1 Introduction
In this article, I consider a reaction-diffusion model of wildfire propagation in a fuel layer with a very large spatial extent. Fix a spatial dimension
$d\geq 1$
. Consider a certain amount of solid fuel (trees, shrubberies, and so on) spread throughout
$\mathbb {R}^d$
with mass density at spatial location x and time t given by
$F(x,t)$
. We then define the mass fraction of fuel
$Y(x,t)$
by
$$ \begin{align*}Y(x,t) = \begin{cases} \frac{F(x,t)}{F(x,0)} \quad & F(x,0)\neq 0 \\ 0 \quad & F(x,0) = 0. \end{cases} \end{align*} $$
A fire with a dimensionless temperature field
$T(x,t)$
is moving through space and consuming this fuel: temperature is normalized so that
$T=0$
is the ambient temperature of the system’s environment. Also, we make the idealized assumption that the reaction rate governing combustion is given by an Arrhenius law activating at the ambient temperature
$T=0$
:
$$ \begin{align} r(T) = \begin{cases} e^{-\frac{1}{T}} & \quad T>0 \\ 0 & \quad T\leq 0. \end{cases} \end{align} $$
Under these assumptions, Weber et al. [Reference Weber, Mercer, Sidhu and Gray25] were the first to model the evolution of T and Y using the following Cauchy problem: given two parameters
$\lambda , \beta \geq 0$
,
$$ \begin{align} \left\{ \begin{aligned} T_{t} &= \left(\Delta - \lambda\right) T + Y r\left(T\right) \\ Y_{t} &= -\beta Y r\left(T\right) \\ T|_{t=0} &= T_0(x) \\ Y|_{t=0} &= Y_0(x). \end{aligned} \right. \end{align} $$
Up to a different choice of reaction rate, these are precisely the equations of first-order solid-fuel combustion at infinite Lewis number, with an added heat loss term [Reference Bebernes and Eberly3, Section 1.3]. For an instructive derivation of (1.2) and an explanation of why it is useful for data assimilation, see Mandel et al. [Reference Mandel, Bennethum, Beezley, Coen, Douglas, Kim and Vodacek13]. The discussion in Mandel et al. highlights that
$r(0)=0$
implies no combustion takes place at the ambient temperature
$T=0$
. Consequently, (1.2) admits solutions that take the form of traveling combustion waves; this had already been confirmed using formal asymptotics and numerics in [Reference Weber, Mercer, Sidhu and Gray25].
In light of the existence of traveling wave solutions, (1.2) has attracted attention from researchers in both mathematical modeling and dynamical systems theory. On the more concrete side, (1.2) has been applied to develop computationally efficient reduced-order models of wildfire dynamics [Reference Black, Schulze and Unger5, Reference Lattimer, Borggaard, Gugercin, Luxbacher and Lattimer11]. Also, Johnston [Reference Johnston10] used (1.2) in a modeling pipeline where remote sensing data was utilized to estimate realistic parameter values. Additionally, variants of the model incorporating the effects of wind [Reference Babak, Bourlioux and Hillen2, Reference Mandel, Bennethum, Beezley, Coen, Douglas, Kim and Vodacek13] and radiative heat transfer [Reference Asensio and Ferragut1, Reference Mitra, Peng and Reisch15, Reference Reisch, Navas-Montilla and Xian18, Reference Weber24] have also been considered. When it comes to rigorous results on the behavior of solutions to (1.2), Billingham [Reference Billingham4] proved the existence of traveling waves given suitable initial data and
$d=1$
(see also Babak et al. [Reference Babak, Bourlioux and Hillen2]). Linear stability of these traveling waves was examined numerically by Varas and Vega [Reference Varas and Vega22]. Existence and linear stability of traveling waves for related combustion models in
$d=1$
with finite Lewis number has also been considered, see for example [Reference Ghazaryan and Jones7, Reference Razani17]. There is certainly no shortage of other interesting research on traveling waves in wildland fire propagation and other solid-fuel systems, but a complete literature review is beyond the scope of this brief article.
