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Climate change alters species distributions, and range-restricted species are particularly vulnerable. Our study used species distribution modelling under climate change for two montane bird species categorised as Near Threatened by the IUCN. The Drakensberg Rockjumper Chaetops aurantius and Mountain Pipit Anthus hoeschi are confined to the high-elevation mountains of South Africa and Lesotho. Understanding how their life histories mediate climate vulnerability is essential for conservation prioritisation. We used ensemble species distribution models within the BIOMOD 2 framework to predict changes in habitat suitability for both species under the high-emission SSP5-8.5 scenario for the years 2050–2080, relative to the current climate (1970–2000). The models predicted that both species are likely to experience contractions in their distribution ranges by the 2080s, with suitable climatic space persisting primarily in high-altitude areas of Lesotho and lower Drakensberg slopes. The Drakensberg Rockjumper exhibited severe declines, with mean suitability decreasing by 36.4% by 2050 and 63.5% by 2080, while the Mountain Pipit showed moderate declines of 4.4% and 18.9%, respectively. In terms of variable importance, the Drakensberg Rockjumper distribution is limited by temperature (22.4% importance), whereas the Mountain Pipit is limited by elevation (32.7%). Elevation-dependent patterns showed greater losses at lower elevations (1,500–2,000 m) for both species, with the Lesotho Highlands (>2,500) serving as climate refugia. Even within optimal high-elevation habitats, the Drakensberg Rockjumper’s distribution is projected to contract further. Its greater vulnerability to range loss than the Mountain Pipit is directly attributable to its sedentary life history and narrow habitat specificity, which limit its capacity to track shifting climatic conditions. We recommend reassessing the Drakensberg Rockjumper’s IUCN status, prioritising protection of high-elevation refugia, and considering assisted colonisation as a last-resort conservation measure. Future studies on physiological and ecological constraints will enhance understanding of their capacity to cope with climate change.
This article examines the Companhia de Celulose do Ultramar Português (CCUP), founded in Angola in 1955, as a case study of late Portuguese colonial developmentalism. It argues that the company is best understood within the wider infrastructural formation that sustained it, linking eucalyptus plantations, railway transport, hydroelectric power, concessional land policy, and state-backed finance on Angola’s Central Plateau. Drawing on archival documentation and official company and banking reports, the article reconstructs the material, political, and institutional conditions that shaped the project between the mid-1950s and 1974. It shows that the CCUP’s projected competitiveness rested less on natural abundance than on a form of institutional fertility produced through inherited infrastructure, selective credit, politically structured energy prices, and the structural devaluation of African labour. Its history reveals how the very conditions that made late-colonial industry viable also imposed its structural limits.
Who your friends are shapes who your enemies are and vice versa. Starting with this premise, Mixed Blessings takes up two related research questions: how does a state's relational web of security assistance (amity) influence its relationships of threat (enmity), and how does a state's relational web of enmity influence its relationships of amity? Drawing on theories of alliance politics and deterrence theory, Kyle Beardsley uncovers the causes and consequences of security assistance through quantitative examination of the networked and relational nature of international politics. Qualitative assessments of the end of the Cold War-with particular attention to the proxy wars in Central America and Southern Africa-and recent developments in the Indo-Pacific further illustrate the mechanisms in play while also seeding the ground for ongoing inquiry. The lessons learned from the analyses directly bear on questions of American statecraft and the collapsing liberal international order.
Through quantitative analysis of global data from 1980 to 2010 and brief consideration of the running case studies of late–Cold War Central America and Southern Africa, this chapter considers when states are likely to form relationships of security assistance (support ties). Although support ties carry costs, especially in the shadow of the potential interplay between the intergroup and intragroup security dilemmas, states still have incentives to offer and receive security assistance. Specifically, we observe that a support tie is more likely to form when the support recipient has stark security needs and is likely to be dependent on the supporter; when the supporter has high military capacity, has few existing outward support ties, and is a democracy; and when the recipient and supporter have congruent interests, are contiguous, are in a security assistance relationship with a common state, and have the same regime type.
This chapter explores further the mixed blessings of security assistance from the standpoint of conflict management in civil wars. In some cases, the constellation of pressures from external supporters nudges states toward negotiation, especially mediation; in other cases, the external pressure nudges states away from negotiation. The results reveal an inverted U-shaped relationship between the congruence within a state's support group and the propensity for mediation. Moreover, strong states appear less responsive to the characteristics of their support groups and also generally less interested in mediation. States facing more security threats also appear less responsive but also more interested in negotiation across the board. The key cases at the end of the Cold War, especially the Southern Africa case, further reveal the importance for peacemakers to account for the embedded nature of a given conflict in wider webs of enmity and amity.
This chapter examines the arguments regarding variation in the outcomes pertaining to interstate threat and intrastate conflict. The results show that states with strong but incongruent support groups are more prone to experience interstate threat and the escalation of civil war, as rivals attempt wedge strategies and supporters attempt control strategies. Additional analyses find that states which are caught in the midst of stark intergroup rivalries are more likely to experience aggressive wedge strategies before they further tighten their support relationships. The twilight of the Cold War, and especially the evolution of the Central American case, further demonstrates the roles that security assistance can play in igniting and sustaining proxy wars.
