As a direct consequence of liquid kerosene injection, aeroengine combustors may be categorized as non-premixed combustion systems, characterized by a swirl-stabilized and highly complex flow field. In addition to the flow of air through the fuel injector, there are a large number of other features through which the oxidizer can enter the heat release region. These can have an impact on local fuel–air mixing, inducing strong spatial and temporal variations in stoichiometry, thereby affecting emissions and combustion system performance. This article discusses a novel statistical methodology, based on principal component analysis (PCA) and K-means clustering, that aims to improve the understanding of fuel–air mixing in realistic aeroengine combustors. The method is applied in a post-processing step to data sampled from a large-eddy simulation, where every chamber inflow has been tagged with a unique passive scalar, which allows it to be traced across space and time. PCA is used to construct a low-dimensional, visually interpretable representation of a spatially localized fuel–air mixing process, while K-means clustering is employed to produce an unsupervised discretization of the flow field into regions of similar fuel–air mixing characteristics. The proposed methodology is computationally inexpensive, and the easily interpretable outputs can help the combustion engineer make better-informed decisions about combustor design.

A key factor in ensuring the accuracy of computer simulations that model physical systems is the proper calibration of their parameters based on real-world observations or experimental data. Bayesian methods provide a robust framework for quantifying and propagating the uncertainties that inevitably arise. Nevertheless, they produce predictions unable to represent the observed datapoints when paired with inexact models. Additionally, the quantified uncertainties of these overconfident models cannot be propagated to other Quantities of Interest (QoIs) reliably. A promising solution involves embedding a model inadequacy term in the inference parameters, allowing the quantified model form uncertainty to influence non-observed QoIs. In this work, we revisit this embedded formulation and analyze how different likelihood constructions affect the inference of model form uncertainty, particularly under the presence of prescribed measurement noise and unavoidable model discrepancies. Two additional likelihood formulations, the global moment-matching and relative global moment-matching likelihoods, are introduced to explore alternative ways of representing the residual distribution. The behavior of these likelihoods is examined alongside existing formulations to show how different treatments of measurement noise and discrepancies shape the inferred parameter posteriors, and thereby affect the uncertainty ultimately propagated to the QoIs. Particular attention is given to how the uncertainty associated with the model inadequacy term propagates to the QoIs for the posteriors obtained from different likelihood formulations, enabling a more comprehensive statistical analysis of the prediction’s reliability. Finally, the proposed approach is applied to estimate the uncertainty in the predicted heat flux from a transient thermal simulation using temperature observations.

Punching shear failure in slab-column connections is a brittle collapse mode that threatens the safety of flat reinforced concrete (RC) slabs. Conventional design provisions are generally conservative but exhibit inconsistencies across geometric and material variations. This study develops an eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model to predict the ultimate punching shear capacity of flat RC slabs, using a database of experimental results categorized by four different geometric domains, including square slab with square column, circular slab with circular column, square slab with circular column, and circular slab with square column, covering the geometric, materials strength, and reinforcement properties of input parameters. The model achieved high predictive accuracy across the domains with coefficient of determination (R2) values > 0.930 in unseen testing datasets with minimal bias (0.994–1.006) and reduced scatter. Model interpretability, addressed through the SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis, confirmed slab thickness and average effective depth as the most critical predictors of shear capacity, followed by concrete strength and reinforcement parameters, while boundary condition parameters showed negligible influence due to the predominance of interior column cases. These findings demonstrate that XGBoost provides accurate, reliable, and interpretable predictions of punching shear capacity, offering a data-driven alternative to code-based methods and supporting safer and more consistent design of flat RC slabs.

This paper proposes a method for reconstructing three-dimensional turbulent flows from sparse measurements without the need for ground truth data during training. A weight-sharing network is developed to infer the full flow fields from measurements of velocity sampled at three planes and boundary pressure at one additional plane, inspired by experimental configurations. The weight-sharing network shares identical parameters along homogeneous directions, which results in efficient data utilization and reduced computational memory requirements. First, we compare the weight-sharing network to the PC-DualConvNet, adapted from prior work, by reconstructing a 3D Kolmogorov flow from noise-free measurements with a snapshot-enforced loss. Both networks accurately recover time-averaged 3D flow fields and the correct energy spectrum up to wavenumber 10. The weight-sharing network has the ability to infer flow structures distant from measurement planes. Second, we carry out reconstruction from measurements corrupted with white noise (SNR 15) using a mean-enforced loss. We show that, for the weight-sharing network, validation sensor loss on unseen data decreases with training sensor loss—unlike PC-DualConvNet. This shows that the training sensor loss is a good estimate of the generalization error. The weight-sharing network offers good generalization, parameter efficiency, and hyperparameter robustness. The proposed method opens the possibility of three-dimensional flow reconstruction from experiments.

