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This chapter is about the interpretation of parameters. Parameter interpretation in the stochastic actor-oriented model is difficult for two reasons. The first, shared with the conditional multinomial logit model on which it is based, is the non-linearity of the link function. The second is the unobserved nature of the sequence of ministeps, the small network changes connecting the consecutive network measurements. The chapter starts with the basics of parameter interpretation in this model and continues with interpretation of parameters specific for actor attributes; for such parameters, the selection plot is presented, a graphical possibility for interpretation. The last section presents three kinds of effect sizes.
We develop the central idea of emergence in the uniform random graph models of this book. We illustrate this with old unsolved problems connected with circle and sphere packings. We introduce notions of entropy, phase space, phases, phase transitions, and order parameters imported from statistical mechanics. We then adapt these notions to define uniform random graph models and in particular the edge-triangle model, which uses a uniform distribution on graphs with given densities of edges and triangles. We argue that the techniques of this book are broadly applicable to other optimization problems, for instance Plateau’s problem and Optimal Transport. We close with a summary of the results of the book, introducing a conjectured phase diagram for the edge-triangle model and indicating which features of that diagram are rigorously proven in later chapters.
We develop the basic notions used throughout the book, providing precise definitions of graphons, Boltzmann and Shannon entropies, phases, and phase transitions, and give proofs of some essential properties. We present graphons from three perspectives, as limits of large graphs, as lists of subgraph densities, and as random processes for generating graphs. A Large Deviations Principle (LDP) relates the Shannon entropy of a graphon to the number of finite graphs approximated by the graphon. Using this LDP, we show that the Boltzmann entropy equals the maximal Shannon entropy of those graphons meeting certain integral constraints. If there is a unique graphon maximizing the Shannon entropy, then typical graphs in the ensemble are described by that graphon. This reduces most questions about phases in uniform random graph models to entropy maximization problems, with the bulk of the book devoted to such problems. To support this, we develop the theory of Lagrange multipliers for graphons, and in particular the "worth" of a column of a graphon, proving that all columns of an optimal graphon have the same worth.
This book studies the emergence of large-scale structure from small structures in the context of random graphs. Typical large graphs with fixed edge density e and triangle density t are described by a 'graphon' that solves a constrained optimization problem. Proofs are provided of the existence of infinitely many open sets ('phases') in the (e,t) plane where the optimal graphon is unique and varies analytically with (e,t). The optimal graphons take a simple form, with symmetries that vary from phase to phase, indicating an emergent self-organization of the corresponding graphs. Besides being of independent interest in the theory of random graphs, extremal combinatorics and the calculus of variations, this provides a rigorous framework for studying ideas from statistical physics that have never been proven in their original setting. The techniques presented in this book can serve as a guide for optimization problems in other fields.
Umlaut might be morphologized as morphologically or morpholexically conditioned in Germanic languages, depending on whether it is reassociated with a morphological category in general or becomes fossilized in the paradigm cells of specific lexemes. The study focuses on the morphologization of a ∼ e Umlaut among German verb forms, and conducts a quantitative study of Old High German, Middle High German, and Early Modern High German corpora. I first use an entropy-based method to evaluate phonologicality, morphologicality and morpholexicality in the distribution of a ∼ e as the stem vowel and later investigate the mutual influence between Umlaut and the a ∼ e distribution in the main inflectional categories. The results suggest that Umlaut is morphologized in different directions across different categories, depending on the proportion of forms subject to Umlaut in each category.
Do wars follow predictable patterns, or are they chaotic and inherently unpredictable? We explore this question by quantifying temporal redundancy—how often similar patterns recur—in conflict-related fatalities. Using entropy-based analysis—a measure of randomness—and Dynamic Time Warping, we compare conflict dynamics with other complex systems such as seismology and finance. Our findings reveal that the dynamics of fatalities within conflicts exhibit high levels of entropy: they are largely unpredictable. Conflicts generally display higher entropy than climate or earthquake data, which highlights the challenges of predictive modeling. Moreover, conflict patterns are not region- or decade-specific, which suggests a degree of universality. Our framework distinguishes stable from chaotic phases in conflict dynamics and clarifies where forecasting is feasible.
The chapter studies Edward Bulwer-Lytton’s The Coming Race (1871) and Gabriel Tarde’s Underground Man (1896). Drawing on the pictorial and literary reception of the Thames Tunnel and the Parisian underground, the chapter investigates how the material change of subterranean space in nineteenth-century Britain and France stimulated the conception of a “new” underground associated with the technological future. Comparing the two authors’ intersection of the new underground with climate control, it ventures that Bulwer-Lytton Lytton demonstrates the calamitous aesthetic consequences of climate technology employed by an underground race. In contrast, Tarde portrays the flourishing of decadent underground civilisation prompted by the heat death of the sun. The chapter concludes that the discursive network turning the underground into an inorganic, climate-controlled place peaks in Underground Man, where the climate becomes an engineerable simulacrum, spelling out a progression from dystopian to utopian depictions of deliberate climate change.
