1. Introduction
Di Crescenzo et al. [Reference Di Crescenzo, Martinucci and Meoli14] introduced and studied a Lévy process
$\{M(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
, namely the generalized counting process (GCP). Its transition probabilities are given by
\begin{equation}\mathbb{P}\{M(t+h)=n|M(t)=m\}=\begin{cases}1-\Lambda h+o(h), & n=m,\\\lambda_{j}h+o(h), & n=m+j, \ j=1,2,\ldots,k,\\o(h), & n\gt m+k,\end{cases}\end{equation}
where the
$\lambda_{j}$
are positive rates,
$\Lambda=\lambda_{1}+\lambda_{2}+\cdots+\lambda_{k}$
, and
$o(h)\to 0$
as
$h\to 0$
. From (1), it is evident that the GCP performs k kinds of jumps of amplitude,
$1,2,\ldots,k,$
with rates
$\lambda_{1},\lambda_{2},\ldots,\lambda_{k}$
, respectively. Its fractional version, the generalized fractional counting process (GFCP), is obtained by time-changing the GCP by an independent inverse stable subordinator
$\{Y_{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
for
$0\lt\beta\lt1$
, that is,
$\{M(Y_{\beta}(t))\}_{t\ge0}$
. We denote the GFCP by
$\{M^{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. Its state probabilities
$p^{\beta}(n,t)=\mathbb{P}\{M^{\beta}(t)=n\}$
satisfy the following system of fractional differential equations (see [Reference Di Crescenzo, Martinucci and Meoli14]):
\begin{equation}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{\beta}}{\mathrm{d}t^{\beta}}p^{\beta}(n,t)=-\Lambda p^{\beta}(n,t)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}p^{\beta}(n-j,t), \quad n\ge0,\end{equation}
with initial conditions
\begin{equation*}p^{\beta}(n,0)=\begin{cases}1, & n=0,\\0, & n\ge1.\end{cases}\end{equation*}
Here,
$\dfrac{\mathrm{d}^{\beta}}{\mathrm{d}t^{\beta}}$
is the Caputo fractional derivative defined in (16) and
$n\wedge k=\min\{n,k\}$
.
For
$\beta=1$
, the GFCP reduces to the GCP. For
$k=1$
, the GFCP and the GCP reduce to the time-fractional Poisson process (TFPP) (see [Reference Beghin and Orsingher2]) and the Poisson process, respectively. Recently, several authors have introduced and studied counting processes such as the Poisson process of order k (PPoK), the Pólya–Aeppli process of order k (PAPoK), the Bell–Touchard process, and the Poisson–logarthmic process. These processes, along with their fractional variants, are particular cases of the GFCP (see [Reference Kataria and Khandakar21, Reference Khandakar and Kataria23]). For other fractional generalizations of the Poisson process, such as the space-fractional Poisson process (SFPP) and space–time-fractional Poisson process (STFPP), we refer the reader to [Reference Orsingher and Polito28]. The fractional versions of the Poisson process have applications in fields such as queueing theory, finance, fractional quantum mechanics, and the modeling of catastrophic events such as tsunamis and earthquakes.
Let
$\stackrel{\rm d}{=}$
denote equality in distribution. Also, let
$\{X_{i}\}_{i\ge1}$
be a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables with probability mass function (PMF)
Di Crescenzo et al. [Reference Di Crescenzo, Martinucci and Meoli14] showed that the GCP is equal in distribution to the following compound Poisson process:
\begin{equation}M(t)\;\stackrel{\rm d}{=}\;\sum_{i=1}^{N(t)}X_{i},\end{equation}
where the Poisson process
$\{N(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
with intensity
$\Lambda$
is independent of
$\{X_{i}\}_{i\ge1}$
.
Leonenko et al. [Reference Leonenko, Scalas and Trinh26] introduced and studied a non-homogeneous version of the TFPP. Buchak and Sakhno [Reference Buchak and Sakhno9] obtained the governing equations for marginal distributions of a non-homogeneous Poisson process time-changed by an inverse subordinator. Recently, Kadankova et al. [Reference Kadankova, Leonenko and Scalas18] studied non-homogeneous versions of the PPoK and the PAPoK along with their fractional extensions.
In Section 2, we give some preliminary results that will be used later. In Section 3, an alternative representation of the one-dimensional distribution of the GFCP in terms of the derivatives of the Mittag-Leffler function is obtained. We introduce a non-homogeneous version of the GCP, namely the non-homogeneous generalized counting process (NGCP), and obtain its probability generating function (PGF) and the system of differential equations that governs its state probabilities. We time-change the NGCP by an independent inverse stable subordinator to obtain its fractional version, which we call the non-homogeneous generalized fractional counting process (NGFCP). Also, we discuss the arrival times of the NGFCP. A generalization of the NGFCP is introduced by time-changing the NGCP with an independent inverse subordinator, for which we obtain the governing system of equations of marginal distributions involving a convolution-type derivative studied by Toaldo [Reference Toaldo34]. The results obtained in this section generalize and complement the results of [Reference Buchak and Sakhno9], [Reference Kadankova, Leonenko and Scalas18], and Reference Leonenko, Scalas and Trinh26].
A multistable subordinator
$\{H(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
with time-dependent stability index
$\beta(t)\in (0,1)$
is an inhomogeneous subordinator. The Laplace transform of increments of an inhomogeneous subordinator
$\{R(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is given by
which holds under some suitable conditions (see [Reference Orsingher, Ricciuti and Toaldo30]). Here,
$u\to f(u,t)$
is a Bernštein function for each
$t\ge0$
such that
A multistable subordinator is characterized by the Lévy measure (see [Reference Beghin and Ricciuti7])
where
$t\to\beta(t)$
is a regular function. Its associated Bernštein function is
$f(u,t)=u^{\beta(t)}$
. The multistable subordinators extend the stable subordinators by considering the time-dependent stability index. These have proven to be useful in modeling phenomena in finance and the natural sciences. For more details on multistable subordinators, we refer the reader to [Reference Orsingher, Ricciuti and Toaldo30].
In Section 4, we consider the GCP time-changed by an independent multistable subordinator, that is,
$\{M(H(t))\}_{t\ge0}$
. We obtain the Lévy measure, the Bernštein function, and the distribution of its first passage times. For a particular case of the process
$\{M(H(t))\}_{t\ge0}$
, we obtain its one-dimensional distribution and PGF.
Kataria and Khandakar [Reference Kataria and Khandakar20] studied a time-changed version of the GFCP, namely the time-changed generalized fractional counting process-I (TCGFCP-I)
$\{M_{f}^{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. It is defined as follows:
where the GFCP is independent of the Lévy subordinator
$\{D_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. For
$\beta=1$
, it reduces to the time-changed generalized counting process-I (TCGCP-I)
$\{M_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. From the transition probabilities of the TCGCP-I (see (48)), it can be observed that the jumps can take any positive value in a small time interval, so the TCGCP-I could be useful in modeling real-life situations where multiple occurrences are allowed in an infinitesimal interval of time.
In Section 5, we obtain some additional results for the TCGCP-I. The system of differential equations that governs its state probabilities, the distribution of its first passage times, and related governing equations are obtained. For a particular case of the TCGCP-I, we obtain the system of differential equations that governs its state probabilities. As an application, we consider a risk process in which the TCGCP-I is used to model the number of claims received by an insurance company. Some results for the joint distribution of the time to ruin and the deficit at the time of ruin are derived. We show that the one-dimensional distributions of the TCGFCP-I are not infinitely divisible. We discuss the conditional distribution of the kth order statistic from a sample whose size is modeled by a particular case of the TCGFCP-I, namely the time-fractional negative binomial process (see [Reference Vellaisamy and Maheshwari36]).
In Section 6, we consider the following time-changed process:
where the Lévy subordinator
$\{D_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
, the inverse stable subordinator
$\{Y_{\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
for
$0\lt\alpha\lt1$
, and the GCP
$\{M(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
are independent of each other. We obtain its PGF, mean, variance, and covariance, as well as the system of differential equations that governs its state probabilities. Its long-range dependence (LRD) property is established. Also, it is shown that the process
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
has the overdispersion property, so it can potentially be used when the empirical count data exhibit overdispersion. We prove some results for two particular cases of this time-changed process.
2. Preliminaries
In this section, we collect some preliminary results for some known processes and the definition of the LRD property.
2.1. Generalized counting process
Let
$\mathbb{N}_0$
be the set of non-negative integers and let
$\Lambda=\lambda_{1}+\lambda_{2}+\cdots+\lambda_{k}$
. The state probabilities
$p(n,t)=\mathbb{P}\{M(t)=n\}$
of a GCP are given by (see [Reference Di Crescenzo, Martinucci and Meoli14])
\begin{equation}p(n,t)=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\lambda_{j}t)^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda t},\quad n\ge 0,\end{equation}
where
$\Omega(k,n)\,:\!=\{(x_{1},x_{2},\ldots,x_{k})\,:\,\sum_{j=1}^{k}jx_{j}=n,\ x_{j}\in\mathbb{N}_0\}$
.
Its PGF
$G(u,t)=\mathbb{E}(u^{M(t)})$
is given by (see [Reference Kataria and Khandakar21])
\begin{equation}G(u,t)=\exp\biggl(-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(1-u^{j})t\biggr), \quad |u|\le 1.\end{equation}
The following limiting result holds for the GCP (see [Reference Kataria and Khandakar21, Equation (17)]):
\begin{equation}\lim\limits_{t\to \infty}\frac{M(t)}{t}=\sum_{j=1}^{k}j\lambda_{j}\ \text{in probability}.\end{equation}
2.2. The subordinator and its inverse
Let
be a Bernštein function and let
$\overline{\nu}(\!\cdot\!)$
be a non-negative Lévy measure on
$(0,\infty)$
such that
$\displaystyle\int_0^\infty (x\wedge1)\,\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}x)\lt\infty$
. A subordinator
$\{D_f(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is a one-dimensional Lévy process characterized by the following Laplace transform (see [Reference Applebaum1, Section 1.3.2]):
Its first passage time is called the inverse subordinator and is defined as
Let
$h_{f}(t,x)$
be the density of
$\{Y_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. Its Laplace transform is given by (see [Reference Toaldo34])
provided that the following condition holds.
Condition I. We have that
$\overline{\nu}(0,\infty)=\infty$
and that the tail
$\nu(x)=c_{1}+\overline{\nu}(x,\infty)$
of the Lévy measure
$\overline{\nu}(\!\cdot\!)$
is absolutely continuous.
Toaldo [Reference Toaldo34] discussed a new type of differential operator that generalizes the Caputo fractional derivative and Riemann–Liouville fractional derivative. Let
$u(\!\cdot\!)$
be an absolutely continuous function. Its generalized Caputo derivative associated with the Bernštein function f is defined as (see [Reference Toaldo34, Definition 2.4])
It is related to the generalized Riemann–Liouville derivative
${^f}\mathscr{D}_t$
through the following relation (see [Reference Toaldo34, Proposition 2.7]):
If
$|u(t)|\leq C {\mathrm{e}}^{s_0t}$
, where C and
$s_0$
are some constants, then the Laplace transform of generalized Caputo derivative is given by (see [Reference Toaldo34, Lemma 2.5])
For
$f(s)=s^{\beta}$
with
$\beta\in (0,1)$
, the derivative (13) reduces to (see [Reference Toaldo34, Remark 2.6])
where
$\dfrac{\mathrm{d}^{\beta}}{\mathrm{d}t^{\beta}}$
is the Caputo fractional derivative defined as (see [Reference Kilbas, Srivastava and Trujillo24])
\begin{equation}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{\beta}}{\mathrm{d}t^{\beta}}u(t)\,:\!=\left\{\begin{array}{ll}\dfrac{1}{\Gamma{(1-\beta)}}\displaystyle\int^t_{0} (t-s)^{-\beta}u'(s)\,\mathrm{d}s,&\;\; 0\lt\beta\lt1,\\\\u'(t),&\;\;\beta=1.\end{array}\right.\end{equation}
Its Laplace transform is given by (see [Reference Kilbas, Srivastava and Trujillo24, Equation (5.3.3)])
2.3. The stable subordinator and its inverse
A stable subordinator
$\{D_{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
for
$0\lt\beta\lt1$
is a non-decreasing Lévy process whose Laplace transform is given by
$\mathbb{E}({\mathrm{e}}^{-sD_{\beta}(t)})={\mathrm{e}}^{-ts^{\beta}}$
for
$s\gt0$
. Its associated Bernštein function is
$f_{2}(s)=s^{\beta}$
. Its first passage time
$\{Y_{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
, which is defined as
$Y_{\beta}(t)\,:\!=\inf\{x\ge 0\,:\,D_{\beta}(x)\gt t\}$
, is called the inverse stable subordinator.
