To save content items to your account,
please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies.
If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account.
Find out more about saving content to .
To save content items to your Kindle, first ensure no-reply@cambridge.org
is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings
on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part
of your Kindle email address below.
Find out more about saving to your Kindle.
Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations.
‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi.
‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.
This chapter discusses the implications of this research for our view of British economic policy in particular and the political economy and historical sociology of economic policymaking in general. A multidimensional approach to economic policymaking reveals heterogeneity and discontinuity in postwar economic policymaking that conventional paradigmatic explanations and epochalist categories overlook.
Winning an occupation is difficult, particularly when victory requires regime change in the conquered nation. The US post-World War II occupation of Germany offers a rare success in this regard. Although it does not provide an easily transportable model for other occupations, it offers several important lessons. The occupation succeeded in Germany (1) in spite of (not because of) planning done prior to the occupation and in spite of (not because of) US foreign policy just after the war; (2) because it functioned as a quasi-independent maker of American foreign policy when it came to occupation policy; (3) because it willingly utilized the expertise of the people it supervised; (4) because it acted unilaterally and opportunistically when necessary; (5) because it got lucky at a critical juncture; and (6) because the occupied Germans themselves ultimately embraced reforms once it became clear these reforms worked as hoped.
This book challenges the conventional narrative that the 1970s were a fundamental watershed between two seamless economic policy paradigms in postwar United Kingdom, Keynesianism and neoliberalism. Drawing on extensive archival research, José Tomás Labarca highlights heterogeneity and discontinuity in postwar economic policymaking rather than consensus. The book argues that there was no seamless Keynesian economic policy epoch, challenging widespread misconceptions about excessive government spending in the 1960s and 1970s to offer a novel interpretation of shrinking policy space in the 1970s. Centering the multidimensional politics of official knowledge, Labarca provides an original analysis of how conflicts between competing government elite coalitions drove fragmented policy change before and after the 1970s. While most research focuses exclusively on the politics of economic ideas, Fragmented Policy Change proves that not only economic but also organizational and bureaucratic ideas, processes, and interests influence the evolution of relatively (in)coherent policy regimes.
With public debt outcomes still on a wrong trajectory, the case is made that the importance of demand is underestimated in the United Kingdom and OECD countries. Poor productivity outcomes are explained on a demand view, and the OBR writing off outcomes on the supply side is shown as contentious. Likely needed expenditure (including current) is wrongly ruled out. Change should strengthen rather than undermine the public finances. The sum of the parts is an appeal for an independent review of modelling processes, with the 1929–1931 Macmillan Inquiry a useful precedent.
Cette note de recherche examine la convergence des politiques économiques du Canada et du Québec avec le cadre discursif élaboré par l’administration Biden autour des chaînes d’approvisionnement en minéraux critiques. Elle montre comment les États-Unis érigent les chaînes d’approvisionnement en enjeu de sécurité nationale, impliquant leurs principaux partenaires économiques dans une stratégie de friendshoring. L’étude met en évidence une logique duale de coopération et de compétition entre le Canada et les États-Unis, révélant une adhésion partielle du Canada au projet sécuritaire américain. Le nœud du problème tient au fait que le Canada aspire à créer des chaînes de valeur sur son territoire afin de transformer ses ressources naturelles avant leur exportation. Dans le contexte nord-américain, ce projet est en compétition avec les États-Unis sur les segments clés de la chaîne de valeur, situés en aval de l’exploitation minière.
In this last substantive chapter, we finally make our proposal for a comprehensive climate policy framework. We discuss why we need to rethink climate policy urgently. Then, we cover the various areas in which climate policy needs to be redesigned, that is, technology policy, informing the public, regulating, reforming financial sector rules and rethinking public finance. We discuss the role of carbon taxes, where it can actually be useful, and finally discuss policy mixes for the zero-carbon transition. Then, we turn to risk management and resilience creation, the critical contribution of this book. We cannot head into a rapid zero-carbon transition with zero resilience; it would not end well. We discuss how to actually get out of a brown economy without a crash. We discuss economic capacity constraints, how to spread risk between stakeholders and how to ensure financial supervision. We discuss how spreading wealth creation equitably is the key to a successful zero-carbon transition.
This study jointly considers two opportunistic behaviors among political incumbents that may be triggered by electoral uncertainty—policy myopia and policy moderation—which hitherto have been the focus of separate research traditions. We evaluate their prevalence in economic policy-making among Swedish local governments, using a new measure of electoral competitiveness, capturing the incumbent government’s re-election probability, for which plausibly exogenous variation is generated by exploiting national-level polls. We find a substantial moderating effect of competitiveness on incumbents’ tax rate decisions—shifting policy towards the political center—but little evidence of policy myopia, whether in taxation, budget balance, or public investment. Corroborated by evidence from a politician survey, these findings caution against the popular understanding of democratic policy-making as inherently short-sighted.
