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From the prism of modern Japan, the latter nineteenth-century “belle epoque” is much more than an era of cultural flowering or symbol of an efflorescent West. Rather, it is a time of both significant strife and global cultural production. Just a decade after its founding, the modern Japanese state plunged into civil war (the Satsuma “Rebellion”). And while it emerged victorious in both the Sino- (1894-5) and Russo-Japanese (1904-5) Wars, Japan would continue to pay for the enormous human and financial costs of both conflicts. At the same time, Japanese power lured Imperial Britain into its first alliance in decades. And the international circulation of Japanese woodblock prints inspired a wave of new artistic movements, including modern architecture, Impressionism, the Vienna Secession, and Art Nouveau. The belle epoque was an era of culture and conflict spurred by key cultural and geopolitical movements across the globe.
In Chapter 3, we trace the origins of the “managerial approach” to technology regulation. In the twentieth century, as mass communication weakened America’s associational life, reformers increasingly entrusted experts and managers with the task of producing social goods such as civility and accurate information. Meanwhile, the Supreme Court has increasingly extended robust First Amendment rights to mass media companies, paving the way to an emerging status quo in which digital platforms themselves are “protected speakers” because they “select and shape other parties’ expression into their own curated speech products." Radically constraining the scope of technology regulation, courts have strengthened the authority of private managers over the terms of social life. The modern First Amendment, which once protected the autonomy of robust associations in the public sphere, has come to do the exact opposite: protect the forces of homogenization that undermine robust associations. Meanwhile, even private actors risk offending the rights of platforms when they attempt to build third-party applications – known as “middleware” – that interoperate with dominant platforms to empower users to modify platform features.
Ireland has largely avoided the escalation of far-right populism seen across Europe. There has, however, been an upsurge in far-right politics and activism, underpinned by anti-immigration sentiment. Within this context, this paper aims to determine how two Irish political parties commonly identified by media outlets as far-right present their websites, which issues they seek to own and whether these issues align with far-right ideology. Qualitative thematic analysis was conducted on transcribed screen recordings of every textual and visual component of these websites during a period of routine politics sandwiched between the 2024 European and local elections and the general election. The key finding was that, while the two parties diverged on some issues, both sought to own immigration and exhibited high degrees of nationalism, which often veered into nativism. Immigration was the core issue for both parties and interwoven with other policy positions (Euroscepticism) and issues (housing, COVID-19, the economy).
Greece’s politics were dominated by renewed mobilisation over the 2023 Tempi rail disaster and by the Payment and Control Agency for Guidance and Guarantee Community Aid (OPEKEPE) agricultural subsidies scandal. The government survived a March no-confidence vote but faced sustained pressure over accountability, rule-of-law concerns and corruption. Konstantinos Tasoulas, New Democracy’s former President of the Parliament, was elected President of the Republic in February, while a March Cabinet reshuffle brought Kyriakos Pierrakakis to the Finance Ministry; in December he was elected Eurogroup President. The opposition remained fragmented. PASOK-KINAL retained its main opposition status but failed to capitalise decisively, SYRIZA continued to decline, and Alexis Tsipras resigned his parliamentary seat amid return speculation. Seismic activity on Santorini, a destructive wildfire season, a controversial labour law allowing 13-hour workdays under certain conditions, farmers’ blockades and persistent cost-of-living pressures reinforced a broader picture of governmental turbulence. By year-end, opinion polls pointed to a potential ungovernability scenario after the next parliamentary elections.
Parliamentary committees are critical venues of legislative work. Yet women, already underrepresented in most legislatures, are often further marginalized within these powerful substructures. This note examines women’s representation in the Canadian House of Commons’ 24 standing committees, 2006–2025, using an original dataset capturing committee membership and leadership across six Parliaments and four major parties. Our analyses reveal women’s representation as committee members and leaders generally tracks their presence in the House of Commons but gender segregation remains entrenched. Women are overrepresented on “feminine”-coded committees and underrepresented on “masculine”-coded committees. Women are also less likely to hold leadership roles, particularly on “masculine”-coded committees. Contrary to expectations from comparative research, we find limited partisan variation. Shaped by opaque party processes, committee assignments reflect and reproduce gendered institutional logics that privilege men and masculine policy domains, even amid rising descriptive representation.