While there is plenty of mathematical work on the properties of traveling wave solutions to (1.2), to my knowledge there are no published results on the existence and uniqueness of global-in-time solutions to (1.2) for generic bounded initial data (see, however, the existence result for a related model in [Reference Bebernes and Eberly3, Section 4.4]). In particular, with the exception of the lumped-parameter analysis in [Reference Reisch, Navas-Montilla and Xian18], I have not found any estimates that preclude finite-time blow-up of
$|T(x,t)|$
. Thermal blow-up phenomena indeed arise in certain solid-fuel combustion models [Reference Bebernes and Eberly3, Section 3.2], so understanding whether or not blow-up occurs in solutions to (1.2) is a meaningful question. Also, in [Reference Mandel, Bennethum, Beezley, Coen, Douglas, Kim and Vodacek13], the authors use a heuristic lumped-parameter argument to predict that a fire with a sufficiently low temperature eventually burns itself out: in the jargon of combustion theory, this means the model predicts a nonzero “auto-ignition temperature.” I have not, however, found any rigorous proof of the claim that (1.2) has a nonzero auto-ignition temperature.
In this article, I prove three novel results to address the knowledge gaps discussed in the previous paragraph:
-
(1) for any bounded initial state
$\left (T_0, Y_0\right )$
there exists a unique, bounded mild solution to (1.2) (to be defined precisely below) valid on the entire time interval
$[0,\infty )$
, provided
$\lambda>0$
: in particular, thermal blow-up is impossible (Corollary 2.6); -
(2) further, if
$Y_0$
is also integrable and
$T_0$
is also square-integrable, then the
$L^2_x$
norm of
$T(x,t)$
is bounded uniformly in time (Corollary 2.6 as well); -
(3) given an initial state
$T_0$
that is small in a particular physically reasonable norm, the solution to (1.2) satisfies
$\lim _{t\rightarrow 0}|T(x,t)| = 0$
uniformly in x for every
$\lambda \geq 0$
: morally, this confirms that (1.2) indeed has a nonzero auto-ignition temperature, and that not every initial state gives rise to a traveling wave solution (Theorem 2.9).
I hope these results prove useful to further investigations into the nonlinear stability of traveling waves and to the development of rigorous error estimates for numerical discretizations of (1.2).
Remark 1.1 In light of how the mass fraction is defined, we could consider the set of initial states
$Y_0(x)$
to consist only of piecewise-constant functions taking the values
$0$
or
$1$
. However, from an abstract point of view the initial-value problem (1.2) makes sense for a much wider variety of initial states. Consequently, in my opinion it is more elegant to allow
$Y_0(x)$
to live in a “typical” function space rather than some purpose-built space of piecewise-constant functions. Additionally, I remark that due to the phenomenon of wildfire spotting (see for instance [Reference Martin and Hillen14]), considering initial states where
$Y=0$
in some regions is physically relevant: although (1.2) does not include terms to describe spotting, adding such terms could make for significant future work.
1.1 Notation
For definitions of any of the objects appearing below, see [Reference Evans6].
-
• d always denotes a positive integer greater than or equal to
$1$
. -
•
$\mathbb {N}_0=\left \{0,1,2,3,...\right \}$
. -
• C denotes some non-negative constant that may change between lines. If
$\alpha $
is some real parameter, then
$C(\alpha )$
denotes a constant depending on
$\alpha $
. -
• If
$a,b\in \mathbb {R}$
, we say that
$a\lesssim b$
if there exists C such that
$a\leq bC$
. If
$a,b\in \mathbb {R}$
, we say that
$a\simeq b$
if
$a\lesssim b$
and
$b\lesssim a$
. -
• Given
$k, \ell \in \mathbb {N}_0$
with
$k\leq \ell $
and an
$\ell $
-times continuously differentiable function
$\varphi \colon \mathbb {R}^d\rightarrow \mathbb {R}$
,
$D^{k}_{x}\varphi $
denotes the set of all order k partial derivatives of
$\varphi $
. -
• The symbol
$\Delta $
denotes the Laplacian operator acting on functions with domain
$\mathbb {R}^d$
:
$\Delta = \sum _{k=1}^{d} \left (\frac {\partial }{\partial x_k}\right )^2$
. -
• For
$p\in \left [1,\infty \right ]$
,
$L^{p}_{x}\left (\mathbb {R}^{d}\right )$
denotes the usual Lebesgue space of real-valued functions of
$x\in \mathbb {R}^d$
. -
• Given a Banach space A and a time interval
$[0,t_{*}]$
, we let
$C^0_t A$
denote the space of continuous curves
$[0,t_{*}] \rightarrow A$
. When the value of
$t_{*}$
has a substantial impact on the topic at hand, this value will be made clear. Likewise,
$C^1_t A$
denotes the space of continuously differentiable curves in A, defined on some time interval.
