Published online by Cambridge University Press: 02 April 2026
Chapter 6 explores three plausible trajectories for humanity’s future: a “failed world,” a “good Anthropocene,” and a middle path of “buying time.” The failed-world scenario envisions societal collapse fueled by self-reinforcing feedbacks between environmental degradation, power concentration, stress, and eroding trust. In this trajectory, far-right populism and rising inequality lead to nationalism, global cooperation breakdown, and mass displacement due to climate change. Conversely, the good Anthropocene imagines democratic resilience, institutional reform, carbon neutrality, and a cultural shift away from materialism. It emphasizes prosocial values, equitable governance, and low-footprint lifestyles grounded in leisure and morality rather than consumption. The third scenario, buying time, reflects the complexities of slow global transformation, proposing adaptive migration and geoengineering as interim measures. Drawing on history, the chapter argues that systemic change—though gradual—can unfold over a century, as with past social reforms. However, unchecked delays risk irreversible damage.
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