This chapter examines how the Finnish Social Democratic Party (SDP) came to support the process of financial liberalization, while serving in a coalition government between 1987 and 1991. Financial liberalization is widely perceived as emblematic of a neoliberal turn in reformist politics. The chapter examines how a practical social democracy approach can shed light on the interaction between ideology, practical challenges, and coalitional imperatives that shaped policy-making and led to the SDP’s endorsement of financial liberalisation in Finland. It analyses these reforms in the context of the Finnish political economy and the development of social democratic economic policy. The chapter shows that financial liberalisation was debated extensively within the party and the government. The policy reforms were justified as a solution to key practical challenges, but also as a way for the SDP to promote traditional social democratic objectives. The chapter considers the implications of this case for understanding the embrace of markets by social democratic parties.
The evolution of economic policy in Western countries in the post‐1980 era is subject to extensive academic debate, but statistical modelling of its many qualitative aspects can be challenging. I use two sources of textual data from the United Kingdom – policy documents written by executive departments, as well as recently declassified cabinet minutes – together with unsupervised text‐as‐data methods to examine the evolution of economic policy discourse between 1983 and 2021. The findings challenge the hypothesis of an undifferentiated post‐1980 liberal era. Instead, several shifts away from the liberalizing priorities of the 1980s are identified. The first is an increased attention to the public services in the 1990s. The second is a rise of activist approaches focused on state‐supported innovation in the 2010s – a claim which has been widely articulated but has not been rigorously tested so far. These discourse‐based conclusions are validated through an econometric analysis of detailed spending data.
Chapter 2 discusses how India’s rulers have used state power to promote economic development, both growth and its distribution. While India’s growth record is relatively impressive, it is also the case that this growth has not been accompanied by the creation of well-paying jobs, and economic inequality in India has increased sharply.
During and after the Second World War, the influence of the Bank of England in shaping economic governance remained ambiguous. It did not play a significant role in the formative negotiations at the 1944 Bretton Woods Conference, nor was sterling viewed as the definitive international reserve currency in the decades thereafter. Yet with the repeated threats to the British economy, from two devaluations to the devastating IMF loan, the central bank again turned to experts who could offer new perspectives on monetary policy. Over the course of the twentieth century, the Bank began to employ economists who brought novel macroeconomic models into policy discussions. Although the initial postwar years saw its power remain in a state of uncertainty, the Bank was able to reestablish its reputation as a leading monetary authority from the 1980s onward.
This paper examines trends in wage, income, and consumption inequality in Turkey from 2002 to 2023, a period marked by unorthodox economic policymaking before and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Using microdata from the Turkish Statistical Institute’s Household Budget Survey and the Survey of Income and Living Conditions, we document several salient distributional patterns. Wage inequality declined steadily over two decades, including during the recent episode of policy experimentation – coinciding with sustained minimum wage hikes and a rising share of university-educated workers. Income inequality also fell, though less markedly, before reversing in recent years due to widening disparities in capital and entrepreneurial income. In addition, consumption inequality rose dramatically during the unorthodox policy period, exceeding income inequality growth and driven primarily by a surge in durable goods consumption among top-decile households. These findings reveal the complex and multi-dimensional distributional consequences of unconventional economic policy in emerging markets and highlight the importance of examining inequality across multiple dimensions when evaluating policy effectiveness.
The Third Reich established a new financial order in Central Europe. This article examines one aspect of these changes, namely the evolution of banking law. After the seizure of power in 1933, Nazi officials weaponized financial and legal institutions to support the rearmament campaign. They initially worked through the Credit Supervisory Office, a regulatory agency created in 1934, to enforce a standardized model of regulation. Driven by more than a desire for self-sufficiency (autarky) and expropriative control, the authorities devised a system of economic governance that perpetuated the conflict and continually supported German financial interests. The politicization and dismantling of the regulatory office, officially dissolved in 1944, reflected the evolving priorities of the Nazi regime. By reinterpreting existing laws and working with a willing state bureaucracy, officials were able to use regulation as a tool for redesigning the banking systems of Germany and the annexed territories.
Exploring the economic ramifications of climate change, this chapter features insights from financial experts such as Sara Jane Ahmed, Managing Director and V20 Finance Advisor of the CVF-V20 Secretariat. It discusses the adverse effects on GDP growth, inflation, debt, and credit ratings, particularly in vulnerable economies. The chapter highlights the crucial role of financial markets, insurance, and climate finance in addressing these challenges. Innovative financing solutions such as Green Bonds and pre-arranged and trigger-based financing, including loss and damage finance, are explored as means to build economic resilience. The importance of sustainable economic policies and international cooperation is emphasised, with case studies from countries successfully integrating climate resilience into their economic planning. The chapter calls for increased investment in climate adaptation and mitigation to safeguard economic stability and promote sustainable development.