The field of anthropology provides an approach that focuses on interaction (the anthropology of interaction) by incorporating communication studies and conversational analysis commonly used in linguistic anthropology. However, because previous studies have focused mainly on how conversations are temporally organised, there is still insufficient research on how broader forms of interaction, including gestures, are organised to use resources distributed in the environment. The chapter presents an interactional analysis of how deictic gestures and demonstratives manage the attention of interactional participants during the wayfinding practices in the bush among the G|ui/Gǁana, a hunter-gatherer and Indigenous people of the Kalahari Desert. Furthermore, through such attention management, the chapter discusses the process by which the G|ui/Gǁana engage with their environment by involving people from different socio-cultural backgrounds into their culturally distinctive social situations.
Rates of judicial dissent vary dramatically between Southern Africa’s appeal courts, even though judges frequently circulate between their benches. This variation cannot be explained by the ideological distance between judges or by their judicial philosophies. Differing institutional arrangements provide better but still incomplete explanations. These arrangements reflect dramatic transformations in the region’s judicial cultures. Analysing these diverging cultures illuminates why some forms of dissent have proved particularly contentious, and why styles of adjudication favouring dissent in some areas of the law have aroused particular hostility. There is thus no straightforward ‘norm’ that promotes or undermines judicial consensus in the region.
The British invasion of the Zulu kingdom in January 1879, the imposition of British colonial rule from 1880 onwards, and the subsequent undermining of the Zulu royal family and the destruction of the kingdom from the 1880s to the early twentieth century have received attention in numerous historical publications and dissertations. While the primary focus of these studies is on how the British colonists placed the primary members of the Zulu royal family such as King Cetshwayo kaMpande and King Dinuzulu kaCetshwayo under siege, none has explored the impact of the British hostility toward other senior members of the Zulu royal family, such as Prince Ndabuko kaMpande and Prince Shingana kaMpande. Only Robert R. R. Dlomo and Jeff Guy have made brief references to these issues in their biographies of Kings Cetshwayo and Dinuzulu and Harriette Colenso. It will be shown below that the incarceration of Shingana and Ndabuko alongside their nephew, Dinuzulu, from 1889 to 1898, and the re-arrest, trial, and banishment of Shingana to kwaThoyana near Amanzimtoti from 1910 to 1911, and the re-arrest, retrial, conviction, and banishment of Dinuzulu to Middelburg from 1911 to 1913 were part of the British efforts to completely destroy the senior section of the Zulu royal family popularly known as the Usuthu.
At the turn of the twentieth century, Portugal launched armed campaigns to subdue its African colonies, following the example of neighbouring powers. The Ovambo peoples of southern Angola mounted strong resistance to Portuguese encroachment. Lisbon’s anxieties were compounded by the German presence in South West Africa. In late 1914, the Ovambo seized upon the Portuguese military defeat by German forces to lead an unprecedented uprising. Portugal retaliated in mid-1915 with a large-scale campaign that employed systematic terror. These tactics caused a famine that killed tens of thousands and arguably constituted genocide. This article examines the 1915 campaign in southern Angola, focusing on the devastating impact of Portuguese repression. It reflects on the links between colonialism, violence, and genocide, and considers the political reverberations of this violence in metropolitan Portugal.
This section draws on previous chapters to compare Zimbabwe to other resource-wealthy states in Southern Africa, particularly Botswana, Namibia, South Africa, and Zambia. In all these states, resource sector policy has been essential to these states’ historical and institutional development. However, this chapter looks at how, even given many advantages and a level of development that was once ahead of these states regarding state capacity and democratization, Zimbabwe has fallen distinctly behind these other states. An overview of the resource sector shows that timing matters as other resource sectors are far more institutionalized than Zimbabwe and, while often leaving much to be desired, have not led to the same level of institutional and political decline. While these other states have had many of the same challenges and have had extreme difficulties, Zimbabwe has nonetheless been at the far end of the bell curve when it comes to resource curse dynamics.
This chapter introduces the central puzzle of this study: why, in contrast to other states in Southern Africa, have Zimbabwean democratic institutions stagnated or even declined since independence in 1980? To begin to answer this question, an overview of the resource sector in Zimbabwe, particularly the large diamond found in 2006, and the development of institutions since Zimbabwe became independent in 1980, is given. Furthermore, an institutional analysis, a brief overview of past studies, and a research design are outlined. In terms of case selection, Zimbabwe is placed in the overall population of cases when it comes to resource curse dynamics, and the concept of the “opaque” state is defined. Furthermore, Zimbabwe is defined in terms of democratization and state capacity, concepts that will be used throughout the study.