2 Results
2.1 Preliminaries
First, we recall some decay and smoothing estimates for the linear heat equation.
Lemma 2.1 For any
$p,q,r\in \left [1,\infty \right ]$
with
$p^{-1}=q^{-1}-r^{-1}$
, any
$\varphi \in L^q_{x}$
, and any
$k\in \mathbb {N}_0$
, we have
Proof This bound follows from the time-decay properties of the heat kernel on
$\mathbb {R}^d$
; for example, see [Reference Linares and Ponce12, pp. 41–42] for an outline of the proof.
In the important special case
$p=q, r=\infty , k=0$
, we get
Additionally, we need a result about the function
$r(T)$
defined in (1.1).
Lemma 2.2 For any
$p\in \mathbb {N}_0$
, there exists a constant
$C(p)$
such that
Proof This is obvious since
$r(T)$
vanishes to all orders at
$T=0$
: it is the canonical example of a smooth, non-analytic function.
2.2 Mild solutions and their basic properties
We may use Duhamel’s principle to re-formulate (1.2) in a way that lets us introduce solutions with limited regularity.
Definition 2.1 Let
$A, A_0$
, and B be Banach subspaces of
$L^{\infty }_{x}$
, with
$A \subseteq A_0$
. Suppose we are given an initial datum
$\left (T_0(x), Y_0(x)\right )\in A_0 \times B$
. We say that
$\left (T(x,t), Y(x,t)\right )\in C^0_t A \times C^0_t B$
is a mild solution of (1.2) if this pair satisfies
Below, the time interval on which a mild solution is valid will be specified when it’s vital to know. Immediately, one sees that mild solutions have some important properties.
-
(1) First, if
$Y_0(x)\geq 0$
everywhere then
$Y(x,t)\geq 0$
also holds. This makes perfect sense: an initially nonnegative fuel density should never become negative. -
(2) Second, owing to the smoothing properties of the heat flow
$e^{t\Delta }$
,
$T(x,t)$
is smooth in x for every
$t>0$
. However,
$Y(x,t)$
is only as smooth as
$Y_0(x)$
. -
(3) By construction, any mild solution
$\left (T,Y\right )$
is continuous in t: in fact, it’s trivial to see that
$Y(x,t)$
is also continuously differentiable in t. If we denote the right-hand side of (2.3a) by
$\Phi \left [T,Y\right ]$
, then we have where the unimportant particulars in the integral over
$$ \begin{align*} \partial_{t}\Phi\left[T,Y\right] = \left(-\lambda+\Delta\right)e^{-\lambda t}e^{t\Delta}T_0 + Y(x,t)r\left(T(x,t)\right) + \int_{0}^{t} \cdots \ {\mathrm{d}} \tau, \end{align*} $$
$\tau $
have been omitted. Each term on the right-hand side of the above expression is continuous in t, so we conclude that
$T(x,t)$
is continuously differentiable in t. Thus, in the notation of Definition 2.1, we could just as well define mild solutions as living in
$C^1_t A \times C^1_t B$
.
In light of the last two items above, I have almost shown that any mild solution is actually a classical solution to (1.2) (the converse statement is obvious). However, to avoid technicalities about the nature of the convergence of
$\left (T(x,t), Y(x,t)\right )\rightarrow \left (T_0(x), Y_0(x)\right )$
as
$t\rightarrow 0^{+}$
, I won’t formalize such a statement here: in the sequel, the spatial and temporal regularity of mild solutions turns out to be sufficient to get the estimates I want.
