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In this article, we use a dynamic general equilibrium model to examine the effect of the move to net zero in the United Kingdom on productivity. One argument is that the transition is likely to be productivity-reducing, as it will involve a move from more- to less-efficient means of producing. Alternatively, it could be argued that the transition will be productivity-enhancing, as the capital investment required to bring about this move leads to a rise in productivity, both within the specific ‘greening’ industries and more generally via productivity spillovers to the rest of the economy. Our model enables us to examine how this potential trade-off varies depending on whether we look at the short, medium or long run. We find that the introduction of a carbon tax, applied to encourage the move towards net zero, reduced GDP and total hours worked, but, since total hours fell by more than GDP, increased productivity. As electricity becomes more substitutable for petrol and gas, the effect on productivity becomes more positive as GDP recovers while total hours remain permanently lower than initially. Finally, our results suggest that unless investment in green technology leads to significant technological gains elsewhere, it is unlikely that the move to net zero will have a large effect on productivity growth above and beyond the direct effect resulting from the capital deepening that will be associated with it.
This article examines whether the effectiveness of three justification framings for a road traffic emission trading system (ETS) in increasing public acceptance depends on political party preference and levels of political trust. The framings emphasized increased energy independence, economic resilience, and efficient climate mitigation. Data were collected via an online survey experiment in Finland, March 2024 (n = 1,485). Although the justification effects were generally limited, the energy independence framing increased policy acceptance among supporters of the populist radical right Finns Party. Moreover, justification effects were minimal among individuals with high political trust but tended to trigger backlash among those with low trust. Our findings contribute to the literature on climate policy communication by showing that framing effects on policy acceptance depend not only on political preferences but also on political trust.
John Broome and Duncan Foley argue that future generations should shoulder the full burden of climate mitigation. To achieve this, they propose that economists design a new institution they dub “the World Climate Bank.” Their argument appeals primarily to self-interest and to the idea of making a Pareto improvement that delivers “efficiency without sacrifice.” This article argues against their strategy on both ethical and pragmatic grounds. In general, “making the grandchildren pay” poses a serious threat to future generations and humanity’s progress. What is needed is a “Climate Justice World Bank” that respects principles of global and intergenerational ethics.
Climate impacts extend beyond physical destruction to include widespread financial distress. This article explores the role that debt relief policies – particularly personal insolvency or bankruptcy law – might play within a range of measures to raise the capacity of individuals to withstand climate-related shocks. Through the cancellation of unpayable debt, personal insolvency acts as a form of insurance against the unavoidable risks inherent in a volatile and unpredictable economy. Reviewing the links between climate impacts, debt and default, and the inevitable gaps in supports to victims of these impacts, the paper makes a case for personal insolvency as a rules-based system for stabilising chaotic financial distress associated with disasters and crises. As an extraordinary exception to the law’s usual orientation toward upholding past obligations and facilitating market allocations, bankruptcy might represent an internal means of accommodating the disruptions and contradictions with which climate change confronts the legal system.
We empirically examine the impact of international climate finance transfers on recipient countries’ carbon emissions. We analyse the effect of mitigation and adaptation finance using emission data of 164 non-OECD countries from 2000 to 2017. We use a distributed lag model in first differences, a panel method that allows us to abstract from possible feedback from current emissions to future transfers. We address potential reverse causality while accounting for dynamic effects. We control for other factors that could be correlated with both climate finance flows and emissions. Contrary to expectations, we find that public mitigation finance tends to increase emissions, potentially due to some misreporting of development aid as climate finance. Public adaptation finance appears to drive an even greater increase in emissions. We explain this by the energy-intensive nature of adaptation measures. Transfers under the Clean Development Mechanism reduce emissions modestly after five years.