This paper commemorates the 50th anniversary of the 1973 recession during Salvador Allende’s government by offering a comprehensive analysis of macroeconomic populism. Focusing on the lessons from this historical episode, it is argued that the lax economic policies in 1970 and 1971 triggered the boom of 1971, culminating in a financial crisis in 1972 and an economic recession in 1973. The examination encompasses an evaluation of Chilean macroeconomic populism, delving into the impact of these lax policies on the business cycle. Furthermore, it addresses prevalent misinterpretations of the 1973 recession in the context of recent Latin American events. The paper concludes by extrapolating broader insights from the Chilean experience, offering valuable lessons for shaping effective economic policies in Latin America.
This chapter highlights how low-level tussles for food replaced large-scale engagements as the main mode of conflict among the Nationalists, CCP, and Japanese. In regions of military contestation, namely guerrilla war zones, civilians participated extensively in two endeavors common to all sides: procurement (acquiring grain) and protection (ensuring that grain did not fall into enemy hands). All three main belligerents attempted to control the flow of grain across ambiguous boundaries through blockades and the rush-transportation and rush-purchase of food. These practices dominated everyday civilian life and were invariably laced with violence. The daily threat of food-related bloodshed forced most ordinary Chinese to go to drastic lengths to survive the protracted three-way struggle. Such grim prospects reveal the limitations of nationalism and collaborationism as explanations for wartime behavior, even though Nationalist and CCP propaganda weaponized the “hanjian” label against each other. The moralization of collaboration and resistance in both scholarly work and popular memory has overshadowed the mundaneness of survival.
With the rise of strategic rivalry and geopolitical competition, governments turned to economic policy to gain influence, power, and resources. The defining feature became the pursuit of national interest, which was invoked to introduce investment screening policies, increase tariffs, prevent cross-border M&A deals, expropriate assets, restrict technology transfer, provide preferential subsidies, and create national champions. To respond effectively, global companies must recognize the systemic changes underway and develop capabilities to address them. Companies need to acknowledge that they will come to be defined by their nationality and innovation is an important battlefield. Government policies to contain the influence of foreign firms from adversarial countries cluster around four levers: market access, level playing field, investment security, and institutional alignment. To actively manage geopolitical tensions, companies need to assess how geopolitics will share their resources, competitive advantage, and firm organization. They need to develop skills to scan the global landscape, personalize the information, plan the response, and pivot if there are headwinds. Impact on employees, who works, how work is performed, and where it takes place need to be evaluated. Managing policymakers becomes a crucial part of managing a global business.
To identify politico-economic factors relating to policy surrounding the production, processing and trade of sugar in Indonesia and identify strategies to support improved integration of national nutrition and food security priorities with respect to sugar.
Design:
This study was a qualitative policy analysis, informed by political economy and power analysis approaches and drawing on both documentary policy data and interviews.
Setting:
Indonesia.
Participants:
Interviewees from various national and sub-national government and non-government sectors, with expertise in health and food safety (n 7), finance and economics (n 2), trade and industry (n 3) and others (n 4).
Results:
Sugar was articulated as a policy priority in three distinct ways: (1) sugar as an economic good; (2) sugar in relation to health and (3) sugar as a commodity for food security. High political priority was given to national economic development, as well as concerns relating to farmer rights and welfare. Nutrition priorities and objectives to reduce sugar consumption were addressed in health policies; however, they were not reflected in production and economic policies promoting sugar.
Conclusions:
Creating opportunities to diversify agricultural production and ensuring a just transition to protect the livelihoods of sugar farmers in Indonesia will be crucial in enabling the achievement of nutrition priorities to reduce sugar consumption.
This chapter assesses the accuracy of procedural and bargaining models in predicting the outcomes of the reforms of the economic governance of the European Union that took place between 1997 and 2013. These negotiations addressed thirty-five controversial issues and were characterized by high costs of failure. How best should we understand the outcomes of these negotiations? Which factors best explain bargaining success? The chapter confirms the accuracy and robustness of the compromise model, based on country raw influence and the significance of preference centrality for bargaining success. However, a procedural model with a costly reference point performs well, indicating that misestimation of the no-agreement cost may be a reason for its commonly reported poorer accuracy. Procedural models are, however, more sensitive to measurement errors. The chapter also shows how both models contribute to understanding bargaining success and how the conditional influence of the European Parliament should not be ignored.