2.3 A priori estimates and existence-uniqueness theory
In this subsection, I prove some basic a priori bounds on mild solutions to (1.2) with
$\lambda>0$
. These bounds are then used to help construct global-in-time mild solutions of (1.2). We start with the easiest bound possible.
Proposition 2.3 For any
$p\in [1,\infty ]$
, if
$(T,Y)$
is a mild solution of (1.2), then
provided the right-hand side is finite.
Proof Since
$r(T)$
is nonnegative,
$Y(x,t)\leq Y_0(x)$
almost everywhere.
According to Mandel et al. [Reference Mandel, Bennethum, Beezley, Coen, Douglas, Kim and Vodacek13, Section 4.1],
$Y(x,t)$
is expected to settle to a small but nonzero steady value for
$t\gg 1$
. I therefore do not think one can prove a variant of the above result that includes a time-dependent decay factor going to
$0$
as
$t\rightarrow \infty $
on the right-hand side.
Proposition 2.4 Suppose
$\lambda>0$
. If we are given an initial datum
$(T_0, Y_0)\in L^{\infty }_{x}\times L^{\infty }_{x}$
and a corresponding mild solution
$(T,Y)\in C^{0}_{t}L^{\infty }_{x}\times C^{0}_{t}L^{\infty }_{x}$
of (1.2), then
Proof Using Lemma 2.1 and
$\left |r(T)\right |\leq 1$
, we have
$$ \begin{align*} \left\|T\right\|_{L^{\infty}_{x}} &\leq e^{-\lambda t} \left\|T_0\right\|_{L^{\infty}_{x}} + \sup_{t>0}\left\|Y r\left(T\right)\right\|_{L^\infty_x}\int_0^t e^{-\lambda \left(t-\tau\right)} \ {\mathrm{d}} \tau \\ &\leq e^{-\lambda t} \left\|T_0\right\|_{L^{\infty}_{x}} + \lambda^{-1}\left(1-e^{-\lambda t}\right)\left\|Y_0\right\|_{L^\infty_x}.\\[-34pt] \end{align*} $$
Proposition 2.5 Suppose
$\lambda>0$
. If we are given an initial datum
$(T_0, Y_0)\in \left (L^{2}_{x}\cap L^{\infty }_{x}\right )\times L^{\infty }_{x}$
and a corresponding mild solution
$(T,Y)\in C^{0}_{t}\left (L^{2}_{x}\cap L^{\infty }_{x}\right )\times C^{0}_{t}L^{\infty }_{x}$
of (1.2), then
In particular, if
$(T_0, Y_0)\in \left (L^{2}_{x}\cap L^{\infty }_{x}\right )\times \left (L^{1}_{x}\cap L^{\infty }_{x}\right )$
then
Proof Recall that
$T(x,t)$
is smooth in x and continuously differentiable in t, so we can write
$T_{t} = \left (\Delta -\lambda \right ) T + Yr\left (T\right )$
for
$t>0$
. We then use a standard energy argument:
$$ \begin{align} \frac{{\mathrm{d}}}{{\mathrm{d}} t}\frac12 \left\|T\right\|_{L^2_{x}}^2 &= - \left\|T\right\|^2_{\dot{H}^1_{x}} -\frac{\lambda}{2}\left\|T\right\|_{L^2_x}^2+ \int T(x,t) \ Y(x,t) \ r\left(T(x,t)\right) \ {\mathrm{d}} x \nonumber \\ &\leq \int T(x,t) \ Y(x,t) \ r\left(T(x,t)\right) \ {\mathrm{d}} x \\ &= \beta^{-1} \int T(x,t) \ \left(-Y_{t}(x,t)\right) \ {\mathrm{d}} x \nonumber \\ &\leq \beta^{-1}\sup_{t>0}\left\|T(x,t)\right\|_{L^{\infty}_{x}}\int \left(-Y_{t}(x,t)\right) \ {\mathrm{d}} x. \nonumber \end{align} $$
Integrating both sides of the above over
$[0,t]$
and using Proposition 2.4 gives
Then, we use the Fubini–Tonelli theorem (valid since
$-Y_{\tau }$
is non-negative and measurable) and the fundamental theorem of calculus to obtain one part of (2.6). The special case (2.7) follows since
$Y_0(x) - Y(x,t) \leq Y_0(x)$
. For the other part of (2.6), we instead use
$Tr(T)\lesssim T^2$
in (2.8), place Y in
$L^{\infty }_{x}$
, and conclude with an application of Grönwall’s inequality.