Let
$h_{\beta}(t,x)$
be the density of
$\{Y_{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. Its Laplace transform is given by
The mean and variance of
$\{Y_{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
are (see [Reference Leonenko, Meerschaert, Schilling and Sikorskii25])
For fixed
$t_1$
and large
$t_2$
, the following asymptotic result holds for the covariance:
2.4. Fractional negative binomial processes
The density function g(x, t) of a gamma subordinator
$\{Z(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is given by
where
$a\gt0$
and
$b\gt0$
. Its associated Bernštein function is (see [Reference Applebaum1, p. 55])
The space–time-fractional negative binomial process is defined as (see [Reference Kataria and Khandakar22])
where the STFPP
$\{N^{\alpha,\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is independent of the gamma subordinator. For
$\alpha=1$
it reduces to the time-fractional negative binomial process (see [Reference Vellaisamy and Maheshwari36]), and for
$\beta=1$
it reduces to the space-fractional negative binomial process. The PGF of the time-fractional negative binomial process is (see [Reference Kataria and Khandakar22])
Its state probability is given by (see [Reference Vellaisamy and Maheshwari36, Section 4.1])
\begin{equation}\mathbb{P}\{\mathcal{N}^{1}_{\beta}(t)=n\}=\sum_{l=n}^{\infty}(\!-1)^{l+n}\binom{l}{n}\frac{\Gamma(l\beta+bt)}{\Gamma(bt)\Gamma(\beta l+1)}\left(\frac{\lambda}{a^{\beta}}\right)^{l},\quad n\ge0.\end{equation}
2.5. Long-range dependence property
Let
$s\gt0$
be fixed. The process
$\{X(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is said to exhibit the LRD property if its correlation function has the following asymptotic behaviour (see [Reference D’Ovidio and Nane15, Reference Maheshwari and Vellaisamy27]):
for some
$c(s)\gt0$
and
$\theta\in(0,1)$
. If
$\theta\in(1,2)$
, then it is said to possesses the short-range dependence property.
3. Non-homogeneous GCP and its fractional variants
In this section, we introduce and study a non-homogeneous version of the GFCP, namely the NGFCP. We start by giving some additional results related to the GCP and its fractional variant, the GFCP.
Let
$Z_{1}$
denote the time of first occurrence of a GCP event in [0, t]. Then
\begin{align*}\mathbb{P}\{Z_{1}\le x|M(t)=1\}&=\frac{\mathbb{P}\{\text{exactly one occurrence in}[0,x],\:\text{no occurrence in}(x,t]\}}{\mathbb{P}\{M(t)=1\}}\\&=\frac{\mathbb{P}\{M(x)=1, M(t-x)=0\}}{\mathbb{P}\{M(t)=1\}}\\&=\frac{\mathbb{P}\{M(x)=1\}\mathbb{P}\{ M(t-x)=0\}}{\mathbb{P}\{M(t)=1\}}=\frac{x}{t},\quad 0\le x\le t,\end{align*}
where in the penultimate step we have used the independent increment of GCP and the last step follows from using (7). So the distribution of
$Z_{1}$
given that exactly one GCP event has occurred in [0, t] is uniform in [0, t].
Di Crescenzo et al. [Reference Di Crescenzo, Martinucci and Meoli14] showed that
where the GCP is independent of the random process
$\{T_{2\beta}(t)\}_{t\gt0}$
whose distribution is given by the folded solution of the Cauchy problem
with
$u(x,0)=\delta(x)$
for
$0\lt\beta\le 1$
and
$\frac{\partial^{}}{\partial t}u(x,0)=0$
for
$1/2\lt\beta\le1$
. The solution
$u_{2\beta}(x,t)$
of (26) is given by (see [Reference Beghin and Orsingher2])
where
$W_{\nu,\gamma}(\!\cdot\!)$
is the Wright function defined as
Let
\begin{equation}\bar{u}_{2\beta}(x,t)=\begin{cases}2u_{2\beta}(x,t),& x\gt0, \\0,& x\lt0\end{cases}\end{equation}
be the folded solution to (26). The following result gives an alternate version of the PMF of the GFCP in terms of derivatives of the Mittag-Leffler function. The two-parameter Mittag-Leffler function is defined as (see [Reference Kilbas, Srivastava and Trujillo24, p. 42])
\begin{equation*}E_{\nu,\gamma}(x)\,:\!=\sum_{j=0}^{\infty} \frac{x^{j}}{\Gamma(j\nu+\gamma)}, \quad x\in\mathbb{R},\end{equation*}
where
$\nu\gt0$
and
$\gamma\gt0$
. It reduces to the Mittag-Leffler function for
$\gamma=1$
.
Proposition 1. The PMF of the GFCP is given by
\begin{equation*}p^{\beta}(n,t)=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\left(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\right)\frac{1}{\Lambda^{z_{k}}}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{d}s^{z_{k}}}\left[s^{z_{k}-1}E_{\beta,1}\!\left(-\frac{\Lambda t^{\beta}}{s}\right)\right]_{s=1},\end{equation*}
where
$z_{k}=x_{1}+x_{2}+\cdots+x_{k}$
.
Proof. From (25) and (28), we have
On using (7) and (27) in (29), we get
\begin{align*}p^{\beta}(n,t)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda x}x^{z_{k}}t^{-\beta}W_{-\beta,1-\beta}(\!-xt^{-\beta})\,\mathrm{d}x\\&=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\sum_{m=0}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-1)^{m}t^{-\beta-\beta m}}{m!\Gamma(\!-\beta m+1-\beta)}\int_{0}^{\infty}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda x}x^{m+z_{k}}\,\mathrm{d}x\\&=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{t^{-\beta}}{\Lambda^{z_{k}+1}}\sum_{m=0}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-t^{\beta}\Lambda)^{-m}}{\Gamma(\!-\beta m+1-\beta)}(m+z_{k})(m+z_{k}-1)\cdots (m+1)\\&=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{t^{-\beta}}{\Lambda^{z_{k}+1}}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{d}s^{z_{k}}}\bigg[\sum_{m=0}^{\infty}s^{m+z_{k}}\frac{(\!-t^{\beta}\Lambda)^{-m}}{\Gamma(\!-\beta m+1-\beta)}\bigg]_{s=1}\\&=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{t^{-\beta}}{\Lambda^{z_{k}+1}}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{d}s^{z_{k}}}\left[s^{z_{k}}E_{-\beta,1-\beta}\left(-\frac{s}{\Lambda t^{\beta}}\right)\right]_{s=1}.\end{align*}
The result follows upon using Equation (5.1) of [Reference Beghin and Orsingher2].
Remark 1. On substituting
$k=1$
in Proposition 1, we get an equivalent expression for the PMF of the TFPP (see [Reference Beghin and Orsingher2, p. 1801]). For
$\lambda_{j}=\lambda$
with
$1\le j\le k$
, we get the following alternate version of the PMF of the time-fractional PPoK:
\begin{equation*}p^{\beta}(n,t)\big|_{\lambda_{j}=\lambda}=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(1/k)^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{\mathrm{d}^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{d}s^{z_{k}}}\left[s^{z_{k}-1}E_{\beta,1}\!\left(-\frac{k\lambda t^{\beta}}{s}\right)\right]_{s=1}.\end{equation*}
Similarly, we can obtain alternate expressions for the PMFs of other particular and limiting cases of the GFCP, such as the fractional PAPoK, the fractional Bell–Touchard process, and the fractional Poisson–logarthmic process.
Remark 2. Let
$G(u,t)=\mathbb{E}(u^{M(t)})=\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}u^{n}p(n,t)$
be the PGF of the GCP as given in (8), and let
$X_{1}, X_{2},\ldots, X_{n}$
be i.i.d. random variables with distribution
$F(x)=\mathbb{P}\{X \lt x\}$
. Then
\begin{align}\mathbb{P}\Big\{&\max_{1\le j\le M^{\beta}(t) }X_{j} \lt x\Big\}\nonumber\\&=\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}(\mathbb{P}\{X\lt x\})^{n}\mathbb{P}\{M^{\beta}(t)=n\}\nonumber\\&=\int_{0}^{\infty}G(F(x),s)\mathbb{P}\{T_{2\beta}(t)\in \mathrm{d}s\}\quad (\text{using} (8)\ \text{and}\ (25))\nonumber\\&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\exp\biggl(-s\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(1-F^{j}(x))\biggr)t^{-\beta}W_{-\beta,1-\beta}(\!-st^{-\beta})\,\mathrm{d}s\quad (\text{using}\ ({}{28})) \nonumber\\&=E_{\beta,1}\biggl(-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(1-F^{j}(x))t^{\beta}\biggr),\end{align}
where in the last step we have used Equation (2.13) of [Reference Beghin and Orsingher3]. Similarly, it can be shown that
\begin{equation*}\mathbb{P}\Big\{\min_{1\le j\le M^{\beta}(t) }X_{j}\gt x\Big\}=E_{\beta,1}\biggl(-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}\left(1-(1-F(x))^{j}\right)t^{\beta}\biggr).\end{equation*}
On taking
$k=1$
and
$\lambda_{1}=1$
in (30), we get a known result (see [Reference Scalas33, Equation (34)]):
Further, for
$\beta=1$
and exponentially distributed
$X_i$
, this reduces to the Gumbel distribution
Thus, the distribution obtained in (30) is a fractional generalization of the Gumbel distribution.
Next, we introduce a non-homogeneous version of the GCP. Let
$\{\mathcal{M}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
be a counting process with deterministic and time-dependent intensity functions
$\lambda_{j}(t)\,:\,[0,\infty)\to [0,\infty)$
, for
$1\le j \le k$
, such that
$\mathcal{M}(0)=0$
. We call it the non-homogeneous generalized counting process (NGCP) if it has independent increments and its transition probabilities are given by
\begin{equation*}\mathbb{P}\{\mathcal{M}(t+h)=n|\mathcal{M}(t)=m\}=\begin{cases}1-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(t) h+o(h),& n=m,\\\lambda_{j}(t)h+o(h), \ n=m+j, & j=1,2,\ldots,k,\\o(h), & n\gt m+k,\end{cases}\end{equation*}
where
$o(h)\to 0$
as
$h\to 0$
. Thus, the system of differential equations that governs its state probabilities
$q_{n}(t)=\mathbb{P}\{\mathcal{M}(t)=n\}$
is
\begin{equation}\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}t}q_{n}(t)=-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(t)q_{n}(t)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}(t)q_{n-j}(t),\quad n\ge0,\end{equation}
with initial conditions
\begin{equation*}q_{n}(0)=\begin{cases}1, & n=0,\\0, & n\ge1.\end{cases}\end{equation*}
Here,
$q_{j}(t)=0$
for all
$j\lt0$
and
$t\ge 0$
.
For
$0\le s\lt t$
and
$j\in \{1,2,\ldots,k\}$
, let
$\Lambda_{j}(t)=\int_{0}^{t}\lambda_{j}(u)\,\mathrm{d}u\lt\infty$
be the cumulative rate function and let
$\Lambda_{j}(s,t)=\int_{s}^{t}\lambda_{j}(u)\,\mathrm{d}u=\Lambda_{j}(t)-\Lambda_{j}(s)$
. Using (31), the PGF of the NGCP can be obtained as
\begin{equation*}\mathbb{E}\bigl(u^{\mathcal{M}(t)}\bigr)=\exp\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(t)(u^{j}-1)\biggr).\end{equation*}
Remark 3. The NGCP reduces to the GCP for constant rates, that is,
$\lambda_{j}(t)=\lambda_{j}$
for
$t\ge0$
and
$1\le j\le k$
. For
$k=1$
, it reduces to the non-homogeneous Poisson process. For
$\lambda_{j}(t)=\lambda(t)$
and
$\lambda_{j}(t)=(1-\rho)\rho^{j-1}\lambda(t)/(1-\rho^{k})$
$(1\le j\le k)$
, it reduces to the non-homogeneous PPoK and the non-homogeneous PAPoK, respectively (see [Reference Kadankova, Leonenko and Scalas18]). By letting
$k\to \infty$
in (31) and taking
$\lambda_{j}(t)= \lambda(t)(1-\rho)\rho^{j-1}$
$(j\ge 1)$
, the system (31) reduces to the governing system of differential equations for the state probabilities of the non-homogeneous Pólya–Aeppli process (PAP) (see [Reference Chukova and Minkova11]). Chukova and Minkova [Reference Chukova and Minkova11] showed an application of the non-homogeneous PAP in risk theory; along similar lines it can be shown that the NGCP has applications in risk theory.
The increment process of the NGCP for
$v\ge 0$
is defined as
Its marginal distribution
$q_{n}(t,v)=\mathbb{P}\{I(t,v)=n\}$
is given by
\begin{equation*}q_{n}(t,v)=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\Lambda_{j}(v,t+v))^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v,t+v)}, \quad n\ge0.\end{equation*}
Thus, its characteristic function can be obtained as
\begin{align}\hat{q}_\xi(t,v)&=\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}{\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi n}q_{n}(t,v)=\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}{\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi n}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\Lambda_{j}(v,t+v))^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v,t+v)}\nonumber\\&={\mathrm{e}}^{-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v,t+v)}\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}\sum_{r=0}^{n}\underset{x_{1}+2x_{2}+\cdots+kx_{k}=n}{\sum_{ x_{1}+x_{2}+\cdots+x_{k}=r}}\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\Lambda_{j}(v,t+v))^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}{\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi jx_{j}}\nonumber\\&={\mathrm{e}}^{-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v,t+v)}\sum_{r=0}^{\infty}\underset{x_{1}+x_{2}+\cdots+x_{k}=r}{\sum}\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\Lambda_{j}(v,t+v))^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}{\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi jx_{j}}\nonumber\\&={\mathrm{e}}^{-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v,t+v)}\sum_{r=0}^{\infty}\frac{1}{r!}\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v, t+v){\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}\biggr)^{r}\nonumber\\&=\exp\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v, t+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\biggr),\quad \omega=\sqrt{-1},\: \xi\in \mathbb{R}.\end{align}
3.1. The NGCP time-changed by the inverse stable subordinator
For
$0\lt\beta\lt1$
, let
$\{\mathcal{M}_{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
be a time-changed NGCP defined as follows:
where
$\{\mathcal{M}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is independent of the inverse stable subordinator
$\{Y_{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. We call it the NGFCP. Its increment process is defined as
whose marginal distributions,
$q^{\beta}_{n}(t,v)=\mathbb{P}\{I_{\beta}(t,v)=n\}$
for
$n\ge0$
, are given by
\begin{align}q^{\beta}_{n}(t,v)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}q_{n}(u,v)h_{\beta}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u\\&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\Lambda_{j}(v,u+v))^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v,u+v)}h_{\beta}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u.\nonumber\end{align}
Here,
$h_{\beta}(t,u)$
is the density of
$\{Y_{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. So the marginal distributions of the NGFCP are given by
\begin{align}q^{\beta}_{n}(t)=q^{\beta}_{n}(t,0)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}q_{n}(u,0)h_{\beta}(t,u)\mathrm{d}u\nonumber\\&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\Lambda_{j}(u))^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(u)}h_{\beta}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u,\end{align}
where we have used
$\Lambda_{j}(0,u)=\Lambda_{j}(u)$
.
