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Western jurisprudence and criminal justice systems as superstitious belief

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 July 2026

Raihan Alam
Affiliation:
University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA trai@ucsd.edu raihan.alam@rady.ucsd.edu
Tage Rai*
Affiliation:
University of California San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA trai@ucsd.edu raihan.alam@rady.ucsd.edu
*
*Corresponding author.

Abstract

Western punitive justice systems persist despite weak evidence that they reduce crime. We argue that they function as WEIRD cultural superstitions: punishment intuitively feels effective even when it fails. Drawing on Singh’s framework, historical evidence of punishment’s dominance origins, and our own experiments, we show how subjective selection sustains maladaptive punitive institutions – ultimately raising the question, intuitively effective to whom?

Information

Type
Open Peer Commentary
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2026. Published by Cambridge University Press
Figure 0

Figure 1. The left panel shows lay intuitions about incentives and punishment, while the right panel shows the proportion of participants who choose to play in different game conditions and the expected values of their choices. From Alam and Rai (2025).