Next, I demonstrate how these a priori estimates may be applied to obtain global-in-time mild solutions to (1.2).
Corollary 2.6 Suppose we are given an initial datum
$\left (T_0, Y_0\right )\in L^{\infty }_{x}\times L^{\infty }_{x}$
. Then,
-
• (1.2) admits a unique mild solution
$(T,Y)\in C^0_t L^{\infty }_{x}\times C^0_t L^{\infty }_{x}$
valid for at least some small time interval
$[0,t^{*}]$
; -
• additionally, if
$\lambda>0$
then this solution is valid for
$t\in [0,\infty )$
; -
• finally, if
$\lambda>0$
and we also have
$T_0\in L^2_{x}$
, then T obeys the growth estimate (2.6).
Proof Local-in-time existence and uniqueness follows from a routine fixed-point argument. Let
$\Phi \left [T,Y\right ]$
denote the right-hand side of (2.3a) and let
$\Psi \left [T,Y\right ]$
denote the right-hand side of (2.3b) (note that
$T_0, Y_0$
are fixed). We want to show that there exist
$R>0$
and
$t^{*}\in (0,1)$
such that
$(T,Y)\mapsto \left (\Phi \left [T,Y\right ], \Psi \left [T,Y\right ]\right )$
is a contraction mapping on the open ball
$B(0,R)\subseteq C^0_t L^{\infty }_{x}\times C^0_t L^{\infty }_{x}$
, where time takes values in
$[0,t^{*}]$
. Arguments similar to those applied in Propositions 2.3 and 2.4 show that this mapping takes
$B(0,R)$
to itself if
Analogous techniques, when combined with the mean value theorem in two variables, show that for any
$\left (T_1, Y_1\right ), \left (T_2, Y_2\right )\in B(0,R)$
we have the Lipschitz-type estimates
$$ \begin{align*} \left\|\Phi\left[T_1,Y_1\right]- \Phi\left[T_2,Y_2\right]\right\|_{C^0_t L^{\infty}_{x}} &\leq CRt^{*}\left\|\left(T_1, Y_1\right) -\left(T_2, Y_2\right)\right\|_{C^0_t L^{\infty}_{x}\times C^0_t L^{\infty}_{x}}, \\ \left\|\Psi\left[T_1,Y_1\right]- \Psi\left[T_2,Y_2\right]\right\|_{C^0_t L^{\infty}_{x}} &\leq \beta R t^{*}\left\|\left(T_1, Y_1\right) -\left(T_2, Y_2\right)\right\|_{C^0_t L^{\infty}_{x}\times C^0_t L^{\infty}_{x}}, \end{align*} $$
where C is independent of
$R, t^{*}$
. Accordingly,
$(T,Y)\mapsto \left (\Phi \left [T,Y\right ], \Psi \left [T,Y\right ]\right )$
certainly defines a contraction on
$B(0,R)$
if
Choosing
$R=4\left (\left \|T_0\right \|_{L^\infty _{x}} + \left \|Y_0\right \|_{L^\infty _{x}}\right )$
and letting
$t^{*}$
saturate (2.9b), we find that (2.9a) is also satisfied. Applying Banach’s contraction mapping theorem, the proof of existence and uniqueness of a mild solution within
$B(0,R)$
is complete. Unconditional uniqueness then follows from the bootstrap principle (see for instance [Reference Tao19, pp. 131–132 for further details).
If
$\lambda>0$
then Propositions 2.3 and 2.4 allow us to extend this local solution to a global one. With this solution in hand, we apply Proposition 2.5 to conclude.
Consequently, solutions to (1.2) do not exhibit thermal blow-up when
$\lambda>0$
. In the case
$\lambda =0$
the techniques from Proposition 2.4 would yield
While this does not give a nice uniform-in-time bound, it at least says that thermal blow-up does not occur in finite time irrespective of
$\lambda $
.