This Element introduces the study of forensic linguistics, particularly in southern Africa, but also in Africa more generally. In the past six decades, there has been clear evidence that the discipline of forensic linguistics is, or was, unknown to general linguists, legal linguists, and applied linguists on the African continent. Now, however, the situation is rapidly changing, with forensic linguistics studies gaining momentum in various parts of Africa. In this Element the authors introduce the topic, define the discipline, address the language of record issue in southern Africa, as well as critically debate the state of court interpreting and translation of documentation into African languages, address police interviewing techniques, while also looking at possible future developments in the discipline of forensic linguistics. This title is also available as Open Access on Cambridge Core.
What happens when states experience a rapid increase in resource wealth? This book examines the significant diamond find in eastern Zimbabwe in 2006, possibly the largest in over 100 years, and its influence on the institutional trajectory of the country. Nathan Munier examines how this rapid increase in resource production shaped the policies available to political actors, providing a fresh understanding of the perpetuation of ZANU-PF rule and the variation in the trajectory of institutions in Zimbabwe compared to other Southern African states. This study places Zimbabwe amongst the overall population of resource-wealthy countries such as such as Angola, Botswana, Namibia and South Africa, especially those that experience a significant increase in production. In doing so, Munier contributes to the understanding of resource politics, political economy, and comparative African politics.
Resilient Zulu moral economy compelled Natal’s sugar planters and white settler state to introduce Indian indentured workers since 1860. As concerns over productivity in a weak colonial economy informed this decision, meticulous management of labor time crucially shaped the treatment of migrant Indian indentees. Moreover, systemic violence in capital’s life processes formed the culture of work-discipline in the plantations and in other industrial sectors. Subsequently, as contract expired Indian indentees acquired relative economic mobility compared to Africans, they appeared in Zulu critiques of Natal’s settler colonial order. Ironically, dispossessed Zulus reproduced colonial logic of time management while discussing the comparative economic success of Indian “newcomers.” Zulu critiques of colonial labor management also complemented the racial exclusivity of migrant Indians. Analyzing the complex workings of capital, labor, and race in nineteenth-century Natal, this article explains how capital’s life processes shaped violent conflicts in the intimate domestic space of working-class lifeworld.
This article explores the systems of policing that emerged in the early Cape Colony (1652–1830). Contrary to previous historical scholarship that understood the institution to be largely nonexistent or of marginal importance to the colony’s political economic development, this article argues that the Cape colony’s systems of policing, which doubled as ad hoc military organizations, were not so much weak as privatized. It shows how this persistent tendency was motivated by the Dutch East India Company’s desire to maximize profits—though it manifested differently in different parts of the colony. Moreover, this article demonstrates that the mercantile economy that the company installed at the Cape ensured that private policing would become a vehicle of indigenous dispossession. In doing so, it seeks to contribute to the field of African carceral studies and understandings of processes of racialization in the early Cape.
This article offers the first gendered history of African radio audiences. It uses a comparative approach to demonstrate that colonial development projects in Ghana and Zambia successfully created mass African audiences for radio between the 1930s and 1950s, at a time when most radio sets on the continent were owned by white settlers. However the gendered impact of the projects was uneven. In Zambia the promotion of battery-operated wirelesses inadvertently created a male-dominated audience, while the construction of a wired rediffusion system in Ghana attracted equal numbers of male and female listeners. Ghana’s radio project offers new perspectives on the history of colonial development as a very rare example of a scheme that benefitted women as much as men. Differences in the voice of Ghanaian and Zambian radio also reveal that these early radio schemes had a lasting influence on broadcast content and listening culture in both countries beyond the 1950s.
This piece explores the parallel development of two fisheries management regimes in mid-twentieth-century Lake Malawi: one imposed by the British colonial government over the lake and the other by Senior Chief Makanjira focused on Mbenji Island. The parallel development of these regimes provides opportunity for close analysis of how fisheries management centred on different knowledge and practices led to distinctive legacies of governance legitimacy and efficacy. Given the increasing recognition that Indigenous knowledge is crucial to the future sustainability of fisheries globally, we contend that it is imperative to recognise the ways in which colonial pasts have embedded knowledge hierarchies and exclusionary decision-making processes within national fisheries governance regimes that continue to obstruct capacities to bring different knowledges, practices, and management approaches together effectively and appropriately.
This chapter focusses on ubiquitous plant presences in some of the literatures of southern Africa, essentially of South Africa and Zimbabwe. Both Indigenous societies and incursive colonial regimes depended fundamentally on plant life for shelter, food, materials, and aesthetics of belonging. Colonials imported numerous alien species, both deliberately cultivated and inadvertently ‘released’, with incalculable impacts on the subcontinent’s variegated local environments. The governing divide between ‘indigenous’ and ‘alien’, however, is complicated by sundry blurrings and ironic cross-overs. These dynamics, affecting commercial, societal, and emotional dimensions alike, are explored through some selected nodes, particularly the iconography of Eden or Arcadia; the complex aesthetic ecology of the suburban garden; and the treatment of trees, especially the native yellowwood and the alien jacaranda.