhode Island
  • Book: Expecting to Fail
  • Online publication: 22 October 2026
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781047767057.008
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • The Second Lebanon War
  • Phil Haun, United States Naval War College, Newport, Rhode Island
  • Book: Expecting to Fail
  • Online publication: 22 October 2026
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781047767057.008
Available formats
×