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Carolina geranium (Geranium carolinianum L.) infestation is a concern for Florida strawberry [Fragaria × ananassa (Weston) Duchesne ex Rozier (pro sp.) [chiloensis × virginiana]] producers. Current control measures rely on hand weeding or clopyralid applications when the weed is small. Unfortunately, early detection tends not to occur due to occlusion by the canopy. Coordinating postemergence control with emergence timing could improve control. Therefore, the objective of this study was to model the cumulative emergence of G. carolinianum in the row middles and transplant holes on the plastic-mulched beds of Florida strawberry fields using accumulated growing degree days (GDD) (thermal or hydrothermal time) as a predictive variable. A 7-yr study was conducted in two strawberry fields within Hillsborough County, FL, for row middles and a 2-yr study was conducted for bed tops. Emergence was modeled as a function of accumulated standard and restricted GDD. The model was calibrated using 5 randomly selected site-years of data and validated with 2 additional site-years for row middles, while only calibration was done for bed tops. Annual variation in emergence timing was driven by both temperature and moisture in the row middles, whereas emergence on the bed tops was influenced by temperature alone. Incorporating restrictions on GDD accumulation reduced overestimation of GDD and improved model prediction (standard GDD model with adjusted R2 = −0.10, RMSE = 37.31; restricted GDD model with adjusted R2 = 0.90, RMSE = 11.46) and enhanced the model’s applicability for row middles over space and time. In contrast, no improvement in model performance was observed for the bed tops. Emergence began simultaneously, but 50% and 90% cumulative emergence occurred at least a week later on bed tops compared with row middles. Overall, G. carolinianum primarily emerged from mid-October to mid-December, which allows implementation of control measures before harvest initiation.
The text, edited from an interview at the National Press Association in 1977, asserts Lebanon’s vital role as a model of coexistence in a world increasingly interconnected by globalization. Lebanon’s pluralistic society – rooted in Muslim–Christian dialogue and diversity – is seen as a civilizational necessity. If Lebanon’s model fails, it warns, the global hope for peaceful coexistence may collapse. Historically, Lebanon has been a battleground for foreign interests, especially during the civil war, where media played a divisive and weaponized role. The media must help heal divisions and rebuild national unity.
Lebanon’s success depends not on laws or military strength but on the will of its people and the influence of responsible media. The country’s religious diversity should be seen not as a liability but as a trust – a responsibility to humanity. Coexistence, freedom and justice are presented as foundational pillars for Lebanon’s recovery.
The text supports a unified educational curriculum and a single electoral district to promote national integration. It endorses a recent religious leaders’ summit and views the 1943 National Pact as historically contingent, but not essential to modern coexistence. Lebanon’s true identity, it argues, is older and deeper than any political agreement – rooted in lived communal harmony. Only through recommitment to coexistence can Lebanon fulfill its global civilizational role.
The 2025 report by the Association for Clinical Research Professionals summarizes the state of crisis for the global clinical research workforce and proposes key solutions. These include increased awareness of clinical research professions, access to jobs through expanded training and internships, and advancement opportunities for professional staff and site support. To increase access to these professions, multiple Academic Medical Centers (AMCs) expanded training programs and internships leveraging approaches described in this manuscript, and in some cases, established formal apprenticeships in their respective States. This manuscript summarizes direct experiences of nine Clinical and Translational Science Award Centers for decreasing the barriers to entry into the clinical research profession, specifically focusing on clinical research coordinator role. This special communication describes methods for increased awareness, establishing training/internship opportunities, while addressing internal and external collaborations, administrative barriers, and funding necessary to implement an innovative pathway program. The authors hope that this material will be valuable to other AMCs that wish to undertake development of similar programs.