Let
$\delta_{n,0}$
denote the Kronecker delta function.
Theorem 1. The PMF of the increment process of the NGFCP satisfies the following system of fractional differential–integral equations:
\begin{equation}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{\beta}}{\mathrm{d}t^{\beta}}q^{\beta}_{n}(t,v)=\int_{0}^{\infty}\!\biggl(-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)q_{n}(u,v)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)q_{n-j}(u,v)\biggr)h_{\beta}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u,\quad n\ge 0,\end{equation}
with initial condition
$q^{\beta}_{n}(0,v)=\delta_{n,0}$
.
Proof. The characteristic function of
$I_{\beta}(t,v)$
can be written as
where
$\hat{q}_{\xi}(u,v)$
is the characteristic function of I(t, v) given in (32).
Let
$\tilde{h}_{\beta}(s,u)$
be the Laplace transform of the density of
$\{Y_{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
as given in (18). On taking the Laplace transform of (36), we get
\begin{align*}\tilde{\hat{q}}_\xi^\beta(s,v)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\hat{q}_{\xi}(u,v)\tilde{h}_{\beta}(s,u)\,\mathrm{d}u\\&=s^{\beta-1}\int_{0}^{\infty}\exp\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v, u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-us^{\beta}}\,\mathrm{d}u\quad (\text{using}\ ({18})\ \text{and} \ ({32}))\\&=s^{\beta-1}\bigg\{\bigg[-\frac{{\mathrm{e}}^{-us^{\beta}}}{s^{\beta}}\exp\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v, u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\biggr)\bigg]_{0}^{\infty}\\&\qquad\quad +\frac{1}{s^{\beta}}\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\exp\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v, u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-us^{\beta}}\,\mathrm{d}u\bigg\}.\end{align*}
Thus,
\begin{equation*}s^{\beta}\tilde{\hat{q}}_\xi^\beta(s,v)-s^{\beta-1}=\!\int_{0}^{\infty}\!\!\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\exp\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v,u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\biggr)s^{\beta-1}{\mathrm{e}}^{-us^{\beta}}\mathrm{d}u.\end{equation*}
On taking the inverse Laplace transform and using (17) and (18), we get
\begin{align*}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{\beta}}{\mathrm{d}t^{\beta}}\hat{q}_\xi^\beta(t,v)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\exp\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v,u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\biggr)h_{\beta}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u\\&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\hat{p}_\xi(u,v)h_{\beta}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u,\end{align*}
where we have used (32) in the last step. Finally, using the inversion formula for the characteristic function gives the required result.
On substituting
$v=0$
in Theorem 1, we get the system of differential equations that governs the PMF of the NGFCP.
Corollary 1. The PMF
$q^{\beta}_{n}(t)$
of the NGFCP satisfies
\begin{equation}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{\beta}}{\mathrm{d}t^{\beta}}q^{\beta}_{n}(t)=\int_{0}^{\infty}\biggl(-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(u)q_{n}(u)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}(u)q_{n-j}(u)\biggr)h_{\beta}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u,\quad n\ge 0,\end{equation}
with initial condition
$q^{\beta}_{n}(0)=\delta_{n,0}$
.
Remark 4. On choosing constant rates, that is,
$\lambda_{j}(t)=\lambda_{j}$
for
$1\le j \le k$
, in (37) we get
\begin{align*}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{\beta}}{\mathrm{d}t^{\beta}}p^{\beta}(n,t)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\biggl(-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}p(n,u)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}p(n-j,u)\biggr)h_{\beta}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u,\end{align*}
which reduces to (2). Similarly, by taking constant rates in (34), we get
\begin{equation*}p^{\beta}(n,t)=\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\lambda_{j}u)^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda u}h_{\beta}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u,\end{equation*}
which coincides with the PMF of the GFCP.
On taking
$\lambda_{j}(t)=\lambda(t)$
and
$\lambda_{j}(t)=(1-\rho)\rho^{j-1}\lambda(t)/(1-\rho^{k})$
for
$1\le j\le k$
in Theorem 1, we get the systems of differential–integral equations that govern the PMF of the corresponding increment process of the non-homogeneous fractional PPoK and the non-homogeneous fractional PAPoK, respectively (see [Reference Kadankova, Leonenko and Scalas18, Theorems 3.3 and 4.4]).
Remark 5. For
$\beta=1$
, the Laplace transform of the inverse stable subordinator reduces to
${\mathrm{e}}^{-us}$
, whose inverse Laplace transform is
$\delta(t-u)$
, the Dirac delta distribution. Hence,
From (33) it follows that
$q_{n}^{1}(t,v)=q_{n}(t,v)$
, and the system of differential–integral equations in (35) reduces to
\begin{align*}\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}t}q_{n}(t,v)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\biggl(-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)q_{n}(u,v)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)q_{n-j}(u,v)\biggr)\delta(t-u)\,\mathrm{d}u\\&=-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(t+v)q_{n}(t,v)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}(t+v)q_{n-j}(t,v).\end{align*}
The mean, variance, and covariance of the NGCP are given by
$\mathbb{E}(\mathcal{M}(t))=\sum_{j=1}^{k}j\Lambda_{j}(t)$
,
$\operatorname{Var}(\mathcal{M}(t))=\sum_{j=1}^{k}j^{2}\Lambda_{j}(t)$
, and
$\operatorname{Cov}(\mathcal{M}(s),\mathcal{M}(t))=\sum_{j=1}^{k}j^{2}\Lambda_{j}(s\wedge t)$
, respectively. As the NGCP has independent increments, it follows that the process
$\{\mathcal{M}(t)-\sum_{j=1}^{k}j\Lambda_{j}(t)\}_{t\geq0}$
is a martingale with respect to a natural filtration
$\mathscr{F}_{t}=\sigma(\mathcal{M}(s), 0\lt s\le t)$
.
Next, we discuss the arrival times of the NGCP. Let
$\mathscr{T}_{n}=\min\{t\ge 0\,:\,\mathcal{M}(t)=n\}$
be the arrival time of the nth NGCP event. Then
\begin{equation*}F_{\mathscr{T}_{n}}(t)=\mathbb{P}\{\mathscr{T}_{n}\le t\}=\mathbb{P}\{\mathcal{M}(t)\ge n\}=1-\sum_{x=0}^{n-1}\sum_{\Omega(k,x)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\Lambda_{j}(t))^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(t)}.\end{equation*}
We note that
$F_{\mathscr{T}_{n}}(t)$
gives a distribution function if and only if the
$\Lambda_{j}(t)$
satisfy the conditions given in Remark 5 of [Reference Leonenko, Scalas and Trinh26].
Similarly, let
$\mathscr{T}_{n}^{\,\beta}=\min\{t\ge 0\,:\,\mathcal{M}_{\beta}(t)=n\}$
be the arrival time of the nth NGFCP event. On using (34), its distribution can be written as
\begin{align*}F_{\mathscr{T}_{n}^{\,\beta}}(t)&=\sum_{x=n}^{\infty}\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,x)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\Lambda_{j}(u))^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(u)}h_{\beta}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u\\&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\biggl(1-\sum_{x=0}^{n-1}\sum_{\Omega(k,x)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\Lambda_{j}(u))^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(u)}\biggr)h_{\beta}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u\\&=\int_{0}^{\infty}F_{\mathscr{T}_{n}}(u)h_{\beta}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u.\end{align*}
3.2. The NGCP time-changed by the inverse subordinator
Let
$\{Y_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
be the inverse subordinator defined in (11) such that
$c_{1}=c_{2}=0$
in its associated Bernštein function given in (10). We consider a time-changed process defined as follows:
where the NGCP
$\{\mathcal{M}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is independent of
$\{Y_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
.
For
$f(s)=s^{\beta}$
with
$0\lt\beta\lt1$
, the process
$\{\mathcal{M}_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
reduces to the NGFCP. For
$k=1$
, it reduces to the non-homogeneous Poisson process time-changed by the inverse subordinator that was introduced and studied by Buchak and Sakhno [Reference Buchak and Sakhno9].
Let
$v\ge 0$
. The increment process of
$\{\mathcal{M}_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is defined as
Its marginal distribution
$q_n^f(t,v)=\mathbb{P}\{I_{f}(t,v)=n\}$
for
$n\ge0$
is given by
\begin{align*}q_n^f(t,v)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}q_n(u,v)h_{f}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u\\&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\Lambda_{j}(v,u+v))^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v,u+v)}h_{f}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u,\end{align*}
where
$h_{f}(t,u)$
is the density of
$\{Y_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
, which exists under Condition I. So the marginal distribution of
$\{\mathcal{M}_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
, i.e.
$q_n^f(t)=q_n^f(t,0)=\mathbb{P}\{\mathcal{M}_{f}(t)=n\}$
, is given by
\begin{align*}q_n^f(t)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}q_n(u)h_{f}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u\\&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\Lambda_{j}(u))^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(u)}h_{f}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u.\end{align*}
Theorem 2. Let
$^f\mathcal{D}_t$
be the generalized Caputo derivative with respect to the Bernštein function f defined in (13), and suppose that Condition I holds. Then the PMF of
$\{I_{f}(t,v)\}_{t\ge0}$
satisfies the following system of differential–integral equations:
\begin{equation*}{^f}\mathcal{D}_tq_n^f(t,v)=\int_{0}^{\infty}\biggl(-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)q_n(u,v)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)q_{n-j}(u,v)\biggr)h_{f}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u,\end{equation*}
with initial condition
$q^{f}_{n}(0,v)=\delta_{n,0}$
.
Proof. The proof follows similar lines to that of Theorem 1. We present it here for the sake of completeness.
The characteristic function of
$I_{f}(t,v)$
can be written as
On taking the Laplace transform in (38) and using (12) and (32), we get
\begin{align*}\tilde{\hat{q}}_\xi^f(s,v)&=\frac{f(s)}{s}\int_{0}^{\infty}\exp\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v, u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-uf(s)}\,\mathrm{d}u\\&=\frac{f(s)}{s}\Bigg\{\biggl[-\frac{{\mathrm{e}}^{-uf(s)}}{f(s)}\exp\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v, u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\biggr)\biggr]_{0}^{\infty}\\&+\frac{1}{f(s)}\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\exp\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v,u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega\xi j}-1)\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-uf(s)}\mathrm{d}u\Bigg\}.\end{align*}
Thus,
\begin{equation*}f(s)\tilde{\hat{q}}_\xi^f(s,v)-\frac{f(s)}{s}=\!\int_{0}^{\infty}\!\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\exp\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v,u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\biggr)\frac{f(s)}{s}{\mathrm{e}}^{-uf(s)}\mathrm{d}u.\end{equation*}
On taking the inverse Laplace transform and using (12) and (15), we get
\begin{align*}^f\mathcal{D}_t\hat{q}_\xi^f(t,v)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\exp\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\Lambda_{j}(v,u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\biggr)h_{f}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u\\&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(u+v)({\mathrm{e}}^{\omega \xi j}-1)\hat{q}_\xi(u,v)h_{f}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u,\end{align*}
where we have used (32) in the last step. Now, the desired result follows on using the inversion formula for the characteristic function.
On substituting
$v=0$
in Theorem 2, we get the system of differential–integral equations that governs the PMF of
$\{\mathcal{M}_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
.
Corollary 2.
Assume that Condition I holds. Then the PMF of
$\{\mathcal{M}_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
satisfies the following system of differential–integral equations:
\begin{equation}^f\mathcal{D}_tq_n^f(t)=\int_{0}^{\infty}\biggl(-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(u)q_n(u)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}(u)q_{n-j}(u)\biggr)h_{f}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u,\quad n\ge0,\end{equation}
with initial condition
$q^{f}_{n}(0)=\delta_{n,0}$
.
On choosing constant rates, that is,
$\lambda_{j}(t)=\lambda_{j}$
for
$1\le j \le k$
, in (39) we get
\begin{equation}^f\mathcal{D}_tp_n^f(t)=-\Lambda p_n^f(t)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}p_n^f(t),\end{equation}
where
$p_n^f(t)=\mathbb{P}\{M(Y_f(t))=n\}$
are the state probabilities of
$\{M(Y_{f}(t))\}_{t\ge0}$
, a process studied in [Reference Kataria and Khandakar20].