How do global firms confront the defining challenge of our era? Drawing from international business, political economy, and environmental policy, Jonas Gamso offers an integrated framework for understanding how multinational corporations manage physical, transition, liability, and reputational climate risks through strategies of adaptation, avoidance, transfer, diversification, and acceptance. Blending rigorous empirical analysis with detailed case studies of Ørsted, ExxonMobil, and Saudi Aramco, among others, he reveals how companies make strategic decisions amid accelerating climate impacts and shifting policy landscapes, while also illuminating the effects of public policy and international relations. The book provides essential insights for scholars of international relations, business, and development, as well as for policymakers and practitioners seeking to align economic competitiveness with global sustainability.
In this last substantive chapter, we finally make our proposal for a comprehensive climate policy framework. We discuss why we need to rethink climate policy urgently. Then, we cover the various areas in which climate policy needs to be redesigned, that is, technology policy, informing the public, regulating, reforming financial sector rules and rethinking public finance. We discuss the role of carbon taxes, where it can actually be useful, and finally discuss policy mixes for the zero-carbon transition. Then, we turn to risk management and resilience creation, the critical contribution of this book. We cannot head into a rapid zero-carbon transition with zero resilience; it would not end well. We discuss how to actually get out of a brown economy without a crash. We discuss economic capacity constraints, how to spread risk between stakeholders and how to ensure financial supervision. We discuss how spreading wealth creation equitably is the key to a successful zero-carbon transition.
Policies designed to address climate change have been met with limited success. Multilateral treaties, agreements and frameworks linked to the UN and COP meetings have so far failed to limit the rise in average global temperature. Rethinking Climate Policy suggests that one of the most important reasons for this is that we are looking at the economics of climate change in the wrong way, arguing that we need to look at climate change as a problem of resource creation, not resource allocation. It identifies problems in current climate policymaking, breaking many taboos in standard economics, to offer a bold proposal for effective and achievable public policy to achieve a zero-carbon economy. Underpinned by both a sound economic and complex systems analysis, this book develops a groundbreaking metric of economic resilience to measure the capacity of economies to transform without breaking down and accordingly how to best design climate policies.
We surveyed economics and finance professionals on the transition to a low-carbon economy, assessing risks, opportunities and stakeholder responsibilities. Findings reveal that respondents view the transition as an opportunity for the financial sector, with a modest increase in banking risks. Most respondents agreed that governments hold the primary responsibility for climate mitigation policies, with carbon tax as the favoured solution. Additionally, respondents perceived the COVID-19 pandemic to have a neutral or positive impact on the transition, while the Ukraine war to have a strong negative impact. Notably, opinions differ based on environmental consciousness and professional roles, with environmentally conscious individuals expressing more optimism.
By exploring the dynamic relationships between politics, policymaking, and policy over time, this book aims to explain why climate change mitigation is so political, and why politics is also indispensable in enacting real change. It argues that politics is poorly understood and often sidelined in research and policy circles, which is an omission that must be rectified, because the policies that we rely on to drive down greenhouse gas emissions are deeply inter-connected with political and social contexts. Incorporating insights from political economy, socio-technical transitions, and public policy, this book provides a framework for understanding the role of specific ideas, interests, and institutions in shaping and driving sustainable change. The chapters present examples at global, national, and local scales, spanning from the 1990s to 2020s. This volume will prove valuable for graduate students, researchers, and policymakers interested in the politics and policy of climate change. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.
Stringent policies that significantly increase the cost of greenhouse gas emissions, such as CO$_2$, are increasingly necessary for mitigating climate change. Yet while richer individuals in society generate the most CO$_2$ emissions and thus will face the largest absolute cost burden, they also tend to be more supportive of stringent environmental policies. In this paper, we examine how information about the distribution of carbon emissions by income affects support for carbon taxation. While carbon taxation is widely advocated as the most efficient policy for mitigating climate change, it faces significant political hurdles due to its distributional costs. Using original survey data, with an embedded experiment, we find that providing information about the actual distribution of household CO$_2$ emissions by income significantly changes individuals' support for carbon taxation. These effects are particularly pronounced at the bottom of the household income distribution, leading to increased support for costly climate policies. However, individuals who believe that carbon taxes will reduce their income continue to hold their level of support for carbon taxation. Our findings have significant implications for understanding the public's response to the distributional consequences of the green transitions and ultimately their political feasibility.