West Nile virus (WNV) is a zoonotic mosquito-borne Flavivirus, with bird populations reservoirs. Although often asymptomatic, infection in humans can cause febrile symptoms and, more rarely, severe neurological symptoms. Previous studies assessed environmental drivers of WNV infections, but most overlooked areas with potential WNV circulation despite no reported human case, and mixed mechanisms affecting hosts vs. vectors. Our objective was to generate a WNV Bird Risk Index (BRI) mapping the potential of WNV circulation in bird communities across Europe. We first used a bird traits-based model to estimate WNV seroprevalence in European wild bird species and identify eco-ethological characteristics associated with it. This allowed us to build a map of the WNV BRI that showed a strong spatial heterogeneity across Europe. To validate this metric, using a Besag-York-Mollie 2 spatial model in a Bayesian framework, we showed a positive association between the BRI and the number of years with notified WNV human cases between 2016 and 2023, at the NUTS administrative region scale. To conclude, we provide a map quantifying the suitability for WNV to circulate in the bird reservoir. This allows to target surveillance efforts in areas at risk for WNV zoonotic infections in the future.
The paper introduces a deep‐learning model fine‐tuned for detecting authoritarian discourse in political speeches. Set up as a regression problem with weak supervision logic, the model is trained for the task of classification of segments of text for being/not being associated with authoritarian discourse. Rather than trying to define what an authoritarian discourse is, the model builds on the assumption that authoritarian leaders inherently define it. In other words, authoritarian leaders talk like authoritarians. When combined with the discourse defined by democratic leaders, the model learns the instances that are more often associated with authoritarians on the one hand and democrats on the other. The paper discusses several evaluation tests using the model and advocates for its usefulness in a broad range of research problems. It presents a new methodology for studying latent political concepts and positions as an alternative to more traditional research strategies.
This article examines the idea that the EU could export its promotion of the public sphere. The Commission perception of the public sphere is unclear and the EU is not exporting a public sphere paradigm in any comprehensive manner. The EU nevertheless continues to attempt to export its integration experience. The concept of a public sphere is particularly pertinent to certain advanced democratic societies. Its exportability and relevance for other parts of the world are limited.
In this chapter I explore theories, models, and methods. The narrative turn in the social sciences and in the analysis of world politics has been fostered by and drawn attention to McCloskey’s work and the importance of story-telling (section 1). Theories and models tell stories that are created by acts of individual imagination and that exist as collective imaginaries (section 2). Experiments and experimentation are different ways of testing and test-driving scientific theories and models in a world that is both risky and uncertain (section 3). And the simplicity or complexity of the stories told by theories and models always grapples with the risk-uncertainty conundrum (section 4).
Socio-environmental challenges such as climate change and biodiversity loss necessitate political action and transformative educational responses. Education for Environmental Citizenship (EEC) offers a promising framework for addressing these issues in school settings. However, there is a lack of reported structured teacher professional development (TPD) programmes that support EEC. This study presents a systematic literature review (SLR) of empirical studies and supranational frameworks, synthesising the results into a model for in-service TPD in EEC. The analysis identified core competencies such as critical thinking, systems thinking and global citizenship alongside with dimensions including socio-emotional and cultural-territorial competencies, which address context-specific educational needs. These are mapped to pedagogical strategies such as outdoor learning, reflective practice and community-based learning. The resulting model seeks to align global sustainability goals with local realities. This research lays the groundwork for fostering EEC by providing educators with the competencies and strategies essential to drive social and environmental change.
Coercive control (CC) represents a significant proportion of intimate partner violence (IPV) cases in the UK and globally. While theoretical models on CC exist, none so far includes a psychological perspective. As cognitive behavioural theory (CBT) has a robust evidence base as an IPV intervention for women survivors, it can also be used in the development of a psychological model for CC, from the perspective of survivors. Such a model may have utility as a psychotherapeutic formulation tool and providing training on psychological aspects and impact of CC to other professionals involved in survivors’ care.
Method:
Fourteen women with self-identified experience of CC were screened and interviewed. Constructivist grounded theory was used to analyse the interviews.