Remark 6. Alternatively, the system of differential equations (40) can be obtained as follows. Note that
On taking the generalized Riemann–Liouville derivative
$^f\mathscr{D}_t$
and using the results
(see [Reference Toaldo34, Theorem 4.1]) in (41), we get
\begin{align}^f\mathscr{D}_tp_n^f(t)&=-\int_{0}^{\infty}p(n,u)\frac{\partial}{\partial u}h_{f}(t,u)\,\mathrm{d}u\nonumber\\&=-\left[p(n,u)h_{f}(t,u)\right]_{u=0}^{\infty}+\int_{0}^{\infty}h_{f}(t,u)\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}u}p(n,u)\,\mathrm{d}u\nonumber\\&=p(n,0)h_{f}(t,0)+\int_{0}^{\infty}h_{f}(t,u)\biggl(-\Lambda p(n,u)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}p(n-j,u)\biggr)\,\mathrm{d}u\nonumber\\&=p(n,0)\nu(t)-\Lambda p_n^f(t)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}p_{n-j}^f(t),\end{align}
where in the penultimate step we have used (2) with
$\beta=1$
. Also,
From (14) we get
which on using in (42) gives the required result.
4. The GCP time-changed by the multistable subordinator
Let
$\{H(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
be a multistable subordinator with stability index
$\beta(t)\in (0,1)$
. In this section we consider the time-changed process
where the GCP
$\{M(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is independent of
$\{H(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. We call it the generalized space-multifractional counting process (GSMCP).
For
$k=1$
, the GCP reduces to the Poisson process. So the GSMCP reduces to a special process introduced and studied by Beghin and Ricciuti [Reference Beghin and Ricciuti7], namely the space-multifractional Poisson process (SMPP). Using Proposition 2.1 of [Reference Beghin and Ricciuti7], it follows that the GSMCP is a non-homogeneous subordinator.
Next, we obtain the Lévy measure of the GSMCP. Let
$\nu_{t}(\!\cdot\!)$
and
$\nu_{t}^{*}(\!\cdot\!)$
denote the Lévy measures of
$\{H(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
and
$\{X(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
, respectively. Again, it follows from Equation (2.1) of [Reference Beghin and Ricciuti7] that
\begin{align}\nu_{t}^{*}(\mathrm{d}x)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\mathbb{P}\{M(s)\in\mathrm{d}x\}\nu_{t}(\mathrm{d}s)\nonumber\\&=\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\delta_{n}(\mathrm{d}x)\frac{\beta(t)}{\Gamma(1-\beta(t))}\int_{0}^{\infty}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}s^{z_{k}-\beta(t)-1}\,\mathrm{d}s\quad (\text{using}({6}){and}{7}))\nonumber\\&=\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{z_{k}!(\!-1)^{z_{k}+1}}{\Lambda^{z_{k}-\beta(t)}}\binom{\beta(t)}{z_{k}}\delta_{n}(\mathrm{d}x),\end{align}
where
is the generalized binomial coefficient and
$\delta_{n}(\!\cdot\!)$
is the Dirac delta function centered at n.
Remark 7. For
$k=1$
and
$\Lambda=\lambda_{1}=\lambda$
(say), the Lévy measure (44) reduces to
which agrees with the Lévy measure of the SMPP (see [Reference Beghin and Ricciuti7, Equation (3.1)]).
On using (5) and (44), the Bernštein function
$f^{*}(u,t)$
of GSMCP can be obtained as follows:
\begin{align*}f^{*}(u,t)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}(1-{\mathrm{e}}^{-ux})\nu_{t}^{*}(\mathrm{d}x)\\&=\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{z_{k}!(\!-1)^{z_{k}+1}}{\Lambda^{z_{k}-\beta(t)}}\binom{\beta(t)}{z_{k}}\int_{0}^{\infty}(1-{\mathrm{e}}^{-ux})\delta_{n}(\mathrm{d}x)\\&=\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{z_{k}!(\!-1)^{z_{k}+1}}{\Lambda^{z_{k}-\beta(t)}}\binom{\beta(t)}{z_{k}}(1-{\mathrm{e}}^{-un}).\end{align*}
The next result gives the distribution of first passage times of the GSMCP.
Proposition 2. Let
$T_{m}$
be the time of the first upcrossing of the level m, i.e.,
Then
\begin{equation}\mathbb{P}\{T_{m}\gt t\}=\sum_{n=0}^{m-1}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{\mathrm{d}^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{d}\Lambda^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\int_{0}^{t}\Lambda^{\alpha(\tau)}\,\mathrm{d}\tau}.\end{equation}
Proof. Using
$\mathbb{P}\{T_{m}\gt t\}=\mathbb{P}\{X(t)\lt m\}$
and (43), we get
\begin{align*}\mathbb{P}\{T_{m}\gt t\}&=\sum_{n=0}^{m-1}\int_{0}^{\infty}\mathbb{P}\{M(s)=n\}\mathbb{P}\{H(t)\in \mathrm{d}s\}\\&=\sum_{n=0}^{m-1}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\int_{0}^{\infty}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}s^{z_{k}}\mathbb{P}\{H(t)\in \mathrm{d}s\}\quad (\text{using} \ ({7}))\\&=\sum_{n=0}^{m-1}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)(\!-1)^{z_{k}}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{d}\Lambda^{z_{k}}}\int_{0}^{\infty}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\mathbb{P}\{H(t)\in \mathrm{d}s\}.\end{align*}
This completes the proof.
Remark 8. On substituting
$k=1$
in (45), we get the corresponding result for the SMPP (see [Reference Beghin and Ricciuti7, Section 3.3]).
4.1. Generalized space-fractional counting process
The multistable subordinator
$\{H(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
reduces to the stable subordinator
$\{D_{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
when the stability index is a constant, that is,
$\beta(t)=\beta\in (0,1)$
for all
$t\ge0$
. In this case, the GSMCP reduces to the following time-changed process:
where the GCP is independent of the stable subordinator. We call the process
$\{Y(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
the generalized space-fractional counting process (GSFCP).
When
$k=1$
, the GSFCP reduces to the SFPP (see [Reference Orsingher and Polito28]). For
$\lambda_{j}=\lambda$
$(j=1,2,\ldots,k)$
, it reduces to the space-fractional PPoK (see [Reference Gupta and Kumar17]). For
$0\le \rho\lt1$
and
$\lambda_{j}=\lambda(1-\rho)\rho^{j-1}/(1-\rho^{k})$
$(j=1,2,\ldots,k)$
, it reduces to the space-fractional version of the PAPoK.
Let
$l_{\beta}(t,\cdot)$
be the density of the stable subordinator and G(u, t) the PGF of the GCP given in (8). From (46), the PGF of the GSFCP can be obtained as
\begin{align}G_{\beta}(u,t)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}G(u,x)l_{\beta}(t,x)\,\mathrm{d}x\nonumber\\&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\exp\biggl(-\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(1-u^{j})x\biggr)l_{\beta}(t,x)\,\mathrm{d}x\nonumber\\&=\exp\biggl(-t\Bigl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(1-u^{j})\Bigr)^{\beta}\biggr).\end{align}
Remark 9. Alternatively, the PGF (47) can be obtained by choosing the Bernštein function
$f(s)=f_{2}(s)=s^{\beta}$
in Proposition 6 of [Reference Kataria and Khandakar20].
On substituting
$\lambda_{j}=\lambda$
for all
$j=1,2,\ldots,k$
in (47), we get the PGF of the space-fractional PPoK (see [Reference Gupta and Kumar17, Equation (34)]).
The PGF of the GSFCP satisfies the differential equation
\begin{equation*}\frac{\partial}{\partial t}G_{\beta}(u,t)=-\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(1-u^{j})\biggr)^{\beta}G_{\beta}(u,t), \quad G_{\beta}(u,0)=1.\end{equation*}
Proposition 3. Let
$X_{i}$
,
$i\ge1$
be i.i.d. uniform random variables in [0, 1]. Then
\begin{equation*}G_{\beta}(u,t)=\mathbb{P}\bigg\{\min_{0\le i\le N(t)}X_{i}^{1/\beta}\ge 1-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}u^{j}\bigg\},\quad 0\lt u\lt1,\end{equation*}
where
$\{N(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is a homogeneous Poisson process with rate
$\Lambda^{\beta}$
such that
$\min_{0\le i \le N(t)} X_{i}^{1/\beta}= 1$
when
$N(t)=0$
.
Proof. Observe that
\begin{align*}\mathbb{P}\bigg\{\min_{0\le i\le N(t)}X_{i}^{1/\beta}\ge 1-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}u^{j}\bigg\}&=\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}\mathbb{P}\bigg\{\min_{0\le i\le n} X_{i}^{1/\beta}\ge 1-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}u^{j}\bigg\}\frac{(\Lambda^{\beta}t)^{n}}{n!}{\mathrm{e}}^{-t\Lambda^{\beta}}\\&={\mathrm{e}}^{-t\Lambda^{\beta}}\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}\biggl(\mathbb{P}\Big\{X_{1}^{1/\beta}\ge 1-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}u^{j}\Big\}\biggr)^{n}\frac{(\Lambda^{\beta}t)^{n}}{n!}\\&={\mathrm{e}}^{-t\Lambda^{\beta}}\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}\biggl(1-\Big(1-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}u^{j}\Big)^{\beta}\biggr)^{n}\frac{(\Lambda^{\beta}t)^{n}}{n!}\\&=\exp\biggl(-t\Bigl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(1-u^{j})\Bigr)^{\beta}\biggr),\end{align*}
which coincides with (47). This completes the proof.
Note that the distribution of jumps of the TCGCP-I
$\{M_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is given by (see [Reference Kataria and Khandakar20])
\begin{equation}\mathbb{P}\{M_{f}(h)=n\}=\begin{cases}1-hf(\Lambda)+o(h), & n=0,\\\displaystyle-h\sum_{ \Omega(k,n)}f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}+o(h), & n\ge1.\end{cases}\end{equation}
Thus, from (48) and Remark 9, the jump distribution of the GSFCP is given by
\begin{equation*}\mathbb{P}\{Y(h)=n\}=\begin{cases}1-h\Lambda^{\beta}+o(h), & n=0,\\\displaystyle- h\sum_{ \Omega(k,n)}(\beta)_{z_{k}}\Lambda^{\beta-z_{k}}\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}+o(h), & n\ge1,\end{cases}\end{equation*}
where
$(\beta)_{z_{k}}=\beta(\beta-1)\cdots(\beta-z_k+1)$
.
The Lévy measure and the distribution of first passage times of the GSFCP follow from (44) and (45), respectively.
Remark 10. In view of (4), it can be observed that the GSFCP is equal in distribution to a space-fractional compound Poisson process, that is,
\begin{equation*}Y(t)\;\stackrel{\rm d}{=}\;\sum_{j=1}^{N(D_{\beta}(t))}X_{j},\end{equation*}
where
$\{N(D_{\beta}(t))\}_{t\ge0}$
is the SFPP with intensity
$\Lambda$
and is independent of the sequence of i.i.d. random variables
$\{X_{j}\}_{j\ge 1}$
with distribution (3).
The state probabilities of the GSFCP can be obtained by putting
$f(s)=s^{\beta}$
in Remark 9 of [Reference Kataria and Khandakar20] as follows:
\begin{align}\mathbb{P}\{Y(t)=n\}&=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{(\!-1)^{z_{k}}}{\Lambda^{z_{k}}}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{d}v^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{e}}^{-t\Lambda^{\beta} v^{\beta}}\Big|_{v=1}\nonumber\\&=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{(\!-1)^{z_{k}}}{\Lambda^{z_{k}}}\sum_{r=0}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-\Lambda^{\beta}t)^{r}}{r!}\frac{\Gamma(\beta r+1)}{\Gamma(\beta r+1-z_{k})}\nonumber\\&=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{(\!-1)^{z_{k}}}{\Lambda^{z_{k}}}\:{}_1\psi_1\left[\left.\begin{array}{l}(1,\beta)\\(1-z_{k},\beta)\end{array}\right|-\Lambda^\beta t \right],\quad n\ge0,\end{align}
where
${}_1\psi_1(\!\cdot\!)$
is the generalized Wright function (see [Reference Kilbas, Srivastava and Trujillo24, Equation (1.11.14)]).
Further, for
$k=1$
and
$\Lambda=\lambda$
in (49), we get the PMF of the SFPP (see [Reference Orsingher and Polito28, Equation (2.15)]).
5. The GCP time-changed by the Lévy subordinator
In this section, we obtain some additional results for a time-changed version of the GCP, namely the TCGCP-I
$\{M_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. It is defined as (see [Reference Kataria and Khandakar20])
where the GCP
$\{M(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is independent of the Lévy subordinator
$\{D_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. Here, the condition that the Lévy subordinator have finite moments is not essential.
The next result follows from (48).
Proposition 4. The state probabilities
$p_{f}(n,t)=\mathbb{P}\{M_{f}(t)=n\}$
for
$n\ge0$
of the TCGCP-I solve the following system of differential equations:
\begin{equation}\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}t}p_{f}(n,t)=-f(\Lambda)p_{f}(n,t)-\sum_{m=1}^{n}\sum_{ \Omega(k,m)}f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)p_{f}(n-m,t),\end{equation}
with initial conditions
\begin{equation*}p_{f}(n,0)=\begin{cases}1,&\; n=0,\\0,&\; n\ge 1.\end{cases}\end{equation*}
Remark 11. On substituting
$k=1$
in (50), we get the system of differential equations that governs the state probabilities of a time-changed Poisson process
$\{N(D_{f}(t))\}_{t\ge0}$
(see [Reference Orsingher and Toaldo29, Equation (2.1)]).