Addressing and predicting degenerative phenomena in domains such as health care and engineering, two fundamental fields of vital importance for society, offers valuable insights into early warning steps and critical event forecasting, leading to far-reaching implications for safety and resource allocation. By harnessing the power of data-driven insights, prognostics becomes the principal component of predicting such phenomena. Developing clustering techniques as feature extractors acts as an intermediate step between the raw incoming data and prognostics and provides the opportunity to unveil hidden relationships within complex datasets. However, when limited, noisy, and multimodal data are available in a label-free format, extensive preprocessing, and unreliable, complicated models are required for extracting meaningful features. This prohibits the development of adaptable methods in diverse domains that are in favor of robustness and interpretability. In this regard, this study introduces a novel unsupervised deep clustering model for feature extraction in degenerative phenomena. The model innovatively extracts prognostic-related features from raw data via clustering analysis, characterized by an increasing monotonic behavior representing system deterioration. This monotonicity is partial rather than complete, to incorporate the potential occurrence of oscillations in the degradation trajectory of the system or noise-related data, reflecting real-world scenarios. Its performance, robustness, generalizability, and interpretability are evaluated across diverse domains utilizing three datasets from health care and engineering featuring limited, noisy, high-dimensional, and multimodal raw signals. Results show that the model extracts meaningful prognostic-related features in both domains and all datasets, without a significant alteration in its architecture and independently of the chosen prognostic algorithm.

This paper presents a reliability-constrained Bayesian optimization framework for structural design under uncertainty, addressing challenges in stochastic optimization where the objectives and constraints are defined implicitly by potentially expensive numerical models. Our approach explicitly accounts for parameter uncertainty using results from Bayesian quadrature for uncertainty propagation in Gaussian process surrogate models. The method accommodates arbitrary probability distributions and employs gradient-based optimization for acquisition function maximization, strategically selecting sample points to minimize numerical model evaluations. We demonstrate our algorithm’s superior performance over random search and conventional Bayesian optimization through both an analytical test function and a prestressed tie-beam design case study, showing its practical applicability to structural optimization problems.

Surrogate models have gained widespread popularity for their effectiveness in replacing computationally expensive numerical analyses, particularly in scenarios such as design optimization procedures, requiring hundreds or thousands of simulations. While one-shot sampling methods—where all samples are generated in a single stage without prior knowledge of the required sample size—are commonly adopted in the creation of surrogate models, these methods face significant limitations. Given that the characteristics of the underlying system are generally unknown prior to training, adopting one-shot sampling can lead to suboptimal model performance or unnecessary computational costs, especially in complex or high-dimensional problems. This paper addresses these challenges by proposing a novel, model-independent adaptive sampling approach with batch selection, termed Cross-Validation Batch Adaptive Sampling for High-Efficiency Surrogates (CV-BASHES). CV-BASHES is first validated using two analytical functions to explore its flexibility and accuracy under different configurations, confirming its robustness. Comparative studies on the same functions with two state-of-the-art methods, maximum projection (MaxPro) and scalable adaptive sampling (SAS), demonstrate the superior accuracy and robustness of CV-BASHES. Its applicability is further demonstrated through a geotechnical application, where CV-BASHES is used to develop a surrogate model to predict the horizontal deformation of a diaphragm wall supporting a deep excavation. Results show that CV-BASHES efficiently selects training samples, reducing the dataset size while maintaining high surrogate accuracy. By offering more efficient sampling strategies, CV-BASHES streamlines and enhances the process of creating machine learning models as surrogates for tackling complex problems in general engineering disciplines.

Regular inspections of civil structures and infrastructure, performed by professional inspectors, are costly and demanding in terms of time and safety requirements. Additionally, the outcome of inspections can be subjective and inaccurate as they rely on the inspector’s expertise. To address these challenges, autonomous inspection systems offer a promising alternative. However, existing robotic inspection systems often lack adaptive positioning capabilities and integrated crack labelling, limiting detection accuracy and their contribution to long-term dataset improvement. This study introduces a fully autonomous framework that combines real-time crack detection with adaptive pose adjustment, automated recording and labelling of defects, and integration of RGB-D and LiDAR sensing for precise navigation. Damage detection is performed using YOLOv5, a widely used detection model, which analyzes the RGB image stream to detect cracks and generates labels for dataset creation. The robot autonomously adjusts its position based on confidence feedback from the detection algorithm, optimizing its vantage point for improved detection accuracy. Experiment inspections showed an average confidence gain of 18% (exceeding 20% for certain crack types), a reduction in size estimation error from 23.31% to 10.09%, and a decrease in the detection failure rate from 20% to 6.66%. While quantitative validation during field testing proved challenging due to dynamic environmental conditions, qualitative observations aligned with these trends, suggesting its potential to reduce manual intervention in inspections. Moreover, the system enables automated recording and labeling of detected cracks, contributing to the continuous improvement of machine learning models for structural health monitoring.