Results:
Six theoretical codes were developed: vulnerability factors (difficult childhood experiences, negative previous romantic relationships, and low self-esteem), cognitions (thoughts about worthlessness, isolation, being deserving of the abuse, confusion, hope, being treated unfairly, and suicidal ideation), affect (shame, fear, sadness, and anger), maintaining factors (perceived consequences of leaving, financial situation, low self-esteem, and social norms), behaviours (unhelpful coping strategies of dissociation, subjugation, avoidance, and substance misuse, and protective factors were spending time with loved ones, physical activity, and committing to career and interests), and impact (poor physical health, depression, anxiety, trauma, financial difficulties, and chronic mistrust).
Conclusions:
The results of this study constitute a preliminary CBT model of women survivors’ experiences of CC. Further research is required to test and further develop the model, especially the vulnerability factors and mental health implications of experiencing CC.
Key learning aims
(1) To provide information that supports the need for healthcare professionals to be aware of and receive training on coercive control.
(2) To provide insight into women survivors’ experiences of coercive control within heterosexual relationships.
(3) To provide guidance on how psychological professionals can work with women survivors of coercive control to formulate their experiences and plan interventions.
Over the last thirty years, affective neuroscience has become a royal road to our understanding of emotion and other affective phenomena, being both a core discipline of the affective sciences, and an engine for the rise of affectivism. After a brief discussion of the role of human affective neuroscience in affectivism, the chapter addresses some terminological and taxonomy-related issues before suggesting a consensual definition of emotion. Next, five major families of theories of emotions are presented in relation to five components of emotion. This review illustrates the fact that different families of theories typically focus on different components – even if each family also often considers some of the other components to a lesser extent. Whereas expression is central to basic emotion theory, action tendencies are central to motivational theories, autonomic reaction is central to bodily/interoceptive theories, feeling is central to constructionist theories, and the role of cognition in emotion-elicitation is central to appraisal theories.
This chapter provides an overview of different theoretical random variable models that can be used to model random phenomena encountered in applications. The chapter discusses the types of behavior that different models capture and provides some preliminary discussion on how to determine model parameters from data.
The chapter will help you to be able to explain the six key questions that are answered by a good formulation, consider the purpose of formulation in shaping assessments and intervention, and create effective and idiosyncratic formulations and treatment plans for your own patients
This study aims to develop a curve-fitting approach for long-term COVID-19 mortality projections and evaluate its effectiveness as a scalable, data-driven tool for pandemic forecasting.
Methods
The basic characteristics of a dynamic curve-fitting approach capable of generating long-term projections are described. To demonstrate its utility, the model was retrospectively applied using mortality data from the start of the pandemic, January to June 2020 (6-month data), to project into the period between June 2020 and April 2021 (11-month projections).
Results
For scenarios with the best fit, the difference between observed and projected total deaths varied in the projection period between 7.7% and 28.2%.
Discussion
When the COVID-19 pandemic started in early 2020, there was lack of understanding regarding its long-term impact. Available mathematical models were complex and typically provided short- and mid-term projections. The approach described generates long-term projections that are relatively easy to implement and can be enhanced to include other parameters such as vaccine impact or virus variants. The method could prove to be a valuable tool during a future pandemic.
Focuses on Ovid’s portrayal of the armillary sphere of Archimedes in book 6 of the Fasti. Ovid, taking a certain cue from Cicero, turns to the armillary sphere of Archimedes to develop an ekphrastic vision of the universe, which on initial glance appears to be divinely designed. The armillary sphere is envisaged as a miniature representation of the cosmos, with its creator operating as a foil for a creationist divinity, closely associated with the divine craftsman or demiurge from Plato’s Timaeus. The armillary sphere, however, also presents a series of challenges to both human and divine craftsmanship. It highlights the fallacy of human attempts to create working replicas of the complex movements of the heavenly bodies, while also indicating how the cosmos might be seen as dependent upon such models for its very generation. Despite being fundamentally flawed, models of the cosmos have the capacity to construct the realities they depict, while the multiplicity of such models (and the philosophical systems they are based upon) continues to disturb our sense of a fixed and stable reality.