Remark 12. The system of differential equations in (50) can equivalently be written as
\begin{equation}\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}t}p_{f}(n,t)=-f\biggl(\Lambda\Big(I-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}B^{j}\Big)\biggr)p_{f}(n,t),\end{equation}
where B is backward shift operator such that
$Bp_{f}(n,t)=p_{f}(n-1,t)$
. This can be shown as follows:
\begin{align}-&f\biggl(\Lambda\Big(I-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}B^{j}\Big)\biggr)p_{f}(n,t)\nonumber\\&=-\int_{0}^{\infty}\left(I-{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s\bigl(I-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{ n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}B^{j}\bigr)}\right)\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}s)p_{f}(n,t)\nonumber\\&=-\int_{0}^{\infty}\biggl(p_{f}(n,t)-{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\sum_{r=0}^{\infty}\frac{s^{r}}{r!}\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{ n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}B^{j}\biggr)^{r}p_{f}(n,t)\biggr)\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}s)\nonumber\\&=-\int_{0}^{\infty}\biggl(p_{f}(n,t)-{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\sum_{r=0}^{\infty}s^{r}\underset{x_{1}+x_{2}+\cdots+x_{n\wedge k}=r}{\sum}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}B^{jx_{j}}\biggr)p_{f}(n,t)\biggr)\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}s)\nonumber\\&=-\int_{0}^{\infty}\biggl(p_{f}(n,t)-{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\sum_{r=0}^{\infty}s^{r}\underset{x_{1}+x_{2}+\cdots+x_{k}=r}{\sum}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{ k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}B^{jx_{j}}\biggr)p_{f}(n,t)\biggr)\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}s) \nonumber\\[-5pt]& \qquad\qquad\qquad\qquad\qquad\qquad\qquad\qquad\qquad\qquad\qquad\qquad (p_{f}(\!-j,t)=0, \ j\ge 1)\nonumber\\&=-\int_{0}^{\infty}\biggl(p_{f}(n,t)-{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\sum_{r=0}^{\infty}s^{r}\sum_{m=r}^{\infty}\underset{x_{1}+2x_{2}+\cdots+kx_{k}=m}{\sum_{ x_{1}+x_{2}+\cdots+x_{k}=r}}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}B^{jx_{j}}\biggr)p_{f}(n,t)\biggr)\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}s)\nonumber\\&=-\int_{0}^{\infty}\biggl(p_{f}(n,t)-{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\sum_{m=0}^{\infty}\sum_{r=0}^{m}s^{r}\underset{x_{1}+2x_{2}+\cdots+kx_{k}=m}{\sum_{ x_{1}+x_{2}+\cdots+x_{k}=r}}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}B^{jx_{j}}\biggr)p_{f}(n,t)\biggr)\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}s)\nonumber\\&=-\int_{0}^{\infty}\biggl(p_{f}(n,t)-{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\sum_{m=0}^{\infty}\sum_{ \Omega(k,m)}s^{z_{k}}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)B^{m}p_{f}(n,t)\biggr)\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}s)\nonumber\\&=-\int_{0}^{\infty}\left(1-{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\right)p_{f}(n,t)\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}s)+\sum_{m=1}^{n}\sum_{ \Omega(k,m)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)p_{f}(n-m,t)\int_{0}^{\infty}s^{z_{k}}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}s)\nonumber\\&=-f(\Lambda)p_{f}(n,t)-\sum_{m=1}^{n}\sum_{ \Omega(k,m)}f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)p_{f}(n-m,t).\end{align}
Remark 13. If we choose
$f(s)=f_{2}(s)=s^{\beta}$
in (51), we get the system of differential equations that governs the state probabilities of the GSFCP in the following form:
\begin{equation}\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}t}p_{f_{2}}(n,t)=-\Lambda^{\beta}\biggl(I-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}B^{j}\biggr)^{\beta}p_{f_{2}}(n,t),\end{equation}
with
$p_{f_{2}}(n,0)=\delta_{n,0}$
. Also, taking
$\lambda_{j}=\lambda$
for all
$1\le j\le k$
in (53), we get the system of differential equations that governs the state probabilities of the space-fractional PPoK.
For the Bernštein function
$f_1$
given in (22), the TCGCP-1 reduces to the GCP time-changed by an independent gamma subordinator, that is,
For
$x\ge0$
and
$t\geq 0$
, the density function of the gamma subordinator satisfies (see [Reference Beghin6, Equation (9)])
\begin{equation}\left\{\begin{array}{l}\dfrac{\partial}{\partial x}g(x,t)=-b(1-{\mathrm{e}}^{-\partial_{t}/a})g(x,t),\\g(x,0)=\delta (x),\\\lim_{|x|\rightarrow+\infty }g(x,t)=0,\end{array}\right.\end{equation}
where
$\partial_{t}=\frac{\partial}{\partial t}$
,
$\delta (x)$
is the Dirac delta function, and
${\mathrm{e}}^{-\partial _{t}/a}$
is a shift operator, which for any analytic function
$f\,:\,\mathbb{R}\to \mathbb{R}$
and
$c\in \mathbb{R}$
is defined as
Proposition 5. The PMF
$p_{f_{1}}(n,t)=\mathbb{P}\{M_{f_{1}}(t)=n\}$
$(n\ge0)$
of
$\{M_{f_{1}}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
satisfies the system
\begin{equation*}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\partial _{t}/a}p_{f_{1}}(n,t)=(1+\Lambda/b)p_{f_{1}}(n,t)-\frac{1}{b}\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}p_{f_{1}}(n-j,t),\end{equation*}
with initial conditions
\begin{equation*}p_{f_{1}}(n,0)=\begin{cases}1, &\; n=0,\\0, &\; n\gt1.\end{cases}\end{equation*}
Proof. From (54), we can write
where p(n, x) is the PMF of the GCP and g(x, t) is the density function of the gamma subordinator. By applying the shift operator
${\mathrm{e}}^{-\partial _{t}/a}$
to both sides of (56) and using (55), we get
\begin{align*}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\partial_{t}/a}p_{f_{1}}(n,t)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}p(n,x)\left(g(x,t)+\frac{1}{b}\frac{\partial}{\partial x}g(x,t)\right)\mathrm{d}x\\&=p_{f_{1}}(n,t)+\frac{1}{b}\left[p(n,x)g(x,t)\right]_{x=0}^{\infty}-\frac{1}{b}\int_{0}^{\infty}g(x,t)\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}x}p(n,x)\,\mathrm{d}x\\&=p_{f_{1}}(n,t)-\frac{1}{b}\int_{0}^{\infty}g(x,t)\biggl(\!-\Lambda p(n,x)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}p(n-j,x)\biggr)\,\mathrm{d}x,\end{align*}
where in the last step we have used (2) with
$\beta=1$
. The proof concludes in view of (56).
5.1. First passage times of the TCGCP-I
Here, we study the first passage times of the TCGCP-I, defined as
The distribution of
$T_{f}^{n}$
can be written as
\begin{equation*}\mathbb{P}\{T_{f}^{n}\lt s\}=\mathbb{P}\{M_{f}(s)\ge n\}=\sum_{m=n}^{\infty}\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,m)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\lambda_{j}x)^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda x}\mathbb{P}\{D_{f}(s)\in \mathrm{d}x\},\end{equation*}
so its density function
$\mathscr{P}_{f}(n,s)=\mathbb{P}\{T_{f}^{n}\in \mathrm{d}s\}/\mathrm{d}s$
can be obtained as
\begin{align}\mathscr{P}_{f}(n,s)&=\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}s}\sum_{m=n}^{\infty}\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,m)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\lambda_{j}x)^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda x}\mathbb{P}\{D_{f}(s)\in \mathrm{d}x\}\\&=\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}s}\int_{0}^{\infty}\biggl(1-\sum_{l=0}^{n-1}\sum_{\Omega(k,l)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\lambda_{j}x)^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda x}\biggr)\mathbb{P}\{D_{f}(s)\in \mathrm{d}x\}\nonumber\\&=-\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}s}\sum_{l=0}^{n-1}\sum_{\Omega(k,l)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\int_{0}^{\infty}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{d}\Lambda^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda x}\mathbb{P}\{D_{f}(s)\in \mathrm{d}x\}\nonumber\end{align}
\begin{align}=-\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}s}\sum_{l=0}^{n-1}\sum_{\Omega(k,l)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{\mathrm{d}^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{d}\Lambda^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{e}}^{-sf(\Lambda)}.\end{align}
Equivalently,
\begin{equation*}\mathbb{P}\{T_{f}^{n}\in \mathrm{d}s\}=\mathbb{P}\{T_{f}^{n-1}\in \mathrm{d}s\}-\sum_{\Omega(k,n-1)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}s}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{d}\Lambda^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{e}}^{-sf(\Lambda)}\mathrm{d}s,\end{equation*}
which gives a recursive relation between the distributions of
$T_{f}^{n}$
.
Remark 14. From (58), we have
that is, the waiting time of the first event for the TCGCP-I is exponential.
Next, we derive the system of differential equations that governs the distribution of
$T_{f}^{n}$
. The following result will be used.
Proposition 6. Let
$\mathcal{O}_{f}(u,t)=\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}u^{n}\mathscr{P}_{f}(n,t)$
for
$|u|\lt1$
. Then
\begin{equation*}\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}t}\mathcal{O}_{f}(u,t)=-f\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}(1-u^{j})\lambda_{j}\biggr)\mathcal{O}_{f}(u,t).\end{equation*}
Proof. On using (57), we get
\begin{align*}\mathcal{O}_{f}(u,t)&=\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}t}\sum_{m=1}^{\infty}\sum_{n=1}^{m}u^{n}\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,m)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\lambda_{j}x)^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda x}\mathbb{P}\{D_{f}(t)\in \mathrm{d}x\}\\&=\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}t}\frac{u}{u-1}\sum_{m=1}^{\infty}(u^{m}-1)\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,m)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\lambda_{j}x)^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda x}\mathbb{P}\{D_{f}(t)\in \mathrm{d}x\}\\&=\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}t}\frac{u}{u-1}\int_{0}^{\infty}\Big({\mathrm{e}}^{\sum_{j=1}^{k}(u^{j}-1)\lambda_{j}x}-1\Big)\mathbb{P}\{D_{f}(t)\in \mathrm{d}x\}\\&=\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}t}\frac{u}{u-1}{\mathrm{e}}^{-tf\bigl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}(1-u^{j})\lambda_{j}\bigr)}\\&=\frac{u}{1-u}f\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}(1-u^{j})\lambda_{j}\biggr){\mathrm{e}}^{-tf\bigl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}(1-u^{j})\lambda_{j}\bigr)}.\end{align*}
The result follows on taking the derivative with respect to t.
Theorem 3. The density function of the first passage times of the TCGCP-I solves the following system of differential equations:
\begin{equation*}\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}t}\mathscr{P}_{f}(n,t)=-f\biggl(\Lambda\Big(I-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}B^{j}\Big)\biggr)\mathscr{P}_{f}(n,t),\quad n\ge1.\end{equation*}
Proof. On using (52) for
$\mathscr{P}_{f}(n,t)$
, we get
\begin{align*}\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}&u^{n}f\biggl(\Lambda\Big(I-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}B^{j}\Big)\biggr)\mathscr{P}_{f}(n,t)\\&=f(\Lambda)\mathcal{O}_{f}(u,t)-\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}u^{n}\sum_{m=1}^{n}\sum_{ \Omega(k,m)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\mathscr{P}_{f}(n-m,t)\int_{0}^{\infty}s^{z_{k}}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}s)\\&=f(\Lambda)\mathcal{O}_{f}(u,t)-\sum_{m=1}^{\infty}\sum_{n=m}^{\infty}u^{n}\sum_{ \Omega(k,m)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\mathscr{P}_{f}(n-m,t)\int_{0}^{\infty}s^{z_{k}}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}s)\\&=f(\Lambda)\mathcal{O}_{f}(u,t)-\mathcal{O}_{f}(u,t)\sum_{m=1}^{\infty}u^{m}\sum_{\Omega(k,m)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\int_{0}^{\infty}s^{z_{k}}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}s)\\&=f(\Lambda)\mathcal{O}_{f}(u,t)-\mathcal{O}_{f}(u,t)\int_{0}^{\infty}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\Big({\mathrm{e}}^{\sum_{j=1}^{k}u^{j}\lambda_{j}s}-1\Big)\overline{\nu}(\mathrm{d}s)\\&=f\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}(1-u^{j})\lambda_{j}\biggr)\mathcal{O}_{f}(u,t).\end{align*}
The result follows on applying Proposition 6.