For the sake of completeness, I mention that we can obtain coarse estimates on
$\nabla T$
without too much trouble.
Proposition 2.7 Pick
$p,q,\ell \in \left [1,\infty \right ]$
with
$p^{-1}=q^{-1}-\ell ^{-1}$
and
$\ell>d$
. If
$(T_0, Y_0)\in \left (L^{p}_{x}\cap L^{\infty }_{x}\right )\times \left (L^{q}_{x}\cap L^{\infty }_{x}\right )$
then the corresponding mild solution
$(T,Y)$
of (1.2) satisfies
In particular,
Proof Using (2.1), (2.4), and
$|r(T)|\leq 1$
, we have
and we’re all done upon computing the integral.
This re-affirms that solutions of (1.2) do not develop sharp edges in finite time (see the discussion in the second point under Definition 2.1). I expect that one can get rid of the temporally growing term in (2.10) using more sophisticated techniques.
2.4 Decay of small-data solutions
Next I show that, if the initial temperature
$T_0$
is sufficiently small, then
$\lim _{t\rightarrow \infty }|T(x,t)|=0$
uniformly. This confirms that (1.2) has a nonzero auto-ignition temperature up to some mild assumptions on
$T_0$
. From our work in the last section, we know that
$\lambda =0$
gives the worst
$L^{\infty }_x$
temperature bounds possible, so in this section we choose
$\lambda =0$
: if we can establish decay with
$\lambda =0$
then it is even simpler to establish decay with
$\lambda>0$
. While this means we don’t have access to the existence-uniqueness results from the previous section, we can still build a temporally-decaying global solution using the assumption of small initial data and the bootstrap principle. This strategy for establishing time decay is well-known in the theory of dispersive PDEs, see for instance [Reference Morgan16].
Throughout this section, we suppose that
${\epsilon }_0\in (0,1)$
is a small parameter (to be constrained later) and
The requirement that
$T_0$
is small in
$L^1_x$
expresses that the initial temperature is approximately localized in space. Strictly speaking, smallness in any
$L^q_{x}$
-norm with
$q<\infty $
would also capture localization, but the choice
$q=1$
is a minor technical one giving us access to a good decay estimate. Now, given
$t_{*}\in (0,\infty ]$
and a sufficiently nice function
$T(x,t)$
defined for
$t\in [0,t_{*}]$
, we set
This norm naturally gives rise to a Banach space
$X_{t_{*}}$
defined by
$$ \begin{align*} X_{t_{*}} \doteq \left\{T\colon [0,t_{*}] \rightarrow L^1_x \cap L^\infty_{x}\ \text{continuous}\ \bigg| \ \left\|T(x,t)\right\|_{X_{t_{*}}} < \infty\right\}. \end{align*} $$
The first order of business is to prove a new a priori estimate for solutions that are small in
$X_{t_*}$
.
Proposition 2.8 Take
${\epsilon }_1 \in \left [{\epsilon }_0, 1\right )$
. Assume that (2.12) holds and that there is a corresponding mild solution
$\left (T,Y\right )\in X_{t_{*}}\times C^0_t L^{\infty }_{x}$
to (1.2) valid on
$[0,t_{*}]$
. Further, assume that
$\left \|T\right \|_{X_{t_{*}}} \leq {\epsilon }_1$
. Then, there exists an absolute constant
$C>0$
such that
Proof Let’s look at the
$L^{\infty }_{x}$
part of the
$X_{t_{*}}$
norm first. Together with the hypothesis of our claim, Lemma 2.2 (with