Media reporting and academic research into young climate civil society organisations (CSOs) often focus on organisations using direct, confrontational and often controversial actions, but to what extent is this a true picture of young climate organisations? This paper examines the differences between young and old climate and environmental CSOs in the Netherlands. Drawing on niche theory, it uses set-theoretic typology building to examine the ways in which 39 young and old Dutch CSOs construct configurational organisational niches by narrowing down their membership and issue, using innovative strategies and developing stable financing sources. It finds that although there are significant differences between young and old CSOs in how they narrow down their membership and issues, their strategies are not significantly different: in other words, a focus on civil disobedience alone does not paint the whole picture of young climate groups.
The closing chapter of the book illustrates the practical implications of Kant’s political and legal philosophy for climate change. Texts like the Doctrine of Right and Toward Perpetual Peace are used to rethink the complex political and collective challenges of the climate crisis. These, once again, confound the individualist and nonconsequentialist standard reading of Kant. First, I argue that Kant’s state of nature theorizing leads to prescriptions that are compatible with and justify coercive domestic and international policy to address the crisis. Second, I zoom out to consider whether Kant’s political philosophy as a whole remains too conservative or outdated to provide guidance regarding deep climate adaptation, mitigation, and radical institutional reform, answering in the negative. I close by discussing political obligations owed to peoples, interpreted in the face of the Hobbesian call for a global climate leviathan.
Many of us have an Uncle Pete, for whom the climate change issue is not a science topic at all. It is just one more way for the authority of the state to control the lives of citizens. This view has nothing to do with science, and no argument based only on science can change it. For Uncle Pete, attacking climate science and scientists is simply a disguise for what really concerns him, a government that in Pete’s view seizes power, limits freedoms, increases taxes, regulates markets, and diminishes prosperity. As a climate scientist, I can say something with very high confidence about what will happen if we do nothing, which is Pete’s preferred policy. Vast numbers of people will become environmental refugees, and we will see the destabilization of governments, especially in failed and failing states. In wealthy and powerful countries, such as the United States, governments coping with severe climate change will surely have to act forcefully, including using emergency powers, as in wartime, to preserve order and to minimize chaos and damage. Doing nothing is likely to force governments to do exactly what Uncle Pete fears most: seize power and limit freedoms.
This paper investigates the conditions under which subnational concerns shape public assessments of international climate governance. In line with existing literature, we maintain that costly policy adjustments fuel negative views of international co-operation in policy-exposed regions. At the same time, we argue that the more resentful relations are with the national center of politics, the more sympathetic these regions are to international institutions and global governance. Based on geographically targeted survey data from the United Kingdom, we find that fossil fuel-intensive regions with strong, institutionalized regional politics have more positive assessments of international climate co-operation than structurally similar regions where regional political institutions are less pronounced. The findings show that regional politics characteristics are key for understanding climate policy beliefs among citizens that bear the brunt of adjustments to international climate agreements.
Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a global public health challenge that, like climate change, demands urgent, coordinated, multi-sectoral action. Yet, responses to AMR may be ill-suited to local contexts, overlook historical inequalities, or dismiss marginalised knowledge systems. Some of these concerns can be discussed using the concept of a just transition, which aims to ensure that “no one is left behind,” “all voices are heard,” and past injustices are addressed. However, framing justice in these terms is insufficient. We argue for a more multifaceted and broader-scoped understanding of what justice demands in a just transition for AMR. We examine existing justice frameworks in AMR literature and discuss two cases that motivate our call for including both more forms of justice in a multifaceted concept of a just transition and a broader scope of justice. The first case involves over-the-counter antibiotic access in the Kibera informal settlement near Nairobi, highlighting structural injustices resulting from colonial oppression and what an Ubuntu philosophy would show as injustice. The second case concerns veterinary prescription requirements for Maasai pastoralists’ livestock farming in southern Kenya and highlights epistemic and distributive injustices, as well as injustices that befall non-human animals. These examples reveal distinct injustices shaped by socio-cultural and ecological contexts.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has emerged as a key player in climate policy. The organization introduced its Climate Strategy in 2021 and established the Resilience and Sustainability Facility in 2022 to provide financial support to countries facing adaptation and mitigation challenges. The IMF's closer engagement with the economic dimensions of climate change holds the promise of helping countries pre-empt large-scale economic dislocations from climate risks. But how much progress has the IMF made in supporting the green transition? What is the policy track record of the IMF's climate loans? How do regular IMF loans and mandated reforms encompass climate considerations? How have the IMF's economic surveillance activities considered climate risks? Based on new evidence, the findings in this Element point to the multifaceted, and at times contradictory, ways green transition objectives have become embedded within IMF activities. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.
The Introduction sets out the research question of the book viz: the question of whether future generations ought to be represented in the global legal order and institutions to address the climate change challenge and, assuming a positive answer to this, how best such representation should occur. The massive bias against the interests of future generations in current climate law and policy-making is demonstrated. This provides a powerful rationale as to why there is an urgent need to explore proxy-style mechanisms to represent future generations. The pragmatist methodology (in the tradition of John Dewey) of the book is explained. This involves analysing existing practices, and values which are incorporated into these values, and extending them to deal with new problems. The legal realism methodology of the book is also explained, including its application to the sources of international law. The strong links between the book and Earth System Governance scholarship are set out; finally, the structure of the book is explained.
This paper reviews the evolution of the Australian fashion and textile industry over the last 50 years as it confronts the challenges of climate change. Given Australia’s susceptibility to trade policies and shifting regulations, the industry needs to adapt to climate pressures, given its significant resource consumption and waste production. This analysis highlights key events that shaped the trading landscape, regulatory changes, and the need for stronger climate policies that bridge environmental responsibility between local and global actors, aiming to reduce the industry’s impact on climate change.
Technical Summary
This review examines the Australian fashion and textile industry’s response to climate change from the 1970s to the 2020s, using a methodology adapted from Harvard University comparative review guidelines and incorporating PRISMA . With evolving trade policies and regulatory shifts, this paper highlights the industry’s environmental challenges. This analysis examines the influence of local and international trade regulations and the effectiveness of climate policies in fostering sustainability. Key policy insights include the integration of climate considerations into trade policies to address the environmental impacts of international transactions, aligning trade with global climate goals. Additionally, it advocates for mandatory climate disclosures encompassing onshore and offshore emissions to enhance transparency across the supply chain. This paper calls for stronger alignment between climate and trade policies and expanded producer responsibility, holding both domestic and international actors accountable for environmental impacts.
Social Media Summary
Reviewing 50 years of Australia’s fashion and textile industry as it adapts to climate pressures & policy shifts.
Most people are concerned about climate change and want policymakers to address it. But how? To investigate which policy options are more versus less popular, with whom, and why, we collected data in four European countries on attitudes toward 16 policies: taxes, bans, regulations, and subsidies/spending. We argue that support for different policies should reflect perceptions of policies’ net costs, and that such perceptions are likely influenced by people’s political trust. We tested this expectation by randomly assigning survey respondents to read different versions of given policies and confirmed that individuals with low political trust, who are less supportive overall of most policies, are most sensitive to variation in implied costs. We argue this interaction effect is a previously untested implication of the influential theory that political trust operates as a heuristic, and it helps explain policies’ varying popularity, including the puzzle of why carbon taxes are highly unpopular.