Do citizens use gender-based heuristics to infer political parties’ ideological positions? We posit that citizens view more ‘gender inclusive’ parties as more left-leaning than comparable male-dominated organizations. Cues about gender inclusivity, moreover, come not only from women’s presence in parties’ legislative delegations but also from other visible signals of women’s incorporation into parties – including as leaders and supporters – and through organizational rules promoting women’s inclusion. We present analyses of election survey data from 21 Western publics over time, which show that, controlling for the left–right tones of parties’ manifestos, citizens perceive more gender-inclusive parties as more left-wing and that the cumulative impact of the various dimensions of gender inclusivity is substantial. We next report experimental evidence from four countries, which provides further support for gender-based heuristics. Our findings highlight the importance of not just the message but also the messenger in shaping citizens’ assessments of parties’ ideological perceptions.
The year 2025 in Lithuania was marked by political scandals, mass protests, and a change of cabinet. The position of Prime Minister remained in the hands of the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party, but both the Prime Minister and the composition of the ruling coalition changed. The cabinet formed by Gintautas Paluckas collapsed because of allegations of non-transparent business practices, while the formation of Inga Ruginienė’s new cabinet was likewise accompanied by controversies that escalated into mass protests, largely directed against the coalition partner – the populist Nemuno aušra. Journalists and the newly established Cultural Assembly, which brought together hundreds of cultural institutions, independent artists, and organisations, played a key mobilising role in this protest movement.
The defining feature of Polish politics in 2025 was the consolidation of institutional gridlock. The narrow victory of radical-right challenger Karol Nawrocki over the ruling coalition’s Rafał Trzaskowski in the presidential run-off ensured that the cohabitation paralysing the Tusk government since December 2023 would persist through to at least the next parliamentary election. A substantial July cabinet restructuring – which cut the Council of Ministers from 27 to 22 and sharply reduced the share of women among ministers – reflected an effort to reassert political authority rather than expand the government’s policy reach, as initiatives on abortion liberalisation and civil partnerships once again stalled. Dissensus within the ruling coalition was manifest in the dissolution of the Third Way electoral alliance, Szymon Hołownia’s announcement that he would step down as Polska 2050 leader, and the disproportionate effects of the reshuffle on the junior partners. A parallel fragmentation on the right, where Confederation emerged as a serious electoral rival to PiS, reshaped the opposition camp.
While many citizens support expanding direct democracy, its institutionalisation lags behind popular demand, presumably due to limited enthusiasm among political elites. This article explores both ideological and instrumental reasons why political parties support or avoid direct democracy. Using an original dataset of 701 election manifestos from German parties (1975–2017) and employing a custom dictionary and large language model, over 2,000 relevant statements were classified. Mentions of direct democracy are predominantly positive, as parties opposing it omit the topic, consistent with salience theory. Regression analyses reveal robust support among left-of-centre and populist parties. Moreover, challenger parties emphasise direct democracy more than mainstream parties, but maintain their stance when going mainstream. In contrast, parties are less likely to promote direct democracy when in government than when in opposition. These findings help explain the gap between citizen preferences and actual institutional reforms.
In 1998, Leonardo Morlino advanced the theory of ‘anchors of consolidation’, arguing that informal institutions can stabilise democracies with low legitimacy by integrating societal groups with weak democratic commitments. Drawing on the experience of the Italian Communist Party, he posited that parties may anchor citizens through an inclusion–moderation dynamic. This study tests that causal link in the context of Ecuador’s Citizens’ Revolution (2006–2017). Emerging from a political crisis yet witnessing party strengthening, Ecuador provides a unique setting to examine how radical party inclusion shapes democratic attitudes. Using Latin American Public Opinion Project (LAPOP) and Latinobarómetro data, we apply logistic and linear regressions, as well as a difference-in-differences design, to evaluate whether PAIS’s inclusion fostered greater democratic support among its followers. The study finds evidence of apparent improvement in democratic attitudes among PAIS sympathisers, but this outcome appears more likely to have stemmed from partisan bias rather than genuine attitudinal change. Nevertheless, the results indicate that the effects of PAIS’s inclusion on satisfaction with democracy in Ecuador parallel those observed for populist radical-right parties in Europe, highlighting cross-cultural and cross-ideological patterns in the way populist parties shape political values.