$p=11$
) implies
and
There is nothing special about the choice
$p=11$
: any large enough natural number will do, and the rapid vanishing of
$r(T)$
at
$T=0$
guarantees we can pick such a large p. We first focus on the
$t>1$
case. Combining the estimates on
$r(T)$
with the definition of a mild solution, (2.1), the easy bound
$2t \geq 1+t$
for
$t>1$
, (2.2), and (2.12), we have
$$ \begin{align*} \left\|T(x,t)\right\|_{L^\infty_x} &\leq 2^{d/2}\left(1+t\right)^{-\frac{d}{2}} {\epsilon}_0 + \int_0^t \left\|e^{\left(t-\tau\right)\Delta} Y(x,\tau)r\left(T(x,\tau)\right)\right\|_{L^\infty_x} \ {\mathrm{d}} \tau \\ &\leq 2^{d/2}\left(1+t\right)^{-\frac{d}{2}} {\epsilon}_0 + \int_0^{t/2} \left(t-\tau\right)^{-\frac{d}{2}} \left\|Y(x,\tau) \ r\left(T(x,\tau)\right)\right\|_{L^1_{x}} \ {\mathrm{d}} \tau \\ &\phantom{\leq} + \int_{t/2}^t \left\|Y(x,\tau) \ r\left(T(x,\tau)\right)\right\|_{L^\infty_{x}} \ {\mathrm{d}} \tau \\ &\leq 2^{d/2}\left(1+t\right)^{-\frac{d}{2}} {\epsilon}_0 + C\left\|Y_0\right\|_{L^\infty_{x}} {\epsilon}_1^{11} \left[\int_0^{t/2} \left(1+t-\tau\right)^{-\frac{d}{2}} \left(1+\tau\right)^{-5d} \ {\mathrm{d}} \tau \right. \\ &\phantom{\leq} \left. +\int_{t/2}^t \left(1+\tau\right)^{-\frac{11}{2}d} \right] \\ &\leq 2^{d/2}\left(1+t\right)^{-\frac{d}{2}}\left[{\epsilon}_0 + C\left\|Y_0\right\|_{L^\infty_x} {\epsilon}_1^{11}\right]. \end{align*} $$
For
$t\leq 1$
we may apply an almost identical approach, but we don’t split the Duhamel term and we only use (2.2). This takes care of the
$L^\infty _x$
piece. The
$L^1_{x}$
estimate is obtained by a similar but even easier argument using (2.2) to control
$\left \|e^{\left (t-\tau \right )\Delta }Yr\left (T\right )\right \|_{L^1_x}$
.
Theorem 2.9 There exists
${\epsilon }_0 ={\epsilon }_0\left (\left \|Y_0\right \|_{L^\infty _x},d\right )\in (0,1)$
such that, under the hypothesis (2.12), (1.2) admits a unique global-in-time mild solution
$\left (T,Y\right )\in X_{\infty }\times C^0_t L^{\infty }_x$
obeying the decay estimate
In particular,
$\lim _{t\rightarrow \infty }|T(x,t)| = 0$
uniformly in x.
Proof Using fixed-point iteration as in Corollary 2.6, one finds a
$t_{*}>0$
such that (1.2) has a unique local-in-time mild solution valid on
$[0,t_*]$
with
$T(x,t)\in X_{t_{*}}$
. Further, the map
$\tau \mapsto \left \|T\right \|_{X_\tau }$
is easily shown to be continuous for
$\tau \in [0,t_*]$
. Accordingly, for sufficiently small
$t_{*}$
and
$\alpha>2+\frac {d}{2}$
we know
$\left \|T\right \|_{X_{t_{*}}}\leq 2^{\alpha }{\epsilon }_0$
. Now, apply Proposition 2.8 with
${\epsilon }_1 = 2^{\alpha }{\epsilon }_0$
to discover
By choosing
${\epsilon }_0 < \frac 12\left (2^{11\alpha - 1 -\frac {d}{2}}C\left \|Y_0\right \|_{L^\infty _x}\right )^{-\frac {1}{10}}$
, the above becomes
$\left \|T\right \|_{X_{t_{*}}}\leq 2^{2+d/2}{\epsilon }_0$
. Since
$\alpha>2+\frac {d}{2}$
, this bound is nontrivial. The bootstrap principle (see for example [Reference Tao19]) allows us to iterate this argument, giving a global solution satisfying
$\left \|T\right \|_{X_{\infty }}\lesssim _d {\epsilon }_0$
.