Let
$\mathcal{T}_{f}^{n}$
be the first-hitting times of the TCGCP-I, that is,
As the TCGCP-I is a Lévy process, it has independent increments, so the hitting-time distribution for state n of the TCGCP-I has the form
\begin{align*}\mathbb{P}\bigl\{\mathcal{T}_{f}^{n}\in \mathrm{d}s\bigr\}&=\mathbb{P}\bigg\{\bigcup_{l=0}^{n-1}\{M_{f}(s)=l, M_{f}[s,s+\mathrm{d}s)=n-l)\}\bigg\}\\&=\sum_{l=0}^{n-1}\sum_{\Omega(k,l)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{(\!-1)^{z_{k}}}{\Lambda^{z_{k}}}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{d}v^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{e}}^{-sf(\Lambda v)}\Big|_{v=1}\!\!\cdot(\!-\mathrm{d}s)\!\!\sum_{\Omega(k,n-l)}\!f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!},\end{align*}
where we have used Remark 9 of [Reference Kataria and Khandakar20] and (48) in the last step. Therefore,
\begin{equation}\mathbb{P}\bigl\{\mathcal{T}_{f}^{n}\lt\infty\bigr\}=\sum_{l=0}^{n-1}\sum_{\Omega(k,l)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{(\!-1)^{z_{k}+1}}{\Lambda^{z_{k}}}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{z_{k}}}{\mathrm{d}v^{z_{k}}}\frac{1}{f(\Lambda v)}\bigg|_{v=1}\sum_{ \Omega(k,n-l)}f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}.\end{equation}
On taking
$k=1$
and
$\Lambda=\lambda$
in (59), we get
\begin{equation*}\mathbb{P}\bigl\{\mathcal{T}_{f}^{n}\lt\infty\bigr\}\big|_{k=1}=\sum_{l=0}^{n-1}\frac{(\!-1)^{n+1}}{l!(n-l)!}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{l}}{\mathrm{d}v^{l}}\frac{1}{f(\lambda v)}\bigg|_{v=1} \lambda^{n-l}f^{(n-l)}(\lambda),\end{equation*}
which agrees with Equation (2.7) of [Reference Garra, Orsingher and Scavino16].
5.2. An application to risk theory
Recently, several authors have introduced and studied risk processes in which the TFPP is used to model the number of claims received by a insurance company (see [Reference Beghin and Macci5, Reference Constantinescu, Ramirez and Zhu10]). If the claims arrive in groups of size less than or equal to a fixed number k, then the GCP can be used to model the arrivals of these claims (see [Reference Kataria and Khandakar21]). In real life there are situations in which a large number of claims arrive in an infinitesimal time interval. It is important to note that the TCGCP-I allows arbitrary arrivals in a short span of time.
Consider the following risk model with the TCGCP-I as the counting process:
\begin{equation}X_{f}(t)= ct-\sum_{j=1}^{M_{f}(t)}Z_j, \quad t\geq 0,\end{equation}
where
$c\gt0$
denotes the constant premium rate and
$ \{Z_j\}_{j\ge1}$
is a sequence of positive i.i.d. random variables with distribution F. Here, the
$Z_j$
represent the claim sizes, which are independent of
$\{M_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. The expected value of
$\{X_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is given by
where
$\mu=\mathbb{E}(Z_j)$
. The relative safety loading factor
$\rho$
for (60) is given by
Let
$U(t)= u+X_{f}(t)$
for
$t\ge0$
be the surplus process, where
$u\ge0$
is the initial capital, let
$\tau$
be the time to ruin of an insurance company, i.e.
$ \tau=\inf\{t\gt0\,:\, U(t)\lt0\}$
with
$\inf \phi=\infty$
, and let
$\psi(u)=\mathbb{P}_{u}\{\tau\lt\infty\}$
be the probability of ruin. Let
be the joint probability that the ruin occurs in finite time and the deficit, i.e.
$D=|U(\tau)|$
, at the time of ruin is not more than y. Also, let
$u'=u+ch$
and let
$F^{*j}$
be the distribution of
$Z_{1}+Z_{2}+\cdots+Z_{j}$
for all
$j\ge 1$
. Now, using (48) and (61), we get
\begin{align*}K(u,y)&= (1-hf(\Lambda))K(u',y)+o(h) -h\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\\&\quad\times\biggl(\int_0^{u'}K(u'-x,y)\,\mathrm{d}F^{*n}(x)+F^{*n}(u'+y)-F^{*n}(u')\biggr).\end{align*}
After rearranging the terms, we have
\begin{align*}\frac{K(u',y)-K(u,y)}{ch}&=\frac{f(\Lambda)}{c} K(u',y)+\frac{o(h)}{h}-\frac{1}{c}\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\\&\quad\times \biggl(\int_0^{u'}K(u'-x,y)\,\mathrm{d}F^{*n}(x)+F^{*n}(u'+y)-F^{*n}(u')\biggr).\end{align*}
On taking
$ h\rightarrow 0$
, we get
\begin{align}\frac{\partial K(u,y)}{\partial u}& = \frac{f(\Lambda)}{c}K(u,y)-\frac{1}{c} \sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \sum_{\Omega(k,n)}f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\nonumber\\&\quad\times\biggl(\int_0^{u}K(u-x,y)\,\mathrm{d}F^{*n}(x) + F^{*n}(u+y)-F^{*n}(u)\biggr).\end{align}
Note that
\begin{equation}\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}=\sum_{r=0}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-\Lambda)^r}{r!}f^{(r)}(\Lambda)-f(\Lambda)=f(0)-f(\Lambda)=-f(\Lambda),\end{equation}
as
$f(0)=0$
. Now, let
\begin{equation}W(x)=-\frac{1}{f(\Lambda)}\sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \sum_{\Omega(k,n)}f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)F^{*n}(x)\end{equation}
be the mixer distribution of the aggregated claims. Thus, (62) reduces to
As
$\lim_{y\rightarrow \infty} K(u,y)=\psi(u)$
, by letting
$y\to \infty$
in (65) we get the following governing equation for the probability of ruin:
Theorem 4. The joint probability of the time to ruin and the deficit at the time of ruin with zero initial capital is given by
Proof. On integrating (65) with respect to u on
$ (0,\infty)$
, we get
\begin{align*}K(\infty,y)-K(0,y)&=\frac{f(\Lambda)}{c}\left(\int_0^{\infty}K(u,y)\,\mathrm{d}u+\int_0^{\infty}\left(W(u)-W(u+y)\right)\mathrm{d}u\right)\\&\quad -\frac{f(\Lambda)}{c}\int_0^{\infty}\int_0^{u}K(u-x,y)\,\mathrm{d}W(x)\,\mathrm{d}u.\end{align*}
Hence, using
$K(\infty,y)=0$
and the change of variable yields
This completes the proof.
Remark 15. On taking
$y\to\infty $
in (66), we get
$\psi(0) = \frac{f(\Lambda)}{c}\int_0^{\infty}(1-W(u))\,\mathrm{d}u$
.
Remark 16. Suppose that the claim sizes
$Z_j$
follow the exponential distribution with mean
$\mu\gt0$
, that is,
$F(x)=1-{\mathrm{e}}^{-x/\mu}$
for
$x\ge 0$
. Then
\begin{equation*}F^{*n}(x)=1-\sum_{m=0}^{n-1}\frac{(x/\mu)^{m}}{m!}{\mathrm{e}}^{-x/\mu}\end{equation*}
is an Erlang distribution function. Hence, from (64) we get
\begin{align}W(x)&=-\frac{1}{f(\Lambda)}\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\biggl(1-\sum_{m=0}^{n-1}\frac{(x/\mu)^{m}}{m!}{\mathrm{e}}^{-x/\mu}\biggr)\nonumber\\&=1+\frac{1}{f(\Lambda)}\sum_{n=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\sum_{m=0}^{n-1}\frac{(x/\mu)^{m}}{m!}{\mathrm{e}}^{-x/\mu},\end{align}
where in the last step we have used (63). Thus, on substituting (67) into (66), we obtain the value of K(0, y) in the following form:
\begin{equation*}K(0,y)=\frac{1}{c}\sum_{n=1}^{\infty} \sum_{\Omega(k,n)}f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)(\!-1)^{z_{k}+1}\sum_{m=0}^{n-1}\frac{\mu}{m!}\gamma(m+1, y/\mu),\end{equation*}
where
$\gamma(s,x)=\displaystyle\int_{0}^{x}t^{s-1}{\mathrm{e}}^{-t}\,\mathrm{d}t$
for
$s\gt0$
is the lower incomplete gamma function.
5.3. The GFCP time-changed by the Lévy subordinator
Kataria and Khandakar [Reference Kataria and Khandakar20] introduced the following time-changed process, the TCGFCP-I:
where the GFCP
$\{M^{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is independent of the Lévy subordinator
$\{D_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
, whose moments are finite.
First, we give an additional result for
$\{M_{f}^{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
.
Proposition 7. The one-dimensional distributions of the TCGFCP-I are not infinitely divisible.
Proof. Using the self-similarity property of the inverse stable subordinator, we get
Because
$D_{f}(t)\to \infty$
as
$t\to \infty$
almost surely, we have
\begin{align*}\lim\limits_{t\to\infty}\frac{M_{f}^{\beta}(t)}{t^{\beta}}&\;\stackrel{\rm d}{=}\;Y_{\beta}(1)\lim\limits_{t\to\infty}\frac{M\left((D_{f}(t))^{\beta}Y_{\beta}(1)\right)}{(D_{f}(t))^{\beta}Y_{\beta}(1)}\left(\frac{D_{f}(t)}{t}\right)^{\beta}\\&\;\stackrel{\rm d}{=}\;\sum_{j=1}^{k}j\lambda_{j}Y_{\beta}(1)\lim\limits_{t\to\infty}\left(\frac{D_{f}(t)}{t}\right)^{\beta}\quad(\text{using}{9}))\\&\;\stackrel{\rm d}{=}\;\sum_{j=1}^{k}j\lambda_{j}Y_{\beta}(1)\left(\mathbb{E}(D_{f}(1))\right)^{\beta}\!,\end{align*}
where in the last step we have used the strong law of large numbers for a Lévy subordinator (see [Reference Bertoin8, p. 92]). Thus, the result follows as
$Y_{\beta}(1)$
is not infinitely divisible (see [Reference Vellaisamy and Kumar35]).
In (68), we take the Bernštein function
$f_1$
to obtain the GFCP time-changed by an independent gamma subordinator, that is,
The mean, variance, covariance, and LRD property of
$\{M_{f_{1}}^{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
follow from Section 4.1 of [Reference Kataria and Khandakar20]. It can be shown that the increment process
$\{M_{f_{1}}^{\beta}(t+h)-M_{f_{1}}^{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
, for
$h\gt0$
fixed, exhibits the short-range dependence property. The proof follows similar lines to that of Theorem 4 of [Reference Maheshwari and Vellaisamy27].
For
$k=1$
, the process
$\{M_{f_{1}}^{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
reduces to the time-fractional negative binomial process
$\{\mathcal{N}^{1}_{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
with intensity
$\lambda$
(see [Reference Vellaisamy and Maheshwari36]). For notational convenience, we write
$Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)=\mathcal{N}^{1}_{\beta}(t)$
for
$t\ge0$
. Using (23), its mth factorial moment is given by
On taking
$\beta=1$
in (69), we get the mth factorial moment of the negative binomial process (see [Reference Orsingher and Toaldo29, Remark 4.7]).
The next result gives the conditional distribution of
$X_{(k)}^{Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)}$
, a kth order statistic from the sample of size
$Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)$
, where
$k\in \{1,2,\ldots, Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)\}$
.
Theorem 5. Let
$\{X_{i}\}_{i\ge1}$
be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with distribution function F. Then
Proof. For
$1\le k\le n$
, we will use the following standard result for the distribution of kth order statistics:
\begin{equation}\mathbb{P}\{X_{(k)}^{n}\lt z\}=\sum_{j=k}^{n}\binom{n}{j}F^{j}(z)\left(1-F(z)\right)^{n-j}.\end{equation}
Now,
\begin{align}\mathbb{P}\bigl\{X_{(k)}^{Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)}\lt z\,\big|\,Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)\ge k\bigr\}&=\frac{\sum_{n=k}^{\infty}\mathbb{P}\{X_{(k)}^{Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)}\lt z,Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)=n\}}{\mathbb{P}\{Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)\ge k\}}\nonumber\\&=\frac{\sum_{n=k}^{\infty}\mathbb{P}\{X_{(k)}^{Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)}\lt z\,|\,Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)=n\}\,\mathbb{P}\{Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)=n\}}{\mathbb{P}\{Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)\ge k\}}.\end{align}
Using (24) and (70), the quantity in the numerator on the right-hand side of (71) can be evaluated as follows:
\begin{align*}\sum_{n=k}^{\infty}&\mathbb{P}\bigl\{X_{(k)}^{Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)}\lt z\,\big|\,Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)=n\bigr\}\mathbb{P}\{Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)=n\}\\&=\sum_{n=k}^{\infty}\biggl(\sum_{j=k}^{n}\binom{n}{j}F^{j}(z)\left(1-F(z)\right)^{n-j}\biggr)\sum_{l=n}^{\infty}(\!-1)^{l+n}\binom{l}{n}\frac{\Gamma(l\beta+bt)}{\Gamma(bt)\Gamma(\beta l+1)}\left(\frac{\lambda}{a^{\beta}}\right)^{l}\\&=\sum_{l=k}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-1)^{l}\Gamma(l\beta+bt)}{\Gamma(bt)\Gamma(\beta l+1)}\left(\frac{\lambda}{a^{\beta}}\right)^{l}\sum_{n=k}^{l}\binom{l}{n}(\!-1)^{n}\sum_{j=k}^{n}\binom{n}{j}F^{j}(z)\left(1-F(z)\right)^{n-j}\\&=\sum_{l=k}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-1)^{l}\Gamma(l\beta+bt)}{\Gamma(bt)\Gamma(\beta l+1)}\left(\frac{\lambda}{a^{\beta}}\right)^{l}\sum_{j=k}^{l}F^{j}(z)\sum_{n=j}^{l}\binom{l}{n}\binom{n}{j}(\!-1)^{n}\left(1-F(z)\right)^{n-j}\\&=\sum_{l=k}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-1)^{l}\Gamma(l\beta+bt)}{\Gamma(bt)\Gamma(\beta l+1)}\left(\frac{\lambda}{a^{\beta}}\right)^{l}\sum_{j=k}^{l}\binom{l}{j}F^{j}(z)\sum_{n=0}^{l-j}\binom{l-j}{n}(\!-1)^{n+j}\left(1-F(z)\right)^{n}\\&=\sum_{l=k}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-1)^{l}\Gamma(l\beta+bt)}{\Gamma(bt)\Gamma(\beta l+1)}\left(\frac{\lambda}{a^{\beta}}\right)^{l}F^{l}(z)\sum_{j=k}^{l}\binom{l}{j}(\!-1)^{j}\\&=\sum_{j=k}^{\infty}\sum_{l=j}^{\infty}\binom{l}{j}(\!-1)^{l+j}\left(\frac{F(z)\lambda}{a^{\beta}}\right)^{l}\frac{\Gamma(l\beta+bt)}{\Gamma(bt)\Gamma(\beta l+1)}\\&=\sum_{j=k}^{\infty}\mathbb{P}\{Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda F(z))=j\}=\mathbb{P}\{Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda F(z))\ge k\}.\end{align*}
The proof follows upon substituting the above expression into (71).