In this chapter, we start by looking at the form of Parliament. We introduce the concept of the separation of powers – legislative power, executive power and judicial power. We then discuss the fact that in Australia we do not follow the classical process of separation of powers. Instead, we have a system called the Westminster system where the executive government and the legislature overlap, because the Cabinet is composed of the most senior members of both arms of government. We then look at the impact of political parties on Parliament.
In the second half of this chapter, we turn our attention to the functions of Parliament. We look first at its legislative function, working our way through the process by which Parliament makes legislation. We then look at the specific processes which Parliament has developed in order to fulfil its responsible government function, by holding the government accountable. Finally, we look at how Parliament functions as a symbol: how it operates as both a national forum and a focus for our community.
This chapter argues that contemporary electoral clientelism focused on vote buying is more vulnerable to failure than robust prior forms of political clientelism. Nineteenth- and early twentieth-century oligarchic clientelism, as well as mid twentieth-century corporatist clientelism, entangled the provision of benefits with employment and social protection. They thus raised the costs of defection so high that opposed recipients had strong incentives to comply. In contrast, contemporary electoral clientelism offers much lower-value gifts and limits the costs of noncompliance to foregone future benefits. Under these conditions, recipients’ personal political dispositions weigh more heavily in their vote choices, leading vote-buying attempts to fail when the conditions that I characterize in the rest of the book activate those dispositions. The chapter also describes Mexico’s transition from corporatist clientelism during most of the twentieth century under Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) rule to the new practice of electoral clientelism since national-level democratization in 2000.
This final chapter on mechanisms argues that recipients of electoral gifts have a partisan view of ballot secrecy. When opposition recipients only see machine representatives in their voting place on Election Day, they fear that ballot secrecy could be compromised and are more likely to believe the machine’s threats to impose costly sanctions for voting their sincere preferences. Recipient compliance is thus more likely in machine-dominant constituencies. When recipients also see opposing-party representatives at the polls, they are prone to believe that ballot secrecy is preserved and that they can vote their true preferences without incurring costs. This argument provides a new rationale for the protective influence of poll watchers and adds nuance to the standard institutional claim that de jure ballot secrecy alone undermines vote buying. Tests use observational survey data, survey experiments, and fieldwork in Mexico.
This introductory chapter describes the stakes of successful vote buying for new democracies and the deep pessimism of current perspectives. Despite the standard assumption embedded in existing theories that politicians only buy votes when the practice is guaranteed to be effective, meta-analyses of empirical research show that it typically fails. I introduce my partisan competition theory of electoral clientelism, which can better explain why vote-buying attempts success or fail. I argue that competitive elections can shift the balance of power from political machines to citizens, implying more optimistic outlook on elections, the voting behavior of poor citizens, and political representation in new democracies. Before outlining the remainder of the book, I introduce Mexico as a typical case of a new democracy awash in vote buying with subnational variation in the degree of partisan competition over time. I also introduce Argentina, Colombia, and Turkey as critical case tests of the mechanisms implied by the partisan competition theory.
The concluding chapter discusses the optimistic implications of my findings for the quality of elections, the voting behavior of poor citizens, the conceptualization of clientelist democracies, and the viability of political representation and accountability in new democracies. Vote buying still represents a drain on public budgets and inefficient social investment, but because competition makes poor voters more resistant to electoral clientelism than currently assumed, the electoral connection that underwrites democratic governance can operate in competitive constituencies. I draw out the public policy implications of my findings for opposition political parties, election management bodies, and democracy promotion efforts to fight vote buying and help transform clients into citizens.