The integration of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) into agriculture has emerged as a transformative approach to enhance resource efficiency and enable precision farming. UAVs are used for various agricultural tasks, including monitoring, mapping and spraying of pesticides, providing detailed data that support targeted and sustainable practices. However, effective deployment of UAVs in these applications faces complex control challenges. This paper presents a comprehensive review of UAVs in agricultural applications, highlighting the sophisticated control strategies required to address these challenges. Key obstacles, such as modelling inaccuracies, unstable centre of gravity (COG) due to shifting payloads, fluid sloshing within pesticide tanks and external disturbances like wind, are identified and analysed. The review delves into advanced control methodologies, with particular focus on adaptive algorithms, backstepping control and machine learning-enhanced systems, which collectively enhance UAV stability and responsiveness in dynamic agricultural environments. Through an in-depth examination of flight dynamics, stability control and payload adaptability, this paper highlights how UAVs can achieve precise and reliable operation despite environmental and operational complexities. The insights drawn from this review underscore the importance of integrating adaptive control frameworks and real-time sensor data processing, enabling UAVs to autonomously adjust to changing conditions and ensuring optimal performance in agriculture. Future research directions are proposed, advocating for the development of control systems that enhance UAV resilience, accuracy and sustainability. By addressing these control challenges, UAVs have the potential to significantly advance precision agriculture, offering practical and environmental benefits crucial to sustaining global food production demands.
In Chapter 9, I offer a discussion related to the main theoretical contributions of this study. I here elaborate on how these findings tie in with three concepts known to be well-supported functional principles at work in various languages. These are the principles of competition, iconicity and economy of expression. As for the principle of competition, I unfold a model of competition that can account a) for the specialization and non-specialization of the CPs, b) for an interaction between the token frequencies of the simple verb and the strength of semantic specialization in the CP and c) for why certain CPs do not fall under the scope of the hypothesis. I also briefly discuss how psycholinguistic experiments on the activation levels of competing constructions can extend our perspective beyond cases of semantic competition. The principle of iconicity, in turn,can account for why formal and semantic changes do not entirely drift apart. Finally, speakers’ preference for shorter rather than longer expression helps explain why the simple verbs are preferred over the CPs in those contexts where they are in semantic competition.
Suicidal and self-harming behaviours present a significant challenge for mental health services. Recent national guidelines advocate abandoning tools based on box-ticking and a move towards a personalised psychosocial assessment. This article examines evidence from theoretical and empirical research in this area and attempts to integrate it by introducing the source–problem–solution–motive (SPSM) model. The model, which builds on the contributions of other suicidologists, specially Jean Baechler, could be used as a framework for the assessment and management of these behaviours. The four stages of the model provide a comprehensive approach that enables an exploration of the internal logic of the behaviour. The model covers ‘because’ and ‘in-order-to’ motives. This allows a personalised approach, but also a structured one that can be taught and generalised.
The study of universal algebra, that is, the description of algebraic structures by means of symbolic expressions subject to equations, dates back to the end of the 19th century. It was motivated by the large number of fundamental mathematical structures fitting into this framework: groups, rings, lattices, and so on. From the 1970s on, the algorithmic aspect became prominent and led to the notion of term rewriting system. This chapter briefly revisits these ideas from a polygraphic viewpoint, introducing only what is strictly necessary for understanding. Term rewriting systems are introduced as presentations of Lawvere theories, which are particular cartesian categories. It is shown that a term rewriting system can also be described by a 3-polygraph in which variables are handled explicitly, i.e., by taking into account their duplication and erasure. Finally, a precise meaning is given to the statement that term rewriting systems are "cartesian polygraphs".
This chapter surveys some of the many types of models used in science, and some of the many ways scientists use models. Of particular interest for our purposes are the relationships between models and other aspects of scientific inquiry, such as data, experiments, and theories. Our discussion shows important ways in which modeling can be thought of as a distinct and autonomous scientific activity, but always models can be crucial for making use of data and theories and for performing experiments. The growing reliance on simulation models has raised new and important questions about the kind of knowledge gained by simulations and the relationship between simulation and experimentation. Is it important to distinguish between simulation and experimentation, and if so, why?