Chapter 2 delves into the interconnections between heat, entropy, and temperature, and their relation to phases of matter. We cover heat capacities, specific heats, and the relation they have to the change in entropy. Similarly, we cover latent heat and its direct connection to entropy and enthalpy. We then return to the Clausius–Clapeyron equation and express it in terms of quantities that are readily measured experimentally, such as heat, temperature, and density. It is then applied to both the solid–liquid and liquid–vapor phase boundaries. Finally, we turn to the topic of heat engines and refrigerators, emphasizing the Carnot cycle and its connection to maximum efficiency and absolute temperature.
This work gives a computable formula for the average measure-theoretic entropy of a family of expanding on average random Blaschke products, generalizing the paper by Pujals, Robert and Shub [Expanding maps of the circle rerevisited: positive Lyapunov exponents in a rich family. Ergod. Th. & Dynam. Sys.26(6) (2006), 1931–1937] to the random setting. In doing so, we describe the random invariant measure and associated measure-theoretic entropy for a class of admissible random Blaschke products, allowing for maps which are not necessarily expanding and may even have an attracting fixed point.
Timothy S. Murphy explores William Burroughs’ oeuvre as a “singularity” in three overlapping senses: aesthetic uniqueness, philosophical resistance to generalization, and cosmological metaphor. Burroughs’ cut-up novels – Naked Lunch, The Nova Trilogy, and beyond – embody a form of narrative experimentation that resists categorization and disrupts conventional literary logic. Drawing on concepts from astrophysics, Murphy aligns Burroughs’ work with the disruptive force of black holes, novae, and supernovae. Through a close reading of the trilogy’s stellar metaphors, especially the figure of Mr. Bradly Mr. Martin, Murphy argues that Burroughs anticipates a model of narrative that is both destructive and generative – annihilating fixed identities and control structures while offering the possibility of linguistic and ontological renewal. The “Burroughs singularity,” codenamed WSB X-1, represents a continual feedback loop between collapse and creation, producing texts as unstable, irradiated, and transformative as the cosmic phenomena they metaphorically invoke.
We introduce the simplest photonic spin glass by leveraging the so-called random energy model (REM), which allows one to derive a phase diagram with reasonable mathematical complexity. We introduce some concepts of nonequilibrium thermodynamic phases in a multimode photonic system.
Interpersonal synchrony, such as dancing to a shared rhythm, elicits bonding and rewards, leading many to see it as a mechanism for group cohesion. Yet synchronized activities also reduce ingroup bias, rapidly bond strangers, flatten hierarchies and blur roles, and evoke trance states. Synchrony thus softens many boundaries that “groupishness” requires. Perhaps in consequence, cultural authorities frequently condemn expressive dance music rather than embracing it as a tool for social cohesion. Aiming to account for these multifarious features, this review integrates findings from cognitive motor science, biomusicology, and adjacent fields to synthesize the relaxed priors through synchrony (RePS) model. Highlighting synchrony’s effects on high-level social predictive processing, RePS depicts the sensorimotor signals associated with beat perception and synchrony as lending precision to bottom-up prediction error at temporally granular (< 2-second) scales. Precision for abstract social priors is thereby reduced, inverting the social brain’s characteristic “top-heaviness.” With categorical beliefs about roles and groups no longer scaffolding coordination and joint action, local-timescale planning and processing evoke low psychological construal. Tighter links between motivation and reward facilitate disinhibited enjoyment orthogonal to status and group boundaries. In the entropic cognitive state that results, relaxed social priors are more easily revisable, enabling coordinated change and updating, as in ritual celebrations. This model affords rich opportunities for empirical testing and interdisciplinary theory-building. Overall, RePS explains why authorities frequently dislike synchrony, why dance plays centrally in social transitions such as weddings, and why rhythmic music is associated with trance. More than a bonding device, synchrony facilitates change.
The FrameNet project is a large-scale frame-semantic database with a seemingly usage-based core: It draws on 200,000 annotated sentences from representative corpora and offers the most comprehensive description of semantic valency patterns in English to date. Nevertheless, its empirical validity is weakened by the lack of statistical information on the distribution of lexical units, frames and frame elements. Similarly, the characterisation of frame elements as core, core-unexpressed, peripheral or extra-thematic – intended to indicate their essentiality to a frame – is primarily motivated on theoretical grounds. This raises the question of whether these labels are consistent with actual language use. After exhaustively extracting frequency data from Python’s NLTK FrameNet Corpus for all attested combinations of verbs, frames and frame elements, hierarchical gradient boosting models were trained on information-theoretic measures and word embeddings to predict the coreness of frame elements. The models provide strong usage-based evidence for a general core versus non-core distinction but cast doubt on further subdivisions such as core versus core-unexpressed or peripheral versus extra-thematic. While further validation is necessary, this contribution offers the first statistical perspective on the current state of FrameNet and its compatibility with usage-based approaches.