This chapter tests the book’s main argument and the three proposed mechanisms by analyzing the effectiveness of vote-buying schemes in Argentina, Colombia, and Turkey. To avoid repetition, I highlight one mechanism per country, using a critical-case approach. In Colombia’s 2022 elections, weak partisanship and an atomized party system imply that recipients might respond instrumentally to electoral gifts. Nevertheless, using a conjoint experiment, I show strong partisan response, thus highlighting the low bar for partisan affinity to disrupt machine politics. Competitive authoritarianism in Turkey should bias elections in the incumbent’s favor, but I show that local competition for the Kurdish vote and intensive campaigns in the 2015 elections caused the incumbent party to target many unbuyable voters and made the vote buying strategy to fail nationally. Finally, in Argentina the use of partisan ballots should increase recipient compliance. Employing observational data and a photo-based survey experiment from the 2021 elections, I instead show that recipients believe in ballot secrecy and vote their true preferences where prior local electoral competition was vibrant but comply by voting for the machine where it had been locally dominant. The findings from these three critical-case tests show the surprisingly weak conditions that can make vote buying ineffective and imply that my argument generalizes to other competitive systems rife with clientelism.
This is the first of three chapters on the mechanisms that translate the effects of electoral competitiveness into the success or failure of vote buying. Here, I provide a new argument for recipients’ responses to vote-buying offers. Existing theory rooted in instrumentalist microfoundations predicts that all demographically similar voters respond equally to electoral gifts of a given value, thus making all voters potentially buyable. Drawing on the motivated reasoning literature in political science and the gifting literature in behavioral economics, I argue that responses to electoral gifts are conditioned by preexisting partisanship. Even though all recipients appreciate the gift’s economic value, partisans assign it different symbolic value due to inferences about the machine’s rationale for targeting them. Initial supporters respond positively, inferring that the machine cares about their welfare, whereas initial opponents respond negatively, inferring that the machine seeks to manipulate their vote. Partisan responses limit the market for votes by putting many opposed recipients out of the machine’s reach. Tests compare the predictions of standard “equal response” theory to my partisan response model using fieldwork observations, survey data, and conjoint experiments in Mexico.
This chapter provides a bookend test of my main hypothesis that the intensity of local electoral competition conditions the effectiveness of vote-buying attempts. I use specialized election-season panel surveys of Mexican citizens to assess the impact of electoral gifts on vote choices from the onset of national-level democracy in 2000 until 2018. Results show that vote buying typically fails in competitive constituencies and only succeeds where the machine was already electorally dominant for nonclientelist reasons. The rest of the chapter provides robustness tests. I use multiple approaches to measure vote-buying attempts, including direct and indirect self-reports from recipients and the PRI’s intent to treat constituencies with electoral gifts. Tests for endogeneity include sensitivity analysis and instrumental variables models, as well as time series and fixed effects models at the municipal level.
This second chapter on mechanisms argues that competitive elections cause machines to target many unbuyable voters with electoral gifts. Vote buying is effective when recipients vote for the machine but would have voted for a rival party had they not received a gift. Existing research shows that machines select clients based on citizens’ observable pre-campaign dispositions. Yet the unknowable effects of the subsequent campaigns can shift recipients’ vote-relevant attitudes enough to make some initially buyable voters unbuyable by Election Day. Machines in competitive constituencies thus make many unavoidable targeting errors. Campaign effects are muted in constituencies that the machine already dominates electorally, leading to more efficient targeting and more effective vote buying. Tests use a variety of measurement techniques and election-season panel surveys from Mexico between 2000 and 2018.
In 2025, the federal election resulted in historic losses for the outgoing ‘traffic-light coalition’ and saw the return of the Christian Democrats (CDU/CSU) to government. The election continued the trend towards even higher party system fragmentation. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) recorded its worst ever result (16.4%), while the Free Democratic Party (FDP) did not surpass the five-percent-threshold. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) became the second largest party (20.8%), and the Left regained relevance (8.8%). A grand coalition between CDU/CSU and SPD emerged as the only viable option but proved fragile. Following two years of recession, economic growth remained close to zero, and unemployment exceeded three million people. Migration and economic concerns dominated public debate, while the AfD continued to gain in the polls. The Hamburg state election confirmed the city’s status as an SPD stronghold, while the CDU, but also the Left and AfD gained considerably.