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Exact simulation of generalised Vervaat perpetuities

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 July 2019

Angelos Dassios*
Affiliation:
London School of Economics and Political Science
Yan Qu*
Affiliation:
London School of Economics and Political Science
Jia Wei Lim*
Affiliation:
University of Bristol
*
*Postal address: Department of Statistics, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE, UK.
*Postal address: Department of Statistics, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE, UK.
***Postal address: Department of Mathematics, University of Bristol, Senate House, Tyndall Avenue, Bristol BS8 1TH, UK.
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Abstract

We consider a generalised Vervaat perpetuity of the form X = Y1W1 +Y2W1W2 + · · ·, where $W_i \sim {\cal U}^{1/t}$ and (Yi)i≥0 is an independent and identically distributed sequence of random variables independent from (Wi)i≥0. Based on a distributional decomposition technique, we propose a novel method for exactly simulating the generalised Vervaat perpetuity. The general framework relies on the exact simulation of the truncated gamma process, which we develop using a marked renewal representation for its paths. Furthermore, a special case arises when Yi = 1, and X has the generalised Dickman distribution, for which we present an exact simulation algorithm using the marked renewal approach. In particular, this new algorithm is much faster than existing algorithms illustrated in Chi (2012), Cloud and Huber (2017), Devroye and Fawzi (2010), and Fill and Huber (2010), as well as being applicable to the general payments case. Examples and numerical analysis are provided to demonstrate the accuracy and effectiveness of our method.

Information

Type
Research Papers
Copyright
© Applied Probability Trust 2019 
Figure 0

Figure 1: Graphical illustration of a sample path of Zt.

Figure 1

Table 1: Comparisons between the true means and the associated simulation results for Algorithms 3.1 and 3.2 for various t and μ.

Figure 2

Table 2: Comparisons between Algorithm 3.1 and the algorithms suggested in Devroye and Fawzi [8], Fill and Huber [12], Chi [4], and Cloud and Huber [5] for t =1 and t =3..

Figure 3

Figure 2: Convergence analysis of Algorithm 3.1 and the algorithms suggested in Chi [4], Cloud and Huber [5], Devroye and Fawzi [8], and Fill and Huber [12] for t =1 and t =3, respectively, with associated detailed numerical results reported in Table 2.

Figure 4

Table 3: Comparisons of the CPU times in seconds for the algorithms suggested in Chi [4], Cloud and Huber [5], Devroye and Fawzi [8], and Fill and Huber [12], with Algorithm 3.1 for 100 000 replications.

Figure 5

Figure 3: Histograms of perpetuity X with Y ~ Г(α, β) under the parameter setting α =1, 1.5, 2, 2.5 and β = 1.

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Figure 4: Probability density function of perpetuity Xi with Yi ~ half-normal(0, 1).

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Figure 5: Histograms of perpetuity Xi with Yi ~ half-normal(0, 1) and Yi ~ half-normal(1, 1) with t = 1, 2.

Figure 8

Figure 6: Histogram and density plot of perpetuity X with Y ~ Normal(0, 1).

Figure 9

Figure 7: Histogram and density plot of perpetuity X with Y ~ Normal(1, 1).

Figure 10

Figure 8: Histogram of perpetuity X̂ = BX1 – (1 – B)X2 with B ~ Bernoulli(p) under parameter setting p = 0.3, 0.5, 0.9.