Similarly, it can be shown that the space-fractional and space–time-fractional negative binomial processes exhibit the kth order statistic property as in Theorem 5. Also, this result holds for a more general process, namely the time-changed fractional Poisson process studied by Kataria and Khandakar [Reference Kataria and Khandakar22].
6. A time-changed version of
$\boldsymbol{M}_{\boldsymbol{f}}\boldsymbol{(t)}$
In this section, we consider the time-changed process
where the Lévy subordinator
$\{D_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
, the inverse stable subordinator
$\{Y_{\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
for
$0\lt\alpha\lt1$
, and the GCP
$\{M(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
are independent of each other.
For
$k=1$
, the process
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
reduces to a time-changed Poisson process, that is,
$\{N(D_{f}(Y_{\alpha}(t)))\}_{t\ge0}$
(see [Reference Beghin and D’Ovidio4, Section 3] and [Reference Orsingher and Toaldo29, Remark 2.3]).
Let
$h_{\alpha}(t,x)$
be the density of
$\{Y_{\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
, and let
$p_{f}^{\alpha}(n,t)=\mathbb{P}\{\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)=n\}$
, for
$n\ge0$
, be the state probabilities of
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. From (72) we have
On taking the Caputo fractional derivative in (73) and using (50), it can be shown that the state probabilities
$p_{f}^{\alpha}(n,t)$
solve the following system of fractional differential equations:
\begin{equation*}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{\alpha}}{\mathrm{d}t^{\alpha}}p_{f}^{\alpha}(n,t)=-f(\Lambda)p_{f}^{\alpha}(n,t)-\sum_{m=1}^{n}\sum_{ \Omega(k,m)}f^{(z_{k})}(\Lambda)\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{(\!-\lambda_{j})^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)p_{f}^{\alpha}(n-m,t),\end{equation*}
with initial conditions
\begin{equation*}p_{f}^{\alpha}(n,0)=\begin{cases}1,&\; n=0,\\0, &\; n\ge 1.\end{cases}\end{equation*}
In view of (51), the above system of differential equations can be written as
\begin{equation*}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{\alpha}}{\mathrm{d}t^{\alpha}}p_{f}^{\alpha}(n,t)=-f\biggl(\Lambda\Big(I-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}B^{j}\Big)\biggr)p_{f}^{\alpha}(n,t).\end{equation*}
On using Proposition 6 of [Reference Kataria and Khandakar20], the PGF of
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is given by
\begin{align}\mathscr{G}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(u,t)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\exp\biggl(-xf\Big(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(1-u^{j})\Big)\biggr)h_{\alpha}(t,x)\,\mathrm{d}x\nonumber\\&=E_{\alpha,1}\biggl(-f\Big(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(1-u^{j})\Big)t^{\alpha}\biggr).\end{align}
It is known that the Mittag-Leffler function is an eigenfunction of the Caputo fractional derivative. So it follows that
\begin{equation*}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{\alpha}}{\mathrm{d}t^{\alpha}}\mathscr{G}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(u,t)=-f\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}(1-u^{j})\biggr)\mathscr{G}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(u,t),\ \mathscr{G}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(u,0)=1.\end{equation*}
Remark 17. On taking
$k=1$
and
$\lambda_{1}=\lambda$
, the PGF (74) reduces to
$\mathscr{G}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(u,t)\big|_{k=1}=E_{\alpha,1}(\!-f(\lambda(1-u))t^{\alpha})$
, which agrees with the PGF of
$\{N(D_{f}(Y_{\alpha}(t)))\}_{t\ge0}$
(see [Reference Orsingher and Toaldo29, Equation (2.9)]).
Now we give the mean, variance, and covariance function of
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. We assume that the second-order moments of
$\{D_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
are finite. The mean and variance of the TCGCP-I are given by
$\mathbb{E}(M_{f}(t))=\sum_{j=1}^{k}j\lambda_{j}\mathbb{E}(D_{f}(t))$
and
$\operatorname{Var}(M_{f}(t))=\bigl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}j\lambda_{j}\bigr)^{2}\operatorname{Var}(D_{f}(t))+\sum_{j=1}^{k}j^{2}\lambda_{j}\mathbb{E}(D_{f}(t))$
(see [Reference Kataria and Khandakar20, Section 4.1]).
Let
$q_{1}=\mathbb{E}(M_{f}(1))$
and
$q_{2}=\operatorname{Var}(M_{f}(1))$
. Then, by using Theorem 2.1 of [Reference Leonenko, Meerschaert, Schilling and Sikorskii25], we get
\begin{align}\mathbb{E}\bigl(\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\bigr)&=q_{1}\mathbb{E}(Y_{\alpha}(t)),\nonumber\\\operatorname{Var}\bigl(\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\bigr)&=q_{2}\mathbb{E}(Y_{\alpha}(t))+q_{1}^{2}\operatorname{Var}(Y_{\alpha}(t)),\end{align}
As
$\operatorname{Var}(\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t))-\mathbb{E}(\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t))\gt0$
for
$t\gt0$
, the process
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
exhibits the overdispersion property.
Theorem 6. The process
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
has the LRD property.
Proof. From (75) and (76), we get
\begin{equation*}\operatorname{Corr}\bigl(\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(s),\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\bigr)=\frac{q_{2}\mathbb{E}(Y_{\alpha}(s))+q_{1}^{2}\operatorname{Cov}(Y_{\alpha}(s),Y_{\alpha}(t))}{\sqrt{\operatorname{Var}\bigl(\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(s)\bigr)}\sqrt{q_{2}\mathbb{E}(Y_{\alpha}(t))+q_{1}^{2}\operatorname{Var}(Y_{\alpha}(t))}}.\end{equation*}
On using (19)–(21) for fixed s and large t, we get
\begin{align*}\operatorname{Corr}\bigl(\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(s),\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\bigr)&\sim\frac{q_{2}\mathbb{E}(Y_{\alpha}(s))+\frac{q_{1}^{2}s^{2\alpha}}{\Gamma(2\alpha+1)}}{\sqrt{\operatorname{Var}\bigl(\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(s)\bigr)}\sqrt{\frac{q_{2}t^{\alpha}}{\Gamma(\alpha+1)}+\frac{2q_{1}^{2}t^{2\alpha}}{\Gamma(2\alpha+1)}-\frac{q_{1}^{2}t^{2\alpha}}{\Gamma^{2}(\alpha+1)}}}\\&\sim c(s)t^{-\alpha},\end{align*}
where
\begin{equation*}c(s)=\frac{q_{2}\mathbb{E}(Y_{\alpha}(s))+\frac{q_{1}^{2}s^{2\alpha}}{\Gamma(2\alpha+1)}}{\sqrt{\operatorname{Var}\bigl(\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(s)\bigr)}\sqrt{\frac{2q_{1}^{2}}{\Gamma(2\alpha+1)}-\frac{q_{1}^{2}}{\Gamma^{2}(\alpha+1)}}}.\end{equation*}
This proves the result.
Remark 18. It is known that processes that possess the LRD property have applications in various fields such as finance (see [Reference Ding, Granger and Engle12]), econometrics (see [Reference Pagan31]), hydrology (see [Reference Doukhan, Oppenheim and Taqqu13, pp. 461–472]), and internet data traffic modeling (see [Reference Karagiannis, Molle and Faloutsos19]). As the process
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
exhibits the LRD property, it has potential applications in these areas.
6.1. The GCP time-changed by a fractional gamma process
Beghin [Reference Beghin6] introduced a fractional gamma process
$\{Z_{\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
by time-changing the gamma subordinator
$\{Z(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
with an independent inverse stable subordinator, that is,
For
$x\ge0$
and
$t\ge0$
, the following holds for its density function
$g_{\alpha}(x,t)$
:
\begin{equation}\left\{\begin{array}{l}\dfrac{\partial }{\partial x}g_{\alpha}(x,t)=-b(1-\mathscr{O}_{-1,t}^{\alpha})g_{\alpha}(x,t),\\g_{\alpha}(x,0)=0,\\\lim_{x\rightarrow +\infty }g_{\alpha}(x,t)=0,\end{array}\right.\end{equation}
where
$\mathscr{O}_{-1,t}^{\alpha}$
is the fractional shift operator (see [Reference Beghin6, Theorem 5 and Equation (10)]).
For the Bernštein function
$f_1$
given in (22), the process
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
reduces to
Proposition 8. The PMF
$p_{f_{1}}^{\alpha}(n,t)=\mathbb{P}\{\mathscr{M}_{f_{1}}^{\,\alpha}(t)=n\}$
$(n\ge0)$
of
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f_{1}}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
satisfies the fractional differential equations
\begin{equation}\mathscr{O}_{-1,t}^{\alpha}p_{f_{1}}^{\alpha}(n,t)=(1+\Lambda/b)p_{f_{1}}^{\alpha}(n,t)-\frac{1}{b}\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}p_{f_{1}}^{\alpha}(n-j,t),\end{equation}
with initial conditions
\begin{equation*}p_{f_{1}}^{\alpha}(n,0)=\begin{cases}1, &\; n=0,\\0, &\; n\ge1.\end{cases}\end{equation*}
Proof. From (78), we can write
On both sides of (80) we apply the fractional shift operator
$\mathscr{O}_{-1,t}^{\alpha}$
and use (77) to obtain
\begin{align*}\mathscr{O}_{-1,t}^{\alpha}p_{f_{1}}^{\alpha}(n,t)&=\int_{0}^{\infty}p(n,x)\Big(g_{\alpha}(x,t)+\frac{1}{b}\frac{\partial }{\partial x}g_{\alpha}(x,t)\Big)\,\mathrm{d}x\\&=p_{f_{1}}^{\alpha}(n,t)+\frac{1}{b}\left[p(n,x)g_{\alpha}(x,t)\right]_{x=0}^{\infty}-\frac{1}{b}\int_{0}^{\infty}g_{\alpha}(x,t)\frac{\mathrm{d}}{\mathrm{d}x}p(n,x)\,\mathrm{d}x\\&=p_{f_{1}}^{\alpha}(n,t)-\frac{1}{b}\int_{0}^{\infty}g_{\alpha}(x,t)\biggl(-\Lambda p(n,x)+\sum_{j=1}^{n\wedge k}\lambda_{j}p(n-j,x)\biggr)\,\mathrm{d}x,\end{align*}
where in the last step we have used (2) with
$\beta=1$
. This coincides with the desired result by considering (80).
6.2. Space–time-fractional version of the GCP
We take the Bernštein function
$f_2$
in (72) to obtain the space–time-fractional version of the GCP, namely the generalized space–time-fractional counting process (GSTFCP)
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f_{2}}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
, where
For
$1\le j \le k$
, if
$\lambda_{j}=\lambda$
or
$\lambda_{j}=\lambda(1-\rho)\rho^{j-1}/(1-\rho^{k})$
for
$0\le \rho\lt1$
, then the GSTFCP reduces to the space–time-fractional version of the PPoK or PAPoK, respectively.