The
${\epsilon }_0$
from Theorem 2.9 should be regarded as a lower bound on the auto-ignition temperature for the model (1.2), but my methods cannot determine how sharp this bound is. However, a simple numerical experiment shows that much more work is needed to obtain a precise bound on the auto-ignition temperature. Fix
$d=1$
. Using a symbolic computation software like WolframAlpha, one can verify that the constant
$C(p)$
from Lemma 2.2 with
$p=11$
is on the order of
$10^6$
(simply ask the software to find the maximum of
$z^{-11}r(z)$
). Consequently, a bit of arithmetic and the physically meaningful bound
$\left \|Y_0\right \|_{L^\infty _x}\leq 1$
show that
${\epsilon }_0$
is on the order of about
$10^{-2}$
. Figure 1 displays a numerical simulation of (1.2) with
$\beta =1, \lambda =0$
, and initial state
$$ \begin{align} T_0(x) &= \exp\left(-\left(\frac{x}{0.03}\right)^2\right) \end{align} $$
$$ \begin{align} \qquad\, Y_0(x) &= \begin{cases} 1 \quad &x\in [-0.75, 0.75] \\ 0 \quad &\text{else} \end{cases} \end{align} $$
Evolution of the initial state (2.15) with
$\beta =1, \lambda =0$
. Note the rapid decay in time despite the initial amplitude being much larger than
${\epsilon }_0$
.

generated using a Chebyshev differentiation matrix in space [Reference Trefethen21], exponential Euler integration in time for the temperature [Reference Hochbruck and Ostermann9], and regular Euler integration in time for the mass ratio. Even though this initial state has an amplitude
$\left \|T_0(x)\right \|_{L^\infty _x}$
that is about one hundred times larger than
${\epsilon }_0$
, it still exhibits rapid decay: by
$t=0.015$
,
$\left \|T(x,t)\right \|_{L^{\infty }_x}$
has already dropped to approximately
$10\%$
of its initial value. Accordingly, the
${\epsilon }_0$
obtained in Theorem 2.9 is far too small to be a sharp lower bound on the auto-ignition temperature. Determining a sharp estimate for the auto-ignition temperature, whether by numerical or analytical means, would be an excellent topic for future investigations. Finally, a curve of the form
$ t\mapsto \left (1+t/t_{\mathrm {decay}}\right )^{-\frac 12} $
(where
$t_{\mathrm {decay}}$
is a decay timescale) can be fit to the numerically-determined amplitude
$t\mapsto \left \|T(x,t)\right \|_{L^{\infty }_x}$
using nonlinear least squares; see Figure 2. The similarity between this fit function and the right-hand side of (2.14) suggests that a variant of (2.14) may still hold for initial data near the actual auto-ignition temperature, rather than just for data that is smaller than
${\epsilon }_0$
.
Empirical fit for
$\left \|T(x,t)\right \|_{L^{\infty }_x}$
inspired by (2.14). The value of the decay timescale is
$t_{\mathrm {decay}}=2.267\times 10^{-4}$
.

Acknowledgements
I’d like to thank Carrie Clark for helpful comments on the draft manuscript, and Dominic Shillingford for invaluable discussions. I am also grateful to the anonymous referees, whose comments led to strong improvements in the article. Figure 1 uses a cmocean colourmap [Reference Thyng, Greene, Hetland, Zimmerle and DiMarco20].
Data availability statement
The code for reproducing the figures (which makes use of NumPy [Reference Harris, Jarrod Millman, van der Walt, Gommers, Virtanen, Cournapeau, Wieser, Taylor, Berg, Smith, Kern, Picus, Hoyer, van Kerkwijk, Brett, Haldane, Fernández, del Río, Wiebe, Gérard-Marchant, Sheppard, Reddy, Weckesser, Abbasi, Gohlke and Oliphant8] and SciPy [Reference Virtanen, Gommers, Oliphant, Haberland, Reddy, Cournapeau, Burovski, Peterson, Weckesser, Bright, van der Walt, Brett, Wilson, Millman, Mayorov, Nelson, Jones, Kern, Larson, Carey, Polat, Feng, Moore, VanderPlas, Laxalde, Perktold, Cimrman, Henriksen, Quintero, Harris, Archibald, Ribeiro, Pedregosa and van Mulbregt23]) is available on GitHub at github.com/ageorgemorgan/wildfire_rd/blob/main/mandel_model_autoignition.ipynb.