In this paper, we investigate dynamical properties of monoid actions on symbolic systems. First, we establish mixing properties and an entropy formula for such actions. To describe chaotic behavior, we introduce and distinguish several types of Li–Yorke chaos. Our main result shows that positive entropy is equivalent to locally Li–Yorke chaos, a notion that strengthens the classical definition of Li–Yorke chaos.
Using a welcoming and conversational style, this Student's Guide takes readers on a tour of the laws of thermodynamics, highlighting their importance for a wide range of disciplines. It will be a valuable resource for self-guided learners, students, and instructors working in physics, engineering, chemistry, meteorology, climatology, cosmology, biology, and other scientific fields. The book discusses thermodynamic properties such as temperature, internal energy, and entropy, and develops the laws through primarily observational means without extensive reference to atomic principles. This classical approach allows students to get a handle on thermodynamics as an experimental science and prepares them for more advanced study of statistical mechanics, which is introduced in the final chapter. Detailed practical examples are used to illustrate the theoretical concepts, with a selection of problems included at the end of each chapter to facilitate learning. Solutions to these problems can be found online along with additional supplemental materials.
We investigated how bilingual adults lexicalized novel words (bloksom) derived from existing English words (blossom), over a 24-h interval that included sleep, as a function of word-related factors (lexical frequency), task-related factors (inferencing during encoding), and individual differences in compartmentalized versus integrated bilingual use (language entropy). In Experiment 1, 48 bilingual adults explicitly learned novel word–picture pairings. In Experiment 2, 50 bilingual adults implicitly learned the same pairings. Both experiments manipulated task conditions to require an inference (Inference +) versus absence of inference (Inference −). Participant performance was responsive to word-related factors (word frequency). However, participants who use multiple languages in a low-entropy, compartmentalized manner were most responsive to explicitly tuned task factors. In contrast, participants who use their languages in a high entropy, integrated manner were most responsive to implicitly tuned task factors. These data suggest that bilingual experience modulates preferred novel word learning styles in adult bilinguals.
This chapter introduces the two main, and original, statements of the second law of thermodynamics: the Clausius statement and the Kelvin–Planck statement. In addition, this chapter discusses the idea of a perfect engine and its requirements. Then, a discussion of reversibility ensues. This leads to the introduction of the Carnot engine, which is considered a perfect engine. Then, Carnot’s propositions are put forth, which paves the way for the introduction of thermodynamic temperature, which is a temperature scale that does not rely on the material used for the temperature measurement. Using these concepts, a new thermodynamic property is deduced: entropy. Entropy and heat are related to each other for reversible processes, and the idea of a temperature–entropy diagram is introduced and discussed. Although this chapter does not quite follow the historical timeline, the discussion of the second law is still nevertheless motivated by the historical development.
In this chapter, the equations that were defined in Chapters 1–3 are used to solve some problems. In addition, the existing equations are modified to make them more useful for finding various property values. Also, two new thermodynamic properties are very briefly introduced, Gibbs energy (or Gibbs free energy) and Helmholtz energy (or Helmholtz free energy), in order to provide a full set of equations often associated with the laws of thermodynamics.
Chapter 5 covers research on visual perception and related psychological theories needed to fully understand the visualisation process. Cues and heuristics are discussed since they are effortless and quick ways for the brain to support human decision-making. Cues are stimuli in the environment triggering a habitual thought, i.e., a heuristic. On average, cues and heuristics will help shoppers come to sufficiently good decisions, but it is highly possible that in most situations a bit of more effortful reflection would lead to even better solutions. The chapter also goes through how heuristics can be misleading. For instance, if retailers reduce the number of stock-keeping units (SKUs), the ones remaining will more easily enter the awareness of the shoppers since there is less clutter. The fact that more products enter the shoppers' awareness will be misinterpreted by the shoppers who think that the number of SKUs has increased. Furthermore, research shows that colour is the visual quality that the brain accesses most easily and that brightness contrast is the dimension of colour that the brain uses most effortlessly. Finally, eye-tracking and the physics of the eye are discussed.
Why is the Liberal International Order unraveling – and will this lead to global disorder? Broken Cycle explores this urgent question by viewing international politics through a dynamic lens focused on the rise and fall of great powers – whose periodic global wars determine who rules and which ideas and values prevail in the reordered international system. Randall L. Schweller uncovers recurring patterns of change, offering a framework to anticipate the contours of the emerging world. Rather than tracking short-term diplomatic shifts, this book seeks the deeper rhythms of history – cycles of growth, expansion, and decline – that shape international politics over centuries. These patterns are not inevitable, but they are powerful. By understanding them, we gain insight into the forces driving today's dissent – and tomorrow's possibilities. This is a study of the structural forces that govern change, the crises that break the old order, and the ideas that rise in its place.