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We show that a lower bound for the probability that a spatial general epidemic never becomes extinct is given by the percolation probability of an associated bond percolation process.
This note deals with extinction criteria for bisexual Galton–Watson processes with arbitrary mating functions in terms of the averaged reproduction mean per mating unit. It gives a satisfactory answer to a question put forward by Hull (1982).
Let Zn denote the number of cells at time n in a critical discrete-time Galton–Watson branching process with finite offspring variance. LetMartingale arguments are used to show that for some 0<a≦b<∞
Majorisation is used to compare continuous distributions in terms of randomness. General results on randomness in the continuous case are given and these are used to investigate the connection between randomness and parameter values in some well-known families of distributions including the normal and gamma.
Certain first-order autoregressive processes are shown not to be strong mixing. A direct proof is given. This proof gives considerably more insight into the nature of the result than do proofs by contradiction. The result and proof help to clarify the relation between the autoregressive and strong mixing conditions.