From (74), the PGF of the GSTFCP is given by
\begin{equation}\mathscr{G}_{f_{2}}^{\,\alpha}(u,t)=E_{\alpha,1}\biggl(-\Big(\sum_{j=1}^{k}(1-u^{j})\lambda_{j}\Big)^{\beta}t^{\alpha}\biggr).\end{equation}
For
$k=1$
, it reduces to the PGF of the STFPP (see [Reference Orsingher and Polito28, Equation (2.28)]). It solves the differential equations
\begin{equation*}\frac{\mathrm{d}^{\alpha}}{\mathrm{d}t^{\alpha}}\mathscr{G}_{f_{2}}^{\,\alpha}(u,t)=-\biggl(\sum_{j=1}^{k}(1-u^{j})\lambda_{j}\biggr)^{\beta}\mathscr{G}_{f_{2}}^{\,\alpha}(u,t), \quad \mathscr{G}_{f_{2}}^{\,\alpha}(u,0)=1.\end{equation*}
Let
$X_{i}$
for
$i\ge1$
be i.i.d. uniform random variables in [0,Reference Applebaum1], and let
$\{N_{\alpha}(t,\Lambda^{\beta})\}_{t\ge0}$
be the TFPP with intensity
$\Lambda^{\beta}$
such that
$\min_{0\le i \le N_{\alpha}(t,\Lambda^{\beta})} X_{i}^{1/\beta}= 1$
when
$N_{\alpha}(t,\Lambda^{\beta})=0$
. Then for
$0\lt u\lt1$
, the PGF of GSTFCP can be written as
\begin{align}\mathscr{G}_{f_{2}}^{\,\alpha}(u,t)&=\sum_{m=0}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-t^{\alpha}\Lambda^{\beta})^{m}}{\Gamma(m\alpha+1)}\biggl(1-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}u^{j}\biggr)^{\beta m}\nonumber\\&=\sum_{m=0}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-t^{\alpha}\Lambda^{\beta})^{m}}{\Gamma(m\alpha+1)}\sum_{r=0}^{m}(\!-1)^{r}\binom{m}{r}\biggl(1-\Big(1-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}u^{j}\Big)^{\beta}\biggr)^{r}\nonumber\\&=\sum_{r=0}^{\infty}\biggl(1-\Big(1-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}u^{j}\Big)^{\beta}\biggr)^{r}\sum_{m=r}^{\infty}(\!-1)^{m-r}\binom{m}{r}\frac{(t^{\alpha}\Lambda^{\beta})^{m}}{\Gamma(m\alpha+1)}\nonumber\\&=\sum_{r=0}^{\infty}\biggl(\mathbb{P}\Big\{X_{r}^{1/\beta}\ge 1-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}u^{j}\Big\}\biggr)^{r}\mathbb{P}\{N_{\alpha}(t,\Lambda^{\beta})=r\}\nonumber\\&=\mathbb{P}\bigg\{\min_{0\le r\le N_{\alpha}(t,\Lambda^{\beta})} X_{r}^{1/\beta}\ge 1-\frac{1}{\Lambda}\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}u^{\,j}\bigg\}.\end{align}
The result in (82) is of particular interest as it connects the GSTFCP with the TFPP via uniform random variables. On using the generalized binomial theorem to expand the right-hand side of (81), we obtain the PMF of the GSTFCP in the following form:
\begin{equation}\mathbb{P}\{\mathscr{M}_{f_{2}}^{\,\alpha}(t)=n\}=\sum_{ \Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)\frac{(\!-1)^{z_{k}}}{\Lambda^{z_{k}}}\sum_{m=0}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-\Lambda^{\beta}t^{\alpha})^{m}}{\Gamma(\alpha m+1)}\frac{\Gamma(\beta m+1)}{\Gamma(\beta m+1-z_{k})},\quad n\ge0.\end{equation}
The steps involved to obtain (83) are similar to those in the proof of (51).
Next, we obtain an alternate form of the PMF of the GSTFCP. The PMF (7) of the GCP can be rewritten as
\begin{equation*}p(n,t)=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)(\!-\partial_{\Lambda})^{z_{k}}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda t}, \quad n\ge 0.\end{equation*}
Then, from (72), we have
\begin{align}\mathbb{P}\{\mathscr{M}_{f_{2}}^{\,\alpha}(t)=n\}&=\int_{0}^{\infty}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)(\!-\partial_{\Lambda})^{z_{k}}{\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda s}\mathbb{P}\{D_{\beta}(Y_{\alpha}(t))\in\mathrm{d}s\}\nonumber\\&=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)(\!-\partial_{\Lambda})^{z_{k}}\mathbb{E}\!\left({\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda D_{\beta}(Y_{\alpha}(t))}\right)\end{align}
\begin{align}=\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)(\!-\partial_{\Lambda})^{z_{k}}E_{\alpha,1}\!\left(-\Lambda^{\beta}t^{\alpha}\right),\end{align}
where in the last step we have used Lemma 3.1 of [Reference Beghin and D’Ovidio4]. Thus, the PGF of the GSTFCP can alternatively be obtained as follows:
\begin{align*}\mathscr{G}_{f_{2}}^{\,\alpha}(u,t)&=\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}u^{n}\sum_{\Omega(k,n)}\biggl(\prod_{j=1}^{k}\frac{\lambda_{j}^{x_{j}}}{x_{j}!}\biggr)(\!-\partial_{\Lambda})^{z_{k}}\mathbb{E}\left({\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda D_{\beta}(Y_{\alpha}(t))}\right)\quad (\text{using}\ ({84}))\\&=\sum_{r=0}^{\infty}\Big(\sum_{j=1}^{k}\lambda_{j}u^{j}\Big)^{r}\frac{(\!-\partial_{\Lambda})^{r}}{r!}\mathbb{E}\!\left({\mathrm{e}}^{-\Lambda D_{\beta}(Y_{\alpha}(t))}\right)\\&=\mathbb{E}\big({\mathrm{e}}^{-\sum_{j=1}^{k}(1-u^{j})\lambda_{j}D_{\beta}(Y_{\alpha}(t))}\big),\end{align*}
which reduces to (81) on using Lemma 3.1 of [Reference Beghin and D’Ovidio4].
Let
$\{N^{\alpha,\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
denote the STFPP with intensity
$\lambda$
. For notational convenience, let
$N^{\alpha,\beta}(t, \lambda)=N^{\alpha,\beta}(t)$
. On taking
$k=1$
and
$\Lambda=\lambda_{1}=\lambda$
(say) in (83), we get
which agrees with the PMF of the STFPP (see [Reference Orsingher and Polito28, Equation (2.29)]). Again taking
$k=1$
and
$\Lambda=\lambda$
in (85), we get an alternate version of the PMF of the STFPP (see [Reference Beghin and D’Ovidio4, Equation (3.19)]).
Theorem 7. Let
$X_{(k)}^{N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda)}$
be a kth order statistic from a sample of size
$N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda)$
, for
$k\in \{1,2,\ldots, N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda)\}$
, and let
$\{X_{i}\}_{i\ge1}$
be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables with distribution function F. Then
Proof. On using the law of conditional probability, we get
\begin{equation}\begin{split}&\mathbb{P}\big\{X_{(k)}^{N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda)}\lt z\,\big|\,N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda)\ge k\bigr\}\\&\quad=\frac{\sum_{n=k}^{\infty}\mathbb{P}\{X_{(k)}^{N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda)}\lt z\,|\,N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda)=n\}\,\mathbb{P}\{N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda)=n\}}{\mathbb{P}\{N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda)\ge k\}}.\end{split}\end{equation}
Using (70) and (86), the quantity in the numerator on the right-hand side of (87) can be evaluated as follows:
\begin{align*}\sum_{n=k}^{\infty}&\mathbb{P}\bigl\{X_{(k)}^{N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda)}\lt z\,\big|\,N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda)=n\bigr\}\,\mathbb{P}\{N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda)=n\}\\&=\sum_{n=k}^{\infty}\sum_{j=k}^{n}\binom{n}{j}F^{j}(z)\left(1-F(z)\right)^{n-j}\frac{(\!-1)^{n}}{n!}\sum_{m=0}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-\lambda^{\beta}t^{\alpha})^{m}\Gamma(\beta m+1)}{\Gamma(\beta m+1-n)\Gamma(\alpha m+1)}\\&=\sum_{j=k}^{\infty}\sum_{m=0}^{\infty}\sum_{n=j}^{\infty}\frac{F^{j}(z)}{(n-j)!j!}\left(1-F(z)\right)^{n-j}\frac{(\!-1)^{n}(\!-\lambda^{\beta}t^{\alpha})^{m}\Gamma(\beta m+1)}{\Gamma(\beta m+1-n)\Gamma(\alpha m+1)}\\&=\sum_{j=k}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-1)^{j}F^{j}(z)}{j!}\sum_{m=0}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-\lambda^{\beta}t^{\alpha})^{m}\Gamma(\beta m+1)}{\Gamma(\alpha m+1)}\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-1)^{n}\left(1-F(z)\right)^{n}}{n!\Gamma(\beta m+1-n-j)}\end{align*}
\begin{align*}&=\sum_{j=k}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-1)^{j}}{j!}\sum_{m=0}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-\lambda^{\beta}t^{\alpha})^{m}\Gamma(\beta m+1)}{\Gamma(\alpha m+1)}\frac{\left(F(z)\right)^{\beta m}}{\Gamma(\beta m+1-j)}\\&=\sum_{j=k}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-1)^{j}}{j!}\sum_{m=0}^{\infty}\frac{(\!-\lambda^{\beta}F^{\beta}(z)t^{\alpha})^{m}\Gamma(\beta m+1)}{\Gamma(\alpha m+1)\Gamma(\beta m+1-j)}\\&=\sum_{j=k}^{\infty}\mathbb{P}\{N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda F(z))=j\}=\mathbb{P}\{N^{\alpha,\beta}(t,\lambda F(z))\ge k\}.\end{align*}
The proof follows upon substituting the above expression into (87).
Remark 19. Polito and Scalas [Reference Polito and Scalas32] studied a time-changed Poisson process that generalizes the STFPP. Its state probabilities (see [Reference Polito and Scalas32, Equation (3.19)]) satisfy a system of differential equations that involves the Prabhakar derivative. It can be shown that this process also has the kth order statistic property, as discussed in Theorem 7.
Abbreviations
- GCP
-
generalized counting process
- GFCP
-
generalized fractional counting process
- GSMCP
-
generalized space-multifractional counting process
- GSFCP
-
generalized space-fractional counting process
- GSTFCP
-
generalized space–time-fractional counting process
- i.i.d.
-
independent and identically distributed
- LRD
-
long-range dependence
- NGCP
-
non-homogeneous generalized counting process
- NGFCP
-
non-homogeneous generalized fractional counting process
- PAP
-
Pólya–Aeppli process
- PAPoK
-
Pólya–Aeppli process of order k
- PGF
-
probability generating function
- PMF
-
probability mass function
- PPoK
-
Poisson process of order k
- SFPP
-
space-fractional Poisson process
- SMPP
-
space-multifractional Poisson process
- STFPP
-
space–time-fractional Poisson process
- TCGCP-I
-
time-changed generalized counting process-I
- TCGFCP-I
-
time-changed generalized fractional counting process-I
- TFPP
-
time-fractional Poisson process
7. Concluding remarks
In this paper, we have obtained an alternate form of the PMF of the GFCP
$\{M^{\beta}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
for
$0\lt\beta\lt1$
. We showed that the distribution of
$\max_{1\le j\le M^{\beta}(t) }X_{j}$
is a fractional generalization of the Gumbel distribution. This has potential applications in geophysics (see [Reference Scalas33]). We introduced and studied some distributional properties of the NGCP, the NGFCP, and a generalization of the NGFCP. The results obtained for these processes generalize and complement the results of [Reference Buchak and Sakhno9, Reference Kadankova, Leonenko and Scalas18, Reference Leonenko, Scalas and Trinh26]. As several time-changed variants of the NGCP, including the NGFCP, generalize the non-homogeneous TFPP, we expect these processes to have potential applications in modeling systems in which anomalous waiting times have non-stationary distributions (see [Reference Leonenko, Scalas and Trinh26]).
Several special cases of the GCP and its time-changed and non-homogeneous versions

We introduced the GSMCP, which is obtained by time-changing the GCP with an independent multistable subordinator. We obtained its Lévy measure, the Bernštein function, and the distribution of its first passage times. For a particular case of the GSMCP, namely the GSFCP, we obtained its one-dimensional distribution and PGF. Also, we expressed the PGF of the GSFCP in terms of the distribution of the minimum of i.i.d. uniform random variables. This result connects the GSFCP with the Poisson process via uniform random variables.
It is shown that the one-dimensional distribution of the TCGFCP-I
$\{M^{\beta}_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
is not infinitely divisible. If
$f_1$
is the Bernštein function associated with the gamma subordinator, then
$\{M^{\beta}_{f}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
reduces to a generalization of the time-fractional negative binomial process
$\{Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)\}_{t\ge0}$
. We obtained the conditional distribution of the kth order statistic from a sample of size
$Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)$
where
$k\in \{1,2,\ldots, Q^{\beta}(t,\lambda)\}$
. For
$\beta=1$
, the TCGFCP-I reduces to the TCGCP-I. For this process, we obtained the governing system of differential equations for its state probabilities and the distribution of its first passage times. A risk process is studied in which the number of claims received by an insurance company is modeled using the TCGCP-I. Some implicit expressions for the joint distribution of the time to ruin and the deficit at the time of ruin are obtained.
We then considered the fractional version of the TCGCP-I, that is,
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
. We obtained its PGF, mean, variance, and covariance, as well as the system of differential equations that governs its state probabilities. It is shown that the process
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
has the LRD and overdispersion properties. So this process has applications in several areas, such as internet data traffic modeling, finance, econometrics, and hydrology, and it is useful for modeling overdispersed data. Finally, we discussed two particular cases of
$\{\mathscr{M}_{f}^{\,\alpha}(t)\}_{t\ge0}$
, namely the GCP time-changed by a fractional gamma process and the GSTFCP.
Acknowledgements
The authors thank two anonymous reviewers for their insightful comments and suggestions, which have led to significant improvements of the paper.
Funding information
There are no funding bodies to thank relating to this creation of this article.
Competing interests
There were no competing interests to declare which arose during the preparation or publication process of this article.

